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Ferro W vs Instituto W Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 20 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 69-49
13-10 21-13 20-10 15-16
Position#4
Record16-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game72.1
Allowed / game63.6
Ferro W 🏆
Argentina
vs
Instituto W
Argentina
Position#5
Record19-3
FormWWWLW
Points / game67.6
Allowed / game52.9
ArgentinaLiga Femenina WomenLiga Femenina Women - Semi-finals· Estadio Arquitecto Ricardo Etcheverry
Women2026
Meetings · Ferro W v Instituto W
25 Apr 2026
FERR64
INST57
20 Dec 2025
FERR69
INST49
16 Mar 2024
FERR76
INST75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Instituto W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferro WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
El Bigua W
#14
W
76-55
76
55
+21
60avg 66
H19/11
Liga Femenina Women
Rocamora W
#15
W
78-67
78
67
+11
75avg 66
A22/11
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#10
W
69-52
69
52
+17
75avg 66
A24/11
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#10
W
85-62
85
62
+23
84avg 66
H29/11
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#10
W
59-50
59
50
+9
51avg 66
H06/12
Liga Femenina Women
Independiente Neuquen W
#13
W
76-55
76
55
+21
75avg 66
H07/12
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
66-82
66
82
-16
49avg 66
A08/12
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#3
W
67-54
67
54
+13
68avg 66
A12/12
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#7
W
85-68
85
68
+17
89avg 66
H14/12
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
W
85-68
85
68
+17
80avg 66
H15/12
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-18
12-12
20-11
16-14
20-14
19-25
22-15
17-13
19-15
21-17
10-15
19-5
15-19
22-15
20-16
28-12
13-11
22-10
7-8
17-21
17-14
20-16
18-14
21-11
18-23
16-26
14-18
18-15
17-12
23-12
17-10
10-20
31-19
13-9
18-20
23-20
18-11
14-20
26-18
27-19
135.9Avg total
74.6Scored
61.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)72.163.6135.7+8.573%
Season at home (12)76.063.8139.8+12.283%
Season away (10)67.463.3130.7+4.160%
Last 10 (10)74.661.3135.9+13.390%
Last 5 (5)75.865.4141.2+10.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)68.967.6136.5+1.340%
vs Weaker (20)73.060.4133.4+12.790%
This opponent (Instituto W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Instituto WArgentinaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gorriones W
#12
W
59-49
59
49
+10
50avg 61
A10/11
Liga Femenina Women
Bochas W
#17
W
87-55
87
55
+32
85avg 61
A12/11
Liga Femenina Women
Riachuelo W
#18
W
87-39
87
39
+48
82avg 61
H18/11
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
W
58-56 OT
58
56
+2
no box
H21/11
Liga Femenina Women
Riachuelo W
#18
W
70-48
70
48
+22
61avg 61
H05/12
Liga Femenina Women
Gorriones W
#12
W
68-46
68
46
+22
66avg 61
H06/12
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
W
70-46
70
46
+24
68avg 61
H07/12
Liga Femenina Women
Quimsa W
#9
W
75-46
75
46
+29
73avg 61
H12/12
Liga Femenina Women
Deportivo Chanares W
#1
L
59-63
59
63
-4
44avg 61
H13/12
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
W
58-56
58
56
+2
46avg 61
A14/12
Liga Femenina Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-10
11-7
16-19
20-13
18-14
21-15
23-12
25-14
21-13
17-8
22-10
27-8
12-15
10-11
15-12
13-12
18-14
23-8
7-14
22-12
18-7
14-10
17-15
19-14
22-12
17-16
16-5
15-13
10-19
20-13
24-12
21-2
16-26
15-11
14-15
14-11
10-24
22-11
17-9
9-12
119.5Avg total
69.1Scored
50.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)67.652.9120.5+14.786%
Season at home (13)67.249.7116.8+17.592%
Season away (9)68.257.4125.7+10.878%
Last 10 (10)69.150.4119.5+18.790%
Last 5 (5)66.051.4117.4+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)65.575.5141.0-10.00%
vs Similar ◀ (10)60.057.3117.3+2.770%
vs Weaker (18)69.152.7121.8+16.489%
This opponent (Ferro W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +7.4+7.4
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: +4.0+4.0Q1: +0.3+0.3Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +6.0+6.0Q3Q3: +2.7+2.7Q3: +4.8+4.8Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +7.4+7.4
Ferro WInstituto W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ferro WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
El Bigua W
#14
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H19/11
Liga Femenina Women
Rocamora W
#15
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A22/11
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#10
W
40-32
40
32
+8
A24/11
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#10
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H29/11
Liga Femenina Women
Union Florida W
#10
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H06/12
Liga Femenina Women
Independiente Neuquen W
#13
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H07/12
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A08/12
Liga Femenina Women
El Talar W
#3
W
40-24
40
24
+16
A12/12
Liga Femenina Women
Berazategui W
#7
W
44-28
44
28
+16
H14/12
Liga Femenina Women
Obras Sanitarias W
#2
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H15/12
Liga Femenina Women
69.6Avg total
37.8Scored
31.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.631.768.3+5.077%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.931.769.6+6.281%-
Last 30 away (14)35.131.666.8+3.571%-
Last 10 (10)37.831.869.6+6.080%-
Last 5 (5)37.432.469.8+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)35.132.367.4+2.860%-
vs Weaker (20)37.431.468.8+6.085%-
This opponent (Instituto W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Instituto WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gorriones W
