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FC Porto vs Vasco Da Gama Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Oct 2025
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 95-73
25-17 27-10 20-21 23-25
Position#2
Record-
FormLWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
FC Porto 🏆
Portugal
vs
Vasco Da Gama
Portugal
Position#11
Record-
FormWWWLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalLPBRound 1· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Vasco Da Gama winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Imortal
#7
W
95-84
95
84
+11
91avg 80
A15/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
91-81
91
81
+10
80avg 80
H23/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
83-64
83
64
+19
79avg 80
H25/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
78-74
78
74
+4
72avg 80
A30/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
94-95
94
95
-1
84avg 80
A08/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
81-89
81
89
-8
73avg 80
A10/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
82-75
82
75
+7
74avg 80
H13/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
71-93
71
93
-22
52avg 80
H15/06
LPB
Szombathely
#42
W
83-79
83
79
+4
74avg 80
A20/09
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
79-100
79
100
-21
66avg 80
H22/09
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-24
19-23
19-20
28-17
17-25
19-20
26-20
29-16
25-13
24-15
15-14
19-22
19-15
21-21
13-27
25-11
27-26
21-23
18-25
28-21
17-24
20-23
19-26
25-16
21-6
19-19
23-22
19-28
19-21
9-28
23-20
20-24
16-24
17-24
24-17
26-14
18-21
27-30
18-29
16-20
167.1Avg total
83.7Scored
83.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)83.783.4167.1+0.360%
Last 5 (5)79.287.2166.4-8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)85.090.2175.2-5.233%
vs Similar (8)86.879.4166.1+7.488%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)90.378.5168.8+11.787%
This opponent (Vasco Da Gama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vasco Da GamaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormGama
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#3
L
85-98
85
98
-13
63avg 73
A05/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
W
97-89
97
89
+8
94avg 73
H19/04
Proliga
Braga
#1
L
78-80
78
80
-2
66avg 73
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
94-90
94
90
+4
88avg 73
H03/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
73-85
73
85
-12
57avg 73
A10/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
82-60
82
60
+22
71avg 73
H17/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
96-91
96
91
+5
92avg 73
H18/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
89-76
89
76
+13
76avg 73
A24/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
66-78
66
78
-12
48avg 73
H31/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
100-79
100
79
+21
96avg 73
H01/06
Proliga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
21-25
17-30
26-21
22-21
15-15
30-17
30-36
18-22
20-16
16-20
24-22
22-23
24-16
25-30
23-21
18-33
19-20
17-16
19-16
23-11
21-19
19-22
19-8
30-18
18-22
26-22
22-29
21-22
25-19
22-18
21-17
19-25
17-21
19-17
11-15
27-18
20-21
30-17
23-23
168.6Avg total
86.0Scored
82.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)86.082.6168.6+3.460%
Last 5 (5)86.676.8163.4+9.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)85.077.3162.3+7.767%
vs Similar (16)83.478.6162.0+4.975%
vs Weaker (10)86.280.6166.8+5.670%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: +0.6+0.6Q2Q2: -3.0-3.0Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: +1.2+1.2Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.0+1.0
FC PortoVasco Da Gama
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A15/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H23/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H25/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#3
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A30/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
48-49
48
49
-1
A08/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A10/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
40-25
40
25
+15
H13/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
28-49
28
49
-21
H15/06
LPB
Szombathely
#42
L
33-48
33
48
-15
A20/09
Champions League
Chalon/Saone
#6
L
45-51
45
51
-6
H22/09
Champions League
82.9Avg total
40.4Scored
42.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.940.783.6+2.257%-
Last 30 at home (18)43.338.982.2+4.461%-
Last 30 away (12)42.343.585.8-1.250%-
Last 10 (10)40.442.582.9-2.140%-
Last 5 (5)36.644.080.6-7.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)41.044.885.8-3.817%-
vs Similar (8)42.938.281.1+4.675%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.339.984.3+4.467%-
This opponent (Vasco Da Gama) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Vasco Da GamaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CAB Madeira
#3
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A05/04
Proliga
Portimonense
#7
W
37-36
37
36
+1
H19/04
Proliga
Braga
#1
D
38-38
38
38
+0
A26/04
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H03/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
L
37-53
37
53
-16
A10/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H17/05
Proliga
CAB Madeira
#3
W
48-40
48
40
+8
H18/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A24/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
L
36-46
36
46
-10
H31/05
Proliga
CB Queluz
#4
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H01/06
Proliga
83.0Avg total
42.1Scored
40.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.441.082.5+0.457%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.941.484.2+1.565%-
Last 30 away (13)39.540.680.2-1.146%-
Last 10 (10)42.140.983.0+1.260%-
Last 5 (5)44.239.283.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)39.737.377.0+2.367%-
vs Similar (16)40.939.880.8+1.162%-
vs Weaker (10)42.941.584.4+1.450%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 82.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.520.2
51.1%
52.7%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.5
30.2%
32.4%22.5
🏀 Free throws26.720.0
74.9%
70.4%20.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Vasco Da Gamatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Vasco Da Gama: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws21.2 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
49%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.320.7
52.7%
52.7%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.07.6
27.1%
32.4%22.8
🏀 Free throws31.021.2
68.4%
70.4%21.2
They take 67.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
LWLWLLWWWW
Vasco Da Gama
WLWWWLWLWL
#2
League position
#11
+0.7
Net rating
+4.6
109.0
Offensive rating
108.1
108.4
Defensive rating
103.6
48.9%
Effective FG%
47.7%
47.1%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
15.5%
Turnover %
14.2%
31.5%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.46
30.2%
3-point %
27.1%
53.1%
Assist %
55.8%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence109.0 · 108.1Defence108.4 · 103.6Shooting48.9% · 47.7%3-point %30.2% · 27.1%Ball care15.5% · 14.2%Off. rebounds31.5% · 31.2%Free throws0.42 · 0.46Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ FC Porto   ■ Vasco Da Gama
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
FC Porto wins
0
Vasco Da Gama wins
No previous meetings.
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/09/25HChalon/Saone79-100
20/09/25ASzombathely83-79
15/06/25HBenfica71-93
13/06/25HBenfica82-75
10/06/25ABenfica81-89
08/06/25ABenfica94-95
30/05/25ASporting CP78-74
25/05/25HSporting CP83-64
23/05/25HSporting CP91-81
15/05/25AImortal95-84
Vasco Da Gamalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/06/25HCB Queluz100-79
31/05/25HCB Queluz66-78
24/05/25ACB Queluz89-76
18/05/25HCAB Madeira96-91
17/05/25HCAB Madeira82-60
10/05/25ACAB Madeira73-85
03/05/25HCB Queluz94-90
26/04/25ABraga78-80
19/04/25HPortimonense97-89
05/04/25ACAB Madeira85-98

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Vasco Da Gama
LPB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica110100%89.076.0+13.0
2 Ovarense110100%81.075.0+6.0
3 Esgueira1010%75.081.0-6.0
4 Oliveirense1010%76.089.0-13.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto2527202395
Vasco Da Gama1710212573
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