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Fenerbahce vs Nizhny Novgorod Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Sep 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 82-80
24-17 17-21 20-23 21-19
Position#4
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game91.5
Allowed / game92.0
vs
Position#7
Record1-1
FormLLLWL
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game84.0
RussiaVTB Super CupVTB Super Cup - 3rd place· VTB Arena
Other2023
Meetings · Fenerbahce v Nizhny Novgorod
24 Sep 2023
FEN82
NNO80
05 Mar 2015
FEN92
NNO79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fenerbahce winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nizhny Novgorod winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FenerbahceRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#12
W
101-96
101
96
+5
H18/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#5
W
84-82
84
82
+2
H22/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
93-78
93
78
+15
H27/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
98-87
98
87
+11
A31/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
108-66
108
66
+42
H03/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
91-97
91
97
-6
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
78-87
78
87
-9
A09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
MBA Moscow
#8
W
94-79
94
79
+15
A21/09
VTB Super Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
L
89-105
89
105
-16
H23/09
VTB Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-23
29-26
17-21
23-26
22-21
23-21
19-20
20-20
28-20
19-15
20-20
26-23
26-13
23-25
21-22
28-27
23-17
28-20
26-17
31-12
25-16
20-24
16-25
29-27
24-22
27-30
27-19
13-26
20-16
21-29
20-20
17-22
16-21
27-22
27-14
24-22
36-24
22-27
17-29
14-25
179.5Avg total
92.6Scored
86.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)91.592.0183.5-0.550%
Season at home (1)89.0105.0194.0-16.00%
Season away (1)94.079.0173.0+15.0100%
Last 10 (10)92.686.9179.5+5.760%
Last 5 (5)88.492.0180.4-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.881.2157.0-5.333%
vs Similar (11)86.687.2173.8-0.527%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)88.778.4167.1+10.377%
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nizhny NovgorodRussiaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MBA Moscow
#7
L
67-71
67
71
-4
A15/03
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#14
W
80-57
80
57
+23
H17/03
Russian Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
84-72
84
72
+12
A19/03
Russian Cup
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A22/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
55-69
55
69
-14
H25/03
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
81-93
81
93
-12
H31/03
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
72-77
72
77
-5
H02/04
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
81-92
81
92
-11
A05/04
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#5
W
86-82
86
82
+4
A22/09
VTB Super Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
61-86
61
86
-25
H23/09
VTB Super Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-18
22-23
18-18
12-12
21-16
24-19
16-16
19-6
23-12
19-24
22-17
20-19
8-21
21-16
18-21
28-18
16-16
10-16
12-16
17-21
16-20
23-20
21-22
21-31
12-12
28-18
16-22
16-25
22-22
16-27
16-25
27-18
18-20
24-21
23-22
21-19
13-23
24-19
11-27
13-17
151.7Avg total
74.2Scored
77.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.584.0157.5-10.550%
Season at home (1)61.086.0147.0-25.00%
Season away (1)86.082.0168.0+4.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.277.5151.7-3.330%
Last 5 (5)76.286.0162.2-9.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)75.183.5158.6-8.430%
vs Similar (13)75.572.2147.8+3.362%
vs Weaker (7)81.165.4146.6+15.786%
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: +5.9+5.9Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +0.8+0.8Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -0.5-0.5Q4: +0.8+0.8
FenerbahceNizhny Novgorod
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FenerbahceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Petkim Spor
#12
W
61-49
61
49
+12
H18/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Bursaspor
#5
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H22/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H27/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Tofas
#6
W
49-38
49
38
+11
A31/05
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H03/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H05/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
51-52
51
52
-1
A07/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
Anadolu Efes
#1
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A09/06
Basketbol Süper Ligi
MBA Moscow
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
A21/09
VTB Super Cup
Lokomotiv Kuban
#2
W
58-51
58
51
+7
H23/09
VTB Super Cup
92.3Avg total
49.1Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.540.183.6+3.450%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.337.582.8+7.973%-
Last 30 away (15)41.742.784.5-1.027%-
Last 10 (10)49.143.292.3+5.970%-
Last 5 (5)47.646.293.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.840.077.8-2.217%-
vs Similar (11)45.342.687.9+2.655%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)44.738.082.7+6.762%-
This opponent (Nizhny Novgorod) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Nizhny NovgorodLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MBA Moscow
#7
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A15/03
VTB United League
Khimki M.
