Fenerbahce vs Anadolu Efes Prediction & Stats

Fenerbahce faces Anadolu Efes on 15 November 2026 in the Basketbol Super Ligi, with the model favouring Fenerbahce and predicting a 72% chance of a home win and a projected score of 85-79; the spread of -3.0 gives Fenerbahce a 64% probability of covering, while the over/under line of 166.5 carries a 44% chance of the over and the game carries a 4% overtime probability. Fenerbahce enters the match with a 5-2 record, averaging 86.9 points per game and allowing 79.6, and sits third in the league; at home they are 2-1, scoring 83.3 and conceding 81.0, and their last five games include a 109-111 loss to Paris, a 78-59 win over Bursaspor, and a 84-65 win at Baskonia. Anadolu Efes also holds a 5-2 record, 86.0 points per game and 79.4 allowed, positioned fourth; on the road they are 2-1, 80.7 points and 76.3 allowed, and their recent five games feature a 103-91 win over Virtus Bologna, a 87-93 loss to Tofas, and a 90-95 loss to Paris. Historically, Fenerbahce has dominated the rivalry with nine wins to one, most recently defeating Anadolu Efes 102-93 on 7 June 2026.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce win

71.8%fair 1.39

Best odds1.31

Implied72.4%

Edge-0.6pp

Anadolu Efes win

28.2%fair 3.54

Best odds3.62

Implied27.6%

Edge+0.6pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fenerbahce Turkey

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormFenerbahce

Date

Competition

Partizan

#11

74-65

73avg 80

H15/10

Euroleague

Petkim Spor

77-82

-5

67avg 80

H18/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Olympiacos

64-61

51avg 80

A23/10

Euroleague

Karsiyaka

#10

97-72

+25

98avg 80

A25/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Valencia

78-86

-8

70avg 80

A27/10

Euroleague

Real Madrid

76-95

-19

64avg 80

A29/10

Euroleague

Tofas

88-77

+11

85avg 80

H01/11

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Baskonia

#20

84-65

+19

no box

H05/11

Euroleague

Bursaspor

#16

78-59

+19

no box

A07/11

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Paris

#14

109-111 OT

109

111

-2

no box

A11/11

Euroleague

12-19

13-9

34-16

15-21

12-24

21-15

18-19

26-24

8-20

16-14

21-15

19-12

25-16

24-20

25-14

23-22

9-19

16-17

21-24

32-26

24-22

18-25

13-23

21-25

25-21

22-22

23-16

18-18

33-18

19-14

11-9

21-24

23-15

20-21

16-11

19-12

14-23

29-27

29-22

20-20

159.8Avg total

82.5Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	86.9	79.6	166.4	+7.3	71%
Season at home (3)	83.3	81.0	164.3	+2.3	67%
Season away (4)	89.5	78.5	168.0	+11.0	75%
Last 10 (10)	82.5	77.3	159.8	+5.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	87.0	81.4	168.4	+5.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	68.5	87.0	155.5	-18.5	0%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	81.5	78.9	160.4	+2.6	69%
vs Weaker (12)	90.5	77.0	167.5	+13.5	83%

This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Anadolu Efes Turkey

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormEfes

Date

Competition

Zalgiris Kaunas

85-70

+15

83avg 79

A16/10

Euroleague

Esenler Erokspor

70-73

-3

70avg 79

A19/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Besiktas

#13

89-80

87avg 79

H22/10

Euroleague

Korfez Basket

#13

93-77

+16

97avg 79

H25/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

#10

88-118

118

-30

82avg 79

A28/10

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

83-68

+15

79avg 79

H30/10

Euroleague

Petkim Spor

87-77

+10

no box

A02/11

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Paris

#14

90-95

-5

no box

H05/11

Euroleague

Tofas

87-93

-6

no box

H08/11

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Virtus Bologna

#16

103-91

103

+12

no box

H13/11

Euroleague

21-12

21-24

25-20

18-14

18-24

25-19

15-9

12-21

29-17

28-19

11-24

21-20

24-14

25-18

18-30

26-15

21-27

20-36

18-27

29-28

21-18

24-19

16-14

22-17

16-18

25-26

22-9

24-24

26-23

10-19

34-24

20-29

21-21

17-25

31-21

18-26

28-20

32-23

16-25

27-23

171.7Avg total

87.5Scored

84.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (7)	86.0	79.4	165.4	+6.6	71%
Season at home (4)	90.0	81.8	171.8	+8.2	75%
Season away (3)	80.7	76.3	157.0	+4.3	67%
Last 10 (10)	87.5	84.2	171.7	+3.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	90.0	84.8	174.8	+5.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	78.6	86.1	164.7	-7.6	43%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	85.6	84.0	169.6	+1.6	50%
vs Weaker (11)	89.4	82.0	171.4	+7.4	73%

This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Total points distribution

Pythia expects about 164 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 165-169 (12%). The market's main line is 168.5.

