Feyenoord vs Leiden Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 15 Feb 2020

Tip-off: 18:45

Scheduled

Position#5

Record10-9

FormLWLLL

Points / game77.3

Allowed / game76.9

Feyenoord

Leiden

Position#4

Record10-7

FormWLLWL

Points / game78.4

Allowed / game75.8

DBL

Other2019-20

Meetings · Feyenoord v Leiden

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Feyenoord win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Leiden win

-no forecast

Best oddsnot yet

Implied-

Edge-

Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Feyenoord

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Helder

79-72 OT

A28/11

DBL

Zwolle

63-103

103

-40

A08/12

DBL

BAL Weert

70-84

-14

H12/12

DBL

LWD Basket

75-74

A15/12

DBL

Leiden

81-96

-15

A04/01

DBL

Den Bosch

86-98

-12

A09/01

DBL

LWD Basket

73-43

+30

H25/01

DBL

Den Bosch

62-91

-29

A30/01

DBL

BAL Weert

61-77

-16

A01/02

DBL

Amsterdam

68-84

-16

A08/02

DBL

11-11

15-14

20-19

21-23

20-24

16-21

21-30

6-28

23-21

21-23

14-15

12-25

18-13

16-19

14-25

27-17

12-36

23-21

14-20

32-19

20-24

21-24

30-33

15-17

11-9

24-11

20-12

18-11

11-19

16-24

14-22

21-26

20-24

13-20

13-18

15-15

14-21

15-24

21-20

18-19

154.0Avg total

71.8Scored

82.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	77.3	76.9	154.2	+0.3	53%
Season at home (8)	84.1	70.4	154.5	+13.8	75%
Season away (11)	72.3	81.7	154.0	-9.5	36%
Last 10 (10)	71.8	82.2	154.0	-10.4	30%
Last 5 (5)	70.0	78.6	148.6	-8.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	74.7	86.0	160.7	-11.3	33%
vs Similar ◀ (2)	80.0	89.0	169.0	-9.0	0%
vs Weaker (11)	78.2	69.8	148.0	+8.4	73%

This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Leiden

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

72-80

-8

H23/11

DBL

LWD Basket

73-62

+11

H04/12

DBL

Amsterdam

100-81

100

+19

A07/12

DBL

Den Bosch

88-78

+10

H14/12

DBL

Den Helder

90-79

+11

H21/12

DBL

Feyenoord

96-81

+15

H04/01

DBL

BAL Weert

77-84

-7

A11/01

DBL

Zwolle

92-98

-6

H18/01

DBL

Donar Groningen

81-73

H01/02

DBL

LWD Basket

60-64

-4

A08/02

DBL

19-29

24-14

17-21

12-16

13-15

24-12

11-18

25-17

28-11

24-21

19-28

29-21

28-11

16-19

19-25

25-23

15-28

18-26

30-13

27-12

36-12

21-23

20-14

19-32

26-20

19-22

16-26

16-16

25-17

28-25

23-30

16-26

18-14

23-21

15-17

25-21

14-15

10-10

15-22

21-17

160.9Avg total

82.9Scored

78.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (17)	78.4	75.8	154.2	+2.6	59%
Season at home (10)	85.6	75.9	161.5	+9.7	80%
Season away (7)	68.1	75.6	143.7	-7.4	29%
Last 10 (10)	82.9	78.0	160.9	+4.9	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.2	80.0	161.2	+1.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	81.9	86.1	168.0	-4.3	43%
vs Similar ◀ (10)	79.0	77.5	156.5	+1.5	60%
vs Weaker (12)	79.7	66.2	145.9	+13.4	75%

This opponent (Feyenoord) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FeyenoordLeiden

