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FC Porto vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 May 2025
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 91-81
17-25 19-20 26-20 29-16
Position#2
Record21-3
FormWWLWW
Points / game88.7
Allowed / game78.2
vs
Position#3
Record17-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game78.8
PortugalLPBLPB - Semi-finals· Pavilhão Dragão Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · FC Porto v Sporting CP
03 Apr 2027
POR v SCP
upcoming
31 May 2026
POR94
SCP86
29 May 2026
POR86
SCP76
18 Oct 2025
POR76
SCP82
25 May 2025
POR83
SCP64
23 May 2025
POR91
SCP81
09 Apr 2025
POR82
SCP72
23 Mar 2025
POR94
SCP73
25 Jan 2025
POR83
SCP78
20 Apr 2024
POR86
SCP72
14 Jan 2024
POR81
SCP79
23 May 2023
POR91
SCP93
21 May 2023
POR80
SCP88
19 Mar 2023
POR72
SCP71
14 Jan 2023
POR84
SCP97
19 Nov 2022
POR91
SCP89
24 May 2022
POR74
SCP71
22 May 2022
POR87
SCP68
30 Apr 2022
POR70
SCP71
28 Dec 2021
POR66
SCP59
30 May 2021
POR76
SCP80
28 May 2021
POR87
SCP73
07 Mar 2021
POR81
SCP78
08 Oct 2020
POR78
SCP87
08 Dec 2019
POR78
SCP89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

FC Porto winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FC PortoPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPorto
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
W
96-81
96
81
+15
99avg 80
A05/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
W
82-72
82
72
+10
74avg 80
H09/04
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
W
93-80
93
80
+13
93avg 80
H13/04
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
94-66
94
66
+28
84avg 80
A19/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
87-82
87
82
+5
85avg 80
H26/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
99-67
99
67
+32
107avg 80
H01/05
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#4
W
104-95 OT
104
95
+9
98avg 80
A03/05
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#2
L
78-83
78
83
-5
68avg 80
A04/05
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#7
W
88-74
88
74
+14
85avg 80
H11/05
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
95-84
95
84
+11
91avg 80
A15/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-27
18-22
31-11
26-21
17-18
20-19
24-24
21-11
29-26
25-10
16-19
23-25
27-10
21-20
22-17
24-19
24-22
19-17
26-19
18-24
18-15
26-17
33-16
22-19
24-21
27-19
23-21
10-23
23-22
15-28
21-11
19-22
21-14
25-25
23-24
19-11
29-24
19-23
19-20
28-17
170.0Avg total
91.6Scored
78.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)88.778.2166.9+10.588%
Season at home (12)88.180.2168.3+7.892%
Season away (12)89.376.2165.5+13.283%
Last 10 (10)91.678.4170.0+13.290%
Last 5 (5)92.880.6173.4+12.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)103.089.0192.0+14.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (9)86.981.4168.3+5.478%
vs Weaker (19)90.076.2166.2+13.889%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#1
L
73-94
73
94
-21
66avg 74
A23/03
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
84-57
84
57
+27
78avg 74
H29/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
94-82
94
82
+12
79avg 74
A05/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
L
72-82
72
82
-10
62avg 74
A09/04
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#9
W
97-89
97
89
+8
90avg 74
A12/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
85-87 OT
85
87
-2
75avg 74
H19/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
86-75
86
75
+11
85avg 74
A26/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
64-92
64
92
-28
51avg 74
A01/05
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
90-79
90
79
+11
89avg 74
H10/05
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
88-83
88
83
+5
83avg 74
A15/05
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-19
16-25
16-20
26-30
22-15
20-20
21-12
21-10
16-20
28-15
27-25
23-22
18-17
19-20
24-24
11-21
31-13
19-32
26-16
21-28
17-21
18-16
25-18
16-21
30-19
25-19
16-21
15-16
17-26
11-15
17-29
19-22
32-12
18-23
25-21
15-23
30-26
18-13
21-16
19-28
165.3Avg total
83.3Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.278.8165.0+7.571%
Season at home (12)89.177.6166.7+11.583%
Season away (12)83.479.9163.3+3.558%
Last 10 (10)83.382.0165.3+1.360%
Last 5 (5)82.683.2165.8-0.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)74.486.1160.6-11.714%
vs Similar ◀ (5)85.680.2165.8+5.460%
vs Weaker (17)87.477.8165.2+9.688%
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -3.5-3.5
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: +5.6+5.6Q3: +1.6+1.6Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -3.5-3.5
FC PortoSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FC PortoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#8
L
39-49
39
49
-10
A05/04
LPB
Sporting CP
#5
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H09/04
Taca da Liga
CA Queluz
#11
W
54-36
54
36
+18
H13/04
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
48-30
48
30
+18
A19/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
H26/04
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H01/05
Taca da Liga
Benfica
#4
W
51-40
51
40
+11
A03/05
Taca da Liga
Oliveirense
#2
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A04/05
Taca da Liga
Imortal
#7
W
46-39
46
39
+7
H11/05
LPB
Imortal
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A15/05
LPB
84.7Avg total
44.8Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.738.683.3+6.173%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.138.183.2+6.976%-
Last 30 away (13)44.339.283.5+5.169%-
Last 10 (10)44.839.984.7+4.970%-
Last 5 (5)45.441.687.0+3.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)48.048.096.0+0.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)43.639.483.0+4.178%-
vs Weaker (19)45.138.283.2+6.974%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#1
L
31-44
31
44
-13
A23/03
Taca de Portugal
CD Povoa
#10
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H29/03
LPB
Galomar
#12
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A05/04
LPB
FC Porto
#1
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A09/04
Taca da Liga
Vitoria
#9
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A12/04
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H19/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
55-38
55
38
+17
A26/04
LPB
Oliveirense
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A01/05
Taca da Liga
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
50-35
50
35
+15
H10/05
LPB
Galitos Barreiro
#6
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A15/05
LPB
80.6Avg total
42.0Scored
38.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.838.680.4+3.153%-
Last 30 at home (14)41.337.979.1+3.457%-
Last 30 away (16)42.239.381.5+2.950%-
Last 10 (10)42.038.680.6+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)43.238.081.2+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.340.375.6-5.014%-
vs Similar ◀ (5)45.640.686.2+5.060%-
vs Weaker (17)42.937.980.8+4.965%-
This opponent (FC Porto) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
FC Portotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