Over/Under 163.5

Over 163.5

51.1%

@ 1.62-6.3pp

Under 163.5

48.9%

@ 2.22+6.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.62

1xBet

1.58

Betano

1.57

Marathon Be

1.55

Under

Betano

2.22

Bet365

2.15

Marathon Be

2.12

1xBet

1.95

Over/Under 168.5 · main line

Over 168.5

39.3%

@ 2.05-10.5pp

Under 168.5

60.7%

@ 1.85+10.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.05

Betano

1.93

Marathon Be

1.93

WilliamHill

1.85

Pinnacle

1.84

Under

WilliamHill

1.85

Pinnacle

1.83

SBO

1.82

Marathon Be

1.80

Betano

1.75

Over/Under 173.5

Over 173.5

28.6%

@ 2.70-6.8pp

Under 173.5

71.4%

@ 1.46+6.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.70

Betano

2.52

Under

Marathon Be

1.46

Betano

1.45

Bet365

1.41

📊 3. Team Totals

Fenerbahce total 81.5

Over 81.5

64.8%

@ 1.40-2.2pp

Under 81.5

35.2%

@ 3.00+2.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.40

Bet365

1.38

Betano

1.30

Under

Betano

3.00

Bet365

2.80

1xBet

2.32

Fenerbahce total 85.5 · main line

Over 85.5

49.9%

@ 1.85-3.8pp

Under 85.5

50.1%

@ 2.12+3.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.57

1xBet

1.50

Under

Betano

2.12

1xBet

2.06

BetVictor

1.85

Bet365

1.83

Fenerbahce total 89.5

Over 89.5

35.0%

@ 2.22-8.9pp

Under 89.5

65.0%

@ 1.62+8.9pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.22

Betano

2.07

1xBet

1.94

Under

Betano

1.62

Bet365

1.58

1xBet

1.56

Anadolu Efes total 75.5

Over 75.5

61.9%

@ 1.42-1.8pp

Under 75.5

38.1%

@ 2.50+1.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.42

1xBet

1.38

Under

Betano

2.50

1xBet

2.41

Anadolu Efes total 79.5 · main line

Over 79.5

46.6%

@ 1.84-3.7pp

Under 79.5

53.4%

@ 1.88+3.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathon Be

1.84

Bet365

1.83

BetVictor

1.83

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.71

Under

BetVictor

1.88

Marathon Be

1.86

Betano

1.83

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.73

Anadolu Efes total 83.5

Over 83.5

32.0%

@ 2.42-5.3pp

Under 83.5

68.0%

@ 1.45+5.3pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.42

1xBet

2.35

Under

Betano

1.45

1xBet

1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

Margin from Fenerbahce's side (positive = Fenerbahce win). Pythia's expected margin is +6.7; Fenerbahce win by 1+ in 64% of simulations.

Spread Fenerbahce -12

FEN -12

31.7%

@ 2.62-3.8pp

EFS +12

68.3%

@ 1.47+3.8pp

Best 5 market prices

FEN

Bet365

2.62

EFS

Marathon Be

1.47

Bet365

1.44

Spread Fenerbahce -9 · main line

FEN -9

42.0%

@ 2.05-6.9pp

EFS +9

58.0%

@ 1.79+6.9pp

Best 5 market prices

FEN

Bet365

2.05

Marathon Be

1.93

SBO

1.88

Pinnacle

1.87

EFS

Pinnacle

1.79

Marathon Be

1.78

SBO

1.78

Bet365

1.68

Spread Fenerbahce -6

FEN -6

53.2%

@ 1.68-6.9pp

EFS +6

46.8%

@ 2.28+6.9pp

Best 5 market prices

FEN

Bet365

1.68

Marathon Be

1.58

Pinnacle

1.51

EFS

Pinnacle

2.28

Marathon Be

2.12

Bet365

2.05

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FenerbahceAnadolu Efes

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.25
Last 30 (30)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	53%	40%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.6	18.8	40.4	+2.9	64%	43%
Last 30 away (16)	19.5	20.8	40.3	-1.3	44%	38%
Last 10 (10)	18.5	19.7	38.2	-1.2	50%	30%
Last 5 (5)	23.8	19.8	43.6	+4.0	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	18.0	20.0	38.0	-2.0	50%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	18.2	21.4	39.7	-3.2	31%	38%
vs Weaker (12)	23.9	17.8	41.7	+6.2	83%	42%

