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Florida Atlantic vs LIU Sharks Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 03 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 74-60
37-29 37-31
Position#152
Record-
FormWWLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Florida Atlantic 🏆
USA
Vs
61%
39%
■ FLOR 61%■ LIU 39%
Pythia win probability
Projected 75-72
Projected total 146.9
LIU Sharks
USA
Position#290
Record-
FormWWWWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Sections
Pythia's preview, written before tip-off

Florida Atlantic will host the LIU Sharks on 2 November 2026 in an NCAA matchup that the Pythia model predicts to be a low-scoring affair, with both teams expected to struggle offensively as the game's pace is expected to be slow and the defences tight. Florida Atlantic is 3-2 in its last five games, having lost to North Texas 70-74 away, beaten Temple 63-59 at home and lost to Wichita State 70-88 away, while LIU Sharks are 4-1 in their last five, having lost to Arizona 58-92 away but winning 79-70 at home over Mercyhurst Lakers and 64-56 at home over Wagner. The two sides have met once before, with the most recent meeting recorded as a 75-72 victory for Florida Atlantic. According to the model, Florida Atlantic has a 61% chance of winning versus LIU's 39%, and the projected score is 75-72 with a total of 146.9 points. The home team is on a -11.5 line, and the probability that Florida Atlantic covers is 23%; the over/under line is 154.0, with a 33% chance of the over. The overtime probability sits at 5%. The Sharks' recent win over Mercyhurst Lakers at home suggests they can keep the game close, but Florida Atlantic's recent defensive performances give them the edge.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida Atlantic winWon
61.2%fair 1.63
Best odds1.20
Implied80.6%
Edge-19.4pp
LIU Sharks winLost
38.8%fair 2.58
Best odds6.00
Implied19.4%
Edge+19.4pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 01 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida AtlanticUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#23
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H05/02
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A12/02
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
81-83 OT
81
83
-2
H15/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
60-52
60
52
+8
A19/02
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
72-73
72
73
-1
A22/02
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
77-73
77
73
+4
H27/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
77-76 OT
77
76
+1
H01/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
70-88
70
88
-18
A07/03
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
63-59
63
59
+4
H12/03
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
70-74
70
74
-4
A13/03
NCAA
1H
2H
32-25
44-53
27-40
46-41
38-36
34-36
26-28
34-24
34-32
38-41
38-44
39-29
35-45
34-24
41-43
29-45
29-27
34-32
30-34
40-40
145.6Avg total
71.9Scored
73.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.973.7145.6-1.840%
Last 5 (5)71.474.0145.4-2.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)76.884.5161.2-7.80%
vs Similar (14)74.471.9146.3+2.457%
vs Weaker (11)81.073.6154.6+7.464%
LIU SharksUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
52-55
52
55
-3
A14/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H17/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
91-89
91
89
+2
A20/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
L
83-91
83
91
-8
A21/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
73-56
73
56
+17
H27/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
74-60
74
60
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
79-75
79
75
+4
H05/03
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
64-56
64
56
+8
H07/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
79-70
79
70
+9
H10/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
58-92
58
92
-34
A20/03
NCAA
1H
2H
15-31
37-24
37-31
46-34
43-38
48-51
45-45
38-46
32-31
41-25
31-30
43-30
40-33
39-42
23-23
41-33
42-40
37-30
29-53
29-39
144.5Avg total
73.6Scored
