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Ferro vs Racing de Chivilcoy Prediction & Stats

Date: Thu 03 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 23:00
Scheduled
Position#16
Record2-6
FormLWLLL
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game85.6
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.0/10
Around normal
4.7/10
Around normal
Position#13
Record3-6
FormLLLLL
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game82.8
ArgentinaLiga A· Estadio Héctor Etchart
Other2026-27
Meetings · Ferro v Racing de Chivilcoy
03 Dec 2026
FERR v RACI
upcoming
10 Mar 2026
FERR80
RACI81
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Racing de Chivilcoy win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FerroArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFerro
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
W
81-73
81
73
+8
73avg 73
H30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
54-88
54
88
-34
46avg 73
A03/06
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
68-79
68
79
-11
53avg 73
A01/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
W
97-92
97
92
+5
88avg 73
A09/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
83avg 73
A10/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
86-91
86
91
-5
79avg 73
A13/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
86-81
86
81
+5
81avg 73
H21/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
61-73
61
73
-12
49avg 73
A29/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
L
84-87
84
87
-3
no box
H11/11
Liga A
Penarol
#2
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
H13/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-19
26-17
26-20
19-17
19-21
14-30
13-20
8-17
17-21
20-23
22-14
9-21
33-28
14-23
27-23
23-18
17-12
22-20
12-22
22-19
20-16
28-24
18-24
20-27
30-20
20-17
19-14
17-30
14-23
19-22
15-11
13-17
20-18
26-12
19-21
19-36
20-22
19-13
18-15
19-35
163.3Avg total
78.7Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)81.585.6167.1-4.125%
Season at home (3)82.084.3166.3-2.333%
Season away (5)81.286.4167.6-5.220%
Last 10 (10)78.784.6163.3-5.930%
Last 5 (5)78.683.4162.0-4.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)82.887.6170.4-4.820%
vs Similar ◀ (24)78.280.0158.3-1.846%
vs Weaker (1)100.074.0174.0+26.0100%
This opponent (Racing de Chivilcoy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Racing de ChivilcoyArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChivilcoy
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
L
76-93
76
93
-17
65avg 69
H18/04
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
126-123 OT
126
123
+3
114avg 69
H09/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
72-78
72
78
-6
63avg 69
H11/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
W
84-78
84
78
+6
76avg 69
A14/10
Liga A
La Union
#14
W
74-68 OT
74
68
+6
65avg 69
A16/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
72-80
72
80
-8
60avg 69
H24/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
54-68
54
68
-14
39avg 69
H25/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
L
94-95 OT
94
95
-1
no box
A02/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
L
71-75
71
75
-4
no box
A04/11
Liga A
Regatas
#15
L
68-80
68
80
-12
no box
H09/11
Liga A
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
16-27
24-22
17-28
30-18
16-23
19-23
25-26
18-20
19-17
16-16
19-25
17-23
27-22
19-18
21-15
9-19
18-19
21-12
17-15
15-21
28-23
12-21
17-15
16-17
8-19
16-14
14-18
22-22
25-20
14-21
27-25
32-12
15-25
14-27
10-11
16-17
19-15
22-25
11-23
162.9Avg total
79.1Scored
83.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.482.8162.2-3.333%
Season at home (5)78.485.8164.2-7.420%
Season away (4)80.879.0159.8+1.850%
Last 10 (10)79.183.8162.9-4.730%
Last 5 (5)71.879.6151.4-7.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)75.381.4156.7-6.121%
vs Similar ◀ (15)82.783.1165.9-0.460%
vs Weaker (1)90.098.0188.0-8.00%
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +0.9+0.9Q2Q2: +0.7+0.7Q2: -1.9-1.9Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: -2.2-2.2Q4Q4: -6.8-6.8Q4: -2.3-2.3
FerroRacing de Chivilcoy
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FerroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gimnasia
#1
D
36-36
36
36
+0
H30/05
Liga A
Gimnasia
#1
L
33-51
33
51
-18
A03/06
Liga A
Argentino
#9
L
37-44
37
44
-7
A01/10
Liga A
Independiente de Oliva
#7
L
47-51
47
51
-4
A09/10
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A10/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A13/10
Liga A
Platense
#11
W
50-37
50
37
+13
H21/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A29/10
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H11/11
Liga A
Penarol
#2
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H13/11
Liga A
80.9Avg total
40.8Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.240.382.6+1.957%-
Last 30 at home (11)45.337.082.3+8.382%-
Last 30 away (19)40.542.382.7-1.842%-
Last 10 (10)40.840.180.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.480.6+5.880%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)41.240.681.8+0.660%-