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	17.3	19.2	36.5	-1.9	37%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	19.9	17.0	36.9	+2.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (11)	15.5	20.8	36.3	-5.4	18%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.0	20.2	36.2	-4.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	19.4	34.6	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.0	19.2	37.2	-1.2	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	13.0	28.5	41.5	-15.5	0%	-
vs Weaker (11)	17.7	17.5	35.3	+0.2	45%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	21.3	18.3	39.6	+3.0	59%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	18.6	41.1	+3.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.9	17.9	37.8	+2.0	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	17.2	39.4	+5.0	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	15.6	39.4	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	21.1	18.9	40.0	+2.3	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	20.4	18.4	38.8	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.8	17.5	40.3	+5.4	73%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	20.5	18.5	38.9	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	25.2	17.1	42.4	+8.1	88%	-
Last 30 away (11)	17.0	19.5	36.5	-2.5	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	20.1	38.1	-2.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	20.6	38.4	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	19.7	21.0	40.7	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	25.0	22.5	47.5	+2.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.1	16.4	36.5	+3.7	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.6	18.4	39.0	+2.2	55%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.8	17.3	38.1	+3.5	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.4	19.8	40.2	+0.6	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	22.7	21.0	43.7	+1.7	71%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.2	17.5	36.7	+1.7	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.0	17.0	38.0	+4.0	55%	-

FeyenoordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Den Helder

26-25

A28/11

DBL

Zwolle

36-45

-9

A08/12

DBL

BAL Weert

44-44

H12/12

DBL

LWD Basket

34-32

A15/12

DBL

Leiden

35-57

-22

A04/01

DBL

Den Bosch

41-48

-7

A09/01

DBL

LWD Basket

35-20

+15

H25/01

DBL

Den Bosch

27-43

-16

A30/01

DBL

BAL Weert

33-44

-11

A01/02

DBL

Amsterdam

29-45

-16

A08/02

DBL

74.3Avg total

34.0Scored

40.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	37.8	37.7	75.5	+0.1	53%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	45.1	34.1	79.2	+11.0	75%	-
Last 30 away (11)	32.5	40.3	72.7	-7.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	34.0	40.3	74.3	-6.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.0	40.0	73.0	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.7	40.2	77.8	-2.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	38.0	51.0	89.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Weaker (11)	37.8	33.9	71.7	+3.9	73%	-

This opponent (Leiden) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

LeidenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Donar Groningen

43-43

H23/11

DBL

LWD Basket

37-27

+10

H04/12

DBL

Amsterdam

52-32

+20

A07/12

DBL

Den Bosch

44-30

+14

H14/12

DBL

Den Helder

33-54

-21

H21/12

DBL

Feyenoord

57-35

+22

H04/01

DBL

BAL Weert

45-42

A11/01

DBL

Zwolle

53-42

+11

H18/01

DBL

Donar Groningen

41-35

H01/02

DBL

LWD Basket

24-25

-1

A08/02

DBL

79.4Avg total

42.9Scored

36.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	41.9	36.7	78.7	+5.2	69%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	43.2	35.9	79.2	+7.3	81%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.3	37.7	78.0	+2.6	54%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.9	36.5	79.4	+6.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.0	35.8	79.8	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	43.9	39.9	83.7	+4.0	57%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	39.6	35.9	75.5	+3.7	70%	-
vs Weaker (11)	43.8	34.5	78.3	+9.4	82%	-

