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Fairfield vs Mount St. Mary's Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 01 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 69-62
33-29 36-33
Position#307
Record10-17
FormWLLLW
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game72.8
Fairfield 🏆
USA
vs
Mount St. Mary's
USA
Position#112
Record17-11
FormLWWWW
Points / game70.7
Allowed / game72.6
USANCAA
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fairfield v Mount St. Mary's
01 Mar 2026
FAIR47
MOUN69
28 Feb 2025
FAIR69
MOUN62
18 Feb 2024
FAIR94
MOUN80
12 Feb 2023
FAIR76
MOUN72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fairfield winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mount St. Mary's winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FairfieldUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#369
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H18/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
87-84 OT
87
84
+3
A24/01
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
L
54-75
54
75
-21
H26/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
69-81
69
81
-12
A01/02
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
64-87
64
87
-23
A02/02
NCAA
Marist
#80
W
59-56
59
56
+3
H07/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
L
71-77
71
77
-6
H09/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
L
52-65
52
65
-13
A15/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
L
67-80
67
80
-13
H16/02
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
69-49
69
49
+20
A22/02
NCAA
1H
2H
32-36
35-42
37-36
35-36
23-47
31-28
34-36
35-45
32-48
32-39
27-27
32-29
33-33
38-44
22-25
30-40
33-39
34-41
43-22
26-27
139.1Avg total
65.9Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)67.672.8140.4-5.237%
Season at home (13)68.870.1138.9-1.246%
Season away (14)66.475.4141.8-8.929%
Last 10 (10)65.973.2139.1-7.330%
Last 5 (5)63.665.4129.0-1.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)63.473.6137.0-10.326%
vs Similar ◀ (7)76.376.9153.1-0.657%
vs Weaker (2)64.567.0131.5-2.550%
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#126
L
57-91
57
91
-34
H18/01
NCAA
Siena
#256
L
68-82
68
82
-14
A24/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
L
64-74
64
74
-10
H25/01
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A01/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
W
79-64
79
64
+15
A02/02
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
67-70 OT
67
70
-3
H07/02
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A14/02
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A16/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
W
69-58
69
58
+11
H22/02
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
79-72
79
72
+7
H23/02
NCAA
1H
2H
35-36
22-55
36-43
32-39
25-35
39-39
37-22
29-36
39-32
40-32
26-30
35-31
41-34
43-49
32-28
41-38
30-36
39-22
34-30
45-42
142.4Avg total
70.6Scored
71.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)70.772.6143.3-1.961%
Season at home (12)73.971.2145.2+2.767%
Season away (16)68.273.6141.9-5.456%
Last 10 (10)70.671.8142.4-1.260%
Last 5 (5)74.469.8144.2+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)66.379.1145.4-12.929%
vs Similar ◀ (20)71.072.5143.4-1.560%
vs Weaker (3)83.067.3150.3+15.7100%
This opponent (Fairfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -1.8-1.8
-5-3+0+3+51st half1st half: -3.3-3.31st half: +0.9+0.92nd half2nd half: -4.3-4.32nd half: -1.8-1.8
FairfieldMount St. Mary's
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
FairfieldLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Canisius
#369
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H18/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A24/01
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
L
23-47
23
47
-24
H26/01
NCAA
Quinnipiac
#126
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A01/02
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
32-48
32
48
-16
A02/02
NCAA
Marist
#80
D
27-27
27
27
+0
H07/02
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#240
D
33-33
33
33
+0
H09/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
L
22-25
22
25
-3
A15/02
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H16/02
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
43-22
43
22
+21
A22/02
NCAA
66.5Avg total
31.6Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.634.767.3-2.133%-
Last 30 at home (15)31.633.865.4-2.227%-
Last 30 away (15)33.635.769.3-2.140%-
Last 10 (10)31.634.966.5-3.320%-
Last 5 (5)31.629.260.8+2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)29.135.264.3-6.216%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)38.433.972.3+4.671%-
vs Weaker (2)35.033.068.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Mount St. Mary's) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mount St. Mary'sLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Quinnipiac
#126
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H18/01
NCAA
Siena
#256
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A24/01
NCAA
Manhattan
#150
L
25-35
25
35
-10
H25/01
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#164
W
37-22
37
22
+15
A01/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A02/02
NCAA
Iona
#209
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H07/02
NCAA
Niagara
#315
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A14/02
NCAA
Canisius
#369
W
32-28
32
28
+4
A16/02
NCAA
St. Peters
#259
L
30-36
30
36
-6
H22/02
NCAA
Rider
#276
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H23/02
NCAA
66.1Avg total
33.5Scored
32.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.134.867.9-1.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.834.168.9+0.750%-
Last 30 away (16)31.635.467.0-3.944%-
Last 10 (10)33.532.666.1+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)32.631.664.2+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.136.470.6-2.357%-
vs Similar ◀ (20)32.434.667.0-2.240%-
vs Weaker (3)35.032.367.3+2.767%-
This opponent (Fairfield) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Fairfield wins
1
Mount St. Mary's wins
DateGameScore
08/12/24Mount St. Mary's v Fairfield101-94
09/03/24Mount St. Mary's v Fairfield92-96
18/02/24Fairfield v Mount St. Mary's94-80
12/02/23Fairfield v Mount St. Mary's76-72 OT
27/01/23Mount St. Mary's v Fairfield60-63
Fairfieldlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/02/25ARider69-49
16/02/25HManhattan67-80
15/02/25ASt. Peters52-65
09/02/25HSacred Heart71-77
07/02/25HMarist59-56
02/02/25AIona64-87
01/02/25AQuinnipiac69-81
26/01/25HMerrimack Warriors54-75
24/01/25AManhattan87-84 OT
18/01/25HCanisius67-78
Mount St. Mary'slast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/25HRider79-72
22/02/25HSt. Peters69-58
16/02/25ACanisius73-66
14/02/25ANiagara84-83
07/02/25HIona67-70 OT
02/02/25ASt. Peters79-64
01/02/25AMerrimack Warriors66-58
25/01/25HManhattan64-74
24/01/25ASiena68-82
18/01/25HQuinnipiac57-91

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fairfield
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW37%
HomeLLWLL46%
AwayWLLLW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271314
Win %37%46%29%
Points / game67.668.866.4
Allowed / game72.870.175.4
Point differential-5.2-1.2-8.9
Avg total140.4138.9141.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%8%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)83% (6)100% (2)
Overtime %4%0%7%
Mount St. Mary's
NCAA 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW61%
HomeLLLWW67%
AwayLWWWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281216
Win %61%67%56%
Points / game70.773.968.2
Allowed / game72.671.273.6
Point differential-1.9+2.7-5.4
Avg total143.3145.2141.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)50% (2)80% (5)
Overtime %11%8%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Marist2520580%68.464.4+4.0
2 Quinnipiac27171063%74.271.2+3.0
3 Mount St. Mary's28171161%70.772.6-1.9
4 Merrimack Warriors28151354%65.064.4+0.6
5 Manhattan25131252%75.475.0+0.4
6 Siena28131546%72.271.5+0.7
7 Iona29131645%68.670.9-2.2
8 Sacred Heart27121544%76.276.3-0.1
9 St. Peters24101442%66.265.9+0.3
10 Fairfield27101737%67.672.8-5.2
11 Niagara28101836%67.870.9-3.1
12 Rider28101836%65.471.9-6.5
13 Canisius2732411%65.678.9-13.3
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Fairfield333669
Mount St. Mary's293362
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