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.25
Last 30 (30)	22.6	20.3	42.9	+2.2	53%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	24.7	21.8	46.5	+2.9	56%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	18.6	38.8	+1.5	50%	14%
Last 10 (10)	22.5	19.4	41.9	+3.1	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.0	42.4	+2.4	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.4	21.6	42.0	-1.1	43%	29%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	23.8	20.2	44.0	+3.5	58%	58%
vs Weaker (11)	22.6	19.6	42.3	+3.0	55%	27%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	21.2	20.1	41.3	+1.1	57%	50%
Last 30 at home (14)	19.3	19.1	38.4	+0.2	57%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	22.9	20.9	43.8	+1.9	56%	62%
Last 10 (10)	19.8	18.4	38.2	+1.4	60%	40%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	21.8	43.4	-0.2	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	20.0	35.0	-5.0	0%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	56%	50%
vs Weaker (12)	23.2	20.3	43.5	+2.8	67%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 42.5
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.4	42.7	+1.9	53%	63%
Last 30 at home (16)	23.6	19.5	43.1	+4.1	69%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	20.9	21.4	42.3	-0.6	36%	71%
Last 10 (10)	22.7	22.8	45.5	-0.1	50%	80%
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.4	44.0	-0.8	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.4	20.4	40.9	+0.0	43%	57%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	22.3	19.2	41.6	+3.1	58%	58%
vs Weaker (11)	23.5	21.6	45.2	+1.9	55%	73%

FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Partizan

#11

25-28

-3

H15/10

Euroleague

Petkim Spor

33-39

-6

H18/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Olympiacos

24-34

-10

A23/10

Euroleague

Karsiyaka

#10

49-36

+13

A25/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Valencia

25-36

-11

A27/10

Euroleague

Real Madrid

42-47

-5

A29/10

Euroleague

Tofas

47-43

H01/11

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Baskonia

#20

52-32

+20

H05/11

Euroleague

Bursaspor

#16

43-36

A07/11

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Paris

#14

43-50

-7

A11/11

Euroleague

76.4Avg total

38.3Scored

38.1Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85
Last 30 (30)	41.7	39.9	81.6	+1.8	53%	43%
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	37.9	78.8	+3.1	64%	29%
Last 30 away (16)	42.4	41.8	84.1	+0.6	44%	56%
Last 10 (10)	38.3	38.1	76.4	+0.2	40%	30%
Last 5 (5)	45.4	41.6	87.0	+3.8	60%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.0	40.0	73.0	-7.0	0%	50%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	38.8	41.3	80.1	-2.6	38%	44%
vs Weaker (12)	47.1	38.1	85.2	+9.0	83%	42%

This opponent (Anadolu Efes) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Anadolu EfesLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Zalgiris Kaunas

42-36

A16/10

Euroleague

Esenler Erokspor

43-43

A19/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Besiktas

#13

57-36

+21

H22/10

Euroleague

Korfez Basket

#13

49-32

+17

H25/10

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Hapoel Tel-Aviv

#10

41-63

-22

A28/10

Euroleague

Panathinaikos

45-37

H30/10

Euroleague

Petkim Spor

41-44

-3

A02/11

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Paris

#14

36-42

-6

H05/11

Euroleague

Tofas

38-46

-8

H08/11

Basketbol Süper Ligi

Virtus Bologna

#16

60-43

+17

H13/11

Euroleague

87.4Avg total

45.2Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 85
Last 30 (30)	44.9	40.7	85.6	+4.2	60%	43%
Last 30 at home (16)	48.3	41.3	89.6	+7.0	69%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	41.0	40.1	81.1	+0.9	50%	29%
Last 10 (10)	45.2	42.2	87.4	+3.0	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	44.0	42.4	86.4	+1.6	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	40.9	42.0	82.9	-1.1	43%	29%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	46.1	39.5	85.6	+6.6	67%	58%
vs Weaker (11)	46.2	41.3	87.5	+4.9	64%	36%

