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Fabriano vs Forli Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 77-87
28-26 16-25 20-18 13-18
Position#27
Record3-18
FormLLLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game85.2
vs
Forli 🏆
Italy
Position#13
Record9-11
FormWLLLW
Points / game74.2
Allowed / game75.2
ItalySerie A2Round 15
Other2021-22
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fabriano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Forli winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FabrianoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#3
L
56-70
56
70
-14
H06/01
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#24
L
84-90
84
90
-6
A16/01
Serie A2
San Severo
#15
L
84-98
84
98
-14
A23/01
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#23
W
95-86
95
86
+9
H30/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#8
L
81-92
81
92
-11
H06/02
Serie A2
Ferrara
#7
L
69-89
69
89
-20
A12/02
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#26
L
52-81
52
81
-29
A16/02
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#21
L
92-98
92
98
-6
H20/02
Serie A2
Ravenna
#6
L
59-80
59
80
-21
A27/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#2
L
82-83
82
83
-1
H06/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-26
20-14
9-16
10-14
19-24
28-25
14-20
23-21
22-22
26-21
15-29
21-26
24-9
23-28
28-19
20-30
13-15
24-27
17-22
27-28
13-22
21-23
17-30
18-14
15-28
14-15
14-22
9-16
19-23
26-22
16-27
31-26
14-21
17-17
8-27
20-15
12-23
28-22
21-16
21-22
162.1Avg total
75.4Scored
86.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)73.285.2158.5-12.014%
Season at home (10)73.884.3158.1-10.520%
Season away (11)72.786.1158.8-13.49%
Last 10 (10)75.486.7162.1-11.310%
Last 5 (5)70.886.2157.0-15.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)73.285.2158.5-12.014%
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eurobasket Roma
#23
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A12/12
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#21
W
84-77
84
77
+7
H19/12
Serie A2
Verona
#3
L
65-73
65
73
-8
H30/01
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#11
L
45-65
45
65
-20
A06/02
Serie A2
San Severo
#15
W
85-70
85
70
+15
H13/02
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#24
W
91-61
91
61
+30
H16/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#2
L
68-97
68
97
-29
A20/02
Serie A2
Ravenna
#6
L
58-61
58
61
-3
A03/03
Serie A2
Latina
#18
L
87-96
87
96
-9
A06/03
Serie A2
Ferrara
#7
W
84-78
84
78
+6
H11/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-17
15-20
19-24
19-22
24-20
18-24
17-16
25-17
16-14
17-18
17-23
15-18
9-13
7-21
17-18
12-13
31-19
19-21
18-10
17-20
22-19
21-14
22-21
26-7
19-23
15-24
21-23
13-27
11-16
14-16
16-13
17-16
26-22
23-27
16-30
22-17
29-20
20-11
21-30
14-17
150.7Avg total
74.6Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)74.275.2149.5-1.045%
Season at home (10)78.872.8151.6+6.070%
Season away (10)69.777.7147.4-8.020%
Last 10 (10)74.676.1150.7-1.540%
Last 5 (5)77.678.6156.2-1.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)67.178.7145.9-11.629%
vs Similar (20)74.776.3151.0-1.635%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)90.770.7161.3+20.0100%
This opponent (Fabriano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -6.9-6.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -4.5-4.5Q1: +3.0+3.0Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -2.7-2.7Q3Q3: -6.9-6.9Q3: -2.4-2.4Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +0.6+0.6
FabrianoForli
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FabrianoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#3
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H06/01
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#24
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A16/01
Serie A2
San Severo
#15
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A23/01
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#23
W
47-37
47
37
+10
H30/01
Serie A2
Chiusi
#8
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H06/02
Serie A2
Ferrara
#7
L
34-45
34
45
-11
A12/02
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#26
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A16/02
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#21
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H20/02
Serie A2
Ravenna
#6
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A27/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
