PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Ferrara vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 04 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 74-79
25-19 20-26 18-15 11-19
Position#21
Record7-7
FormLWWWL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game81.6
vs
Pistoia 🏆
Italy
Position#5
Record11-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game75.1
Allowed / game62.4
ItalySerie A2Round 15
Other2022-23
Meetings · Ferrara v Pistoia
04 Jan 2023
FER74
PIS79
28 Mar 2021
FER82
PIS80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferrara winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerraraItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#9
W
85-84
85
84
+1
H30/10
Serie A2
Ravenna
#27
L
74-90
74
90
-16
A06/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
W
80-78
80
78
+2
H13/11
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
L
81-89 OT
81
89
-8
A20/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
W
78-73
78
73
+5
A26/11
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
L
77-80
77
80
-3
H02/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
W
94-91
94
91
+3
H07/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
W
75-69
75
69
+6
A11/12
Serie A2
Mantova
#17
W
88-81
88
81
+7
H18/12
Serie A2
Udine
#8
L
71-97
71
97
-26
A22/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-21
21-21
22-20
22-22
15-15
21-17
17-26
21-32
19-21
13-21
22-19
26-17
16-20
23-17
18-18
16-18
16-31
20-11
22-15
20-16
16-21
16-17
24-20
21-22
24-32
27-19
21-16
22-24
21-16
13-17
21-18
20-18
23-25
17-23
22-19
26-14
23-19
12-33
9-24
27-21
163.5Avg total
80.3Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)76.281.6157.8-5.450%
Season at home (7)81.781.6163.3+0.171%
Season away (7)70.781.6152.3-10.929%
Last 10 (10)80.383.2163.5-2.960%
Last 5 (5)81.083.6164.6-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)74.481.4155.8-7.050%
vs Similar (17)79.982.5162.4-2.547%
vs Weaker (5)81.670.2151.8+11.4100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Severo
#20
W
54-45
54
45
+9
H26/10
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
W
86-78
86
78
+8
A30/10
Serie A2
Mantova
#17
W
83-58
83
58
+25
H06/11
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
73-54
73
54
+19
A20/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
W
63-47
63
47
+16
H27/11
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
68-70
68
70
-2
A04/12
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
67-61
67
61
+6
H07/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
L
67-75
67
75
-8
A11/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
W
79-62
79
62
+17
H18/12
Serie A2
Ravenna
#27
W
86-65
86
65
+21
H21/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-13
11-17
11-9
17-6
30-13
20-22
17-16
19-27
26-18
20-11
15-14
22-15
16-16
16-13
23-15
18-10
8-12
22-10
6-16
27-9
16-9
13-28
16-13
23-20
16-18
22-10
13-19
16-14
16-14
8-16
18-24
25-21
20-9
19-18
26-15
14-20
26-15
21-15
18-12
21-23
134.1Avg total
72.6Scored
61.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)75.162.4137.6+12.779%
Season at home (8)73.156.2129.4+16.9100%
Season away (6)77.870.7148.5+7.250%
Last 10 (10)72.661.5134.1+11.180%
Last 5 (5)73.466.6140.0+6.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)71.082.0153.0-11.00%
vs Similar (16)68.870.4139.2-1.644%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)77.161.1138.2+16.092%
This opponent (Ferrara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +5.2+5.2Q2Q2: -1.3-1.3Q2: +1.2+1.2Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q4Q4: +1.7+1.7Q4: +3.7+3.7
FerraraPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerraraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Cento
#9
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H30/10
Serie A2
Ravenna
#27
W
36-32
36
32
+4
A06/11
Serie A2
Forli
#2
L
32-42
32
42
-10
H13/11
Serie A2
San Severo
#20
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A20/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
36-42
36
42
-6
A26/11
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
L
32-38
32
38
-6
H02/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
D
51-51
51
51
+0
H07/12
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A11/12
Serie A2
Mantova
#17
L
40-48
40
48
-8
H18/12
Serie A2
Udine
#8
L
35-52
35
52
-17
A22/12
Serie A2
79.3Avg total
37.6Scored
41.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.241.779.9-3.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.142.483.4-1.338%-