This opponent (Feyenoord) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	20.2	19.9	40.1	+0.3	47%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	22.0	17.1	39.1	+4.9	62%	-
Last 30 away (11)	18.9	21.9	40.8	-3.0	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.4	39.5	-3.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.0	24.3	44.3	-4.3	17%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	18.0	19.0	37.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.7	17.6	38.4	+3.1	64%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.0	20.8	40.9	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.1	20.0	39.1	-0.9	31%	-
Last 30 away (13)	21.2	21.8	43.0	-0.7	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	21.4	39.9	-2.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.8	39.6	-4.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	20.4	25.6	46.0	-5.1	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.2	20.5	39.7	-1.3	40%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.8	18.9	39.7	+1.9	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.5	32%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	17.0	19.1	36.1	-2.1	25%	-
Last 30 away (11)	19.8	19.1	38.9	+0.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.5	20.0	38.5	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.4	17.6	35.0	-0.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.0	21.5	38.5	-4.5	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	18.5	17.8	36.4	+0.7	27%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	55%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.7	19.4	41.1	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.2	18.9	37.1	-0.8	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.5	20.1	41.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	22.4	41.8	-3.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	17.6	20.7	38.3	-3.1	29%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	19.5	20.6	40.1	-1.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.3	17.1	39.4	+5.2	73%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (19)	38.8	39.0	77.8	-0.2	53%	-
Last 30 at home (8)	39.0	36.2	75.2	+2.8	75%	-
Last 30 away (11)	38.7	41.0	79.7	-2.3	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.6	41.4	78.0	-4.8	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.0	38.6	75.6	-1.6	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	37.0	45.8	82.8	-8.8	33%	-
vs Similar ◀ (2)	42.0	38.0	80.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (11)	39.3	35.5	74.7	+3.8	55%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	40.1	40.0	80.2	+0.1	48%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.8	39.4	80.2	+1.4	56%	-
Last 30 away (13)	39.3	40.8	80.1	-1.5	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	40.0	41.5	81.5	-1.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.2	44.2	81.4	-7.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)	38.0	46.3	84.3	-8.3	14%	-
vs Similar ◀ (10)	38.7	41.1	79.8	-2.4	40%	-
vs Weaker (11)	43.1	36.0	79.1	+7.1	73%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Feyenoord wins

Leiden wins

Date	Game	Score
04/01/20	Leiden v Feyenoord	96-81
28/09/19	Feyenoord v Leiden	79-82

Feyenoordlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/02/20	A	Amsterdam	68-84
01/02/20	A	BAL Weert	61-77
30/01/20	A	Den Bosch	62-91
25/01/20	H	LWD Basket	73-43
09/01/20	A	Den Bosch	86-98
04/01/20	A	Leiden	81-96
15/12/19	A	LWD Basket	75-74
12/12/19	H	BAL Weert	70-84
08/12/19	A	Zwolle	63-103
28/11/19	A	Den Helder	79-72 OT

Leidenlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
08/02/20	A	LWD Basket	60-64
01/02/20	H	Donar Groningen	81-73
18/01/20	H	Zwolle	92-98
11/01/20	A	BAL Weert	77-84
04/01/20	H	Feyenoord	96-81
21/12/19	H	Den Helder	90-79
14/12/19	H	Den Bosch	88-78
07/12/19	A	Amsterdam	100-81
04/12/19	H	LWD Basket	73-62
23/11/19	H	Donar Groningen	72-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Feyenoord

DBL 2019-20

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	53%
Home	WWWLW	75%
Away	LLLLL	36%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	8	11
Win %	53%	75%	36%
Points / game	77.3	84.1	72.3
Allowed / game	76.9	70.4	81.7
Point differential	+0.3	+13.8	-9.5
Avg total	154.2	154.5	154.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	32%	62%	9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	5%	0%	9%

Leiden

DBL 2019-20

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLLWL	59%
Home	WWWLW	80%
Away	LLWLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	17	10	7
Win %	59%	80%	29%
Points / game	78.4	85.6	68.1
Allowed / game	75.8	75.9	75.6
Point differential	+2.6	+9.7	-7.4
Avg total	154.2	161.5	143.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	41%	60%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	-	50% (2)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Zwolle	17	14	3	82%	87.6	73.6	+14.0
2	Donar Groningen	20	16	4	80%	86.8	68.9	+17.9
3	Den Bosch	20	14	6	70%	83.8	71.0	+12.8
4	Leiden	17	10	7	59%	78.4	75.8	+2.6
5	Feyenoord	19	10	9	53%	77.3	76.9	+0.3
6	BAL Weert	20	8	12	40%	67.2	77.2	-9.9
7	Den Helder	19	6	13	32%	68.9	79.3	-10.4
8	LWD Basket	20	5	15	25%	63.9	75.0	-11.2
9	Amsterdam	20	3	17	15%	69.0	83.2	-14.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

← all games of the day

Feyenoord vs Leiden Prediction & Stats

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

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