H06/03
Serie A2
82.2Avg total
39.5Scored
42.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (21)37.442.680.0-5.219%-
Last 30 at home (10)38.342.781.0-4.420%-
Last 30 away (11)36.642.579.2-5.918%-
Last 10 (10)39.542.782.2-3.220%-
Last 5 (5)35.843.279.0-7.40%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)37.442.680.0-5.219%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Forli) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ForliLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eurobasket Roma
#23
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A12/12
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#21
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H19/12
Serie A2
Verona
#3
W
33-32
33
32
+1
H30/01
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#11
L
16-34
16
34
-18
A06/02
Serie A2
San Severo
#15
W
50-40
50
40
+10
H13/02
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#24
W
43-33
43
33
+10
H16/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#2
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A20/02
Serie A2
Ravenna
#6
L
25-32
25
32
-7
A03/03
Serie A2
Latina
#18
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A06/03
Serie A2
Ferrara
#7
W
49-31
49
31
+18
H11/03
Serie A2
76.1Avg total
38.2Scored
37.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.638.075.6-0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.336.576.7+3.860%-
Last 30 away (15)34.939.674.5-4.733%-
Last 10 (10)38.237.976.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)40.038.478.4+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)32.640.372.9-7.729%-
vs Similar (20)38.237.575.8+0.845%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)44.736.381.0+8.3100%-
This opponent (Fabriano) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fabriano wins
1
Forli wins
DateGameScore
10/10/21Forli v Fabriano93-81
Fabrianolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/22HScafati82-83
27/02/22ARavenna59-80
20/02/22HPallacanestro Nardo92-98
16/02/22AStella Azzurra52-81
12/02/22AFerrara69-89
06/02/22HChiusi81-92
30/01/22HEurobasket Roma95-86
23/01/22ASan Severo84-98
16/01/22AChieti Basket84-90
06/01/22HVerona56-70
Forlilast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/22HFerrara84-78
06/03/22ALatina87-96
03/03/22ARavenna58-61
20/02/22AScafati68-97
16/02/22HChieti Basket91-61
13/02/22HSan Severo85-70
06/02/22ABaltur Cento45-65
30/01/22HVerona65-73
19/12/21HPallacanestro Nardo84-77
12/12/21AEurobasket Roma79-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fabriano
Serie A2 2021-22
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL14%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLLLL9%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %14%20%9%
Points / game73.273.872.7
Allowed / game85.284.386.1
Point differential-12.0-10.5-13.4
Avg total158.5158.1158.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)50% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Forli
Serie A2 2021-22
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW45%
HomeWLWWW70%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %45%70%20%
Points / game74.278.869.7
Allowed / game75.272.877.7
Point differential-1.0+6.0-8.0
Avg total149.5151.6147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%40%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)50% (2)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine2017385%79.867.6+12.2
2 Scafati2117481%82.870.2+12.5
3 Pistoia2117481%78.972.3+6.5
4 Verona2117481%74.769.0+5.7
5 Cantu1814478%83.176.4+6.7
6 Ravenna2215768%76.972.5+4.4
7 Treviglio2113862%79.574.6+4.9
8 Chiusi2113862%76.274.7+1.5
9 Monferrato2012860%75.775.7+0.0
10 Basket Torino2213959%81.578.0+3.5
11 Ferrara2112957%81.479.3+2.1
12 Baltur Cento2112957%68.868.4+0.4
13 Assigeco Piacenza21111052%77.976.0+2.0
14 San Severo21111052%76.976.5+0.4
15 Mantova2091145%76.877.1-0.3
16 Forli2091145%74.275.2-1.0
17 Trapani2091145%72.578.7-6.2
18 Eurobasket Roma2191243%73.975.4-1.6
19 Urania Milano2191243%75.878.0-2.3
20 Latina2291341%79.179.4-0.3
21 Chieti Basket2281436%71.277.4-6.1
22 Pallacanestro Nardo2171433%76.880.2-3.4
23 Capo d'Orlando2061430%77.081.2-4.2
24 Stella Azzurra2161529%69.972.4-2.5
25 Biella2161529%71.777.3-5.6
26 Bakery Piacenza2161529%75.782.7-7.0
27 Fabriano2131814%73.285.2-12.0
28 Orzinuovi201195%71.481.2-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fabriano2816201377
Forli2625181887
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