#12
W
23-17
23
17
+6
A10/11
Liga Femenina Women
Bochas W
#17
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A12/11
Liga Femenina Women
Riachuelo W
#18
W
38-21
38
21
+17
H18/11
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
L
22-26
22
26
-4
H21/11
Liga Femenina Women
Riachuelo W
#18
W
41-22
41
22
+19
H05/12
Liga Femenina Women
Gorriones W
#12
W
32-17
32
17
+15
H06/12
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
W
39-28
39
28
+11
H07/12
Liga Femenina Women
Quimsa W
#9
L
30-32
30
32
-2
H12/12
Liga Femenina Women
Deportivo Chanares W
#1
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H13/12
Liga Femenina Women
Hindu W
#6
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A14/12
Liga Femenina Women
59.1Avg total
32.7Scored
26.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.428.560.9+3.957%-
Last 30 at home (17)32.428.160.4+4.359%-
Last 30 away (13)32.529.161.5+3.454%-
Last 10 (10)32.726.459.1+6.360%-
Last 5 (5)32.829.862.6+3.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.536.568.0-5.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)28.930.259.1-1.330%-
vs Weaker (18)34.426.761.1+7.878%-
This opponent (Ferro W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferro Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferro W: 75.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀37%
🏀🏀🏀47%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers28.2 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers35.1 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.0 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.914.1
39.3%
42.6%28.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.311.7
48.1%
27.2%35.1
🏀 Free throws19.012.0
63.2%
63.8%12.0
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Instituto Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Instituto W: 69.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀43%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.4 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.4 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 64.0 points a game
49%
33%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.615.2
43.9%
42.6%30.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.49.9
30.6%
27.2%29.7
🏀 Free throws15.89.4
59.5%
63.8%9.4
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 32.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 48% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ferro W
WWWLWWWWWW
Instituto W
WLWWWWWWWW
#4
League position
#5
+20.1
Net rating
+30.5
107.9
Offensive rating
101.8
87.8
Defensive rating
71.3
52.6%
Effective FG%
44.9%
38.6%
Opp. effective FG%
35.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.24
48.1%
3-point %
30.6%
57.8%
Assist %
70.9%
90%
Form (last 10/10)
90%

Profile

Offence107.9 · 101.8Defence87.8 · 71.3Shooting52.6% · 44.9%3-point %48.1% · 30.6%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.32 · 0.24Form (last 10/10)90% · 90%
■ Ferro W   ■ Instituto W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ferro W wins
0
Instituto W wins
DateGameScore
17/03/24Ferro W v Instituto W76-75
03/02/24Instituto W v Ferro W66-76
Ferro Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/12/25HObras Sanitarias W85-68
14/12/25HBerazategui W85-68
12/12/25AEl Talar W67-54
08/12/25AObras Sanitarias W66-82
07/12/25HIndependiente Neuquen W76-55
06/12/25HUnion Florida W59-50
29/11/25HUnion Florida W85-62
24/11/25AUnion Florida W69-52
22/11/25ARocamora W78-67
19/11/25HEl Bigua W76-55
Instituto Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/12/25AHindu W58-56
13/12/25HDeportivo Chanares W59-63
12/12/25HQuimsa W75-46
07/12/25HHindu W70-46
06/12/25HGorriones W68-46
05/12/25HRiachuelo W70-48
21/11/25HHindu W58-56 OT
18/11/25HRiachuelo W87-39
12/11/25ABochas W87-55
10/11/25AGorriones W59-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro W
Liga Femenina Women 2026
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW73%
HomeWWWWW83%
AwayLWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221210
Win %73%83%60%
Points / game72.176.067.4
Allowed / game63.663.863.3
Point differential+8.5+12.2+4.1
Avg total135.7139.8130.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%67%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Instituto W
Liga Femenina Women 2026
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW86%
HomeWWWWL92%
AwayLWWWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22139
Win %86%92%78%
Points / game67.667.268.2
Allowed / game52.949.757.4
Point differential+14.7+17.5+10.8
Avg total120.5116.8125.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+55%54%56%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)67% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %5%8%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Instituto W2219386%67.652.9+14.7
2 El Talar W2219386%75.162.0+13.1
3 Obras Sanitarias W2318578%73.162.7+10.3
4 Deportivo Chanares W2217577%73.064.0+9.0
5 Ferro W2216673%72.163.6+8.5
6 Hindu W2316770%58.650.7+7.9
7 San Jose W1911858%63.060.9+2.1
8 Berazategui W22111150%67.166.5+0.7
9 Gorriones W1981142%60.661.4-0.7
10 Quimsa W2291341%59.960.8-0.9
11 Union Florida W1971237%65.267.7-2.5
12 Avellaneda W1971237%60.162.7-2.6
13 Rocamora W1971237%60.469.5-9.1
14 Independiente Neuquen W1951426%62.472.9-10.5
15 El Bigua W1951426%60.171.0-10.9
16 Riachuelo W1931616%53.170.1-17.1
17 Lanus W1621412%57.964.5-6.6
18 Bochas W161156%52.873.7-20.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ferro W1321201569
Instituto W1013101649
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