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Estudiantes W vs Ferrol W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 03 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 83-86
26-15 16-22 23-27 18-22
Position#10
Record1-7
FormWLLWL
Points / game76.1
Allowed / game83.0
vs
Position#8
Record3-5
FormWWLWL
Points / game71.2
Allowed / game78.4
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 9· Polideportivo Antonio Magarinos
Women2025-26
Meetings · Estudiantes W v Ferrol W
05 Feb 2027
ESTU v FERR
upcoming
03 Dec 2025
ESTU83
FERR86
09 Apr 2025
ESTU69
FERR68
29 Oct 2023
ESTU71
FERR82
12 Mar 2022
ESTU80
FERR65
12 Jan 2018
ESTU59
FERR75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Estudiantes W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferrol W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Estudiantes WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Jairis W
#5
L
58-69
58
69
-11
44avg 62
A19/10
Liga Femenina W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#34
W
65-61
65
61
+4
59avg 62
H22/10
EuroCup Women
Cadi La Seu W
#14
W
97-83
97
83
+14
94avg 62
H25/10
Liga Femenina W
Angers W
#18
W
87-82
87
82
+5
78avg 62
A29/10
EuroCup Women
Valencia W
#3
L
61-84
61
84
-23
47avg 62
A02/11
Liga Femenina W
Piestanske Cajky W
#48
W
76-55
76
55
+21
80avg 62
H05/11
EuroCup Women
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
L
70-82
70
82
-12
56avg 62
A07/11
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
79-88
79
88
-9
64avg 62
H23/11
Liga Femenina W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#34
W
88-74
88
74
+14
78avg 62
A27/11
EuroCup Women
Zaragoza W
#1
L
66-72
66
72
-6
55avg 62
A30/11
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
11-11
17-19
17-16
18-24
13-13
13-11
21-13
27-24
24-26
25-13
21-20
21-21
17-16
25-25
24-20
22-27
5-18
23-22
11-17
20-13
19-16
18-13
19-13
20-24
14-18
18-19
18-21
25-12
26-29
10-30
18-17
22-18
21-16
22-26
23-14
16-23
12-12
15-18
23-19
149.7Avg total
74.7Scored
75.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.183.0159.1-6.912%
Season at home (3)88.789.3178.0-0.733%
Season away (5)68.679.2147.8-10.60%
Last 10 (10)74.775.0149.7-0.350%
Last 5 (5)75.874.2150.0+1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)63.273.9137.1-10.718%
vs Similar ◀ (9)78.481.4159.9-3.033%
vs Weaker (9)76.064.9140.9+11.189%
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferrol WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Araski W
#15
W
69-62 OT
69
62
+7
59avg 68
H19/10
Liga Femenina W
Sosnowiec W
#11
W
90-83
90
83
+7
85avg 68
A22/10
EuroCup Women
Zaragoza W
#1
L
57-87
57
87
-30
42avg 68
A26/10
Liga Femenina W
Benfica W
#49
W
109-58
109
58
+51
108avg 68
H29/10
EuroCup Women
Estepona W
#9
L
75-95
75
95
-20
61avg 68
H01/11
Liga Femenina W
Ostrava W
#35
W
98-64
98
64
+34
95avg 68
A05/11
EuroCup Women
Cadi La Seu W
#14
W
89-61
89
61
+28
53avg 68
A07/11
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
L
66-71
66
71
-5
54avg 68
H23/11
Liga Femenina W
Sosnowiec W
#11
W
92-49
92
49
+43
90avg 68
H26/11
EuroCup Women
Gran Canaria W
#16
L
81-93
81
93
-12
66avg 68
A30/11
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-9
18-11
19-20
10-18
25-19
22-24
21-19
22-21
23-21
12-23
11-18
11-25
24-6
26-12
30-23
29-17
22-24
14-25
18-26
21-20
15-26
30-14
32-16
21-8
27-18
23-13
19-8
20-22
12-19
13-15
23-20
18-17
24-12
27-12
16-11
25-14
29-19
21-33
17-24
14-17
154.9Avg total
82.6Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)71.278.4149.6-7.138%
Season at home (4)70.273.2143.5-3.050%
Season away (4)72.283.5155.8-11.225%
Last 10 (10)82.672.3154.9+10.360%
Last 5 (5)85.267.6152.8+17.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)59.177.3136.4-18.114%
vs Similar ◀ (9)73.774.4148.1-0.833%
vs Weaker (14)84.468.1152.5+16.279%
This opponent (Estudiantes W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -0.5-0.5Q1: +3.9+3.9Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +2.4+2.4Q3Q3: -1.0-1.0Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: +2.5+2.5Q4: +1.2+1.2
Estudiantes WFerrol W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Estudiantes WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jairis W
#5
L
24-34
24
34
-10
A19/10
Liga Femenina W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#34
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H22/10
EuroCup Women
Cadi La Seu W
#14
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H25/10
Liga Femenina W
Angers W
#18
W
38-37
38
37
+1
A29/10
EuroCup Women
Valencia W
#3
L
27-45
27
45
-18
A02/11
Liga Femenina W
Piestanske Cajky W
#48
W
39-29
39
29
+10
H05/11
EuroCup Women
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A07/11
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H23/11
Liga Femenina W
Rapid Bucuresti W
#34
W
43-34
43
34
+9
A27/11
EuroCup Women
Zaragoza W
#1
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A30/11
Liga Femenina W
75.0Avg total
36.6Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.736.872.5-1.147%-
Last 30 at home (13)37.638.375.9-0.738%-
Last 30 away (17)34.235.769.9-1.553%-
