Ferro vs Atenas Prediction & Stats

Date: Wed 22 Apr 2020

Tip-off: 00:00

Postponed

Position#6

Record14-10

FormWLLWL

Points / game79.3

Allowed / game76.1

Ferro

Atenas

Position#17

Record10-15

FormWLLLW

Points / game80.4

Allowed / game83.0

Liga A

Other2019-20

Meetings · Ferro v Atenas

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Atenas win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferro

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

#19

78-72

H26/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

84-88

-4

A03/02

Liga A

Olimpico

77-95

-18

H08/02

Liga A

Argentino

#14

86-62

+24

A12/02

Liga A

Libertad

#20

106-58

106

+48

H15/02

Liga A

Penarol

#15

80-69

+11

H16/02

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

69-74

-5

H01/03

Liga A

Quimsa

92-96

-4

A05/03

Liga A

Olimpico

86-83

A07/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#11

82-83

-1

H11/03

Liga A

20-16

21-7

20-26

17-23

17-21

23-27

22-17

22-23

18-21

16-27

24-20

19-27

14-15

21-16

25-17

26-14

16-15

33-13

26-11

31-19

27-14

13-19

25-20

15-16

15-15

13-20

20-23

21-16

21-24

15-28

30-21

26-23

18-22

14-22

26-16

28-23

17-17

12-19

25-22

28-25

162.0Avg total

84.0Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (24)	79.3	76.1	155.4	+3.2	58%
Season at home (13)	81.2	76.4	157.6	+4.8	62%
Season away (11)	77.1	75.7	152.8	+1.4	55%
Last 10 (10)	84.0	78.0	162.0	+6.0	50%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	81.0	162.8	+0.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	74.7	80.3	155.0	-5.7	33%
vs Similar (16)	76.5	79.9	156.4	-3.4	44%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	84.2	66.9	151.1	+17.3	82%

This opponent (Atenas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Atenas

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nacional

0-20

-20

A07/02

Liga Uruguaya

Regatas

83-90

-7

A07/02

Liga A

San Martin

89-71

+18

A09/02

Liga A

Hebraica y Macabi

0-20

-20

H11/02

Liga Uruguaya

Gimnasia

68-81

-13

H12/02

Liga A

La Union

#16

97-82

+15

H14/02

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

61-82

-21

A27/02

Liga A

Quimsa

67-90

-23

A02/03

Liga A

Olimpico

70-100

100

-30

A03/03

Liga A

Penarol

#15

90-71

+19

H11/03

Liga A

–

24-27

15-20

18-16

26-27

14-13

23-22

23-20

29-16

–

16-23

12-25

19-11

21-22

24-18

20-20

23-20

30-24

13-24

13-11

21-20

14-27

21-21

10-25

17-22

19-22

15-21

11-22

21-26

23-31

18-19

22-16

28-15

22-21

133.2Avg total

62.5Scored

70.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (25)	80.4	83.0	163.5	-2.6	40%
Season at home (10)	86.0	79.9	165.9	+6.1	60%
Season away (15)	76.7	85.1	161.9	-8.4	27%
Last 10 (10)	62.5	70.7	133.2	-8.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	77.0	85.0	162.0	-8.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (18)	29.4	45.7	75.1	-16.2	11%
vs Similar (10)	84.4	81.9	166.3	+2.5	40%
vs Weaker (2)	74.5	68.5	143.0	+6.0	100%

This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FerroAtenas

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	17.6	37.9	+2.7	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.7	18.0	36.7	+0.7	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.3	18.0	36.3	+0.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.4	38.0	+1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	22.0	22.0	44.0	+0.0	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.0	19.3	38.3	-0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	19.7	14.5	34.2	+5.3	73%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	18.7	19.6	38.3	-0.9	42%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	21.8	19.1	40.9	+2.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (11)	16.5	19.9	36.4	-3.5	27%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.1	20.8	38.9	-2.6	25%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.2	20.6	38.8	-2.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.6	21.6	40.1	-3.0	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.0	20.2	39.2	-1.2	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	17.5	9.5	27.0	+8.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	17.1	35.9	+1.7	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.3	17.3	37.6	+3.0	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	16.9	33.9	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	19.8	37.9	-1.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.4	21.6	35.0	-8.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	19.7	19.3	39.0	+0.3	67%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.4	18.1	35.6	-0.7	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	20.5	15.0	35.5	+5.5	64%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	18.1	18.8	36.8	-0.7	47%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (11)	16.9	18.8	35.7	-1.9	36%	-
Last 10 (8)	15.8	20.1	35.9	-4.4	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	18.8	34.0	-3.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	15.3	21.0	36.3	-5.7	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	19.9	17.6	37.5	+2.3	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	17.0	35.5	+1.5	50%	-

FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Estudiantes

#19

41-23

+18

H26/01

Liga A

Gimnasia

40-48

-8

A03/02

Liga A

Olimpico

34-48

-14

H08/02

Liga A

Argentino

#14

35-31

A12/02

Liga A

Libertad

#20

49-28

+21

H15/02

Liga A

Penarol

#15

40-33

H16/02

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

28-35

-7

H01/03

Liga A

Quimsa

36-52

-16

A05/03

Liga A

Olimpico

32-44

-12

A07/03

Liga A

Weber Bahia

#11

29-36

-7

H11/03

Liga A

74.2Avg total

36.4Scored

37.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	34.9	73.3	+3.5	60%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.6	34.9	75.6	+5.7	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	35.8	34.9	70.6	+0.9	57%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.4	37.8	74.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	40.0	73.0	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	41.7	41.3	83.0	+0.3	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	36.4	37.4	73.9	-1.0	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	40.3	29.5	69.7	+10.8	91%	-

This opponent (Atenas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

AtenasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Regatas

39-47

-8

A07/02

Liga A

San Martin

37-35

A09/02

Liga A

Gimnasia

28-48

-20

H12/02

Liga A

La Union

#16

44-38

H14/02

Liga A

Instituto de Cordoba

26-35

-9

A27/02

Liga A

Quimsa

31-46

-15

A02/03

Liga A

Olimpico

26-43

-17

A03/03

Liga A

Penarol

#15

40-35

H11/03

Liga A

74.8Avg total

33.9Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	36.7	38.4	75.1	-1.6	53%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	41.4	37.9	79.2	+3.5	75%	-
Last 30 away (11)	33.4	38.7	72.1	-5.4	36%	-
Last 10 (8)	33.9	40.9	74.8	-7.0	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.4	39.4	72.8	-6.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	33.9	42.6	76.4	-8.7	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	38.9	37.8	76.7	+1.1	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	36.0	26.5	62.5	+9.5	100%	-

This opponent (Ferro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	19.5	39.4	+0.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.6	19.1	39.8	+1.5	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.0	20.0	39.0	-1.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.3	19.3	43.6	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	20.4	45.6	+4.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	14.3	16.7	31.0	-2.3	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	19.3	20.2	39.6	-0.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	22.2	19.3	41.5	+2.9	55%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	21.2	18.0	39.2	+3.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.1	22.5	41.5	-3.4	36%	-
Last 10 (8)	21.2	18.8	40.0	+2.5	75%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.6	42.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	18.1	19.3	37.4	-1.1	57%	-
vs Similar (10)	21.6	21.9	43.5	-0.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	18.5	37.0	+0.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	20.4	40.9	+0.1	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.0	20.1	41.1	+0.9	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.9	20.6	40.6	-0.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	20.9	44.2	+2.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	20.6	44.2	+3.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	18.7	22.3	41.0	-3.7	0%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.0	21.5	41.5	-1.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	21.7	18.2	39.9	+3.5	55%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	22.6	22.5	45.1	+0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	21.0	20.6	41.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (11)	23.8	23.8	47.6	+0.0	45%	-
Last 10 (8)	23.0	23.8	46.8	-0.8	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	25.0	46.6	-3.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	21.6	22.6	44.1	-1.0	29%	-
vs Similar (10)	23.9	22.2	46.1	+1.7	70%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.0	23.5	43.5	-3.5	0%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.4	39.9	80.3	+0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.6	39.2	80.9	+2.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.9	40.6	79.6	-1.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.6	40.2	87.8	+7.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	41.0	89.8	+7.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)	33.0	39.0	72.0	-6.0	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	39.3	41.8	81.1	-2.4	31%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)	43.9	37.5	81.4	+6.5	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	42.6	43.1	85.7	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	42.2	38.6	80.9	+3.6	62%	-
Last 30 away (11)	42.9	46.3	89.2	-3.4	36%	-
Last 10 (8)	44.2	42.5	86.8	+1.8	62%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	45.6	89.2	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)	39.7	41.9	81.6	-2.1	43%	-
vs Similar (10)	45.5	44.1	89.6	+1.4	60%	-
vs Weaker (2)	38.5	42.0	80.5	-3.5	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ferro wins

