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Fenerbahce vs Korfez Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 04 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 12:30
Final 85-84
25-18 20-26 23-11 17-29
Position#5
Record0-1
FormWWLWW
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game98.0
vs
Position#9
Record1-0
FormWLW
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game79.0
TurkeyBasketbol Süper LigiRound 2· Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu
Domestic2026-27
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Korfez Basket winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
93-102
93
102
-9
A05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
102-93 OT
102
93
+9
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
H13/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
93-68
93
68
+25
H15/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
82-71
82
71
+11
A17/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
77-75
77
75
+2
A19/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
78-68
78
68
+10
H25/09
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
83-98
83
98
-15
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#18
W
100-76
100
76
+24
H29/09
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
W
76-66
76
66
+10
H02/10
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
24-20
17-27
26-26
25-24
19-25
19-18
24-20
16-27
26-16
19-19
19-26
23-18
27-19
22-14
21-17
19-23
24-17
21-18
18-13
16-20
24-25
16-15
21-15
23-17
16-21
20-17
19-13
16-28
27-23
22-23
18-24
31-15
19-16
25-20
25-25
26-14
16-25
13-12
21-15
166.9Avg total
86.4Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.098.0181.0-15.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)83.098.0181.0-15.00%
Last 10 (10)86.480.5166.9+5.970%
Last 5 (5)82.876.6159.4+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)72.088.5160.5-16.50%
vs Similar (18)82.779.4162.2+3.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)86.577.6164.1+8.980%
This opponent (Korfez Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Korfez BasketTurkeyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#48
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H15/09
Champions League
Promitheas
#16
L
93-94
93
94
-1
A17/09
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#4
W
88-79
88
79
+9
H28/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
17-20
23-29
25-9
25-21
21-30
26-18
21-25
21-26
22-15
21-11
24-27
174.7Avg total
90.7Scored
84.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)88.079.0167.0+9.0100%
Season at home (1)88.079.0167.0+9.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (3)90.784.0174.7+6.767%
Last 5 (3)90.784.0174.7+6.767%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)88.079.0167.0+9.0100%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)93.094.0187.0-1.00%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +1.3+1.3Q2Q2: +1.5+1.5Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: +1.1+1.1Q3: +4.0+4.0Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +3.0+3.0
FenerbahceKorfez Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H13/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H15/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A19/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Virtus Bologna
#13
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H25/09
Euroleague
Bahcesehir Kol.
#1
L
43-51
43
51
-8
A27/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bayern
#18
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H29/09
Euroleague
Dubai
#8
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H02/10
Euroleague
86.5Avg total
44.3Scored
42.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.140.082.1+2.160%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.937.478.4+3.564%-
Last 30 away (16)43.142.285.3+0.956%-
Last 10 (10)44.342.286.5+2.160%-
Last 5 (5)42.840.883.6+2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)33.542.075.5-8.50%-
vs Similar (18)41.441.282.6+0.256%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)45.137.382.4+7.880%-
This opponent (Korfez Basket) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Korfez BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kolossos Rhodes
#48
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H15/09
Champions League
Promitheas
#16
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A17/09
Champions League
Esenler Erokspor
#4
W
43-41
43
41
+2
H28/09
Basketbol Süper Ligi
88.3Avg total
44.0Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (3)44.044.388.3-0.367%-
Last 30 at home (2)43.041.084.0+2.0100%-
Last 30 away (1)46.051.097.0-5.00%-
Last 10 (3)44.044.388.3-0.367%-
Last 5 (3)44.044.388.3-0.367%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (1)43.041.084.0+2.0100%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (1)46.051.097.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 86.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.519.8
57.4%
54.9%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.29.1
33.5%
35.7%27.3
🏀 Free throws25.719.5
75.9%
75.4%19.5
They take 61.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Korfez Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Korfez Basket: 90.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀26%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws24.0 pts a game · 26% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.7 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.020.3
53.5%
54.9%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.38.7
38.8%
35.7%26.0
🏀 Free throws33.324.0
72.0%
75.4%24.0
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/3 games with a box score before 04 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWLWWWWLWL
Korfez Basket
WLW
#5
League position
#9
+7.2
Net rating
+7.9
105.4
Offensive rating
107.3
98.2
Defensive rating
99.4
54.2%
Effective FG%
55.2%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.0%
12.7%
Turnover %
12.8%
0.42
Free-throw rate
0.55
33.5%
3-point %
38.8%
61.6%
Assist %
65.5%
70%
Form (last 10/3)
67%

Profile

Offence105.4 · 107.3Defence98.2 · 99.4Shooting54.2% · 55.2%3-point %33.5% · 38.8%Ball care12.7% · 12.8%Free throws0.42 · 0.55Form (last 10/3)70% · 67%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Korfez Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fenerbahce wins
0
Korfez Basket wins
No previous meetings.
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/10/26HDubai76-66
29/09/26HBayern100-76
27/09/26ABahcesehir Kol.83-98
25/09/26HVirtus Bologna78-68
19/06/26ABesiktas77-75
17/06/26ABesiktas82-71
15/06/26HBesiktas93-68
13/06/26HBesiktas80-88
07/06/26AAnadolu Efes102-93 OT
05/06/26AAnadolu Efes93-102
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/09/26HEsenler Erokspor88-79
17/09/26APromitheas93-94
15/09/26HKolossos Rhodes91-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game83.0-83.0
Allowed / game98.0-98.0
Point differential-15.0--15.0
Avg total181.0-181.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Korfez Basket
Basketbol Süper Ligi 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 1 Losses (last 3)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game88.088.0-
Allowed / game79.079.0-
Point differential+9.0+9.0-
Avg total167.0167.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Anadolu Efes110100%95.081.0+14.0
2 Bahcesehir Kol.220100%91.079.5+11.5
3 Korfez Basket110100%88.079.0+9.0
4 Trabzonspor110100%82.076.0+6.0
5 Turk Telekom220100%75.570.5+5.0
6 Galatasaray21150%86.578.5+8.0
7 Denizli Basket21150%91.086.0+5.0
8 Karsiyaka21150%75.072.0+3.0
9 Esenler Erokspor21150%87.587.5+0.0
10 Petkim Spor21150%86.088.5-2.5
11 Tofas21150%88.595.0-6.5
12 Bordo Bandirma1010%89.090.0-1.0
13 Bursaspor2020%72.580.0-7.5
14 Besiktas1010%81.095.0-14.0
15 Fenerbahce1010%83.098.0-15.0
16 Cayirova2020%77.593.0-15.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2520231785
Korfez Basket1826112984
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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