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Ferrara vs Pistoia Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 28 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 16:00
Final 82-80
22-17 23-18 11-18 26-27
Position#15
Record9-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game75.3
Allowed / game77.8
Ferrara 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#17
Record9-12
FormLWWLL
Points / game72.2
Allowed / game75.5
ItalySerie A2Round 26
Other2020-21
Meetings · Ferrara v Pistoia
04 Jan 2023
FER74
PIS79
28 Mar 2021
FER82
PIS80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferrara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerraraItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latina
#24
W
71-65
71
65
+6
H06/01
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
74-59
74
59
+15
H10/01
Serie A2
Pistoia
#17
L
87-90 OT
87
90
-3
A17/01
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#8
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H24/01
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
63-91
63
91
-28
A27/01
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
H31/01
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#27
L
70-86
70
86
-16
A03/02
Serie A2
Latina
#24
L
64-92
64
92
-28
A17/03
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
L
72-78
72
78
-6
A21/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#3
L
83-86
83
86
-3
A24/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-16
20-23
15-11
19-15
15-15
21-13
12-21
26-10
14-21
23-15
15-24
24-16
27-17
21-15
18-24
14-17
20-15
15-31
15-22
13-23
22-13
20-22
19-22
20-28
13-16
17-23
17-21
23-26
19-21
15-33
12-19
18-19
22-18
23-23
12-25
15-12
21-26
17-19
22-21
23-20
155.0Avg total
74.5Scored
80.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.377.8153.2-2.550%
Season at home (8)80.074.5154.5+5.588%
Season away (10)71.680.5152.1-8.920%
Last 10 (10)74.580.5155.0-6.030%
Last 5 (5)74.085.4159.4-11.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)77.784.4162.1-6.720%
vs Similar ◀ (14)77.776.3154.0+1.464%
vs Weaker (6)80.580.8161.3-0.367%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chieti Basket
#21
W
86-74
86
74
+12
H24/01
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#8
L
86-92
86
92
-6
A27/01
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#25
L
68-81
68
81
-13
H31/01
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
64-79
64
79
-15
A10/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#3
L
67-86
67
86
-19
H21/02
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
51-65
51
65
-14
H24/02
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A28/02
Serie A2
San Severo
#26
W
68-50
68
50
+18
H03/03
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
L
61-76
61
76
-15
H14/03
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A17/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-21
18-13
25-22
20-18
20-35
21-20
24-15
21-22
23-28
18-16
12-21
15-16
15-21
14-17
13-22
22-19
20-15
14-28
17-20
16-23
10-20
10-16
17-12
14-17
22-19
19-17
25-28
25-14
16-7
17-13
16-13
19-17
21-20
11-15
7-24
22-17
15-17
18-29
14-24
25-11
147.6Avg total
71.4Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)72.275.5147.7-3.243%
Season at home (11)71.373.2144.5-1.955%
Season away (10)73.378.0151.3-4.730%
Last 10 (10)71.476.2147.6-4.830%
Last 5 (5)68.670.0138.6-1.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)69.481.5150.8-12.115%
vs Similar ◀ (13)76.277.3153.5-1.254%
vs Weaker (4)74.868.8143.5+6.075%
This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.2+1.2Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -2.4-2.4Q3Q3: -5.3-5.3Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: +0.9+0.9Q4: +2.5+2.5
FerraraPistoia
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerraraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Latina
#24
L
37-39
37
39
-2
H06/01
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
36-28
36
28
+8
H10/01
Serie A2
Pistoia
#17
W
37-36
37
36
+1
A17/01
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#8
W
48-32
48
32
+16
H24/01
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
35-46
35
46
-11
A27/01
Serie A2
Forli
#4
W
42-35
42
35
+7
H31/01
Serie A2
Stella Azzurra
#27
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/02
Serie A2
Latina
#24
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A17/03
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
45-41
45
41
+4
A21/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#3
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A24/03
Serie A2
77.7Avg total