vs Similar ◀ (24)41.840.582.2+1.354%-
vs Weaker (1)59.036.095.0+23.0100%-
This opponent (Racing de Chivilcoy) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Racing de ChivilcoyLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Regatas
#4
L
35-43
35
43
-8
H18/04
Liga A
San Martin
#18
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H09/10
Liga A
Gimnasia
#3
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H11/10
Liga A
Obera TC
#10
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A14/10
Liga A
La Union
#14
L
27-38
27
38
-11
A16/10
Liga A
Boca Juniors
#6
L
43-44
43
44
-1
H24/10
Liga A
Quimsa
#1
L
24-36
24
36
-12
H25/10
Liga A
Atenas
#5
W
47-42
47
42
+5
A02/11
Liga A
Instituto de Cordoba
#4
W
47-37
47
37
+10
A04/11
Liga A
Regatas
#15
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H09/11
Liga A
78.0Avg total
38.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.040.380.3-0.347%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.938.679.6+2.356%-
Last 30 away (14)38.942.281.1-3.436%-
Last 10 (10)38.539.578.0-1.040%-
Last 5 (5)39.238.277.4+1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (14)38.641.480.0-2.943%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)40.838.579.3+2.353%-
vs Weaker (1)47.051.098.0-4.00%-
This opponent (Ferro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferrotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro: 77.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.918.9
55.8%
54.4%37.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.47.5
25.5%
32.6%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.717.2
75.8%
72.7%17.2
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Racing de Chivilcoytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Racing de Chivilcoy: 81.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.4 points a game
47%
34%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.618.7
51.1%
54.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.28.9
32.7%
32.6%26.7
🏀 Free throws25.517.7
69.4%
72.7%17.7
They take 63.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 45%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 03 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ferro
LLLWLLWLLW
Racing de Chivilcoy
LLLLLWWLWL
#16
League position
#13
-4.4
Net rating
-1.3
107.2
Offensive rating
107.8
111.6
Defensive rating
109.1
47.6%
Effective FG%
50.2%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.4%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.40
25.5%
3-point %
32.7%
51.9%
Assist %
48.2%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence107.2 · 107.8Defence111.6 · 109.1Shooting47.6% · 50.2%3-point %25.5% · 32.7%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.40Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Ferro   ■ Racing de Chivilcoy
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Ferro wins
1
Racing de Chivilcoy wins
DateGameScore
11/03/26Ferro v Racing de Chivilcoy80-81
05/10/25Racing de Chivilcoy v Ferro79-89
Ferrolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/11/26HPenarol76-85
11/11/26HSan Martin84-87
29/10/26AGimnasia61-73
21/10/26HPlatense86-81
13/10/26AAtenas86-91
10/10/26AInstituto de Cordoba94-97 OT
09/10/26AIndependiente de Oliva97-92
01/10/26AArgentino68-79
03/06/26AGimnasia54-88
30/05/26HGimnasia81-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/11/26HRegatas68-80
04/11/26AInstituto de Cordoba71-75
02/11/26AAtenas94-95 OT
25/10/26HQuimsa54-68
24/10/26HBoca Juniors72-80
16/10/26ALa Union74-68 OT
14/10/26AObera TC84-78
11/10/26HGimnasia72-78
09/10/26HSan Martin126-123 OT
18/04/26HRegatas76-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL25%
HomeWLL33%
AwayLWLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%33%20%
Points / game81.582.081.2
Allowed / game85.684.386.4
Point differential-4.1-2.3-5.2
Avg total167.1166.3167.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %12%0%20%
Racing de Chivilcoy
Liga A 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL33%
HomeWLLLL20%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %33%20%50%
Points / game79.478.480.8
Allowed / game82.885.879.0
Point differential-3.3-7.4+1.8
Avg total162.2164.2159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)100% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %33%20%50%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quimsa87188%85.275.8+9.5
2 Penarol87188%82.174.8+7.4
3 Gimnasia129375%77.274.0+3.2
4 Instituto de Cordoba86275%77.976.5+1.4
5 Atenas75271%84.479.0+5.4
6 Boca Juniors85362%89.583.2+6.2
7 Independiente de Oliva42250%99.589.0+10.5
8 Olimpico84450%86.885.4+1.4
9 Argentino84450%77.979.5-1.6
10 Obera TC73443%80.083.1-3.1
11 Platense83538%76.978.6-1.8
12 Lanus114736%78.579.3-0.7
13 Racing de Chivilcoy93633%79.482.8-3.3
14 La Union62433%78.283.2-5.0
15 Regatas72529%73.375.7-2.4
16 Ferro82625%81.585.6-4.1
17 San Lorenzo82625%70.183.2-13.1
18 San Martin92722%81.687.4-5.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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