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Estonia vs Germany Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Sep 2018
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 43-86
15-26 9-23 6-24 13-13
Position#40
Record5-5
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.4
Allowed / game72.5
vs
Germany 🏆
Position#12
Record6-0
FormWWWLL
Points / game84.7
Allowed / game69.0
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2019
Meetings · Estonia v Germany
30 Jun 2022
ESTO57
GERM88
13 Sep 2018
ESTO43
GERM86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estonia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Germany winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel
#44
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A24/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#69
W
73-70
73
70
+3
H27/11
World Cup
Greece
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A23/02
World Cup
Israel
#44
W
78-62
78
62
+16
H25/02
World Cup
Finland
#15
L
69-76 OT
69
76
-7
H21/06
Friendly International
Finland
#15
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A25/06
Friendly International
Great Britain
#69
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A29/06
World Cup
Greece
#2
L
56-78
56
78
-22
H02/07
World Cup
Belgium
#1
L
60-98
60
98
-38
H06/09
Friendly International
Belgium
#1
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H07/09
Friendly International
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
14-17
19-27
14-23
18-24
26-12
15-21
14-13
18-20
11-15
13-26
33-26
17-19
20-14
19-20
22-9
17-14
21-23
14-6
11-20
10-25
14-18
27-24
25-28
20-19
19-15
14-20
12-20
13-15
14-20
21-21
8-22
23-30
16-23
12-19
9-26
14-20
12-19
11-9
18-20
147.1Avg total
67.5Scored
79.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)71.472.5143.9-1.150%
Season at home (5)71.465.0136.4+6.480%
Season away (5)71.480.0151.4-8.620%
Last 10 (10)67.579.6147.1-12.120%
Last 5 (5)62.482.6145.0-20.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)68.180.4148.5-12.225%
vs Similar (4)71.073.5144.5-2.550%
vs Weaker (2)72.562.5135.0+10.050%
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#2
L
75-80
75
80
-5
H19/08
DBB Supercup
Serbia
#1
L
56-87
56
87
-31
H20/08
DBB Supercup
Georgia
#43
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H24/11
World Cup
Austria
#59
W
90-49
90
49
+41
A27/11
World Cup
Serbia
#18
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H23/02
World Cup
Georgia
#43
W
87-77
87
77
+10
A25/02
World Cup
Austria
#59
W
85-63
85
63
+22
H29/06
World Cup
Serbia
#18
W
88-81
88
81
+7
A02/07
World Cup
Turkey
#6
L
79-100
79
100
-21
H07/09
Friendly International
Italy
#30
L
62-71
62
71
-9
A08/09
Friendly International
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
21-16
20-23
19-22
17-27
17-17
6-19
16-24
18-18
22-23
20-20
19-9
20-8
21-13
23-12
26-16
20-26
20-15
17-18
22-15
27-17
24-21
18-24
18-15
22-16
25-17
14-16
24-14
21-23
14-18
21-19
32-21
29-26
12-25
27-19
11-30
26-16
8-20
17-24
11-11
153.2Avg total
78.0Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (6)84.769.0153.7+15.7100%
Season at home (3)81.069.0150.0+12.0100%
Season away (3)88.369.0157.3+19.3100%
Last 10 (10)78.075.2153.2+2.860%
Last 5 (5)80.278.4158.6+1.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)64.477.8142.2-13.47%
vs Similar (5)79.275.4154.6+3.880%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)79.166.1145.2+13.0100%
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: +1.9+1.9Q2Q2: -0.9-0.9Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: -2.8-2.8Q3: -1.1-1.1Q4Q4: -4.1-4.1Q4: +2.1+2.1
EstoniaGermany
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Israel
#44
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A24/11
World Cup
Great Britain
#69
W
44-36
44
36
+8
H27/11
World Cup
Greece
#2
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A23/02
World Cup
Israel
#44
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H25/02
World Cup
Finland
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H21/06
Friendly International
Finland
#15
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A25/06
Friendly International
Great Britain
#69
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A29/06
World Cup
Greece
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H02/07
World Cup
Belgium
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H06/09
Friendly International
Belgium
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H07/09
Friendly International
72.1Avg total
33.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)35.737.973.6-2.150%-
Last 30 at home (8)36.537.974.4-1.450%-
Last 30 away (6)34.737.872.5-3.250%-
Last 10 (10)33.838.372.1-4.540%-
Last 5 (5)31.040.871.8-9.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.440.674.0-7.225%-
vs Similar (4)38.835.274.0+3.575%-
vs Weaker (2)39.032.071.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Germany) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
GermanyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Poland
#2
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H19/08
DBB Supercup
Serbia
#1
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H20/08
DBB Supercup
Georgia
#43
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H24/11
World Cup
Austria
#59
W
41-21
41
21
+20
A27/11
World Cup
Serbia
#18
L
40-41
40
41
-1
H23/02
World Cup
Georgia
#43
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A25/02
World Cup
Austria
#59
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H29/06
World Cup
Serbia
#18
L
35-41
35
41
-6
A02/07
World Cup
Turkey
#6
L
41-51
41
51
-10
H07/09
Friendly International
Italy
#30
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A08/09
Friendly International
78.0Avg total
39.9Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.237.673.8-1.533%-
Last 30 at home (24)35.738.374.0-2.629%-
Last 30 away (6)38.035.073.0+3.050%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.178.0+1.840%-
Last 5 (5)41.639.881.4+1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)33.039.672.6-6.621%-
vs Similar (5)38.038.276.2-0.220%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)39.434.974.3+4.555%-
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estonia wins
0
Germany wins
No previous meetings.
Estonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/09/18HBelgium55-68
06/09/18HBelgium60-98
02/07/18HGreece56-78
29/06/18AGreat Britain65-74
25/06/18AFinland76-95
21/06/18HFinland69-76 OT
25/02/18HIsrael78-62
23/02/18AGreece75-87
27/11/17HGreat Britain73-70
24/11/17AIsrael68-88
Germanylast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/09/18AItaly62-71
07/09/18HTurkey79-100
02/07/18ASerbia88-81
29/06/18HAustria85-63
25/02/18AGeorgia87-77
23/02/18HSerbia79-74
27/11/17AAustria90-49
24/11/17HGeorgia79-70
20/08/17HSerbia56-87
19/08/17HPoland75-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estonia
World Cup 2019
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL50%
HomeWWWWL80%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %50%80%20%
Points / game71.471.471.4
Allowed / game72.565.080.0
Point differential-1.1+6.4-8.6
Avg total143.9136.4151.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Germany
World Cup 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW100%
HomeWWW100%
AwayWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games633
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game84.781.088.3
Allowed / game69.069.069.0
Point differential+15.7+12.0+19.3
Avg total153.7150.0157.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%33%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nigeria660100%100.864.5+36.3
2 Tunisia660100%83.252.5+30.7
3 Lithuania660100%85.358.7+26.7
4 Germany660100%84.769.0+15.7
5 Greece660100%85.572.0+13.5
6 Puerto Rico440100%90.877.8+13.0
7 Spain660100%82.871.8+11.0
8 Australia76186%88.662.1+26.4
9 New Zealand76186%98.072.1+25.9
10 Iran76186%76.460.6+15.9
11 France76186%78.164.4+13.7
12 Canada65183%99.373.8+25.5
13 Lebanon65183%88.566.3+22.2
14 Argentina65183%86.565.2+21.3
15 Brazil65183%79.863.8+16.0
16 Venezuela65183%72.861.3+11.5
17 Czech Republic65183%77.370.8+6.5
18 Senegal65183%70.865.0+5.8
19 Jordan75271%92.976.9+16.0
20 South Korea75271%88.082.4+5.6
21 Italy64267%79.067.5+11.5
22 Serbia64267%85.774.8+10.8
23 Cameroon64267%73.063.5+9.5
24 Turkey64267%72.864.8+8.0
25 Dominican Republic64267%89.882.2+7.7
26 Latvia64267%79.575.5+4.0
27 Angola64267%61.861.5+0.3
28 Uruguay64267%72.073.7-1.7
29 Bulgaria117464%79.574.4+5.2
30 Netherlands106460%78.668.0+10.6
31 Philippines74357%77.680.4-2.9
32 China63350%83.869.0+14.8
33 Russia63350%76.371.3+5.0
34 Poland63350%72.768.3+4.3
35 Croatia63350%71.869.8+2.0
36 Montenegro63350%75.773.8+1.8
37 Morocco63350%63.762.3+1.3
38 Mexico42250%76.575.5+1.0
39 Finland63350%75.574.8+0.7
40 Central African Republic63350%67.267.5-0.3
41 Estonia105550%71.472.5-1.1
42 Hungary63350%69.070.2-1.2
43 Panama63350%72.774.2-1.5
44 Ukraine63350%73.375.0-1.7
45 Egypt63350%62.764.5-1.8
46 Armenia63350%78.380.3-2.0
47 Israel63350%73.076.3-3.3
48 Bosnia & Herzegovina126650%75.278.8-3.7
49 Rwanda63350%72.386.5-14.2
50 Japan73443%79.176.3+2.9
51 Kazakhstan73443%70.074.4-4.4
52 Sweden125742%72.875.6-2.8
53 D.R. Congo62433%67.867.7+0.2
54 Ivory Coast62433%60.861.5-0.7
55 Slovenia62433%80.782.0-1.3
56 Mozambique62433%58.062.8-4.8
57 Iraq62433%68.773.7-5.0
58 Iceland62433%77.282.7-5.5
59 Georgia62433%76.782.5-5.8
60 Chad62433%63.870.7-6.8
61 Mali62433%71.381.2-9.8
62 United States Virgin Islands62433%84.898.0-13.2
63 Romania62433%61.377.8-16.5
64 Austria103730%72.078.2-6.2
65 Qatar72529%64.480.0-15.6
66 Syria72529%66.987.1-20.3
67 North Macedonia41325%74.075.0-1.0
68 Portugal41325%72.582.2-9.8
69 Belarus102820%73.983.0-9.1
70 Kosovo102820%65.586.3-20.8
71 Great Britain61517%73.376.2-2.8
72 Belgium61517%65.373.8-8.5
73 Slovakia61517%72.381.3-9.0
74 Uganda61517%77.790.0-12.3
75 Chile61517%63.276.0-12.8
76 Colombia61517%65.580.2-14.7
77 Bahamas61517%73.593.5-20.0
78 Chinese Taipei61517%71.092.0-21.0
79 Cuba4040%67.581.5-14.0
80 Paraguay6060%58.576.7-18.2
81 India6060%68.894.7-25.8
82 Guinea6060%56.089.3-33.3
83 Albania4040%57.094.5-37.5
84 Hong Kong6060%67.3110.2-42.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estonia15961343
Germany2623241386
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