Atenas wins

Date	Game	Score
20/03/19	Atenas v Ferro	77-76
11/01/19	Ferro v Atenas	89-79
07/02/18	Atenas v Ferro	78-71
07/01/18	Ferro v Atenas	78-80
12/04/17	Atenas v Ferro	66-77
07/04/17	Ferro v Atenas	83-76
13/04/16	Ferro v Atenas	84-90
11/03/16	Atenas v Ferro	96-85

Ferrolast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/20	H	Weber Bahia	82-83
07/03/20	A	Olimpico	86-83
05/03/20	A	Quimsa	92-96
01/03/20	H	Instituto de Cordoba	69-74
16/02/20	H	Penarol	80-69
15/02/20	H	Libertad	106-58
12/02/20	A	Argentino	86-62
08/02/20	H	Olimpico	77-95
03/02/20	A	Gimnasia	84-88
26/01/20	H	Estudiantes	78-72

Atenaslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
11/03/20	H	Penarol	90-71
03/03/20	A	Olimpico	70-100
02/03/20	A	Quimsa	67-90
27/02/20	A	Instituto de Cordoba	61-82
14/02/20	H	La Union	97-82
12/02/20	H	Gimnasia	68-81
11/02/20	H	Hebraica y Macabi	0-20
09/02/20	A	San Martin	89-71
07/02/20	A	Regatas	83-90
07/02/20	A	Nacional	0-20

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	58%
Home	LWWLL	62%
Away	LLWLW	55%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	24	13	11
Win %	58%	62%	55%
Points / game	79.3	81.2	77.1
Allowed / game	76.1	76.4	75.7
Point differential	+3.2	+4.8	+1.4
Avg total	155.4	157.6	152.8
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	21%	31%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	44% (9)	0% (2)	57% (7)
Overtime %	4%	0%	9%

Atenas

Liga A 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	40%
Home	LWLWW	60%
Away	LWLLL	27%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	25	10	15
Win %	40%	60%	27%
Points / game	80.4	86.0	76.7
Allowed / game	83.0	79.9	85.1
Point differential	-2.6	+6.1	-8.4
Avg total	163.5	165.9	161.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	20%	30%	13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	43% (7)	50% (4)	33% (3)
Overtime %	4%	10%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Quimsa	21	18	3	86%	90.1	83.4	+6.8
2	San Lorenzo	21	17	4	81%	87.5	80.5	+7.0
3	Gimnasia	25	19	6	76%	87.3	79.8	+7.4
4	Instituto de Cordoba	22	15	7	68%	81.1	75.5	+5.6
5	Comunicaciones Mercedes	26	16	10	62%	86.0	78.3	+7.7
6	Ferro	24	14	10	58%	79.3	76.1	+3.2
7	San Martin	23	13	10	57%	82.8	79.5	+3.3
8	Regatas	25	13	12	52%	83.9	81.8	+2.1
9	Olimpico	24	12	12	50%	82.9	81.0	+1.9
10	Boca Juniors	26	13	13	50%	77.9	77.8	+0.2
11	Weber Bahia	26	12	14	46%	90.8	95.3	-4.4
12	Hispano Americano	27	12	15	44%	84.4	84.0	+0.3
13	Obras Sanitarias	26	11	15	42%	84.3	83.2	+1.1
14	Argentino	26	11	15	42%	77.4	83.3	-5.9
15	Penarol	27	11	16	41%	83.3	84.2	-0.9
16	La Union	25	10	15	40%	82.6	84.8	-2.1
17	Atenas	25	10	15	40%	80.4	83.0	-2.6
18	Platense	24	8	16	33%	75.8	82.5	-6.7
19	Estudiantes	27	7	20	26%	69.9	77.3	-7.3
20	Libertad	26	6	20	23%	71.0	83.5	-12.5

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Ferro vs Atenas Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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