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Leganes W vs Ferrol W Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 78-73
20-20 20-20 20-16 18-17
Position#7
Record6-8
FormWWWWL
Points / game66.9
Allowed / game68.4
vs
Position#8
Record7-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game71.5
Allowed / game75.6
SpainLiga Femenina WRound 15
Women2025-26
Meetings · Leganes W v Ferrol W
06 Nov 2026
LEGA v FERR
upcoming
07 Jan 2026
LEGA78
FERR73
29 Sep 2021
LEGA80
FERR69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Leganes W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ferrol W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Leganes WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
84-56
84
56
+28
85avg 57
H01/11
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
76-85
76
85
-9
64avg 57
A07/11
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
L
59-89
59
89
-30
48avg 57
A23/11
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
L
64-70
64
70
-6
47avg 57
H29/11
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
L
65-71 OT
65
71
-6
no box
A03/12
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
W
68-61
68
61
+7
63avg 57
H06/12
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
76-62
76
62
+14
74avg 57
A14/12
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
W
73-60
73
60
+13
56avg 57
A20/12
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
W
69-64
69
64
+5
59avg 57
H28/12
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
64-72
64
72
-8
39avg 57
A04/01
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-12
18-18
22-15
21-11
19-24
20-16
21-20
16-25
16-29
10-22
18-18
15-20
16-20
19-10
23-10
6-30
14-21
16-8
11-18
14-8
10-18
23-13
21-20
14-10
26-16
18-16
11-14
21-16
20-15
11-14
19-9
23-22
28-13
10-20
16-16
15-15
14-18
15-17
19-24
16-13
138.8Avg total
69.8Scored
69.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)66.968.4135.3-1.443%
Season at home (6)65.264.8130.0+0.350%
Season away (8)68.271.0139.2-2.838%
Last 10 (10)69.869.0138.8+0.850%
Last 5 (5)70.063.8133.8+6.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)63.278.4141.6-15.211%
vs Similar ◀ (7)67.364.7132.0+2.657%
vs Weaker (4)74.864.2139.0+10.575%
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferrol WSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormW
Date
Competition
Sosnowiec W
#11
W
92-49
92
49
+43
90avg 68
H26/11
EuroCup Women
Gran Canaria W
#16
L
81-93
81
93
-12
66avg 68
A30/11
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
W
86-83
86
83
+3
75avg 68
A03/12
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
71-57
71
57
+14
66avg 68
H07/12
Liga Femenina W
San Giovanni W
#33
W
81-62
81
62
+19
86avg 68
A10/12
EuroCup Women
Jairis W
#5
L
62-81
62
81
-19
52avg 68
A14/12
Liga Femenina W
San Giovanni W
#33
W
66-60
66
60
+6
64avg 68
H18/12
EuroCup Women
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
L
75-81
75
81
-6
72avg 68
A21/12
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
W
71-67
71
67
+4
68avg 68
H28/12
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
66-62
66
62
+4
55avg 68
H04/01
Liga Femenina W
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-12
27-12
16-11
25-14
29-19
21-33
17-24
14-17
15-26
22-16
27-23
22-18
15-18
17-18
14-10
25-11
16-18
22-16
22-19
21-9
21-25
8-14
16-20
17-22
14-15
20-17
16-16
16-12
23-11
16-26
18-24
18-20
23-19
13-26
18-9
17-13
15-17
16-19
19-14
16-12
144.6Avg total
75.1Scored
69.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)71.575.6147.1-4.150%
Season at home (7)69.968.4138.3+1.471%
Season away (7)73.182.7155.9-9.629%
Last 10 (10)75.169.5144.6+5.670%
Last 5 (5)68.070.2138.2-2.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)62.178.6140.8-16.512%
vs Similar ◀ (8)70.473.0143.4-2.650%
vs Weaker (14)82.667.0149.6+15.679%
This opponent (Leganes W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +4.3+4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: +0.6+0.6Q2: -1.5-1.5Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +4.3+4.3
Leganes WFerrol W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Leganes WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Gran Canaria W
#16
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H01/11
Liga Femenina W
Uni Girona W
#2
L
39-40
39
40
-1
A07/11
Liga Femenina W
Valencia W
#3
L
26-51
26
51
-25
A23/11
Liga Femenina W
Araski W
#15
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H29/11
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
W
30-29
30
29
+1
A03/12
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H06/12
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A14/12
Liga Femenina W
IDK Gipuzkoa W
#11
W
31-29
31
29
+2
A20/12
Liga Femenina W
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H28/12
Liga Femenina W
Jairis W
#5
L
29-35
29
35
-6
A04/01
Liga Femenina W
68.6Avg total
34.6Scored
34.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.736.869.5-4.137%-
Last 30 at home (14)34.136.470.6-2.343%-
Last 30 away (16)31.437.268.6-5.831%-
Last 10 (10)34.634.068.6+0.670%-
Last 5 (5)35.032.067.0+3.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (19)31.140.271.3-9.116%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)34.431.465.9+3.071%-
vs Weaker (4)37.230.267.5+7.075%-
This opponent (Ferrol W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Ferrol WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sosnowiec W
#11
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H26/11
EuroCup Women
