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Ferro vs Racing de Chivilcoy Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 00:05
Final 80-81
19-20 21-24 21-20 19-17
Position#6
Record18-8
FormWWWLW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game82.8
vs
Position#14
Record8-19
FormWLLLW
Points / game78.5
Allowed / game82.0
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Héctor Etchart
Other2025-26
Meetings · Ferro v Racing de Chivilcoy
03 Dec 2026
FERR v RACI
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
FERR80
RACI81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Racing de Chivilcoy winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
L
75-88
75
88
-13
no box
A18/01
Liga A
Platense
#16
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
80avg 75
H23/01
Liga A
La Union
#10
W
84-69
84
69
+15
72avg 75
H26/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
103-110
103
110
-7
92avg 75
A04/02
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
93-79
93
79
+14
89avg 75
H07/02
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
88-82
88
82
+6
78avg 75
H11/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
76-75 OT
76
75
+1
71avg 75
H17/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
90-77
90
77
+13
85avg 75
H23/02
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
73-115
73
115
-42
61avg 75
A06/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
72-69
72
69
+3
61avg 75
A07/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-20
12-18
19-22
19-28
23-18
17-12
13-24
21-20
19-18
21-22
26-14
18-15
27-30
25-27
33-17
18-36
26-9
25-21
25-26
17-23
24-20
20-19
23-25
21-18
24-18
16-21
9-19
18-9
28-21
26-23
17-22
19-11
19-34
21-32
17-18
16-31
25-26
14-17
19-9
14-17
168.9Avg total
83.9Scored
85.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)85.482.8168.2+2.569%
Season at home (15)87.579.8167.3+7.780%
Season away (11)82.587.0169.5-4.555%
Last 10 (10)83.985.0168.9-1.160%
Last 5 (5)79.883.6163.4-3.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.284.8160.0-9.733%
vs Similar ◀ (19)85.881.0166.8+4.874%
vs Weaker (5)85.481.6167.0+3.880%
This opponent (Racing de Chivilcoy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Racing de ChivilcoyArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChivilcoy
Date
Competition
San Martin
#12
W
90-86
90
86
+4
76avg 67
A11/01
Liga A
Penarol
#11
L
85-91 OT
85
91
-6
no box
H15/01
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
73-78
73
78
-5
no box
A18/01
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
78-90
78
90
-12
62avg 67
A20/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
65-75
65
75
-10
57avg 67
A26/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
W
82-73
82
73
+9
80avg 67
H30/01
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
68avg 67
H13/02
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
74-77
74
77
-3
56avg 67
A19/02
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
90-98
90
98
-8
82avg 67
A04/03
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
89-84
89
84
+5
79avg 67
H07/03
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-21
22-20
18-17
31-28
26-15
21-20
18-18
11-23
13-27
19-19
26-14
15-18
20-28
17-20
21-22
20-20
13-22
17-22
22-20
13-11
17-21
18-25
26-10
21-17
27-22
22-23
14-25
21-16
14-30
23-8
21-20
16-19
23-23
24-28
23-21
20-26
22-21
22-20
25-19
20-24
164.8Avg total
81.0Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)78.582.0160.5-3.530%
Season at home (12)78.980.8159.7-1.833%
Season away (15)78.283.0161.2-4.827%
Last 10 (10)81.083.8164.8-2.830%
Last 5 (5)83.883.6167.4+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)75.582.3157.7-6.827%
vs Similar ◀ (14)80.380.9161.1-0.636%
vs Weaker (2)83.088.5171.5-5.50%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.4-1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.6+2.6Q1: -3.6-3.6Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -2.7-2.7Q4: -1.4-1.4
FerroRacing de Chivilcoy
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A18/01
Liga A
Platense
#16
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H23/01
Liga A
La Union
#10
D
40-40
40
40
+0
H26/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
52-57
52
57
-5
A04/02
Liga A
Atenas
#18
W
51-30
51
30
+21
H07/02
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H11/02
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#9
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H17/02
Liga A
San Lorenzo
#17
W
54-44
54
44
+10
H23/02
Liga A
Quimsa
#3
L
40-66
40
66
-26
A06/03
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
39-43
39
43
-4
A07/03
Liga A
86.3Avg total
43.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.842.083.8-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (17)42.539.682.1+2.953%-
Last 30 away (13)40.945.186.0-4.231%-
Last 10 (10)43.742.686.3+1.150%-
Last 5 (5)43.446.289.6-2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)34.845.880.7-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (19)42.440.983.3+1.547%-
vs Weaker (5)48.041.489.4+6.680%-
This opponent (Racing de Chivilcoy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Racing de ChivilcoyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
