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Ferrara vs Stella Azzurra Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 16 Mar 2022
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 77-68
13-25 28-15 20-10 16-18
Position#7
Record12-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game81.4
Allowed / game79.3
vs
Position#26
Record6-15
FormWLWLW
Points / game69.9
Allowed / game72.4
ItalySerie A2Round 15
Other2021-22
Meetings · Ferrara v Stella Azzurra
16 Mar 2022
FER77
STEL68
13 Dec 2020
FER83
STEL81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferrara winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Stella Azzurra winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerraraItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baltur Cento
#11
W
82-70
82
70
+12
H19/12
Serie A2
Verona
#3
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A16/01
Serie A2
Ravenna
#6
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A23/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#2
W
83-81
83
81
+2
H30/01
Serie A2
San Severo
#15
L
73-78
73
78
-5
A06/02
Serie A2
Fabriano
#27
W
89-69
89
69
+20
H12/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#8
W
72-70
72
70
+2
A16/02
Serie A2
Latina
#18
W
114-108
114
108
+6
H20/02
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#23
W
100-84
100
84
+16
H06/03
Serie A2
Forli
#13
L
78-84
78
84
-6
A11/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
24-15
22-23
20-17
21-21
15-17
23-21
14-19
18-21
26-19
20-20
14-19
16-18
27-26
20-23
20-14
24-22
17-16
16-25
16-15
22-13
23-21
30-17
14-18
21-22
13-17
20-16
18-15
25-23
30-26
25-25
34-34
28-18
25-28
25-17
22-21
20-29
11-20
30-21
17-14
164.3Avg total
84.2Scored
80.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)81.479.3160.7+2.157%
Season at home (10)85.779.4165.1+6.380%
Season away (11)77.579.2156.6-1.736%
Last 10 (10)84.280.1164.3+4.160%
Last 5 (5)90.683.0173.6+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)73.083.7156.7-10.717%
vs Similar (17)78.576.8155.2+1.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)87.075.9162.9+11.186%
This opponent (Stella Azzurra) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stella AzzurraItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eurobasket Roma
#23
L
73-85
73
85
-12
A16/01
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#24
L
62-76
62
76
-14
A26/01
Serie A2
San Severo
#15
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H30/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#2
L
60-77
60
77
-17
A06/02
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#11
L
55-57
55
57
-2
A13/02
Serie A2
Fabriano
#27
W
81-52
81
52
+29
H16/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#8
L
60-77
60
77
-17
H20/02
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#21
W
89-76
89
76
+13
A03/03
Serie A2
Verona
#3
L
65-68
65
68
-3
H06/03
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#24
W
74-66
74
66
+8
H10/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-25
19-21
14-17
25-22
16-21
19-22
8-20
19-13
26-27
13-21
19-13
25-24
8-22
20-17
17-19
15-19
14-19
22-15
13-13
6-10
28-15
15-14
22-14
16-9
16-17
10-20
15-18
19-22
16-13
21-24
26-25
26-14
12-23
14-14
26-20
13-11
19-17
24-13
9-22
22-14
142.1Avg total
70.2Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)69.972.4142.2-2.529%
Season at home (11)69.971.6141.5-1.727%
Season away (10)69.873.2143.0-3.430%
Last 10 (10)70.271.9142.1-1.730%
Last 5 (5)73.867.8141.6+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)71.278.3149.5-7.115%
vs Similar (15)73.273.5146.7-0.347%
vs Weaker (2)76.050.5126.5+25.5100%
This opponent (Ferrara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.9+0.9Q1: -2.9-2.9Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: +2.3+2.3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q4Q4: +0.3+0.3Q4: +2.8+2.8
FerraraStella Azzurra
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerraraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Baltur Cento
#11
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H19/12
Serie A2
Verona
#3
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A16/01
Serie A2
Ravenna
#6
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A23/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#2
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H30/01
Serie A2
San Severo
#15
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A06/02
Serie A2
Fabriano
#27
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H12/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#8
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A16/02
Serie A2
Latina
#18
W
55-49
55
49
+6
H20/02
Serie A2
Eurobasket Roma
#23
W
53-46
53
46
+7
H06/03
Serie A2
Forli
#13