Gran Canaria W
#16
L
50-52
50
52
-2
A30/11
Liga Femenina W
Estudiantes W
#10
L
37-42
37
42
-5
A03/12
Liga Femenina W
Gernika Bizkaia W
#12
L
32-36
32
36
-4
H07/12
Liga Femenina W
San Giovanni W
#33
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A10/12
EuroCup Women
Jairis W
#5
L
29-39
29
39
-10
A14/12
Liga Femenina W
San Giovanni W
#33
W
34-32
34
32
+2
H18/12
EuroCup Women
Perfumerias Avenida W
#4
W
39-37
39
37
+2
A21/12
Liga Femenina W
Ensino W
#6
L
36-45
36
45
-9
H28/12
Liga Femenina W
Joventut Badalona W
#13
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H04/01
Liga Femenina W
75.4Avg total
37.7Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.336.473.7+0.953%-
Last 30 at home (15)37.134.471.5+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)37.538.375.9-0.853%-
Last 10 (10)37.737.775.4+0.040%-
Last 5 (5)33.837.871.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)34.439.473.8-5.038%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)31.937.969.8-6.012%-
vs Weaker (14)42.133.875.9+8.386%-
This opponent (Leganes W) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Leganes Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Leganes W: 64.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀62%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.0 pts a game · 62% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers15.0 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws9.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers54.020.0
37.0%
46.8%40.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.05.0
22.7%
32.1%15.0
🏀 Free throws18.09.0
50.0%
74.2%9.0
They take 76.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Ferrol Wtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ferrol W: 82.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀42%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.5 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.1 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 72.5 points a game
53%
30%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.718.6
48.1%
46.8%37.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.711.5
40.1%
32.1%34.5
🏀 Free throws14.111.1
78.7%
74.2%11.1
They take 67.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 35%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/10 games with a box score before 07 Jan 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Leganes W
LWWWWLLLLW
Ferrol W
WWLWLWWWLW
#7
League position
#8
-10.6
Net rating
+26.0
84.9
Offensive rating
110.2
95.5
Defensive rating
84.3
36.2%
Effective FG%
53.2%
47.4%
Opp. effective FG%
44.5%
0.0%
Turnover %
17.4%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.21
22.7%
3-point %
40.1%
32.0%
Assist %
73.4%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence84.9 · 110.2Defence95.5 · 84.3Shooting36.2% · 53.2%3-point %22.7% · 40.1%Ball care0.0% · 17.4%Free throws0.24 · 0.21Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Leganes W   ■ Ferrol W
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Leganes W wins
1
Ferrol W wins
DateGameScore
02/03/22Ferrol W v Leganes W77-50
29/09/21Leganes W v Ferrol W80-69
Leganes Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26AJairis W64-72
28/12/25HPerfumerias Avenida W69-64
20/12/25AIDK Gipuzkoa W73-60
14/12/25AGernika Bizkaia W76-62
06/12/25HEstudiantes W68-61
03/12/25AJoventut Badalona W65-71 OT
29/11/25HAraski W64-70
23/11/25AValencia W59-89
07/11/25AUni Girona W76-85
01/11/25HGran Canaria W84-56
Ferrol Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/01/26HJoventut Badalona W66-62
28/12/25HEnsino W71-67
21/12/25APerfumerias Avenida W75-81
18/12/25HSan Giovanni W66-60
14/12/25AJairis W62-81
10/12/25ASan Giovanni W81-62
07/12/25HGernika Bizkaia W71-57
03/12/25AEstudiantes W86-83
30/11/25AGran Canaria W81-93
26/11/25HSosnowiec W92-49

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Leganes W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL43%
HomeLWLWW50%
AwayLLWWL38%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %43%50%38%
Points / game66.965.268.2
Allowed / game68.464.871.0
Point differential-1.4+0.3-2.8
Avg total135.3130.0139.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%17%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)100% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %7%0%12%
Ferrol W
Liga Femenina W 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW50%
HomeLLWWW71%
AwayWLWLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%71%29%
Points / game71.569.973.1
Allowed / game75.668.482.7
Point differential-4.1+1.4-9.6
Avg total147.1138.3155.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%14%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)67% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Uni Girona W1413193%83.065.7+17.3
2 Zaragoza W1413193%80.067.6+12.4
3 Valencia W1410471%74.066.1+7.9
4 Jairis W148657%71.467.4+3.9
5 Perfumerias Avenida W148657%67.766.7+1.0
6 Ensino W148657%71.872.1-0.3
7 IDK Gipuzkoa W147750%66.265.9+0.4
8 Ferrol W147750%71.575.6-4.1
9 Leganes W146843%66.968.4-1.4
10 Estudiantes W145936%78.178.6-0.4
11 Joventut Badalona W145936%71.474.1-2.7
12 Gernika Bizkaia W145936%72.477.3-4.9
13 Cadi La Seu W145936%69.175.1-6.0
14 Araski W145936%63.770.5-6.8
15 Estepona W1441029%70.076.9-6.9
16 Gran Canaria W1431121%72.281.5-9.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Leganes W2020201878
Ferrol W2020161773
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