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Fenerbahce vs Virtus Bologna Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Sep 2026
Tip-off: 17:45
Final 78-68
23-17 16-21 20-17 19-13
Position#7
Record-
FormWLWWW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Fenerbahce 🏆
vs
Virtus Bologna
Position#16
Record-
FormWLWLL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
EuropeEuroleagueRound 1· Ulker Spor ve Etkinlik Salonu
European cup2026
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Virtus Bologna
25 Sep 2026
FEN78
VIR68
25 Nov 2025
FEN66
VIR64
31 Jan 2025
FEN95
VIR81
25 Jan 2024
FEN88
VIR75
03 Mar 2023
FEN104
VIR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Virtus Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFenerbahce
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
94-72
94
72
+22
93avg 79
H27/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
96-73
96
73
+23
97avg 79
A29/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
60-59
60
59
+1
48avg 79
H01/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
73-72
73
72
+1
62avg 79
H03/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
93-102
93
102
-9
86avg 79
A05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
102-93 OT
102
93
+9
99avg 79
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
80-88
80
88
-8
72avg 79
H13/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
93-68
93
68
+25
95avg 79
H15/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
82-71
82
71
+11
79avg 79
A17/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
77-75
77
75
+2
71avg 79
A19/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-19
17-13
21-17
28-23
25-11
39-26
15-19
17-17
6-21
15-13
15-17
24-8
16-18
16-29
24-11
17-14
26-29
24-20
17-27
26-26
25-24
19-25
19-18
24-20
16-27
26-16
19-19
19-26
23-18
27-19
22-14
21-17
19-23
24-17
21-18
18-13
16-20
24-25
16-15
21-15
162.3Avg total
85.0Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.077.3162.3+7.780%
Last 5 (5)86.879.0165.8+7.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)61.079.0140.0-18.00%
vs Similar (20)83.281.2164.4+1.960%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)86.180.7166.8+5.467%
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
104-85
104
85
+19
109avg 80
H10/05
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
102-71
102
71
+31
100avg 80
H17/05
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
84-87
84
87
-3
80avg 80
H19/05
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
85-102
85
102
-17
70avg 80
A22/05
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
90-81
90
81
+9
84avg 80
A24/05
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
106-95
106
95
+11
105avg 80
H26/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
83-91
83
91
-8
70avg 80
H30/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
98-79
98
79
+19
102avg 80
H01/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 80
A04/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
78avg 80
A06/06
Lega A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-17
22-21
29-31
26-16
32-21
23-11
14-14
33-25
22-26
25-21
15-19
22-21
14-23
24-28
25-31
22-20
30-27
19-15
27-12
14-27
28-28
30-27
18-24
30-16
23-18
23-27
19-19
18-27
29-16
33-26
20-12
16-25
28-16
17-24
14-19
26-30
23-24
19-13
27-20
14-33
179.0Avg total
92.0Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)92.087.0179.0+5.050%
Last 5 (5)91.088.8179.8+2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)85.293.8179.0-8.525%
vs Similar (8)82.091.4173.4-9.425%
vs Weaker (18)88.383.3171.6+5.161%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.0-1.0Q1: +4.0+4.0Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +2.2+2.2Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: +0.7+0.7Q4Q4: +3.6+3.6Q4: -1.9-1.9
FenerbahceVirtus Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H27/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Esenler Erokspor
#8
W
64-37
64
37
+27
A29/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
21-34
21
34
-13
H01/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H03/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
W
50-49
50
49
+1
A05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#4
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H13/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H15/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A17/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Besiktas
#2
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A19/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
84.4Avg total
43.1Scored
41.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.740.982.6+0.853%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.138.979.0+1.150%-
