FC Porto vs Leiden Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Nov 2015

Tip-off: 21:00

Final 77-51

26-14 19-17 21-6 11-14

Position#32

Record0-1

FormWLWWL

Points / game62.0

Allowed / game70.0

FC Porto 🏆

Leiden

Position#54

Record0-1

FormWWLLW

Points / game58.0

Allowed / game63.0

FIBA Europe Cup

European cup2015

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Leiden winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

80-82

-2

H13/05

LPB

Benfica

66-67

-1

A19/05

LPB

Benfica

74-65

A20/05

LPB

Benfica

53-56

-3

H23/05

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

78-61

+17

A10/10

LPB

Ovarense

64-59

H11/10

LPB

Benfica

61-72

-11

A17/10

LPB

Vitoria

69-62

H18/10

LPB

Maia

#11

86-45

+41

A24/10

LPB

KK Krka Novo mesto

#24

62-70

-8

A28/10

FIBA Europe Cup

24-15

14-31

21-17

21-19

–

12-14

20-16

20-15

22-20

–

15-15

28-16

19-13

16-17

19-16

13-18

20-13

12-12

21-20

22-11

10-22

8-19

17-11

12-19

14-21

26-11

20-12

25-9

15-15

26-9

17-15

14-22

20-17

11-16

133.2Avg total

69.3Scored

63.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	62.0	70.0	132.0	-8.0	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	62.0	70.0	132.0	-8.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	69.3	63.9	133.2	+5.4	50%
Last 5 (5)	68.4	61.6	130.0	+6.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (9)	67.7	70.9	138.6	-3.2	22%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)	80.9	61.3	142.2	+19.6	100%

This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

63-78

-15

A05/05

DBL

Donar Groningen

69-79

-10

H07/05

DBL

Donar Groningen

59-63

-4

A09/05

DBL

Donar Groningen

85-56

+29

H12/05

DBL

Donar Groningen

71-77

-6

A14/05

DBL

Rotterdam

79-60

+19

A10/10

DBL

LWD Basket

91-60

+31

H17/10

DBL

Zwolle

58-73

-15

A25/10

DBL

Frankfurt

58-63

-5

A27/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Den Bosch

68-58

+10

H31/10

DBL

17-23

16-19

12-21

18-15

18-18

18-16

15-23

18-22

11-19

20-17

18-13

10-14

21-7

21-15

25-22

18-12

18-19

17-23

19-12

17-23

20-13

23-18

16-18

20-11

26-12

23-18

24-10

18-20

21-14

12-13

11-25

14-21

16-13

12-18

17-22

13-10

14-14

17-19

18-11

19-14

136.8Avg total

70.1Scored

66.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (1)	58.0	63.0	121.0	-5.0	0%
Season at home	no games
Season away (1)	58.0	63.0	121.0	-5.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	70.1	66.7	136.8	+3.4	40%
Last 5 (5)	70.8	62.8	133.6	+8.0	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	58.0	63.0	121.0	-5.0	0%
vs Similar (4)	69.5	78.8	148.2	-9.2	0%
vs Weaker (25)	83.4	70.8	154.2	+12.6	76%

This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FC PortoLeiden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	19.6	14.3	34.0	+5.3	80%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	18.7	13.7	32.4	+5.0	90%	-
Last 30 away (10)	20.6	14.9	35.5	+5.7	70%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.1	14.8	32.9	+3.4	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	14.8	33.6	+4.0	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	16.6	14.2	30.8	+2.4	80%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	20.7	14.3	35.0	+6.3	80%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.5	17.5	37.0	+2.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.4	16.9	37.3	+3.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	15.2	33.4	+3.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	13.2	32.6	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	16.0	13.0	29.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	19.2	16.5	35.8	+2.8	75%	-
vs Weaker (22)	19.7	17.9	37.6	+1.9	59%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	18.9	15.8	34.6	+3.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	17.3	15.4	32.7	+1.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	20.5	16.1	36.6	+4.4	70%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.5	17.8	36.2	+0.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	15.8	33.0	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	18.0	19.8	37.8	-1.8	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.2	14.4	33.6	+4.8	60%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.7	17.0	36.7	+2.8	59%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	21.6	17.6	39.2	+4.0	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.0	16.4	34.4	+1.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	17.6	35.5	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.2	34.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	12.0	18.0	30.0	-6.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.2	15.0	31.2	+1.2	25%	-
vs Weaker (22)	20.7	17.3	38.0	+3.5	68%	-

FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Benfica

38-46

-8

H13/05

LPB

Benfica

32-30

A20/05

LPB

Electrico FC

#10

43-31

+12

A10/10

LPB

Ovarense

32-34

-2

H11/10

LPB

Benfica

43-31

+12

A17/10

LPB

Vitoria

29-30

-1

H18/10

LPB

Maia

#11

45-21

+24

A24/10

LPB

KK Krka Novo mesto

#24

31-37

-6

A28/10

FIBA Europe Cup

69.1Avg total

36.6Scored

32.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	38.5	30.1	68.6	+8.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	36.0	29.1	65.1	+6.9	60%	-
Last 30 away (10)	41.1	31.0	72.1	+10.1	80%	-
Last 10 (8)	36.6	32.5	69.1	+4.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.0	30.6	66.6	+5.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	34.6	34.0	68.6	+0.6	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	39.9	28.7	68.6	+11.1	73%	-