L
31-49
31
49
-18
A11/03
Serie A2
82.9Avg total
42.2Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.977.5-0.253%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.437.479.8+5.179%-
Last 30 away (16)35.440.275.6-4.831%-
Last 10 (10)42.240.782.9+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)43.643.487.0+0.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.841.376.2-6.517%-
vs Similar (17)38.937.676.5+1.359%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)41.439.981.3+1.671%-
This opponent (Stella Azzurra) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Stella AzzurraLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eurobasket Roma
#23
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A16/01
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#24
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A26/01
Serie A2
San Severo
#15
L
39-48
39
48
-9
H30/01
Serie A2
Scafati
#2
L
28-39
28
39
-11
A06/02
Serie A2
Baltur Cento
#11
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A13/02
Serie A2
Fabriano
#27
W
43-29
43
29
+14
H16/02
Serie A2
Chiusi
#8
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H20/02
Serie A2
Pallacanestro Nardo
#21
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A03/03
Serie A2
Verona
#3
L
26-37
26
37
-11
H06/03
Serie A2
Chieti Basket
#24
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H10/03
Serie A2
72.7Avg total
34.7Scored
38.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.637.673.2-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (15)34.435.569.9-1.133%-
Last 30 away (15)36.839.776.5-2.947%-
Last 10 (10)34.738.072.7-3.330%-
Last 5 (5)35.034.069.0+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)35.238.173.3-2.831%-
vs Similar (15)35.338.173.5-2.840%-
vs Weaker (2)40.030.570.5+9.5100%-
This opponent (Ferrara) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ferrara wins
1
Stella Azzurra wins
DateGameScore
10/10/21Stella Azzurra v Ferrara84-91
03/02/21Stella Azzurra v Ferrara86-70
13/12/20Ferrara v Stella Azzurra83-81
Ferraralast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/03/22AForli78-84
06/03/22HEurobasket Roma100-84
20/02/22HLatina114-108
16/02/22AChiusi72-70
12/02/22HFabriano89-69
06/02/22ASan Severo73-78
30/01/22HScafati83-81
23/01/22ARavenna78-79
16/01/22AVerona73-78
19/12/21HBaltur Cento82-70
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/22HChieti Basket74-66
06/03/22HVerona65-68
03/03/22APallacanestro Nardo89-76
20/02/22HChiusi60-77
16/02/22HFabriano81-52
13/02/22ABaltur Cento55-57
06/02/22AScafati60-77
30/01/22HSan Severo83-85
26/01/22AChieti Basket62-76
16/01/22AEurobasket Roma73-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferrara
Serie A2 2021-22
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL57%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLLLWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %57%80%36%
Points / game81.485.777.5
Allowed / game79.379.479.2
Point differential+2.1+6.3-1.7
Avg total160.7165.1156.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)100% (2)20% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Stella Azzurra
Serie A2 2021-22
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW29%
HomeLWLLW27%
AwayLLLLW30%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %29%27%30%
Points / game69.969.969.8
Allowed / game72.471.673.2
Point differential-2.5-1.7-3.4
Avg total142.2141.5143.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%9%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won22% (9)17% (6)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Udine2017385%79.867.6+12.2
2 Scafati2117481%82.870.2+12.5
3 Pistoia2117481%78.972.3+6.5
4 Verona2117481%74.769.0+5.7
5 Cantu1814478%83.176.4+6.7
6 Ravenna2215768%76.972.5+4.4
7 Treviglio2113862%79.574.6+4.9
8 Chiusi2113862%76.274.7+1.5
9 Monferrato2012860%75.775.7+0.0
10 Basket Torino2213959%81.578.0+3.5
11 Ferrara2112957%81.479.3+2.1
12 Baltur Cento2112957%68.868.4+0.4
13 Assigeco Piacenza21111052%77.976.0+2.0
14 San Severo21111052%76.976.5+0.4
15 Mantova2091145%76.877.1-0.3
16 Forli2091145%74.275.2-1.0
17 Trapani2091145%72.578.7-6.2
18 Eurobasket Roma2191243%73.975.4-1.6
19 Urania Milano2191243%75.878.0-2.3
20 Latina2291341%79.179.4-0.3
21 Chieti Basket2281436%71.277.4-6.1
22 Pallacanestro Nardo2171433%76.880.2-3.4
23 Capo d'Orlando2061430%77.081.2-4.2
24 Stella Azzurra2161529%69.972.4-2.5
25 Biella2161529%71.777.3-5.6
26 Bakery Piacenza2161529%75.782.7-7.0
27 Fabriano2131814%73.285.2-12.0
28 Orzinuovi201195%71.481.2-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 28 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferrara1328201677
Stella Azzurra2515101868
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