38.2Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.639.178.6+0.553%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.138.879.9+2.353%-
Last 30 away (15)38.039.377.3-1.353%-
Last 10 (10)38.239.577.7-1.350%-
Last 5 (5)37.842.880.6-5.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)39.441.681.0-2.230%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)38.537.175.6+1.457%-
vs Weaker (6)42.339.381.7+3.083%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chieti Basket
#21
W
41-34
41
34
+7
H24/01
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#8
L
41-55
41
55
-14
A27/01
Serie A2
NPC Rieti
#25
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H31/01
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A10/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#3
L
34-43
34
43
-9
H21/02
Serie A2
Basket Napoli
#1
L
20-36
20
36
-16
H24/02
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#19
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A28/02
Serie A2
San Severo
#26
W
33-20
33
20
+13
H03/03
Serie A2
Ravenna
#10
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H14/03
Serie A2
Forli
#4
L
33-46
33
46
-13
A17/03
Serie A2
73.2Avg total
34.5Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.139.474.5-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.037.772.7-2.731%-
Last 30 away (14)35.341.476.6-6.129%-
Last 10 (10)34.538.773.2-4.230%-
Last 5 (5)31.834.666.4-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)32.241.874.0-9.78%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.939.277.2-1.346%-
vs Weaker (4)35.832.067.8+3.850%-
This opponent (Ferrara) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferraratheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.6 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.518.5
48.1%
50.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.2
28.1%
34.7%21.6
🏀 Free throws21.916.4
74.9%
74.0%16.4
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Ferrara wins
1
Pistoia wins
DateGameScore
17/01/21Pistoia v Ferrara90-87 OT
Ferraralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/03/21AScafati83-86
21/03/21ABaltur Cento72-78
17/03/21ALatina64-92
03/02/21AStella Azzurra70-86
31/01/21HForli81-85
27/01/21ABasket Napoli63-91
24/01/21HEurobasket Roma80-73
17/01/21APistoia87-90 OT
10/01/21HBaltur Cento74-59
06/01/21HLatina71-65
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/03/21AForli72-81
14/03/21HRavenna61-76
03/03/21HSan Severo68-50
28/02/21ABaltur Cento91-78
24/02/21HBasket Napoli51-65
21/02/21HScafati67-86
10/02/21ABasket Napoli64-79
31/01/21HNPC Rieti68-81
27/01/21AEurobasket Roma86-92
24/01/21HChieti Basket86-74

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferrara
Serie A2 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL50%
HomeWWWWL88%
AwayLLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18810
Win %50%88%20%
Points / game75.380.071.6
Allowed / game77.874.580.5
Point differential-2.5+5.5-8.9
Avg total153.2154.5152.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%12%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)75% (4)25% (4)
Overtime %11%12%10%
Pistoia
Serie A2 2020-21
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL43%
HomeLLLWL55%
AwayWLLWL30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %43%55%30%
Points / game72.271.373.3
Allowed / game75.573.278.0
Point differential-3.2-1.9-4.7
Avg total147.7144.5151.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%27%10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won80% (5)100% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%9%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Forli2319483%79.471.9+7.6
2 Basket Napoli2318578%78.767.8+11.0
3 Scafati2318578%82.373.7+8.6
4 Basket Torino2216673%82.571.4+11.2
5 Tortona2517868%77.669.2+8.4
6 Eurobasket Roma2314961%78.175.3+2.8
7 Udine23131057%76.977.3-0.5
8 Verona25141156%80.878.2+2.6
9 Urania Milano24131154%75.776.7-1.0
10 Assigeco Piacenza25131252%82.682.7-0.0
11 Baltur Cento20101050%72.072.5-0.5
12 Ferrara189950%75.377.8-2.5
13 Treviglio25121348%81.783.5-1.8
14 Trapani23111248%76.780.7-4.0
15 Monferrato24111346%74.780.3-5.6
16 Orzinuovi22101245%83.782.8+0.9
17 Chieti Basket1881044%74.076.1-2.1
18 Ravenna2191243%74.875.0-0.2
19 Pistoia2191243%72.275.5-3.2
20 Mantova24101442%74.276.8-2.5
21 Capo d'Orlando25101540%83.488.2-4.9
22 Bergamo2281436%76.976.4+0.5
23 Biella2591636%81.984.3-2.4
24 NPC Rieti2071335%74.877.4-2.6
25 Latina2061430%69.173.5-4.3
26 San Severo2041620%65.074.6-9.7
27 Stella Azzurra1831517%69.780.3-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferrara2223112682
Pistoia1718182780
← all games of the day
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