This opponent (Leiden) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

33-42

-9

A05/05

DBL

Donar Groningen

36-34

H07/05

DBL

Donar Groningen

31-36

-5

A09/05

DBL

Donar Groningen

42-22

+20

H12/05

DBL

Donar Groningen

35-42

-7

A14/05

DBL

Rotterdam

43-31

+12

A10/10

DBL

LWD Basket

49-30

+19

H17/10

DBL

Zwolle

33-27

A25/10

DBL

Frankfurt

28-31

-3

A27/10

FIBA Europe Cup

Den Bosch

31-33

-2

H31/10

DBL

68.9Avg total

36.1Scored

32.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	39.3	34.4	73.7	+4.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.0	34.5	76.5	+7.5	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	36.7	34.4	71.1	+2.4	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.1	32.8	68.9	+3.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.8	30.4	67.2	+6.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	28.0	31.0	59.0	-3.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	35.5	31.5	67.0	+4.0	75%	-
vs Weaker (22)	40.5	35.1	75.6	+5.3	64%	-

This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	19.0	16.1	35.1	+2.9	65%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	17.8	17.7	35.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (10)	20.2	14.5	34.7	+5.7	80%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.4	16.6	34.0	+0.8	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.8	17.6	33.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	17.0	18.2	35.2	-1.2	60%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	19.7	15.4	35.1	+4.3	67%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.2	17.8	38.0	+2.3	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.1	19.6	38.8	-0.5	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	17.7	35.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	17.2	34.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	17.0	22.0	39.0	-5.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	14.0	23.8	37.8	-9.8	0%	-
vs Weaker (22)	20.8	17.7	38.5	+3.0	68%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	21.5	17.4	38.9	+4.1	60%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	24.1	18.1	42.2	+6.0	70%	-
Last 30 away (10)	18.9	16.7	35.6	+2.2	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.8	15.4	33.1	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	13.4	30.0	+3.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	17.2	20.8	38.0	-3.6	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	22.9	16.3	39.2	+6.7	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	21.7	18.0	39.7	+3.6	70%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.5	17.5	40.9	+6.0	77%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.0	18.6	38.6	+1.4	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.5	16.2	32.7	+0.3	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	15.2	32.0	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	13.0	10.0	23.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Similar (4)	20.0	23.5	43.5	-3.5	25%	-
vs Weaker (22)	22.4	17.4	39.8	+5.0	77%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (20)	40.5	33.5	74.0	+7.0	80%	-
Last 30 at home (10)	41.9	35.8	77.7	+6.1	80%	-
Last 30 away (10)	39.1	31.2	70.3	+7.9	80%	-
Last 10 (8)	35.1	32.0	67.1	+3.1	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	31.0	63.4	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (5)	34.2	39.0	73.2	-4.8	40%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)	42.6	31.7	74.3	+10.9	93%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	41.3	36.8	78.1	+4.5	67%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	43.6	35.3	78.9	+8.3	77%	-
Last 30 away (14)	39.1	38.2	77.4	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	33.9	67.9	+0.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	34.0	32.4	66.4	+1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)	30.0	32.0	62.0	-2.0	0%	-
vs Similar (4)	34.0	47.2	81.2	-13.2	0%	-
vs Weaker (22)	43.1	35.1	78.3	+8.0	82%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

FC Porto wins

Leiden wins

No previous meetings.

FC Portolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/10/15	A	KK Krka Novo mesto	62-70
24/10/15	A	Maia	86-45
18/10/15	H	Vitoria	69-62
17/10/15	A	Benfica	61-72
11/10/15	H	Ovarense	64-59
10/10/15	A	Electrico FC	78-61
23/05/12	H	Benfica	53-56
20/05/12	A	Benfica	74-65
19/05/12	A	Benfica	66-67
13/05/12	H	Benfica	80-82

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
31/10/15	H	Den Bosch	68-58
27/10/15	A	Frankfurt	58-63
25/10/15	A	Zwolle	58-73
17/10/15	H	LWD Basket	91-60
10/10/15	A	Rotterdam	79-60
14/05/15	A	Donar Groningen	71-77
12/05/15	H	Donar Groningen	85-56
09/05/15	A	Donar Groningen	59-63
07/05/15	H	Donar Groningen	69-79
05/05/15	A	Donar Groningen	63-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto

FIBA Europe Cup 2015

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	-	-
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	62.0	-	62.0
Allowed / game	70.0	-	70.0
Point differential	-8.0	-	-8.0
Avg total	132.0	-	132.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