This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winner

FEN win

65.0%

@ 1.44-2.9pp

EFS win

35.0%

@ 2.81+2.9pp

1st half Spread Fenerbahce -4 · main line

FEN -4

48.2%

@ 1.83-2.3pp

EFS +4

51.8%

@ 1.87+2.3pp

1st half Over/Under 85 · main line

Over

37.9%

@ 1.92-11.5pp

Under

62.1%

@ 1.83+11.5pp

Fenerbahce 1st half total 43.5 · main line

Over

45.7%

@ 1.83-6.5pp

Under

54.3%

@ 2.02+6.5pp

Anadolu Efes 1st half total 40 · main line

Over

45.0%

@ 1.83-5.0pp

Under

55.0%

@ 1.87+5.0pp

1st half: FEN + total 83.5

FEN & over

27.7%

@ 2.90-2.4pp

FEN & under

34.8%

@ 2.85+4.2pp

1st half: Draw + total 83.5

Draw & over

1.8%

@ 29.00-1.2pp

Draw & under

2.0%

@ 29.00-1.0pp

1st half: EFS + total 83.5

EFS & over

14.4%

@ 5.25-2.2pp

EFS & under

19.3%

@ 5.25+2.7pp

1st half Over/Under 83.75

Over

43.9%

@ 1.77-7.2pp

Under

56.1%

@ 1.85+7.2pp

1st half Over/Under 86.5

Over

33.3%

@ 2.12-10.8pp

Under

66.7%

@ 1.67+10.8pp

1st half Spread Fenerbahce -5

FEN -5

44.0%

@ 2.00-1.9pp

EFS +5

56.0%

@ 1.77+1.9pp

1st half Spread Fenerbahce -3

FEN -3

52.5%

@ 1.69-1.6pp

EFS +3

47.5%

@ 1.99+1.6pp

1st half Over/Under 82.5

Over

47.7%

@ 1.68-7.5pp

Under

52.3%

@ 2.15+7.5pp

1st half Spread Fenerbahce -6

FEN -6

39.9%

@ 2.05-4.7pp

EFS +6

60.1%

@ 1.65+4.7pp

1st half Spread Fenerbahce -2

FEN -2

56.8%

@ 1.81+2.1pp

EFS +2

43.2%

@ 2.02-2.1pp

1st half 3-way (draw possible)

FEN

62.5%

@ 1.48-0.8pp

Draw

3.8%

@ 19.00-1.7pp

EFS

33.7%

@ 2.95+2.6pp

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	20.0	17.6	37.6	+2.5	63%	23%
Last 30 at home (14)	21.1	15.1	36.2	+6.1	79%	14%
Last 30 away (16)	19.1	19.8	38.8	-0.7	50%	31%
Last 10 (10)	21.1	16.9	38.0	+4.2	70%	30%
Last 5 (5)	18.4	16.2	34.6	+2.2	80%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	15.0	23.0	38.0	-8.0	0%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	20.2	17.4	37.6	+2.8	62%	25%
vs Weaker (12)	20.7	16.8	37.5	+3.8	75%	25%