Last 30 away (14)34.940.975.8-5.950%-
Last 10 (10)37.641.779.3-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.444.482.8-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.942.878.6-6.90%-
vs Similar (17)38.041.679.6-3.653%-
vs Weaker (5)42.640.282.8+2.480%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Severo
#20
L
26-30
26
30
-4
H26/10
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#14
W
50-35
50
35
+15
A30/10
Serie A2
Mantova
#17
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H06/11
Serie A2
Udine
#8
W
32-29
32
29
+3
A20/11
Serie A2
Chiusi
#23
W
30-22
30
22
+8
H27/11
Serie A2
Cento
#9
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A04/12
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#26
W
38-28
38
28
+10
H07/12
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#16
L
24-30
24
30
-6
A11/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#13
W
39-27
39
27
+12
H18/12
Serie A2
Ravenna
#27
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H21/12
Serie A2
65.8Avg total
36.1Scored
29.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.232.668.8+3.653%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.631.067.6+5.669%-
Last 30 away (14)35.734.570.2+1.236%-
Last 10 (10)36.129.765.8+6.470%-
Last 5 (5)35.430.465.8+5.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
vs Similar (16)33.534.868.3-1.331%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)39.529.568.9+10.085%-
This opponent (Ferrara) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferraratheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.5
48.1%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.2
28.1%
34.6%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
73.8%16.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ferrara wins
3
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
09/10/22Pistoia v Ferrara73-51
20/04/22Pistoia v Ferrara85-77
28/03/21Ferrara v Pistoia82-80
17/01/21Pistoia v Ferrara90-87 OT
Ferraralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/12/22AUdine71-97
18/12/22HMantova88-81
11/12/22AChiusi75-69
07/12/22HFortitudo Bologna94-91
02/12/22HPallacanestro Nardo77-80
26/11/22ACividale78-73
20/11/22ASan Severo81-89 OT
13/11/22HForli80-78
06/11/22ARavenna74-90
30/10/22HCento85-84
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/12/22HRavenna86-65
18/12/22HRimini79-62
11/12/22AFortitudo Bologna67-75
07/12/22HChieti Basket67-61
04/12/22ACento68-70
27/11/22HChiusi63-47
20/11/22AUdine73-54
06/11/22HMantova83-58
30/10/22APallacanestro Nardo86-78
26/10/22HSan Severo54-45

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferrara
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL50%
HomeWWLWW71%
AwayLLWWL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game76.281.770.7
Allowed / game81.681.681.6
Point differential-5.4+0.1-10.9
Avg total157.8163.3152.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)75% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %7%0%14%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2022-23
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW79%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1486
Win %79%100%50%
Points / game75.173.177.8
Allowed / game62.456.270.7
Point differential+12.7+16.9+7.2
Avg total137.6129.4148.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)-0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baltur Cento440100%72.564.2+8.2
2 Cantu1312192%80.166.9+13.2
3 Pistoia1411379%75.162.4+12.7
4 Forli1411379%76.369.9+6.4
5 Cremona1310377%79.769.5+10.2
6 Treviglio129375%75.467.1+8.3
7 Cento107370%78.572.0+6.5
8 Basket Torino139469%82.378.1+4.2
9 Udine149564%76.872.8+4.0
10 Pallacanestro Nardo148657%81.480.3+1.1
11 Assigeco Piacenza137654%78.174.0+4.1
12 Agrigento137654%76.973.2+3.7
13 Cividale158753%68.769.7-1.0
14 Fortitudo Bologna147750%77.276.1+1.1
15 Ferrara147750%76.281.6-5.4
16 Latina136746%76.779.4-2.7
17 Urania Milano136746%74.278.2-4.0
18 Rimini146843%76.077.4-1.4
19 Monferrato135838%76.779.1-2.4
20 Chiusi145936%71.675.7-4.1
21 San Severo145936%70.176.0-5.9
22 Mantova1551033%73.577.7-4.3
23 JuVi Cremona134931%70.377.2-6.9
24 Trapani134931%61.573.0-11.5
25 NPC Rieti123925%63.870.2-6.3
26 Chieti Basket1431121%75.678.8-3.2
27 Ravenna1431121%75.281.9-6.7
28 Stella Azzurra121118%74.184.6-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferrara2520181174
Pistoia1926151979
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.