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Fairfield vs Stonehill Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 15 Nov 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 73-71 (OT)
30-27 35-38 8-6
Position#105
Record1-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game67.0
Allowed / game70.3
vs
Position#283
Record1-2
FormWLWLL
Points / game73.7
Allowed / game66.7
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fairfield winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stonehill winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FairfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manhattan
#150
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H16/02
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
69-49
69
49
+20
A22/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
69-62
69
62
+7
H01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
L
62-83
62
83
-21
A02/03
NCAA
Siena
#256
L
64-68
64
68
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
W
83-74
83
74
+9
H09/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
L
58-71
58
71
-13
A12/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
L
68-76
68
76
-8
A04/11
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
74-53
74
53
+21
A08/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
59-82
59
82
-23
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
33-39
34-41
43-22
26-27
33-29
36-33
23-42
39-41
28-32
36-36
37-37
46-37
29-39
29-32
37-37
31-39
34-29
40-24
28-35
31-47
137.1Avg total
67.3Scored
69.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)67.070.3137.3-3.333%
Season at homeno games
Season away (3)67.070.3137.3-3.333%
Last 10 (10)67.369.8137.1-2.540%
Last 5 (5)68.471.2139.6-2.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)65.173.1138.2-7.932%
vs Similar (8)73.176.0149.1-2.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)69.769.0138.7+0.733%
This opponent (Stonehill) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StonehillUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H14/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H15/02
NCAA
Wagner
#234
L
57-63
57
63
-6
A21/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
41-67
41
67
-26
A22/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
L
69-82
69
82
-13
A28/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
W
85-79
85
79
+6
H01/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
L
56-71
56
71
-15
A06/03
NCAA
Thomas College
#646
W
100-48
100
48
+52
H03/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
64-72
64
72
-8
A08/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
L
57-80
57
80
-23
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
38-31
41-43
40-36
45-37
29-30
28-33
21-37
20-30
26-36
43-46
31-38
54-41
20-30
36-41
52-16
48-32
24-37
40-35
21-39
36-41
140.2Avg total
69.3Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)73.766.7140.3+7.033%
Season at home (1)100.048.0148.0+52.0100%
Season away (2)60.576.0136.5-15.50%
Last 10 (10)69.370.9140.2-1.640%
Last 5 (5)72.470.0142.4+2.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)59.475.2134.6-15.820%
vs Similar (16)67.470.2137.6-2.838%
vs Weaker (7)75.171.1146.3+4.071%
This opponent (Fairfield) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: -1.6-1.61st half: -2.8-2.82nd half2nd half: -0.9-0.92nd half: +1.2+1.2
FairfieldStonehill
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Manhattan
#150
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H16/02
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
43-22
43
22
+21
A22/02
NCAA
Mount St. Mary's
#112
W
33-29
33
29
+4
H01/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
L
23-42
23
42
-19
A02/03
NCAA
Siena
#256
L
28-32
28
32
-4
A07/03
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H09/03
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A12/03
NCAA
Penn State
#298
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A04/11
NCAA
NJIT
#220
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A08/11
NCAA
Seton Hall
#89
L
28-35
28
35
-7
A11/11
NCAA
66.6Avg total
32.5Scored
34.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.934.866.8-2.930%-
Last 30 at home (13)31.734.065.7-2.331%-
Last 30 away (17)32.135.567.6-3.429%-
Last 10 (10)32.534.166.6-1.630%-
Last 5 (5)33.035.468.4-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)29.735.665.3-5.916%-
vs Similar (8)36.433.269.6+3.162%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)34.334.068.3+0.333%-
This opponent (Stonehill) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
StonehillLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
St. Francis (PA)
#236
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H14/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#219
W
40-36
40
36
+4
H15/02
NCAA
Wagner
#234
L
29-30
29
30
-1
A21/02
NCAA
Central Connecticut State
#24
L
21-37
21
37
-16
A22/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
L
26-36
26
36
-10
A28/02
NCAA
Le Moyne
#335
L
31-38
31
38
-7
H01/03
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#289
L
20-30
20
30
-10
A06/03
NCAA
Thomas College
#646
W
52-16
52
16
+36
H03/11
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
24-37
24
37
-13
A08/11
NCAA
Rhode Island
#209
L
21-39
21
39
-18
A12/11
NCAA
63.2Avg total
30.2Scored
33.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.232.464.6-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.830.567.3+6.364%-
Last 30 away (16)28.134.162.2-6.025%-
Last 10 (10)30.233.063.2-2.830%-
Last 5 (5)29.632.061.6-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)29.236.866.0-7.60%-
vs Similar (16)29.932.462.4-2.550%-
vs Weaker (7)33.033.166.1-0.143%-
This opponent (Fairfield) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fairfield wins
0
Stonehill wins
No previous meetings.
Fairfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/25ASeton Hall59-82
08/11/25ANJIT74-53
04/11/25APenn State68-76
12/03/25ASacred Heart58-71
09/03/25HQuinnipiac83-74
07/03/25ASiena64-68
02/03/25ASacred Heart62-83
01/03/25HMount St. Mary's69-62
22/02/25ARider69-49
16/02/25HManhattan67-80
Stonehilllast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/25ARhode Island57-80
08/11/25ADePaul64-72
03/11/25HThomas College100-48
06/03/25AFairleigh Dickinson56-71
01/03/25HLe Moyne85-79
28/02/25AFairleigh Dickinson69-82
22/02/25ACentral Connecticut State41-67
21/02/25AWagner57-63
15/02/25HMercyhurst Lakers85-73
14/02/25HSt. Francis (PA)79-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fairfield
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
Home--
AwayLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games3-3
Win %33%-33%
Points / game67.0-67.0
Allowed / game70.3-70.3
Point differential-3.3--3.3
Avg total137.3-137.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%-33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Stonehill
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLL33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game73.7100.060.5
Allowed / game66.748.076.0
Point differential+7.0+52.0-15.5
Avg total140.3148.0136.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Iona220100%93.082.0+11.0
2 Marist32167%76.761.0+15.7
3 Manhattan32167%95.782.7+13.0
4 Siena32167%70.062.3+7.7
5 Niagara32167%66.066.3-0.3
6 Canisius42250%65.068.8-3.8
7 Sacred Heart31233%81.077.3+3.7
8 Fairfield31233%67.070.3-3.3
9 Mount St. Mary's31233%63.369.7-6.3
10 St. Peters31233%68.079.3-11.3
11 Quinnipiac31233%68.384.7-16.3
12 Merrimack Warriors3030%61.782.0-20.3
13 Rider2020%53.084.0-31.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State32167%75.361.7+13.7
2 LIU Sharks32167%79.083.7-4.7
3 Mercyhurst Lakers42250%67.059.0+8.0
4 Stonehill31233%73.766.7+7.0
5 Le Moyne41325%75.875.2+0.5
6 New Haven Chargers41325%56.076.0-20.0
7 Wagner3030%65.378.0-12.7
8 Fairleigh Dickinson3030%63.791.3-27.7
9 Chicago State3030%71.399.3-28.0
10 St. Francis (PA)3030%65.093.3-28.3
11 St. Francis (ILL)1010%55.098.0-43.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Fairfield3035873
Stonehill2738671
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