Ferro-ZNTU vs Donetsk Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 15 Apr 2014

Tip-off: 15:00

Final 65-77

22-19 12-21 14-14 17-23

Position#4

Record17-10

FormWLWWL

Points / game75.9

Allowed / game76.5

Ferro-ZNTU

Donetsk 🏆

Position#5

Record18-9

FormWLLLW

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game76.7

FBU SuperleagueFBU Superleague - Quarter-finals

Other2013-14

Meetings · Ferro-ZNTU v Donetsk

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferro-ZNTU winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Donetsk winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferro-ZNTU Ukraine

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mykolaiv

61-100

100

-39

A06/02

FBU Superleague

Budivelnyk

80-89

-9

A15/02

FBU Superleague

Dnipro-Azot

#14

80-74 OT

A07/03

FBU Superleague

Donetsk

70-60

+10

H12/03

FBU Superleague

Goverla

#10

74-71

H14/03

FBU Superleague

Kryvbasbasket

#13

83-70

+13

A19/03

FBU Superleague

Khimik

56-89

-33

H23/03

FBU Superleague

Odessa

72-71

A28/03

FBU Superleague

Cherkaski Mavpy

#11

79-77

H31/03

FBU Superleague

Donetsk

75-92

-17

A12/04

FBU Superleague

29-25

13-21

10-25

9-29

20-16

30-22

15-29

15-22

22-15

16-17

12-16

20-22

9-22

25-19

20-12

16-7

19-22

25-12

16-23

14-14

27-19

17-13

22-19

17-19

14-17

16-28

16-23

10-21

22-16

22-29

17-8

11-18

23-26

20-14

20-26

16-11

17-18

28-27

15-18

15-29

152.3Avg total

73.0Scored

79.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	75.9	76.5	152.4	-0.6	63%
Season at home (13)	80.2	72.7	152.8	+7.5	92%
Season away (14)	71.9	80.0	151.9	-8.1	36%
Last 10 (10)	73.0	79.3	152.3	-6.3	60%
Last 5 (5)	73.0	79.8	152.8	-6.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	75.8	86.8	162.7	-11.0	33%
vs Similar ◀ (18)	78.7	76.3	155.0	+2.3	67%
vs Weaker (6)	76.8	66.5	143.3	+10.3	100%

This opponent (Donetsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Donetsk

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro-ZNTU

60-70

-10

A12/03

FBU Superleague

Lokomotiv Kuban

0-20

-20

A16/03

VTB United League

BC Kiev

81-68

+13

H19/03

FBU Superleague

Mykolaiv

72-81

-9

H21/03

FBU Superleague

Unics Kazan

0-20

-20

H23/03

VTB United League

BC Halychyna

79-77

H25/03

FBU Superleague

Azovmash Mariupol

44-65

-21

A29/03

FBU Superleague

BC Dnipro

#12

66-91

-25

A31/03

FBU Superleague

Budivelnyk

68-105

105

-37

H06/04

FBU Superleague

Ferro-ZNTU

92-75

+17

H12/04

FBU Superleague

22-9

19-25

12-20

7-16

–

28-18

13-18

20-12

20-20

10-22

18-24

24-14

20-21

–

30-15

13-20

22-30

14-12

9-19

15-19

7-15

13-12

21-21

20-21

9-23

16-26

15-27

19-24

16-27

18-27

18-17

27-28

18-15

29-15

123.4Avg total

56.2Scored

67.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (27)	79.9	76.7	156.5	+3.2	67%
Season at home (14)	85.6	76.1	161.7	+9.6	79%
Season away (13)	73.6	77.3	150.9	-3.7	54%
Last 10 (10)	56.2	67.2	123.4	-11.0	30%
Last 5 (5)	69.8	82.6	152.4	-12.8	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	50.6	68.8	119.4	-18.2	0%
vs Similar ◀ (14)	81.6	78.1	159.7	+3.6	64%
vs Weaker (5)	78.4	73.8	152.2	+4.6	80%

This opponent (Ferro-ZNTU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Ferro-ZNTUDonetsk