70.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)73.670.9144.5+2.770%
Last 5 (5)70.870.6141.4+0.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)70.593.2163.8-22.80%
vs Similar (17)72.966.7139.6+6.276%
vs Weaker (9)75.267.1142.3+8.189%
Over/Under 149Actual: Under 149
Over 149
44.2%
@ 1.50-18.3pp
Under 149
55.8%
@ 2.50+18.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.50
Over/Under 154 · main lineActual: Under 154
Over 154
32.5%
@ 1.95-16.5pp
Under 154
67.5%
@ 1.86+16.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.95
Marathon Be
1.86
Under
Marathon Be
1.86
Bet365
1.80
Over/Under 159Actual: Under 159
Over 159
22.5%
@ 2.60-13.3pp
Under 159
77.5%
@ 1.45+13.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.60
Under
Bet365
1.45

📊 3. Team Totals

Florida Atlantic total 78Actual: Florida Atlantic under 78
Over 78
38.2%
Under 78
61.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Florida Atlantic total 82 · main lineActual: Florida Atlantic under 82
Over 82
24.0%
@ 1.85-26.0pp
Under 82
76.0%
@ 1.85+26.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Under
Marathon Be
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Florida Atlantic total 86Actual: Florida Atlantic under 86
Over 86
13.4%
Under 86
86.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
LIU Sharks total 67.5Actual: LIU Sharks under 67.5
Over 67.5
66.1%
@ 1.42+2.3pp
Under 67.5
33.9%
@ 2.50-2.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
Under
Betano
2.50
LIU Sharks total 71.5 · main lineActual: LIU Sharks under 71.5
Over 71.5
51.0%
@ 1.91+2.4pp
Under 71.5
49.0%
@ 1.85-2.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Betano
1.90
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.80
WilliamHill
1.80
LIU Sharks total 75.5Actual: LIU Sharks under 75.5
Over 75.5
35.9%
@ 2.62+1.4pp
Under 75.5
64.1%
@ 1.38-1.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.62
Under
Betano
1.38

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Florida Atlantic -14.5Actual: LIU Sharks +14.5
FLOR -14.5
16.2%
@ 2.65-20.6pp
LIU +14.5
83.8%
@ 1.50+20.6pp
Best 5 market prices
FLOR
Bet365
2.65
Betano
2.40
LIU
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.43
Spread Florida Atlantic -11.5 · main lineActual: Florida Atlantic -11.5
FLOR -11.5
23.3%
@ 2.05-24.6pp
LIU +11.5
76.7%
@ 1.83+24.6pp
Best 5 market prices
FLOR
Bet365
2.05
Betano
2.00
SBO
1.92
1xBet
1.83
LIU
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.82
Betano
1.78
Bet365
1.71
Marathon Be
1.69
Spread Florida Atlantic -8.5Actual: Florida Atlantic -8.5
FLOR -8.5
32.3%
@ 1.72-24.4pp
LIU +8.5
67.7%
@ 2.15+24.4pp
Best 5 market prices
FLOR
1xBet
1.72
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.62
LIU
Bet365
2.15
Betano
2.12
1xBet
2.00

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +4.5+4.5
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -2.4-2.41st half: -1.8-1.82nd half2nd half: +0.7+0.72nd half: +4.5+4.5
Florida AtlanticLIU Sharks
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida AtlanticLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#23
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H05/02
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A12/02
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H15/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
L
26-28
26
28
-2
A19/02
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
34-32
34
32
+2
A22/02
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H27/02
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
35-45
35
45
-10
H01/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
41-43
41
43
-2
A07/03
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
29-27
29
27
+2
H12/03
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A13/03
NCAA
68.4Avg total
33.0Scored
35.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 72.5
Last 30 (30)36.934.171.0+2.857%47%
Last 30 at home (16)39.233.272.4+6.169%56%
Last 30 away (14)34.135.169.3-1.043%36%
Last 10 (10)33.035.468.4-2.440%40%
Last 5 (5)34.638.673.2-4.020%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)34.033.067.0+1.075%25%
vs Similar (14)35.134.169.2+0.950%36%
