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Estonia vs Serbia Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 21 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 71-70
14-16 17-18 18-20 22-16
Position#40
Record5-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game68.9
Allowed / game76.4
Estonia 🏆
vs
Position#18
Record6-4
FormLLWLW
Points / game82.6
Allowed / game72.8
EuropeWorld Cup
Other2019
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estonia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Serbia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

EstoniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland
#15
L
69-76 OT
69
76
-7
H21/06
Friendly International
Finland
#15
L
76-95
76
95
-19
A25/06
Friendly International
Great Britain
#69
L
65-74
65
74
-9
A29/06
World Cup
Greece
#2
L
56-78
56
78
-22
H02/07
World Cup
Belgium
#1
L
60-98
60
98
-38
H06/09
Friendly International
Belgium
#1
L
55-68
55
68
-13
H07/09
Friendly International
Germany
#12
L
43-86
43
86
-43
H13/09
World Cup
Serbia
#18
L
65-91
65
91
-26
A16/09
World Cup
Georgia
#43
L
73-80
73
80
-7
H30/11
World Cup
Germany
#12
L
70-87
70
87
-17
A03/12
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-14
21-23
14-6
11-20
10-25
14-18
27-24
25-28
20-19
19-15
14-20
12-20
13-15
14-20
21-21
8-22
23-30
16-23
12-19
9-26
14-20
12-19
11-9
18-20
15-26
9-23
6-24
13-13
16-22
13-23
11-29
25-17
19-22
13-19
17-16
24-23
19-21
8-20
12-20
31-26
146.5Avg total
63.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)68.976.4145.3-7.436%
Season at home (7)67.670.1137.7-2.657%
Season away (7)70.382.6152.9-12.314%
Last 10 (10)63.283.3146.5-20.10%
Last 5 (5)61.282.4143.6-21.20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)65.782.5148.2-16.718%
vs Similar (5)71.474.8146.2-3.440%
vs Weaker (2)72.562.5135.0+10.050%
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austria
#59
W
85-64
85
64
+21
H24/11
World Cup
Georgia
#43
W
105-87
105
87
+18
H27/11
World Cup
Germany
#12
L
74-79
74
79
-5
A23/02
World Cup
Austria
#59
W
82-81
82
81
+1
A25/02
World Cup
Georgia
#43
W
87-50
87
50
+37
A29/06
World Cup
Germany
#12
L
81-88
81
88
-7
H02/07
World Cup
Greece
#2
L
63-70
63
70
-7
A13/09
World Cup
Estonia
#40
W
91-65
91
65
+26
H16/09
World Cup
Israel
#44
L
74-83
74
83
-9
A30/11
World Cup
Greece
#2
W
84-61
84
61
+23
H03/12
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-12
27-17
15-13
26-22
21-21
23-24
30-19
31-23
26-20
15-20
18-17
15-22
21-18
20-25
25-20
16-18
18-11
19-7
23-18
27-14
23-21
18-14
19-21
21-32
18-16
14-19
15-16
16-19
22-16
23-13
29-11
17-25
24-29
21-14
15-16
14-24
29-14
15-21
23-13
17-13
155.4Avg total
82.6Scored
72.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)82.672.8155.4+9.860%
Season at home (5)89.273.0162.2+16.280%
Season away (5)76.072.6148.6+3.440%
Last 10 (10)82.672.8155.4+9.860%
Last 5 (5)78.673.4152.0+5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)73.089.0162.0-16.00%
vs Similar (9)80.974.2155.1+6.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)85.570.5155.9+15.080%
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -4.8-4.8Q1: +4.1+4.1Q2Q2: -6.4-6.4Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: -4.3-4.3Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: -3.9-3.9Q4: -1.2-1.2
EstoniaSerbia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
EstoniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Finland
#15
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H21/06
Friendly International
Finland
#15
L
24-43
24
43
-19
A25/06
Friendly International
Great Britain
#69
W
39-34
39
34
+5
A29/06
World Cup
Greece
#2
L
27-35
27
35
-8
H02/07
World Cup
Belgium
#1
L
39-53
39
53
-14
H06/09
Friendly International
Belgium
#1
L
26-39
26
39
-13
H07/09
Friendly International
Germany
#12
L
24-49
24
49
-25
H13/09
World Cup
Serbia
#18
L
29-45
29
45
-16
A16/09
World Cup
Georgia
#43
L
32-41
32
41
-9
H30/11
World Cup
Germany
#12
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A03/12
World Cup
72.2Avg total
30.5Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)34.039.273.2-5.239%-
Last 30 at home (10)34.839.374.1-4.540%-
Last 30 away (8)33.039.172.1-6.138%-
Last 10 (10)30.541.772.2-11.220%-
Last 5 (5)27.643.070.6-15.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)31.541.873.4-10.318%-
vs Similar (5)37.436.473.8+1.060%-
vs Weaker (2)39.032.071.0+7.0100%-
This opponent (Serbia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SerbiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Austria
#59
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H24/11
World Cup
Georgia
#43
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H27/11
World Cup
Germany
#12
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A23/02
World Cup
Austria
#59
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A25/02
World Cup
Georgia
#43
W
37-18
37
18
+19
A29/06
World Cup
Germany
#12
W
41-35
41
35
+6
H02/07