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.6	19.2	39.7	+1.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	20.2	40.9	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.5	18.2	38.8	+2.2	62%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.2	19.6	39.8	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	19.2	39.8	+1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.3	19.3	38.7	+0.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	21.2	19.7	40.8	+1.5	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.0	17.5	37.5	+2.5	67%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.5	44%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.8	20.6	40.5	-0.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	19.5	36.9	-2.1	36%	-
Last 10 (8)	19.1	18.5	37.6	+0.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	15.7	23.6	39.3	-7.9	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	19.4	18.4	37.8	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.0	20.6	40.6	-0.6	40%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.2	18.4	38.7	+1.8	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	21.0	17.2	38.2	+3.8	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	19.6	19.5	39.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.2	41.4	+1.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.6	22.2	42.8	-1.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.7	20.7	39.3	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	20.8	19.4	40.2	+1.4	56%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.2	13.3	33.5	+6.8	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.9	21.9	41.8	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	20.0	21.0	41.0	-1.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.7	22.8	42.5	-3.1	29%	-
Last 10 (8)	18.0	22.4	40.4	-4.4	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	22.4	41.2	-3.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.3	22.9	44.1	-1.6	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	18.9	22.4	41.2	-3.5	29%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.4	19.2	39.6	+1.2	40%	-

Ferro-ZNTULast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Mykolaiv

42-46

-4

A06/02

FBU Superleague

Budivelnyk

50-38

+12

A15/02

FBU Superleague

Dnipro-Azot

#14

38-32

A07/03

FBU Superleague

Donetsk

34-41

-7

H12/03

FBU Superleague

Goverla

#10

44-34

+10

H14/03

FBU Superleague

Kryvbasbasket

#13

44-32

+12

A19/03

FBU Superleague

Khimik

30-45

-15

H23/03

FBU Superleague

Odessa

44-45

-1

A28/03

FBU Superleague

Cherkaski Mavpy

#11

43-40

H31/03

FBU Superleague

Donetsk

45-45

A12/04

FBU Superleague

81.2Avg total

41.4Scored

39.8Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	37.6	78.4	+3.2	57%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.6	37.4	79.1	+4.2	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.1	37.8	77.8	+2.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.4	39.8	81.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.2	41.4	82.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	38.0	40.0	78.0	-2.0	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	41.9	39.1	81.0	+2.9	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	40.2	30.8	71.0	+9.3	100%	-

This opponent (Donetsk) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DonetskLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Ferro-ZNTU

41-34

A12/03

FBU Superleague

BC Kiev

41-36

H19/03

FBU Superleague

Mykolaiv

28-46

-18

H21/03

FBU Superleague

BC Halychyna

43-35

H25/03

FBU Superleague

Azovmash Mariupol

24-38

-14

A29/03

FBU Superleague

BC Dnipro

#12

41-42

-1

A31/03

FBU Superleague

Budivelnyk

34-51

-17

H06/04

FBU Superleague

Ferro-ZNTU

45-45

H12/04

FBU Superleague

78.0Avg total

37.1Scored

40.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	38.4	42.0	80.4	-3.6	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	39.8	41.6	81.5	-1.8	54%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	42.3	79.4	-5.2	29%	-
Last 10 (8)	37.1	40.9	78.0	-3.8	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.4	42.2	79.6	-4.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	37.0	46.4	83.4	-9.4	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	38.2	40.8	79.0	-2.6	43%	-
vs Weaker (5)	40.4	39.8	80.2	+0.6	60%	-

This opponent (Ferro-ZNTU) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.5	18.9	36.4	-1.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.8	18.4	37.2	+0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.3	19.4	35.7	-3.1	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.3	19.9	36.2	-3.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.8	36.8	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.5	19.5	37.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.4	19.2	37.7	-0.8	44%	-
vs Weaker (6)	14.5	17.5	32.0	-3.0	33%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	20.4	19.4	39.9	+1.0	52%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	23.3	18.5	41.8	+4.8	77%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	20.4	38.1	-2.6	29%	-
Last 10 (8)	16.0	19.5	35.5	-3.5	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	14.4	22.0	36.4	-7.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.6	21.9	39.4	-4.3	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.6	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	20.8	17.8	38.6	+3.0	60%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.3	18.8	37.1	-0.5	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	17.6	38.2	+3.1	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	16.2	19.9	36.2	-3.7	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.3	19.2	33.5	-4.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	19.6	33.4	-5.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	16.2	22.5	38.7	-6.3	0%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	18.3	18.1	36.3	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.5	17.5	38.0	+3.0	67%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	19.9	18.9	38.7	+1.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.2	17.8	36.9	+1.4	46%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.5	19.9	40.4	+0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (8)	17.1	18.6	35.8	-1.5	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.4	36.4	-0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.7	21.4	39.1	-3.7	43%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	22.1	18.6	40.6	+3.5	57%	-
vs Weaker (5)	17.2	16.2	33.4	+1.0	40%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	35.8	37.8	73.5	-2.0	47%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	39.4	36.0	75.4	+3.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (16)	32.6	39.3	71.9	-6.8	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	30.6	39.1	69.7	-8.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.8	38.4	70.2	-6.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	33.7	42.0	75.7	-8.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (18)	36.7	37.3	74.0	-0.6	50%	-
vs Weaker (6)	35.0	35.0	70.0	+0.0	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (27)	40.3	38.3	78.6	+2.0	56%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	42.5	36.2	78.7	+6.2	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.3	40.2	78.5	-1.9	43%	-
Last 10 (8)	33.1	38.1	71.2	-5.0	38%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	40.4	72.8	-8.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	35.3	43.3	78.6	-8.0	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (14)	43.4	37.3	80.7	+6.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (5)	38.0	34.0	72.0	+4.0	60%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Ferro-ZNTU wins