Leiden

FIBA Europe Cup 2015

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	L	0%
Home	-	-
Away	L	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	1	-	1
Win %	0%	-	0%
Points / game	58.0	-	58.0
Allowed / game	63.0	-	63.0
Point differential	-5.0	-	-5.0
Avg total	121.0	-	121.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	-	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	-	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Khimik	2	2	0	100%	89.0	69.0	+20.0
2	Lyon-Villeurbanne	2	2	0	100%	86.0	66.0	+20.0
3	Bakken Bears	2	2	0	100%	81.0	62.0	+19.0
4	Turk Telekom	2	2	0	100%	88.5	69.5	+19.0
5	Minsk	2	2	0	100%	93.5	78.0	+15.5
6	Chalon/Saone	2	2	0	100%	85.5	70.5	+15.0
7	Kataja	2	2	0	100%	88.5	74.0	+14.5
8	Boras	2	2	0	100%	93.0	80.5	+12.5
9	Antwerp Giants	2	2	0	100%	86.5	75.5	+11.0
10	Tartu Ulikool	2	2	0	100%	74.0	63.5	+10.5
11	ASC Targu Jiu	2	2	0	100%	81.0	71.5	+9.5
12	Turow Zgorzelec	2	2	0	100%	74.0	65.0	+9.0
13	Enisey	2	2	0	100%	73.5	68.0	+5.5
14	Ventspils	2	2	0	100%	83.5	79.0	+4.5
15	Frankfurt	2	2	0	100%	65.0	61.5	+3.5
16	Oostende	2	2	0	100%	81.5	78.0	+3.5
17	Varese	2	1	1	50%	86.5	77.0	+9.5
18	Gaziantep	2	1	1	50%	79.0	72.0	+7.0
19	Tajfun Sentjur	2	1	1	50%	69.0	62.5	+6.5
20	Belfius Mons	2	1	1	50%	84.5	78.5	+6.0
21	Nymburk	2	1	1	50%	67.0	61.0	+6.0
22	Benfica	2	1	1	50%	78.5	74.0	+4.5
23	Maccabi Rishon	2	1	1	50%	80.0	76.5	+3.5
24	KK Krka Novo mesto	2	1	1	50%	67.5	64.5	+3.0
25	HydroTruck Radom	2	1	1	50%	82.5	80.0	+2.5
26	Le Havre	2	1	1	50%	67.0	65.0	+2.0
27	Astana	2	1	1	50%	75.5	74.5	+1.0
28	Den Bosch	2	1	1	50%	73.5	72.5	+1.0
29	Siauliai	2	1	1	50%	70.5	70.0	+0.5
30	Inter Bratislava	2	1	1	50%	84.0	85.0	-1.0
31	Academic	2	1	1	50%	74.0	76.5	-2.5
32	Gussing Knights	2	1	1	50%	86.5	89.5	-3.0
33	Cibona	2	1	1	50%	80.5	85.5	-5.0
34	Cantu	2	1	1	50%	77.0	82.5	-5.5
35	Kumanovo	2	1	1	50%	79.5	85.5	-6.0
36	Slask Wroclaw	2	1	1	50%	76.0	82.5	-6.5
37	Z-Mobile Prishtina	2	1	1	50%	73.5	80.0	-6.5
38	Szombathely	2	1	1	50%	66.5	74.0	-7.5
39	Donar Groningen	3	1	2	33%	72.0	77.0	-5.0
40	Kormend	3	1	2	33%	72.0	84.3	-12.3
41	AEK Larnaca	2	0	2	0%	72.5	76.5	-4.0
42	Leiden	1	0	1	0%	58.0	63.0	-5.0
43	Sodertalje	2	0	2	0%	65.5	71.0	-5.5
44	BC Kalev/Cramo	2	0	2	0%	79.5	86.0	-6.5
45	Helios Domzale	2	0	2	0%	56.0	62.5	-6.5
46	Juventus	2	0	2	0%	79.0	85.5	-6.5
47	Pieno Zvaigzdes	2	0	2	0%	88.0	95.0	-7.0
48	FC Porto	1	0	1	0%	62.0	70.0	-8.0
49	Kapfenberg Bulls	2	0	2	0%	68.5	77.5	-9.0
50	Soproni KC	2	0	2	0%	69.0	79.5	-10.5
51	Rilski Sportist	2	0	2	0%	82.0	94.5	-12.5
52	Zlatorog Lasko	2	0	2	0%	76.5	89.5	-13.0
53	KTP Kotka Basket	2	0	2	0%	77.0	92.5	-15.5
54	MBK Komarno	2	0	2	0%	70.0	87.5	-17.5
55	ETHA Engomi	2	0	2	0%	53.5	77.5	-24.0
56	Hibernia	2	0	2	0%	57.5	89.0	-31.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 56 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
FC Porto	26	19	21	11	77
Leiden	14	17	6	14	51

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FC Porto vs Leiden Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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