#14
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H17/03
Russian Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#4
W
42-36
42
36
+6
A19/03
Russian Cup
CSKA Moscow
#1
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A22/03
VTB United League
MBA Moscow
#7
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H25/03
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H31/03
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H02/04
VTB United League
Lokomotiv Kuban
#4
L
38-49
38
49
-11
A05/04
VTB United League
Unics Kazan
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
A22/09
VTB Super Cup
Zenit Petersburg
#1
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H23/09
VTB Super Cup
75.8Avg total
37.5Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.737.476.1+1.257%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.239.179.3+1.153%-
Last 30 away (15)37.135.872.9+1.360%-
Last 10 (10)37.538.375.8-0.840%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.479.6-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.643.081.6-4.430%-
vs Similar (13)38.736.675.3+2.162%-
vs Weaker (7)38.731.069.7+7.786%-
This opponent (Fenerbahce) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fenerbahcetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fenerbahce: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.8 pts a game · 17% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.119.8
49.4%
-39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.88.1
37.2%
-24.3
🏀 Free throws16.412.8
78.0%
-12.8
They take 61.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nizhny Novgorodtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nizhny Novgorod: 74.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.0 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 18% of the points

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.115.5
49.8%
-31.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.210.0
36.8%
-30.0
🏀 Free throws16.413.1
79.9%
-13.1
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes. Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Sep 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fenerbahce
LWLLLWWWWW
Nizhny Novgorod
LWLLLLLWWL
#4
League position
#7
-5.7
Net rating
-5.0
112.7
Offensive rating
104.9
118.4
Defensive rating
109.9
51.6%
Effective FG%
52.3%
56.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.5%
13.3%
Turnover %
21.5%
30.2%
Off. rebound %
31.2%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.28
37.2%
3-point %
36.8%
56.3%
Assist %
76.9%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Fenerbahce   ■ Nizhny Novgorod
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Fenerbahce wins
0
Nizhny Novgorod wins
DateGameScore
05/03/15Fenerbahce v Nizhny Novgorod92-79
09/01/15Nizhny Novgorod v Fenerbahce60-78
Fenerbahcelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23HLokomotiv Kuban89-105
21/09/23AMBA Moscow94-79
09/06/23AAnadolu Efes78-87
07/06/23AAnadolu Efes91-97
05/06/23HAnadolu Efes90-92
03/06/23HAnadolu Efes108-66
31/05/23ATofas98-87
27/05/23HTofas93-78
22/05/23HBursaspor84-82
18/05/23HPetkim Spor101-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/09/23HZenit Petersburg61-86
22/09/23AUnics Kazan86-82
05/04/23ALokomotiv Kuban81-92
02/04/23HLokomotiv Kuban72-77
31/03/23HLokomotiv Kuban81-93
25/03/23HMBA Moscow55-69
22/03/23ACSKA Moscow75-76
19/03/23AZenit Petersburg84-72
17/03/23HKhimki M.80-57
15/03/23AMBA Moscow67-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fenerbahce
VTB Super Cup 2023
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game91.589.094.0
Allowed / game92.0105.079.0
Point differential-0.5-16.0+15.0
Avg total183.5194.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nizhny Novgorod
VTB Super Cup 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%0%100%
Points / game73.561.086.0
Allowed / game84.086.082.0
Point differential-10.5-25.0+4.0
Avg total157.5147.0168.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zenit Petersburg220100%79.065.0+14.0
2 Lokomotiv Kuban220100%102.593.5+9.0
3 Besiktas32167%78.375.7+2.7
4 Fenerbahce21150%91.592.0-0.5
5 Nizhny Novgorod21150%73.584.0-10.5
6 Unics Kazan31233%77.775.0+2.7
7 CSKA Moscow31233%96.796.3+0.3
8 MBA Moscow3030%80.394.0-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fenerbahce2417202182
Nizhny Novgorod1721231980
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