San Martin
#12
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A11/01
Liga A
Penarol
#11
W
47-35
47
35
+12
H15/01
Liga A
Obera TC
#5
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A18/01
Liga A
La Union
#10
L
37-48
37
48
-11
A20/01
Liga A
Obras Sanitarias
#7
L
30-44
30
44
-14
A26/01
Liga A
Olimpico
#13
L
35-46
35
46
-11
H30/01
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#2
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H13/02
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A19/02
Liga A
Argentino
#19
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A04/03
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#8
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H07/03
Liga A
83.4Avg total
39.9Scored
43.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)38.942.481.2-3.533%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.841.881.7-2.042%-
Last 30 away (15)38.142.880.9-4.727%-
Last 10 (10)39.943.583.4-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)42.444.286.6-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.544.582.1-7.036%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)39.440.680.0-1.329%-
vs Weaker (2)42.542.585.0+0.050%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 80.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.8 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.3
55.0%
53.7%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.59.5
29.2%
32.9%28.5
🏀 Free throws16.810.8
64.4%
71.5%10.8
They take 69.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Racing de Chivilcoytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Racing de Chivilcoy: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.1 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
48%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.220.6
52.4%
53.7%41.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.2
30.1%
32.9%21.7
🏀 Free throws20.313.9
68.3%
71.5%13.9
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 6/9 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ferro
WLWWWWLWLL
Racing de Chivilcoy
WLLLWLLLLW
#6
League position
#14
-2.4
Net rating
-9.7
105.1
Offensive rating
106.6
107.5
Defensive rating
116.3
49.8%
Effective FG%
49.6%
51.4%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.2%
3-point %
30.1%
56.4%
Assist %
39.2%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence105.1 · 106.6Defence107.5 · 116.3Shooting49.8% · 49.6%3-point %29.2% · 30.1%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.24 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)60% · 30%
■ Ferro   ■ Racing de Chivilcoy
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ferro wins
0
Racing de Chivilcoy wins
DateGameScore
05/10/25Racing de Chivilcoy v Ferro79-89
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26AOlimpico72-69
06/03/26AQuimsa73-115
23/02/26HSan Lorenzo90-77
17/02/26HInstituto de Cordoba76-75 OT
11/02/26HIndependiente de Oliva88-82
07/02/26HAtenas93-79
04/02/26AObras Sanitarias103-110
26/01/26HLa Union84-69
23/01/26HPlatense85-86 OT
18/01/26AGimnasia75-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/03/26HIndependiente de Oliva89-84
04/03/26AArgentino90-98
19/02/26AGimnasia74-77
13/02/26HBoca Juniors84-86
30/01/26HOlimpico82-73
26/01/26AObras Sanitarias65-75
20/01/26ALa Union78-90
18/01/26AObera TC73-78
15/01/26HPenarol85-91 OT
11/01/26ASan Martin90-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW69%
HomeWWWWW80%
AwayLLLLW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %69%80%55%
Points / game85.487.582.5
Allowed / game82.879.887.0
Point differential+2.5+7.7-4.5
Avg total168.2167.3169.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+42%53%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (6)100% (3)
Overtime %8%13%0%
Racing de Chivilcoy
Liga A 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW30%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLLLL27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %30%33%27%
Points / game78.578.978.2
Allowed / game82.080.883.0
Point differential-3.5-1.8-4.8
Avg total160.5159.7161.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+7%8%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won23% (13)20% (5)25% (8)
Overtime %4%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ferro2618869%85.482.8+2.5
2 Independiente de Oliva2617965%86.180.2+5.9
3 Obera TC2516964%80.875.8+5.0
4 Quimsa27171063%82.275.5+6.7
5 Gimnasia28171161%80.376.2+4.1
6 Obras Sanitarias25151060%81.378.6+2.7
7 Regatas26151158%76.774.2+2.5
8 La Union28161257%80.479.0+1.4
9 Boca Juniors27151256%81.377.8+3.4
10 Penarol26141254%80.280.7-0.5
11 Instituto de Cordoba28151354%75.975.4+0.5
12 San Martin28131546%75.274.8+0.4
13 Union De Santa Fe25111444%81.584.1-2.6
14 Olimpico28111739%78.479.2-0.8
15 Platense26101638%81.284.5-3.3
16 Atenas2591636%74.879.7-4.8
17 San Lorenzo28101836%78.982.9-4.0
18 Racing de Chivilcoy2781930%78.582.0-3.5
19 Argentino2762122%73.889.3-15.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferro1921211980
Racing de Chivilcoy2024201781
← all games of the day
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