Last 30 away (16)43.142.685.7+0.656%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.384.4+1.850%-
Last 5 (5)43.842.886.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)24.033.057.0-9.00%-
vs Similar (20)41.042.383.2-1.345%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)45.338.683.9+6.878%-
This opponent (Virtus Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Virtus BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Varese
#8
W
49-38
49
38
+11
H10/05
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
55-32
55
32
+23
H17/05
Lega A
Trento
#9
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H19/05
Lega A
Trento
#9
L
38-51
38
51
-13
A22/05
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
49-42
49
42
+7
A24/05
Lega A
Trento
#9
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H26/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
46-45
46
45
+1
H30/05
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
62-42
62
42
+20
H01/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A04/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A06/06
Lega A
92.0Avg total
49.1Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.143.989.0+1.253%-
Last 30 at home (17)49.244.293.5+5.065%-
Last 30 away (13)39.743.483.1-3.738%-
Last 10 (10)49.142.992.0+6.280%-
Last 5 (5)50.643.894.4+6.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (4)42.549.592.0-7.025%-
vs Similar (8)44.446.691.0-2.225%-
vs Weaker (18)46.041.487.4+4.672%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 85.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.4 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws20.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.316.2
53.5%
55.2%32.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.8
36.7%
35.7%32.4
🏀 Free throws26.420.2
76.5%
77.1%20.2
They take 59.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Virtus Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 92.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.5 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.8 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.621.3
56.6%
55.2%42.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.3
37.3%
35.7%30.9
🏀 Free throws24.218.5
76.4%
77.1%18.5
They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 25 Sep 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WWWLWLWWWW
Virtus Bologna
LLWLWWLLWW
#7
League position
#16
+9.5
Net rating
+5.9
104.3
Offensive rating
107.8
94.9
Defensive rating
102.0
54.3%
Effective FG%
56.4%
51.2%
Opp. effective FG%
56.4%
14.4%
Turnover %
13.5%
0.44
Free-throw rate
0.37
36.7%
3-point %
37.3%
59.6%
Assist %
61.1%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.3 · 107.8Defence94.9 · 102.0Shooting54.3% · 56.4%3-point %36.7% · 37.3%Ball care14.4% · 13.5%Free throws0.44 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)80% · 50%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Virtus Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
6
Fenerbahce wins
2
Virtus Bologna wins
DateGameScore
21/01/26Virtus Bologna v Fenerbahce80-85
25/11/25Fenerbahce v Virtus Bologna66-64
31/01/25Fenerbahce v Virtus Bologna95-81
20/11/24Virtus Bologna v Fenerbahce82-86
25/01/24Fenerbahce v Virtus Bologna88-75
23/11/23Virtus Bologna v Fenerbahce87-79
03/03/23Fenerbahce v Virtus Bologna104-72
30/12/22Virtus Bologna v Fenerbahce92-88
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/06/26ABesiktas77-75
17/06/26ABesiktas82-71
15/06/26HBesiktas93-68
13/06/26HBesiktas80-88
07/06/26AAnadolu Efes102-93 OT
05/06/26AAnadolu Efes93-102
03/06/26HAnadolu Efes73-72
01/06/26HAnadolu Efes60-59
29/05/26AEsenler Erokspor96-73
27/05/26HEsenler Erokspor94-72
Virtus Bolognalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/06/26AVenezia83-90
04/06/26AVenezia85-89
01/06/26HVenezia98-79
30/05/26HVenezia83-91
26/05/26HTrento106-95
24/05/26ATrento90-81
22/05/26ATrento85-102
19/05/26HTrento84-87
17/05/26HTrento102-71
10/05/26HVarese104-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
Virtus Bologna
Euroleague 2026
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Panathinaikos110100%91.072.0+19.0
2 Olympiacos110100%106.089.0+17.0
3 Lyon-Villeurbanne110100%84.074.0+10.0
4 Barcelona110100%89.082.0+7.0
5 Zalgiris Kaunas110100%83.077.0+6.0
6 Bayern110100%86.084.0+2.0
7 Valencia110100%96.094.0+2.0
8 Dubai110100%78.077.0+1.0
9 Real Madrid1010%77.078.0-1.0
10 Besiktas1010%94.096.0-2.0
11 Hapoel Tel-Aviv1010%84.086.0-2.0
12 Crvena zvezda1010%77.083.0-6.0
13 Anadolu Efes1010%82.089.0-7.0
14 Maccabi Tel Aviv1010%74.084.0-10.0
15 Baskonia1010%89.0106.0-17.0
16 Paris1010%72.091.0-19.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2316201978
Virtus Bologna1721171368
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