Donetsk wins

Date	Game	Score
12/04/14	Donetsk v Ferro-ZNTU	92-75
12/03/14	Ferro-ZNTU v Donetsk	70-60
06/12/13	Donetsk v Ferro-ZNTU	89-68
10/02/13	Donetsk v Ferro-ZNTU	97-76
17/11/12	Ferro-ZNTU v Donetsk	91-83
24/10/12	Donetsk v Ferro-ZNTU	86-59
12/05/12	Ferro-ZNTU v Donetsk	73-75
10/05/12	Donetsk v Ferro-ZNTU	67-86
07/05/12	Ferro-ZNTU v Donetsk	60-57
05/05/12	Ferro-ZNTU v Donetsk	69-79

Ferro-ZNTUlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/04/14	A	Donetsk	75-92
31/03/14	H	Cherkaski Mavpy	79-77
28/03/14	A	Odessa	72-71
23/03/14	H	Khimik	56-89
19/03/14	A	Kryvbasbasket	83-70
14/03/14	H	Goverla	74-71
12/03/14	H	Donetsk	70-60
07/03/14	A	Dnipro-Azot	80-74 OT
15/02/14	A	Budivelnyk	80-89
06/02/14	A	Mykolaiv	61-100

Donetsklast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/04/14	H	Ferro-ZNTU	92-75
06/04/14	H	Budivelnyk	68-105
31/03/14	A	BC Dnipro	66-91
29/03/14	A	Azovmash Mariupol	44-65
25/03/14	H	BC Halychyna	79-77
23/03/14	H	Unics Kazan	0-20
21/03/14	H	Mykolaiv	72-81
19/03/14	H	BC Kiev	81-68
16/03/14	A	Lokomotiv Kuban	0-20
12/03/14	A	Ferro-ZNTU	60-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferro-ZNTU

FBU Superleague 2013-14

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	63%
Home	WWWLW	92%
Away	LWWWL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	13	14
Win %	63%	92%	36%
Points / game	75.9	80.2	71.9
Allowed / game	76.5	72.7	80.0
Point differential	-0.6	+7.5	-8.1
Avg total	152.4	152.8	151.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	30%	54%	7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (6)	100% (4)	100% (2)
Overtime %	11%	8%	14%

Donetsk

FBU Superleague 2013-14

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLLW	67%
Home	WLWLW	79%
Away	LLLLL	54%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	27	14	13
Win %	67%	79%	54%
Points / game	79.9	85.6	73.6
Allowed / game	76.7	76.1	77.3
Point differential	+3.2	+9.6	-3.7
Avg total	156.5	161.7	150.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	44%	57%	31%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Khimik	27	24	3	89%	82.5	67.3	+15.2
2	Budivelnyk	27	20	7	74%	86.9	74.8	+12.0
3	Azovmash Mariupol	26	19	7	73%	79.1	72.2	+7.0
4	Donetsk	27	18	9	67%	79.9	76.7	+3.2
5	Ferro-ZNTU	27	17	10	63%	75.9	76.5	-0.6
6	Odessa	27	15	12	56%	77.9	79.2	-1.3
7	Mykolaiv	27	13	14	48%	77.3	76.9	+0.4
8	BC Halychyna	26	12	14	46%	77.0	78.0	-1.0
9	BC Kiev	27	12	15	44%	74.9	77.3	-2.4
10	Goverla	26	11	15	42%	73.9	77.4	-3.5
11	Cherkaski Mavpy	26	10	16	38%	79.5	80.6	-1.2
12	BC Dnipro	25	5	20	20%	69.9	79.5	-9.6
13	Kryvbasbasket	26	5	21	19%	72.2	82.8	-10.6
14	Dnipro-Azot	26	4	22	15%	70.4	79.3	-9.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Ferro-ZNTU	22	12	14	17	65
Donetsk	19	21	14	23	77

← all games of the day

Ferro-ZNTU vs Donetsk Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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