FC Porto: 90.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.6 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.220.5
56.6%
51.2%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.510.4
37.8%
32.7%31.2
🏀 Free throws25.118.6
74.1%
69.2%18.6
They take 63.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.2 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.1 points a game
48%
32%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.420.6
56.6%
51.2%41.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.68.1
31.6%
32.7%24.3
🏀 Free throws28.116.8
59.8%
69.2%16.8
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 May 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
FC Porto
WWLWWWWWWW
Sporting CP
WWLWLWLWWL
#2
League position
#3
+17.4
Net rating
+0.9
117.6
Offensive rating
104.9
100.3
Defensive rating
104.0
56.7%
Effective FG%
52.8%
46.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.0%
16.5%
Turnover %
19.5%
29.7%
Off. rebound %
29.6%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.45
37.8%
3-point %
31.6%
66.0%
Assist %
55.1%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence117.6 · 104.9Defence100.3 · 104.0Shooting56.7% · 52.8%3-point %37.8% · 31.6%Ball care16.5% · 19.5%Off. rebounds29.7% · 29.6%Free throws0.39 · 0.45Form (last 10/10)90% · 60%
■ FC Porto   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
FC Porto wins
4
Sporting CP wins
FC Portolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/25AImortal95-84
11/05/25HImortal88-74
04/05/25AOliveirense78-83
03/05/25ABenfica104-95 OT
01/05/25HGalitos Barreiro99-67
26/04/25HGalitos Barreiro87-82
19/04/25AOvarense94-66
13/04/25HCA Queluz93-80
09/04/25HSporting CP82-72
05/04/25AEsgueira96-81
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/05/25AGalitos Barreiro88-83
10/05/25HGalitos Barreiro90-79
01/05/25AOliveirense64-92
26/04/25AOliveirense86-75
19/04/25HBenfica85-87 OT
12/04/25AVitoria97-89
09/04/25AFC Porto72-82
05/04/25AGalomar94-82
29/03/25HCD Povoa84-57
23/03/25AFC Porto73-94

📊 11. Overall Statistics

FC Porto
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW88%
HomeLWWWW92%
AwayLWWWW83%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %88%92%83%
Points / game88.788.189.3
Allowed / game78.280.276.2
Point differential+10.5+7.8+13.2
Avg total166.9168.3165.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%42%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won62% (8)80% (5)33% (3)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Sporting CP
LPB 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWWLW83%
AwayLWWWW58%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %71%83%58%
Points / game86.289.183.4
Allowed / game78.877.679.9
Point differential+7.5+11.5+3.5
Avg total165.0166.7163.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+38%50%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)50% (4)40% (5)
Overtime %8%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Benfica2524196%91.076.3+14.6
2 FC Porto2421388%88.778.2+10.5
3 Sporting CP2417771%86.278.8+7.5
4 Ovarense26151158%79.280.7-1.5
5 Oliveirense25141156%84.079.6+4.4
6 Galitos Barreiro24101442%80.181.8-1.7
7 Imortal24101442%79.585.6-6.1
8 Esgueira2291341%82.086.6-4.6
9 Vitoria2491538%81.884.8-3.0
10 CD Povoa2251723%73.381.0-7.6
11 CA Queluz2251723%81.189.7-8.6
12 Galomar2231914%75.982.8-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
FC Porto1719262991
Sporting CP2520201681
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