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Ferrol W vs Celta W Prediction & Stats

Date: Tue 22 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:15
Scheduled
Position#6
Record5-2
FormWWWLW
Points / game72.9
Allowed / game75.7
vs
Form · last 5 games
3.2/10
Below normal
4.0/10
Below normal
Position#14
Record1-6
FormLLLLW
Points / game65.9
Allowed / game77.4
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 14· Pavillón da Malata
Women2026-27
Meetings · Ferrol W v Celta W
22 Dec 2026
FERR v CELT
upcoming
05 Apr 2025
FERR72
CELT65
30 Dec 2023
FERR83
CELT63
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferrol W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Celta W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferrol WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Jairis W
#4
L
61-74
61
74
-13
53avg 64
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
Estepona W
#7
W
84-72
84
72
+12
72avg 64
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Olympiacos W
#18
L
68-96
68
96
-28
59avg 64
A14/10
EuroCup Women
Valencia W
#2
L
50-87
50
87
-37
36avg 64
A18/10
Liga Femenina W
CBK Mersin W
#3
L
45-87
45
87
-42
27avg 64
H21/10
EuroCup Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
76-71
76
71
+5
69avg 64
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Sleza Wroclaw W
#44
W
87-65
87
65
+22
86avg 64
A28/10
EuroCup Women
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#5
W
91-85 OT
91
85
+6
no box
A31/10
Liga Femenina W
Olympiacos W
#18
L
58-77
58
77
-19
no box
H03/11
EuroCup Women
Leganes W
#11
W
66-64
66
64
+2
no box
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-23
10-14
11-20
21-17
19-23
19-17
20-18
26-14
17-27
11-18
18-29
22-22
12-20
13-17
11-25
14-25
17-19
11-22
11-22
6-24
23-23
21-14
15-8
17-26
31-15
16-17
17-20
23-13
26-17
15-21
16-24
22-17
22-14
13-17
10-22
13-24
18-15
19-16
14-20
15-13
146.4Avg total
68.6Scored
77.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)72.975.7148.6-2.971%
Season at home (3)80.773.3154.0+7.3100%
Season away (4)67.077.5144.5-10.550%
Last 10 (10)68.677.8146.4-9.250%
Last 5 (5)75.672.4148.0+3.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)65.277.8143.1-12.625%
vs Similar (10)67.971.8139.7-3.950%
vs Weaker ◀ (8)80.570.2150.8+10.288%
This opponent (Celta W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Celta WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Ferrol W
#8
L
65-72
65
72
-7
no box
A05/04
Liga Femenina W
Ardoi W
#16
W
72-59
72
59
+13
no box
H12/04
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#2
L
46-90
46
90
-44
no box
A19/04
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
L
80-84 OT
80
84
-4
72avg 57
H03/10
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#5
L
65-75
65
75
-10
48avg 57
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
52-83
52
83
-31
40avg 57
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#4
L
57-77
57
77
-20
47avg 57
A18/10
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#8
L
80-86
80
86
-6
80avg 57
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#2
L
52-81
52
81
-29
no box
A01/11
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#16
W
75-56
75
56
+19
no box
H06/11
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-28
16-13
13-17
21-14
22-16
13-5
20-19
17-19
7-29
16-20
12-23
11-18
25-17
29-22
9-19
11-16
14-16
17-22
18-18
16-19
12-13
11-23
18-25
11-22
13-22
15-19
21-18
8-18
21-31
24-21
18-16
17-18
17-22
13-17
2-21
20-21
17-7
20-18
23-11
15-20
140.7Avg total
64.4Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)65.977.4143.3-11.614%
Season at home (4)71.877.2149.0-5.525%
Season away (3)58.077.7135.7-19.70%
Last 10 (10)64.476.3140.7-11.920%
Last 5 (5)63.276.6139.8-13.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)65.575.8141.3-10.326%
vs Similar (2)67.060.5127.5+6.550%
vs Weaker (1)72.059.0131.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -3.8-3.8
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +0.8+0.8Q1: -3.8-3.8Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: -0.6-0.6Q3Q3: -6.5-6.5Q3: -3.3-3.3Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -3.8-3.8
Ferrol WCelta W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ferrol WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Jairis W
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
Estepona W
#7
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Olympiacos W
#18
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A14/10
EuroCup Women
Valencia W
#2
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A18/10
Liga Femenina W
CBK Mersin W
#3
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H21/10
EuroCup Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Sleza Wroclaw W
#44
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A28/10
EuroCup Women
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#5
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A31/10
Liga Femenina W
Olympiacos W
#18
W
35-31
35
31
+4
H03/11
EuroCup Women
Leganes W
#11
W
37-31
37
31
+6
A06/11
Liga Femenina W
72.1Avg total
35.2Scored
36.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.936.372.1-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.334.572.8+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)33.538.071.5-4.547%-
