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Ferrol W vs Leganes W Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 20 Mar 2027
Tip-off: 18:00
Scheduled
Position#8
Record3-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game70.6
Allowed / game76.2
vs
Position#11
Record2-3
FormWLLLW
Points / game63.4
Allowed / game68.8
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 27· Pavillón da Malata
Women2026-27
Meetings · Ferrol W v Leganes W
20 Mar 2027
FERR v LEGA
upcoming
25 Apr 2026
FERR80
LEGA69
02 Mar 2022
FERR77
LEGA50
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ferrol W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Leganes W win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Ferrol WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe W
#45
W
76-61
76
61
+15
A24/09
EuroCup Women
Beroe W
#45
W
85-58
85
58
+27
H01/10
EuroCup Women
Araski W
#15
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H04/10
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#4
L
61-74
61
74
-13
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
Estepona W
#6
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Olympiacos W
#20
L
68-96
68
96
-28
A14/10
EuroCup Women
Valencia W
#2
L
50-87
50
87
-37
A18/10
Liga Femenina W
CBK Mersin W
#2
L
45-87
45
87
-42
H21/10
EuroCup Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
76-71
76
71
+5
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Sleza Wroclaw W
#44
W
87-65
87
65
+22
A28/10
EuroCup Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-9
14-26
22-11
17-15
23-17
19-13
21-17
22-11
21-22
22-20
14-16
25-19
19-23
10-14
11-20
21-17
19-23
19-17
20-18
26-14
17-27
11-18
18-29
22-22
12-20
13-17
11-25
14-25
17-19
11-22
11-22
6-24
23-23
21-14
15-8
17-26
31-15
16-17
17-20
23-13
146.2Avg total
71.4Scored
74.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)70.676.2146.8-5.660%
Season at home (3)80.773.3154.0+7.3100%
Season away (2)55.580.5136.0-25.00%
Last 10 (10)71.474.8146.2-3.460%
Last 5 (5)65.281.2146.4-16.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)63.477.2140.6-13.820%
vs Similar ◀ (12)67.871.2138.9-3.450%
vs Weaker (8)81.871.1152.9+10.688%
This opponent (Leganes W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leganes WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
67-66
67
66
+1
H11/04
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
W
87-61
87
61
+26
H18/04
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
L
69-80
69
80
-11
A25/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
82-82
82
82
+0
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
63-89
63
89
-26
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#4
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H03/10
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#7
L
60-70
60
70
-10
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#5
L
49-70
49
70
-21
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
L
79-83
79
83
-4
A17/10
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
W
63-58
63
58
+5
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-16
16-11
18-22
14-17
33-7
12-21
24-12
18-21
6-28
15-26
21-12
27-14
27-15
22-28
20-19
13-20
18-30
13-23
12-22
20-14
16-16
19-20
17-11
14-16
12-25
21-18
18-17
9-10
9-12
15-21
13-18
12-19
17-26
13-17
28-23
21-17
16-14
14-16
17-14
16-14
140.7Avg total
68.5Scored
72.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)63.468.8132.2-5.440%
Season at home (3)59.363.7123.0-4.367%
Season away (2)69.576.5146.0-7.00%
Last 10 (10)68.572.2140.7-3.740%
Last 5 (5)63.468.8132.2-5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)63.077.1140.1-14.122%
vs Similar ◀ (15)69.266.8136.0+2.460%
vs Weaker (6)77.362.5139.8+14.867%
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.7+0.7Q1: -1.6-1.6Q2Q2: -2.2-2.2Q2: -4.1-4.1Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: +1.8+1.8Q4Q4: +0.7+0.7Q4: +0.2+0.2
Ferrol WLeganes W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Ferrol WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Beroe W
#45
W
37-35
37
35
+2
A24/09
EuroCup Women
Beroe W
#45
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H01/10
EuroCup Women
Araski W
#15
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H04/10
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#4
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
Estepona W
#6
L
38-40
38
40
-2
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Olympiacos W
#20
L
28-45
28
45
-17
A14/10
EuroCup Women
Valencia W
#2
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A18/10
Liga Femenina W
CBK Mersin W
#2
L
28-41
28
41
-13
H21/10
EuroCup Women
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
44-37
44
37
+7
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
Sleza Wroclaw W
#44
W
47-32
47
32
+15
A28/10
EuroCup Women
73.7Avg total
36.1Scored
37.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.737.072.6-1.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.935.573.4+2.450%-
Last 30 away (14)33.138.671.8-5.536%-