World Cup
Greece
#2
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A13/09
World Cup
Estonia
#40
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H16/09
World Cup
Israel
#44
W
45-43
45
43
+2
A30/11
World Cup
Greece
#2
W
44-35
44
35
+9
H03/12
World Cup
76.6Avg total
41.4Scored
35.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.434.776.1+6.777%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.535.978.4+6.681%-
Last 30 away (14)40.133.373.4+6.871%-
Last 10 (10)41.435.276.6+6.270%-
Last 5 (5)41.435.476.8+6.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)35.054.089.0-19.00%-
vs Similar (9)40.834.275.0+6.6100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)42.034.075.9+8.070%-
This opponent (Estonia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Estonia wins
1
Serbia wins
DateGameScore
16/09/18Serbia v Estonia91-65
Estonialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/18AGermany70-87
30/11/18HGeorgia73-80
16/09/18ASerbia65-91
13/09/18HGermany43-86
07/09/18HBelgium55-68
06/09/18HBelgium60-98
02/07/18HGreece56-78
29/06/18AGreat Britain65-74
25/06/18AFinland76-95
21/06/18HFinland69-76 OT
Serbialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/12/18HGreece84-61
30/11/18AIsrael74-83
16/09/18HEstonia91-65
13/09/18AGreece63-70
02/07/18HGermany81-88
29/06/18AGeorgia87-50
25/02/18AAustria82-81
23/02/18AGermany74-79
27/11/17HGeorgia105-87
24/11/17HAustria85-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estonia
World Cup 2019
Recent: 0 Wins / 10 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL36%
HomeWWLLL57%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %36%57%14%
Points / game68.967.670.3
Allowed / game76.470.182.6
Point differential-7.4-2.6-12.3
Avg total145.3137.7152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Serbia
World Cup 2019
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW60%
HomeWWLWW80%
AwayLWWLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game82.689.276.0
Allowed / game72.873.072.6
Point differential+9.8+16.2+3.4
Avg total155.4162.2148.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%80%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Nigeria990100%99.165.6+33.6
2 Australia1110191%89.258.4+30.8
3 New Zealand109190%94.170.8+23.3
4 Lithuania109190%83.566.0+17.5
5 Germany109190%87.771.7+16.0
6 France109190%78.663.6+15.0
7 Venezuela109190%76.467.1+9.3
8 Greece109190%82.274.8+7.4
9 Argentina98189%87.668.9+18.7
10 Tunisia1210283%77.855.8+22.0
11 Canada108280%93.573.2+20.3
12 South Korea108280%89.178.1+11.0
13 Spain108280%78.672.8+5.8
14 Senegal97278%73.671.0+2.6
15 Angola129375%69.162.3+6.8
16 Puerto Rico86275%82.878.0+4.8
17 Uruguay86275%69.970.5-0.6
18 Brazil107370%74.364.4+9.9
19 Italy107370%79.270.9+8.3
20 Turkey107370%73.967.3+6.6
21 Czech Republic107370%75.574.3+1.2
22 Russia117464%79.570.6+8.9
23 Japan117464%81.172.4+8.7
24 Iran117464%73.267.0+6.2
25 China106460%85.268.9+16.3
26 Lebanon106460%80.670.5+10.1
27 Serbia106460%82.672.8+9.8
28 Dominican Republic106460%84.478.3+6.1
29 Poland106460%79.674.1+5.5
30 Latvia106460%80.177.3+2.8
31 Montenegro106460%76.874.7+2.1
32 Cameroon127558%72.766.2+6.5
33 Egypt127558%66.866.6+0.2
34 Philippines116555%79.778.2+1.5
35 Bulgaria158753%76.777.2-0.5
36 Jordan105550%86.580.9+5.6
37 Ukraine105550%75.073.1+1.9
38 Hungary105550%71.170.9+0.2
39 Finland105550%76.176.7-0.6
40 Armenia63350%78.380.3-2.0
41 Georgia105550%78.180.3-2.2
42 Ivory Coast94544%64.262.8+1.4
43 Panama94544%72.873.7-0.9
44 Central African Republic94544%67.271.8-4.6
45 Netherlands146843%78.774.6+4.1
46 Sweden125742%72.875.6-2.8
47 Croatia104640%72.473.0-0.6
48 Israel104640%76.880.0-3.2
49 Bosnia & Herzegovina1661038%76.480.4-4.0
50 Kazakhstan114736%68.579.1-10.6
51 Estonia145936%68.976.4-7.4
52 D.R. Congo62433%67.867.7+0.2
53 Morocco124833%61.665.8-4.2
54 Mozambique62433%58.062.8-4.8
55 Iraq62433%68.773.7-5.0
56 Iceland62433%77.282.7-5.5
57 Mali93633%69.378.1-8.8
58 Rwanda93633%70.883.6-12.8
59 Romania62433%61.377.8-16.5
60 Austria103730%72.078.2-6.2
61 North Macedonia41325%74.075.0-1.0
62 Mexico82625%72.075.5-3.5
63 Portugal41325%72.582.2-9.8
64 Chad123925%60.174.8-14.8
65 Slovenia102820%76.682.7-6.1
66 Belarus102820%73.983.0-9.1
67 Chile102820%63.274.8-11.6
68 United States Virgin Islands102820%72.185.3-13.2
69 Kosovo102820%65.586.3-20.8
70 Syria102820%66.091.1-25.1
71 Qatar112918%62.284.6-22.5
72 Great Britain61517%73.376.2-2.8
73 Belgium61517%65.373.8-8.5
74 Slovakia61517%72.381.3-9.0
75 Uganda61517%77.790.0-12.3
76 Colombia61517%65.580.2-14.7
77 Bahamas61517%73.593.5-20.0
78 Chinese Taipei61517%71.092.0-21.0
79 Cuba4040%67.581.5-14.0
80 Paraguay6060%58.576.7-18.2
81 India6060%68.894.7-25.8
82 Guinea6060%56.089.3-33.3
83 Albania4040%57.094.5-37.5
84 Hong Kong6060%67.3110.2-42.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estonia1417182271
Serbia1618201670
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