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	20.2	21.0	41.1	-0.8	53%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	22.2	22.3	44.6	-0.1	50%	69%
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	19.4	37.2	-1.6	57%	29%
Last 10 (10)	20.6	20.3	40.9	+0.3	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	23.8	18.6	42.4	+5.2	80%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	16.9	22.4	39.3	-5.6	29%	57%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	20.3	21.3	41.7	-1.0	50%	42%
vs Weaker (11)	22.1	19.6	41.7	+2.5	73%	55%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.3	41.8	+1.1	53%	57%
Last 30 at home (14)	20.9	20.1	40.9	+0.8	50%	50%
Last 30 away (16)	21.9	20.6	42.5	+1.4	56%	62%
Last 10 (10)	21.4	20.4	41.8	+1.0	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	19.8	19.8	39.6	+0.0	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	20.5	24.0	44.5	-3.5	0%	100%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	21.6	19.8	41.4	+1.9	62%	50%
vs Weaker (12)	21.3	20.5	41.8	+0.8	50%	58%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	20.1	21.6	41.6	-1.5	33%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	21.6	21.4	42.9	+0.2	44%	56%
Last 30 away (14)	18.4	21.8	40.1	-3.4	21%	43%
Last 10 (10)	21.7	21.7	43.4	+0.0	60%	50%
Last 5 (5)	22.2	23.8	46.0	-1.6	40%	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.9	21.7	42.6	-0.9	57%	43%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	18.7	21.9	40.6	-3.2	25%	42%
vs Weaker (11)	21.1	21.1	42.2	+0.0	27%	64%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83
Last 30 (30)	41.5	37.9	79.4	+3.6	67%	40%
Last 30 at home (14)	42.0	35.1	77.1	+6.9	79%	36%
Last 30 away (16)	41.0	40.3	81.3	+0.7	56%	44%
Last 10 (10)	42.5	37.3	79.8	+5.2	80%	50%
Last 5 (5)	38.2	36.0	74.2	+2.2	60%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	35.5	47.0	82.5	-11.5	0%	0%
vs Similar ◀ (16)	41.8	37.2	79.0	+4.6	75%	38%
vs Weaker (12)	42.0	37.3	79.3	+4.7	67%	50%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 83
Last 30 (30)	40.2	42.5	82.8	-2.3	40%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	43.8	43.7	87.5	+0.1	50%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	36.1	41.2	77.4	-5.1	29%	14%
Last 10 (10)	42.3	42.0	84.3	+0.3	50%	50%
Last 5 (5)	46.0	42.4	88.4	+3.6	80%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.7	44.1	81.9	-6.4	29%	43%
vs Similar ◀ (12)	39.0	43.2	82.2	-4.2	42%	33%
vs Weaker (11)	43.2	40.7	83.9	+2.5	45%	45%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

FEN win + total 167.5

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EFS win + total 167.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: FEN leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: EFS leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

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Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

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Double chance (regulation)

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Quarters won (FEN:EFS): FEN wins more

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🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds PRO1.20

Edge PRO

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge
Fenerbahce +1	73.4%	1.40	Pinnacle 1.53	Bet365 1.26	-	-	-	+14.1pp
Fenerbahce under 92.5	74.9%	1.38	Betano 1.38	1xBet 1.38	-	-	-	+10.4pp
1st half: Anadolu Efes under 43.5	73.1%	1.40	Betano 1.50	1xBet 1.36	Bet365 1.35	-	-	+8.7pp
1st half: Under 87.5	70.0%	1.50	Betano 1.57	Bet365 1.44	-	-	-	+8.0pp
Fenerbahce win	71.8%	1.28	Betano 1.31	WilliamHill 1.30	Betfair 1.29	BetVictor 1.29	Bet365 1.29	-0.6pp
■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%
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■■■■■■ ■■■	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%	■■%

🔒 164 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 82.2 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀35%

🏀19%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points

🏀 Free throws15.9 pts a game · 19% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.5	18.9	58.2%	54.8%	37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.7	9.5	33.1%	35.9%	28.5
🏀 Free throws	20.4	15.9	77.9%	75.9%	15.9

They take 61.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Anadolu Efestheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Anadolu Efes: 82.4 points a game scored

🏀🏀51%

🏀🏀🏀31%

🏀18%

🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 51% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 31% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 18% of the points

League average for comparison: 82.1 points a game

47%

34%

18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.6	21.0	57.4%	54.8%	42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.9	8.5	34.1%	35.9%	25.5
🏀 Free throws	18.6	14.9	80.1%	75.9%	14.9

They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.2	19.9	52.1%	54.8%	39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	23.5	7.9	33.6%	35.9%	23.7
🏀 Free throws	22.0	16.1	73.2%	75.9%	16.1

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.1	19.8	50.6%	54.8%	39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.2	10.5	37.2%	35.9%	31.5
🏀 Free throws	16.0	12.0	75.0%	75.9%	12.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	30.2	17.6	58.2%	54.8%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	28.0	9.7	34.6%	35.9%	29.0
🏀 Free throws	21.0	16.0	76.2%	75.9%	16.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.8	20.7	59.5%	54.8%	41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	8.3	33.3%	35.9%	24.8
🏀 Free throws	16.8	13.7	81.3%	75.9%	13.7

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	32.9	18.2	55.2%	54.8%	36.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.5	8.4	32.8%	35.9%	25.1
🏀 Free throws	18.1	13.9	76.9%	75.9%	13.9

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	33.9	17.3	51.1%	54.8%	34.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.3	10.2	37.4%	35.9%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	15.9	12.0	75.8%	75.9%	12.0