vs Weaker (11)39.234.273.4+5.055%64%
LIU SharksLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Haven Chargers
#250
L
15-31
15
31
-16
A14/02
NCAA
Wagner
#249
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H17/02
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#359
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A20/02
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A21/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
32-31
32
31
+1
H27/02
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#315
W
31-30
31
30
+1
H28/02
NCAA
Chicago State
#363
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H05/03
NCAA
Wagner
#249
D
23-23
23
23
+0
H07/03
NCAA
Mercyhurst Lakers
#206
W
42-40
42
40
+2
H10/03
NCAA
Arizona
#7
L
29-53
29
53
-24
A20/03
NCAA
69.2Avg total
33.7Scored
35.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 72.5
Last 30 (30)34.835.269.9-0.457%47%
Last 30 at home (14)34.531.465.9+3.171%29%
Last 30 away (16)35.038.573.5-3.544%62%
Last 10 (10)33.735.569.2-1.860%50%
Last 5 (5)33.035.868.8-2.860%60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)32.248.881.0-16.525%100%
vs Similar (17)35.133.668.7+1.553%41%
vs Weaker (9)35.232.167.3+3.178%33%
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winnerActual: Florida Atlantic win
FLOR win
no forecast
@ 1.28
LIU win
no forecast
@ 3.75
1st half Spread Florida Atlantic -5 · main lineActual: Florida Atlantic -5
FLOR -5
no forecast
@ 1.85
LIU +5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 72.5 · main lineActual: Under 72.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.85
Florida Atlantic 1st half total 39.5 · main lineActual: Florida Atlantic under 39.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.95
Under
no forecast
@ 1.82
LIU Sharks 1st half total 34.5 · main lineActual: LIU Sharks under 34.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.18
Under
no forecast
@ 1.81
1st half Over/Under 70.5Actual: Under 70.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.67
Under
no forecast
@ 2.07
1st half Over/Under 74.5Actual: Under 74.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.25
Under
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread Florida Atlantic -6.5Actual: Florida Atlantic -6.5
FLOR -6.5
no forecast
@ 1.98
LIU +6.5
no forecast
@ 1.80
1st half Spread Florida Atlantic -3.5Actual: Florida Atlantic -3.5
FLOR -3.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
LIU +3.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
1st half Over/Under 68.5Actual: Under 68.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.47
Under
no forecast
@ 2.45
1st half Spread Florida Atlantic -7.5Actual: Florida Atlantic -7.5
FLOR -7.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
LIU +7.5
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Spread Florida Atlantic -2.5Actual: Florida Atlantic -2.5
FLOR -2.5
no forecast
@ 1.44
LIU +2.5
no forecast
@ 2.55
1st half Spread Florida Atlantic -8.5Actual: LIU Sharks +8.5
FLOR -8.5
no forecast
@ 2.30
LIU +8.5
no forecast
@ 1.53
1st half Spread Florida Atlantic -1.5Actual: Florida Atlantic -1.5
FLOR -1.5
no forecast
@ 1.42
LIU +1.5
no forecast
@ 2.92
1st half Spread Florida Atlantic -9.5Actual: LIU Sharks +9.5
FLOR -9.5
no forecast
@ 2.55
LIU +9.5
no forecast
@ 1.45
1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Florida Atlantic (regulation)
FLOR
no forecast
@ 1.37
Draw
no forecast
@ 26.00
LIU
no forecast
@ 3.75

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
FLOR win + total 153.5
🔒 Pro
LIU win + total 153.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: FLOR leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Florida Atlantic under 8276.0%1.85
Marathon Bet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85		---+26.0ppWon
Florida Atlantic under 80.570.3%2.07
Betano
2.07		----+25.7ppWon
Florida Atlantic under 81.573.6%1.92
Betano
1.93
WilliamHill
1.91		---+25.4ppWon
Florida Atlantic under 82.576.7%1.79
1xBet
1.80
Betano
1.78		---+25.0ppWon
LIU Sharks +11.576.7%1.77
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.82
Betano
1.78
Bet365
1.71
Marathon Bet
1.69		+24.6ppLost
LIU Sharks +1073.1%1.88