Last 10 (10)36.638.475.0-1.850%-
Last 5 (5)39.036.275.2+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)33.837.571.4-3.736%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)34.739.073.7-4.322%-
vs Weaker (9)38.734.272.9+4.478%-
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferrol WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Araski W
#15
W
29-20
29
20
+9
H19/10
Liga Femenina W
Sosnowiec W
#11
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A22/10
EuroCup Women
Zaragoza W
#1
L
35-44
35
44
-9
A26/10
Liga Femenina W
Benfica W
#49
W
50-18
50
18
+32
H29/10
EuroCup Women
Estepona W
#9
L
36-49
36
49
-13
H01/11
Liga Femenina W
Ostrava W
#35
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A05/11
EuroCup Women
Cadi La Seu W
#14
W
50-31
50
31
+19
A07/11
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
L
25-34
25
34
-9
H23/11
Liga Femenina W
Sosnowiec W
#11
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H26/11
EuroCup Women
Gran Canaria W
#16
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A30/11
Liga Femenina W
77.3Avg total
41.8Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.336.474.7+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.334.672.9+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)38.338.176.5+0.253%-
Last 10 (10)41.835.577.3+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)44.236.280.4+8.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)33.140.073.1-6.929%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.736.171.8-0.444%-
vs Weaker (14)42.634.777.4+7.979%-
This opponent (Estudiantes W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Estudiantes Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Estudiantes W: 75.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.2 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.322.1
48.8%
46.8%44.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.65.9
28.6%
32.1%17.7
🏀 Free throws17.413.5
77.6%
74.2%13.5
They take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferrol Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferrol W: 84.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.4
50.5%
46.8%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.9
38.4%
32.1%32.7
🏀 Free throws14.611.1
76.0%
74.2%11.1
They take 68.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Estudiantes W
LWLLWLWWWL
Ferrol W
LWLWWLWLWW
#10
League position
#8
+6.0
Net rating
+24.2
99.8
Offensive rating
110.7
93.9
Defensive rating
86.5
47.0%
Effective FG%
53.4%
44.2%
Opp. effective FG%
44.3%
19.0%
Turnover %
18.7%
33.4%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.21
28.6%
3-point %
38.4%
63.2%
Assist %
72.2%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence99.8 · 110.7Defence93.9 · 86.5Shooting47.0% · 53.4%3-point %28.6% · 38.4%Ball care19.0% · 18.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 60%
■ Estudiantes W   ■ Ferrol W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Estudiantes W wins
5
Ferrol W wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25AZaragoza W66-72
27/11/25ARapid Bucuresti W88-74
23/11/25HUni Girona W79-88
07/11/25AIDK Gipuzkoa W70-82
05/11/25HPiestanske Cajky W76-55
02/11/25AValencia W61-84
29/10/25AAngers W87-82
25/10/25HCadi La Seu W97-83
22/10/25HRapid Bucuresti W65-61
19/10/25AJairis W58-69
Ferrol Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/11/25AGran Canaria W81-93
26/11/25HSosnowiec W92-49
23/11/25HIDK Gipuzkoa W66-71
07/11/25ACadi La Seu W89-61
05/11/25AOstrava W98-64
01/11/25HEstepona W75-95
29/10/25HBenfica W109-58
26/10/25AZaragoza W57-87
22/10/25ASosnowiec W90-83
19/10/25HAraski W69-62 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Estudiantes W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL12%
HomeLWL33%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %12%33%0%
Points / game76.188.768.6
Allowed / game83.089.379.2
Point differential-6.9-0.7-10.6
Avg total159.1178.0147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Ferrol W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLL38%
HomeWWLL50%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %38%50%25%
Points / game71.270.272.2
Allowed / game78.473.283.5
Point differential-7.1-3.0-11.2
Avg total149.6143.5155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %12%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uni Girona W87188%83.266.2+17.0
2 Zaragoza W87188%80.270.4+9.9
3 IDK Gipuzkoa W87188%70.163.4+6.8
4 Valencia W97278%73.463.0+10.4
5 Perfumerias Avenida W96367%66.962.3+4.6
6 Ensino W85362%73.877.1-3.4
7 Jairis W84450%70.565.8+4.8
8 Gernika Bizkaia W94544%76.376.2+0.1
9 Joventut Badalona W94544%74.376.8-2.4
10 Araski W94544%62.870.2-7.4
11 Cadi La Seu W83538%68.873.9-5.1
12 Ferrol W83538%71.278.4-7.1
13 Leganes W92722%65.270.9-5.7
14 Gran Canaria W92722%73.979.7-5.8
15 Estepona W92722%69.076.9-7.9
16 Estudiantes W81712%76.183.0-6.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Estudiantes W2616231883
Ferrol W1522272286
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