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Fenerbahce vs Lokomotiv Kuban Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 23 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 89-105
36-24 22-27 17-29 14-25
Position#4
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game94.0
Allowed / game79.0
vs
Position#2
Record1-0
FormLLLLW
Points / game100.0
Allowed / game98.0
RussiaVTB Super CupVTB Super Cup - Semi-finals· VTB Arena
Other2023
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Lokomotiv Kuban
23 Sep 2023
FEN89
LKU105
14 Jan 2016
FEN85
LKU79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lokomotiv Kuban winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
91-96
91
96
-5
A16/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#12
W
101-96
101
96
+5
H18/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#5
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H22/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H27/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
98-87
98
87
+11
A31/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
108-66
108
66
+42
H03/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
91-97
91
97
-6
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
MBA Moscow
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A21/09
VTB Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-28
21-19
23-28
19-21
32-23
29-26
17-21
23-26
22-21
23-21
19-20
20-20
28-20
19-15
20-20
26-23
26-13
23-25
21-22
28-27
23-17
28-20
26-17
31-12
25-16
20-24
16-25
29-27
24-22
27-30
27-19
13-26
20-16
21-29
20-20
17-22
16-21
27-22
27-14
24-22
178.8Avg total
92.8Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.886.0178.8+6.860%
Last 5 (5)92.284.2176.4+8.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.276.4149.6-3.240%
vs Similar (11)86.687.2173.8-0.527%
vs Weaker (14)89.480.1169.4+9.371%
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv KubanRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
73-79
73
79
-6
H22/04
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
85-68
85
68
+17
A25/04
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
75-98
75
98
-23
H28/04
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
103-100 OT
103
100
+3
A01/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
W
88-76
88
76
+12
A06/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A08/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
81-82
81
82
-1
H11/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
88-90 OT
88
90
-2
H13/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
89-98
89
98
-9
A16/05
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#6
W
100-98 OT
100
98
+2
H21/09
VTB Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-20
23-17
18-18
16-24
26-12
22-19
21-19
16-18
15-27
14-25
22-23
24-23
25-22
14-25
21-21
25-17
22-23
20-14
21-22
25-17
19-24
27-14
16-20
14-21
18-25
30-19
22-22
11-16
12-19
20-29
27-14
22-19
17-26
20-32
28-19
24-21
18-24
23-21
32-25
13-16
172.6Avg total
85.8Scored
86.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)100.098.0198.0+2.0100%
Season at home (1)100.098.0198.0+2.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)85.886.8172.6-1.040%
Last 5 (5)86.889.4176.2-2.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)82.583.8166.4-1.342%
vs Similar (6)79.277.3156.5+1.850%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)86.869.2156.0+17.6100%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.7+4.7Q1: -3.4-3.4Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -0.2-0.2Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: -0.2-0.2
FenerbahceLokomotiv Kuban
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
49-47
49
47
+2
A16/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Petkim Spor
#12
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H18/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#5
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H22/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H27/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A31/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H03/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
MBA Moscow
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A21/09
VTB Super Cup
91.0Avg total
48.2Scored
42.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.239.983.1+3.350%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.436.580.9+7.971%-
Last 30 away (16)42.142.985.1-0.831%-
Last 10 (10)48.242.891.0+5.470%-
Last 5 (5)46.243.489.6+2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)33.837.871.6-4.00%-
vs Similar (11)45.342.687.9+2.655%-
vs Weaker (14)44.938.683.5+6.464%-
This opponent (Lokomotiv Kuban) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Lokomotiv KubanLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
39-37
39
37
+2
H22/04
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
W
48-31
48
31
+17
A25/04
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H28/04
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
39-47
39
47
-8
A01/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A06/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A08/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H11/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
32-48
32
48
-16
H13/05
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#2
L
37-58
37
58
-21
A16/05
VTB United League
CSKA Moscow
#6
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H21/09
VTB Super Cup
83.8Avg total
40.1Scored
43.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.641.482.0-0.847%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.141.679.8-3.536%-
Last 30 away (16)42.841.284.0+1.556%-
Last 10 (10)40.143.783.8-3.650%-
Last 5 (5)40.846.687.4-5.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)40.643.283.8-2.647%-
vs Similar (6)39.039.578.5-0.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)42.437.079.4+5.460%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.8
49.4%
-39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.88.1
37.2%
-24.3
🏀 Free throws16.412.8
78.0%
-12.8
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lokomotiv Kubantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lokomotiv Kuban: 86.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.923.5
52.3%
-47.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.18.2
35.5%
-24.6
🏀 Free throws20.015.2
76.0%
-15.2
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 34% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 23 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
WLLLWWWWWL
Lokomotiv Kuban
WLLLLWWLWL
#4
League position
#2
-5.7
Net rating
-1.0
112.7
Offensive rating
111.9
118.4
Defensive rating
112.9
51.6%
Effective FG%
52.6%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.8%
13.3%
Turnover %
15.4%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
31.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.29
37.2%
3-point %
35.5%
56.3%
Assist %
58.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Lokomotiv Kuban
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fenerbahce wins
0
Lokomotiv Kuban wins
DateGameScore
10/03/16Lokomotiv Kuban v Fenerbahce52-55
14/01/16Fenerbahce v Lokomotiv Kuban85-79
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/23AMBA Moscow94-79
09/06/23AAnadolu Efes78-87
07/06/23AAnadolu Efes91-97
05/06/23HAnadolu Efes90-92
03/06/23HAnadolu Efes108-66
31/05/23ATofas98-87
27/05/23HTofas93-78
22/05/23HBursaspor84-82
18/05/23HPetkim Spor101-96
16/05/23AAnadolu Efes91-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/09/23HCSKA Moscow100-98 OT
16/05/23AUnics Kazan89-98
13/05/23HUnics Kazan88-90 OT
11/05/23HUnics Kazan81-82
08/05/23AUnics Kazan76-79
06/05/23AUnics Kazan88-76
01/05/23ACSKA Moscow103-100 OT
28/04/23HCSKA Moscow75-98
25/04/23ACSKA Moscow85-68
22/04/23HCSKA Moscow73-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
VTB Super Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
Home--
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %100%-100%
Points / game94.0-94.0
Allowed / game79.0-79.0
Point differential+15.0-+15.0
Avg total173.0-173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%-100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Lokomotiv Kuban
VTB Super Cup 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game100.0100.0-
Allowed / game98.098.0-
Point differential+2.0+2.0-
Avg total198.0198.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %100%100%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fenerbahce110100%94.079.0+15.0
2 Nizhny Novgorod110100%86.082.0+4.0
3 Zenit Petersburg110100%72.069.0+3.0
4 Lokomotiv Kuban110100%100.098.0+2.0
5 CSKA Moscow21150%101.599.0+2.5
6 Besiktas21150%72.070.0+2.0
7 Unics Kazan2020%75.080.5-5.5
8 MBA Moscow2020%88.599.5-11.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce3622171489
Lokomotiv Kuban24272925105
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