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Fenerbahce

LWWWLLWWLW

Anadolu Efes

WLLWWLWWLW

League position

+3.1

Net rating

-0.8

97.9

Offensive rating

96.6

94.8

Defensive rating

97.5

54.2%

Effective FG%

54.9%

51.5%

Opp. effective FG%

52.8%

15.6%

Turnover %

16.5%

0.33

Free-throw rate

0.30

33.1%

3-point %

34.1%

62.7%

Assist %

70.2%

60%

Form (last 10/10)

60%

Profile

■ Fenerbahce ■ Anadolu Efes

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Fenerbahce wins

Anadolu Efes wins

Date	Game	Score
07/06/26	Anadolu Efes v Fenerbahce	93-102 OT
05/06/26	Anadolu Efes v Fenerbahce	102-93
03/06/26	Fenerbahce v Anadolu Efes	73-72
01/06/26	Fenerbahce v Anadolu Efes	60-59
13/04/26	Anadolu Efes v Fenerbahce	73-89
29/01/26	Fenerbahce v Anadolu Efes	79-62
14/12/25	Fenerbahce v Anadolu Efes	97-94 OT
24/10/25	Anadolu Efes v Fenerbahce	69-79
23/03/25	Anadolu Efes v Fenerbahce	81-82
03/01/25	Fenerbahce v Anadolu Efes	84-76

Fenerbahcelast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/11/26	A	Paris	109-111 OT
07/11/26	A	Bursaspor	78-59
05/11/26	H	Baskonia	84-65
01/11/26	H	Tofas	88-77
29/10/26	A	Real Madrid	76-95
27/10/26	A	Valencia	78-86
25/10/26	A	Karsiyaka	97-72
23/10/26	A	Olympiacos	64-61
18/10/26	H	Petkim Spor	77-82
15/10/26	H	Partizan	74-65

Anadolu Efeslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/11/26	H	Virtus Bologna	103-91
08/11/26	H	Tofas	87-93
05/11/26	H	Paris	90-95
02/11/26	A	Petkim Spor	87-77
30/10/26	H	Panathinaikos	83-68
28/10/26	A	Hapoel Tel-Aviv	88-118
25/10/26	H	Korfez Basket	93-77
22/10/26	H	Besiktas	89-80
19/10/26	A	Esenler Erokspor	70-73
16/10/26	A	Zalgiris Kaunas	85-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce

Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWW	71%
Home	WLW	67%
Away	LWWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	3	4
Win %	71%	67%	75%
Points / game	86.9	83.3	89.5
Allowed / game	79.6	81.0	78.5
Point differential	+7.3	+2.3	+11.0
Avg total	166.4	164.3	168.0
Over 168.5	57%	33%	75%
Win by 10+	57%	33%	75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	50% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Anadolu Efes

Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	71%
Home	WWWL	75%
Away	WLW	67%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	7	4	3
Win %	71%	75%	67%
Points / game	86.0	90.0	80.7
Allowed / game	79.4	81.8	76.3
Point differential	+6.6	+8.2	+4.3
Avg total	165.4	171.8	157.0
Over 168.5	43%	75%	0%
Win by 10+	43%	50%	33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Bahcesehir Kol.	7	6	1	86%	92.7	86.6	+6.1
2	Turk Telekom	8	6	2	75%	83.6	75.0	+8.6
3	Fenerbahce	7	5	2	71%	86.9	79.6	+7.3
4	Anadolu Efes	7	5	2	71%	86.0	79.4	+6.6
5	Petkim Spor	8	5	3	62%	84.2	83.6	+0.6
6	Esenler Erokspor	7	4	3	57%	82.9	84.7	-1.9
7	Galatasaray	8	4	4	50%	87.6	79.8	+7.9
8	Tofas	8	4	4	50%	80.5	82.0	-1.5
9	Trabzonspor	8	4	4	50%	80.2	82.2	-2.0
10	Karsiyaka	8	4	4	50%	80.5	82.6	-2.1
11	Besiktas	7	3	4	43%	84.1	86.3	-2.1
12	Bordo Bandirma	8	3	5	38%	82.4	85.5	-3.1
13	Korfez Basket	8	3	5	38%	82.0	85.2	-3.2
14	Cayirova	7	2	5	29%	81.9	88.0	-6.1
15	Denizli Basket	7	1	6	14%	80.6	87.6	-7.0
16	Bursaspor	7	1	6	14%	74.9	83.6	-8.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Fenerbahce vs Anadolu Efes Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Total points distribution

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

Winning margin distribution

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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