Last 10 (10)36.137.673.7-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)34.438.472.8-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)30.238.969.1-8.710%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.736.872.4-1.142%-
vs Weaker (8)42.534.977.4+7.688%-
This opponent (Leganes W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Leganes WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H11/04
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
W
45-28
45
28
+17
H18/04
Liga Femenina W
Ferrol W
#8
L
21-54
21
54
-33
A25/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
W
49-43
49
43
+6
H30/04
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
31-53
31
53
-22
A03/05
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H03/10
Liga Femenina W
Cadi La Seu W
#7
L
33-43
33
43
-10
A08/10
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#5
L
24-33
24
33
-9
H11/10
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
L
30-43
30
43
-13
A17/10
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
D
30-30
30
30
+0
H24/10
Liga Femenina W
72.3Avg total
33.3Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.136.171.2-1.053%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.935.672.6+1.362%-
Last 30 away (14)32.936.669.6-3.743%-
Last 10 (10)33.339.072.3-5.730%-
Last 5 (5)30.437.067.4-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)34.741.376.0-6.722%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)34.534.368.8+0.367%-
vs Weaker (6)37.032.869.8+4.267%-
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ferrol Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferrol W: 71.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws8.3 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.716.7
48.1%
46.9%33.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.69.8
32.0%
30.5%29.4
🏀 Free throws10.98.3
76.1%
74.7%8.3
They take 65.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Leganes Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leganes W: 66.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.0 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 70.0 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.918.5
44.2%
46.9%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.46.0
24.6%
30.5%18.0
🏀 Free throws17.311.9
68.8%
74.7%11.9
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 37%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ferrol W
WWLLLWLWWW
Leganes W
WLLLWLLLWW
#8
League position
#11
-4.4
Net rating
-8.8
90.1
Offensive rating
93.5
94.5
Defensive rating
102.3
48.1%
Effective FG%
41.5%
48.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
10.4%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.17
Free-throw rate
0.26
32.0%
3-point %
24.6%
66.0%
Assist %
57.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.1 · 93.5Defence94.5 · 102.3Shooting48.1% · 41.5%3-point %32.0% · 24.6%Ball care10.4% · 0.0%Free throws0.17 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Ferrol W   ■ Leganes W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ferrol W wins
2
Leganes W wins
DateGameScore
25/04/26Ferrol W v Leganes W80-69
07/01/26Leganes W v Ferrol W78-73
02/03/22Ferrol W v Leganes W77-50
29/09/21Leganes W v Ferrol W80-69
Ferrol Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/10/26ASleza Wroclaw W87-65
24/10/26HGernika Bizkaia W76-71
21/10/26HCBK Mersin W45-87
18/10/26AValencia W50-87
14/10/26AOlympiacos W68-96
11/10/26HEstepona W84-72
08/10/26AJairis W61-74
04/10/26HAraski W82-77
01/10/26HBeroe W85-58
24/09/26ABeroe W76-61
Leganes Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/26HAraski W63-58
17/10/26AGernika Bizkaia W79-83
11/10/26HIDK Gipuzkoa W49-70
08/10/26ACadi La Seu W60-70
03/10/26HJairis W66-63
03/05/26AUni Girona W63-89
30/04/26HUni Girona W82-82
25/04/26AFerrol W69-80
18/04/26HIDK Gipuzkoa W87-61
11/04/26HJoventut Badalona W67-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ferrol W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW60%
HomeWWW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %60%100%0%
Points / game70.680.755.5
Allowed / game76.273.380.5
Point differential-5.6+7.3-25.0
Avg total146.8154.0136.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Leganes W
Liga Femenina W 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW40%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games532
Win %40%67%0%
Points / game63.459.369.5
Allowed / game68.863.776.5
Point differential-5.4-4.3-7.0
Avg total132.2123.0146.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Zaragoza W550100%87.460.0+27.4
2 Valencia W54180%82.864.8+18.0
3 Mallorca Palma W54180%77.466.4+11.0
4 Jairis W54180%69.459.8+9.6
5 IDK Gipuzkoa W54180%66.458.2+8.2
6 Estepona W53260%69.265.2+4.0
7 Cadi La Seu W53260%65.467.6-2.2
8 Ferrol W53260%70.676.2-5.6
9 Perfumerias Avenida W52340%70.872.2-1.4
10 Estudiantes W52340%66.671.4-4.8
11 Leganes W52340%63.468.8-5.4
12 Gernika Bizkaia W52340%73.685.8-12.2
13 Uni Girona W51420%66.069.6-3.6
14 Ensino W51420%61.477.4-16.0
15 Araski W5050%60.072.8-12.8
16 Celta W5050%66.881.0-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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