Bet365
1.90
Marathon Bet
1.86		---+23.8ppLost
LIU Sharks +9.570.9%1.97
Betano
2.05
Bet365
1.95
1xBet
1.90		--+23.8ppLost
Florida Atlantic under 83.579.6%1.62
Betano
1.62		----+23.7ppWon
LIU Sharks +12.579.3%1.63
Betano
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Bet365
1.60		--+22.9ppLost
LIU Sharks +1176.0%1.75
Marathon Bet
1.75
Bet365
1.74		---+22.8ppLost
LIU Sharks +13.581.7%1.58
1xBet
1.64
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.52		--+22.8ppLost
LIU Sharks +10.573.9%1.84
Betano
1.90
Bet365
1.86
BetVictor
1.83
Marathon Bet
1.81
1xBet
1.80		+22.7ppLost
Florida Atlantic under 84.582.2%1.52
Betano
1.52		----+22.6ppWon
LIU Sharks +1278.7%1.64
Bet365
1.64		----+22.4ppLost
Florida Atlantic under 85.584.7%1.44
Betano
1.44		----+21.7ppWon
LIU Sharks +1381.2%1.54
Bet365
1.54		----+20.8ppLost
LIU Sharks +14.583.8%1.46
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.43		---+20.6ppWon
Florida Atlantic under 86.586.9%1.36
Betano
1.36		----+20.4ppWon
LIU Sharks +1483.5%1.47
Bet365
1.47		----+20.0ppPush
LIU Sharks +15.585.8%1.40
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.37		---+19.6ppWon
LIU Sharks +1585.5%1.38
Bet365
1.38		----+18.5ppWon
LIU Sharks +16.587.6%1.33
Betano
1.36
Bet365
1.31		---+18.3ppWon
LIU Sharks +1687.4%1.33
Bet365
1.33		----+17.4ppWon
LIU Sharks +17.589.2%1.29
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.26		---+17.0ppWon
LIU Sharks +1789.0%1.27
Bet365
1.27		----+15.9ppWon
Under 15671.7%1.65
Marathon Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.64		---+15.4ppWon
Under 15773.7%1.57
Bet365
1.57		----+14.8ppWon
Under 155.570.3%1.68
Marathon Bet
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Bet365
1.66
Betano
1.65		-+14.4ppWon
LIU Sharks +1890.5%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+14.3ppWon
LIU Sharks +18.590.6%1.22
Bet365
1.22		----+14.2ppWon
Under 156.572.3%1.58
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.57		---+14.1ppWon
Under 157.574.3%1.53
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.52		---+13.7ppWon
Under 15977.5%1.45
Bet365
1.45		----+13.3ppWon
Under 15875.7%1.50
Bet365
1.50		----+13.2ppWon
Under 158.576.1%1.47
Bet365
1.47
Betano
1.47		---+13.1ppWon
Under 16079.3%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+13.0ppWon
Under 159.577.9%1.42
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.41		---+12.5ppWon
Under 160.579.6%1.37
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.36		---+11.9ppWon
Under 16180.9%1.34
Bet365
1.34		----+11.5ppWon
Under 161.581.2%1.32
Bet365
1.32		----+10.8ppWon
Overtime: no94.8%1.02
Betano
1.02
WilliamHill
1.02		---+2.6pp-
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Florida Atlantic wins
0
LIU Sharks wins
No previous meetings.
Florida Atlanticlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
13/03/26ANorth Texas70-74
12/03/26HTemple63-59
07/03/26AWichita State70-88
01/03/26HCharlotte77-76 OT
27/02/26HTemple77-73
22/02/26ANorth Texas72-73
19/02/26AUTSA Roadrunners60-52
15/02/26HSouth Florida81-83 OT
12/02/26ARice73-81
05/02/26HTulsa76-78
LIU Sharkslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/03/26AArizona58-92
10/03/26HMercyhurst Lakers79-70
07/03/26HWagner64-56
05/03/26HChicago State79-75
28/02/26HFairleigh Dickinson74-60
27/02/26HChicago State73-56
21/02/26AMercyhurst Lakers83-91
20/02/26ASt. Francis (PA)91-89
17/02/26HWagner83-65
14/02/26ANew Haven Chargers52-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida Atlantic
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 154---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
LIU Sharks
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over 154---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rice110100%100.055.0+45.0
2 Temple110100%68.056.0+12.0
3 UAB1010%78.099.0-21.0
4 UTSA Roadrunners1010%74.095.0-21.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Central Connecticut State1010%56.068.0-12.0
2 St. Francis (ILL)1010%47.096.0-49.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida Atlantic373774
LIU Sharks293160
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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