Last 10 (10)35.236.972.1-1.750%-
Last 5 (5)40.833.874.6+7.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)31.538.269.7-6.725%-
vs Similar (10)36.535.772.2+0.860%-
vs Weaker ◀ (8)41.634.175.8+7.588%-
This opponent (Celta W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Celta WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ferrol W
#8
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A05/04
Liga Femenina W
Ardoi W
#16
W
35-21
35
21
+14
H12/04
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#2
L
23-49
23
49
-26
A19/04
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#9
W
54-39
54
39
+15
H03/10
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#5
L
31-38
31
38
-7
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
Zaragoza W
#1
L
23-36
23
36
-13
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#4
L
28-41
28
41
-13
A18/10
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#8
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#2
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A01/11
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#16
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H06/11
Liga Femenina W
71.8Avg total
33.7Scored
38.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.437.571.9-3.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.534.870.3+0.756%-
Last 30 away (14)33.240.673.8-7.429%-
Last 10 (10)33.738.171.8-4.430%-
Last 5 (5)32.638.671.2-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (27)34.438.673.0-4.141%-
vs Similar (2)34.531.566.0+3.050%-
vs Weaker (1)35.021.056.0+14.0100%-
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferrol Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferrol W: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.716.7
48.1%
46.9%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.8
32.0%
30.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws10.98.3
76.1%
74.7%8.3
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Celta Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Celta W: 66.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.6
51.4%
46.9%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.06.8
28.3%
30.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws15.49.2
59.7%
74.7%9.2
They take 60.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/5 games with a box score before 22 Dec 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ferrol W
WLWWWLLLWL
Celta W
WLLLLLLLWL
#6
League position
#14
-4.4
Net rating
-20.4
90.1
Offensive rating
96.0
94.5
Defensive rating
116.4
48.1%
Effective FG%
47.8%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.9%
10.4%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.0%
3-point %
28.3%
66.0%
Assist %
60.6%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 96.0Defence94.5 · 116.4Shooting48.1% · 47.8%3-point %32.0% · 28.3%Ball care10.4% · 0.0%Free throws0.17 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Ferrol W   ■ Celta W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ferrol W wins
2
Celta W wins
DateGameScore
05/04/25Ferrol W v Celta W72-65
28/12/24Celta W v Ferrol W72-69
03/03/24Celta W v Ferrol W83-78 OT
30/12/23Ferrol W v Celta W83-63
Ferrol Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26ALeganes W66-64
03/11/26HOlympiacos W58-77
31/10/26AIDK Gipuzkoa W91-85 OT
28/10/26ASleza Wroclaw W87-65
24/10/26HGernika Bizkaia W76-71
21/10/26HCBK Mersin W45-87
18/10/26AValencia W50-87
14/10/26AOlympiacos W68-96
11/10/26HEstepona W84-72
08/10/26AJairis W61-74
Celta Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/11/26HAraski W75-56
01/11/26AValencia W52-81
24/10/26HCadi La Seu W80-86
18/10/26AJairis W57-77
11/10/26HZaragoza W52-83
08/10/26AIDK Gipuzkoa W65-75
03/10/26HGernika Bizkaia W80-84 OT
19/04/25AValencia W46-90
12/04/25HArdoi W72-59
05/04/25AFerrol W65-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferrol W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW71%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%100%50%
Points / game72.980.767.0
Allowed / game75.773.377.5
Point differential-2.9+7.3-10.5
Avg total148.6154.0144.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%0%25%
Celta W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW14%
HomeLLLW25%
AwayLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games743
Win %14%25%0%
Points / game65.971.858.0
Allowed / game77.477.277.7
Point differential-11.6-5.5-19.7
Avg total143.3149.0135.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %14%25%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W770100%83.059.7+23.3
2 Valencia W76186%82.164.9+17.3
3 Mallorca Palma W76186%78.164.9+13.3
4 Jairis W76186%72.661.4+11.1
5 IDK Gipuzkoa W75271%70.164.6+5.6
6 Ferrol W75271%72.975.7-2.9
7 Estepona W74357%67.064.3+2.7
8 Cadi La Seu W74357%64.165.4-1.3
9 Gernika Bizkaia W74357%77.380.3-3.0
10 Perfumerias Avenida W72529%71.475.6-4.1
11 Leganes W72529%61.769.4-7.7
12 Estudiantes W72529%66.775.1-8.4
13 Uni Girona W71614%66.171.1-5.0
14 Celta W71614%65.977.4-11.6
15 Ensino W71614%60.975.1-14.3
16 Araski W7070%60.775.7-15.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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