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Florida Atlantic vs South Florida Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Feb 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 81-83 (OT)
38-36 34-36 9-11
Position#164
Record14-11
FormLLLLL
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game75.0
Florida Atlantic
USA
vs
South Florida 🏆
USA
Position#40
Record17-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game89.0
Allowed / game78.4
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Florida Atlantic v South Florida
15 Feb 2026
FLOR81
SOUT83
02 Feb 2025
FLOR94
SOUT72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida Atlantic winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Florida winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida AtlanticUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#99
W
76-71
76
71
+5
A08/01
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
89-78
89
78
+11
H11/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
85-67
85
67
+18
H16/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
W
79-73
79
73
+6
A18/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
79-74
79
74
+5
H22/01
NCAA
South Florida
#40
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A25/01
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
65-92
65
92
-27
A30/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
75-76
75
76
-1
H01/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
L
76-78
76
78
-2
H05/02
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
73-81
73
81
-8
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
40-33
36-38
36-34
53-44
37-25
48-42
30-34
49-39
43-32
36-42
36-33
39-56
33-41
32-51
36-38
39-38
32-25
44-53
27-40
46-41
155.1Avg total
77.2Scored
77.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)81.075.0156.0+6.056%
Season at home (13)86.070.8156.8+15.269%
Season away (12)75.779.5155.2-3.842%
Last 10 (10)77.277.9155.1-0.750%
Last 5 (5)72.883.2156.0-10.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)75.385.0160.3-9.70%
vs Similar (14)77.773.6151.3+4.157%
vs Weaker (11)81.974.5156.4+7.564%
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#23
W
93-78
93
78
+15
A10/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H15/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
H18/01
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
82-69
82
69
+13
A23/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
W
89-75
89
75
+14
H25/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
97-83
97
83
+14
A29/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
78-79
78
79
-1
A01/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
W
109-88
109
88
+21
H05/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
80-74
80
74
+6
H08/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
66-58
66
58
+8
A12/02
NCAA
1H
2H
51-36
42-42
44-31
38-40
36-37
41-40
45-34
37-35
33-36
56-39
52-39
45-44
38-39
40-40
48-50
61-38
39-35
41-39
26-33
40-25
162.2Avg total
86.1Scored
76.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)89.078.4167.4+10.668%
Season at home (15)89.675.1164.7+14.573%
Season away (10)88.183.2171.3+4.960%
Last 10 (10)86.176.1162.2+10.080%
Last 5 (5)86.076.4162.4+9.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)62.574.0136.5-11.50%
vs Similar (10)79.777.8157.5+1.940%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)89.479.2168.5+10.271%
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +5.9+5.9
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +1.5+1.51st half: +4.2+4.22nd half2nd half: -2.2-2.22nd half: +5.9+5.9
Florida AtlanticSouth Florida
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida AtlanticLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#99
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A08/01
NCAA
Memphis
#277
W
36-34
36
34
+2
H11/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
W
37-25
37
25
+12
H16/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
30-34
30
34
-4
A18/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H22/01
NCAA
South Florida
#40
W
36-33
36
33
+3
A25/01
NCAA
Memphis
#277
L
33-41
33
41
-8
A30/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H01/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
32-25
32
25
+7
H05/02
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A12/02
NCAA
68.5Avg total
35.0Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.733.871.5+3.963%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.530.770.2+8.980%-
Last 30 away (15)35.836.972.7-1.147%-
Last 10 (10)35.033.568.5+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)32.835.468.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)32.732.064.7+0.767%-
vs Similar (14)36.634.070.6+2.657%-
vs Weaker (11)39.532.872.3+6.673%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#23
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A10/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H15/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H18/01
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
45-34
45
34
+11
A23/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H25/01
NCAA
Tulane
#173
W
52-39
52
39
+13
A29/01
NCAA
Temple
#205
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A01/02
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#365
L
48-50
48
50
-2
H05/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H08/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#71
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A12/02
NCAA
78.2Avg total
41.2Scored
37.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.036.476.4+3.650%-
Last 30 at home (17)40.035.175.1+4.953%-
Last 30 away (13)39.938.178.0+1.846%-
Last 10 (10)41.237.078.2+4.250%-
Last 5 (5)40.639.279.8+1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)30.537.568.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (10)38.035.473.4+2.650%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)41.037.278.2+3.853%-
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Florida Atlantic wins
3
South Florida wins
DateGameScore
25/01/26South Florida v Florida Atlantic89-75
02/03/25South Florida v Florida Atlantic63-69
02/02/25Florida Atlantic v South Florida94-72
18/02/24South Florida v Florida Atlantic90-86
29/12/19South Florida v Florida Atlantic60-58
Florida Atlanticlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26ARice73-81
05/02/26HTulsa76-78
01/02/26HEast Carolina75-76
30/01/26AMemphis65-92
25/01/26ASouth Florida75-89
22/01/26HTulane79-74
18/01/26ATemple79-73
16/01/26HWichita State85-67
11/01/26HMemphis89-78
08/01/26AUAB76-71
South Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/02/26AWichita State66-58
08/02/26HTulsa80-74
05/02/26HUTSA Roadrunners109-88
01/02/26ATemple78-79
29/01/26ATulane97-83
25/01/26HFlorida Atlantic89-75
23/01/26AUAB82-69
18/01/26HWichita State85-86 OT
15/01/26HEast Carolina82-71
10/01/26ATulsa93-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida Atlantic
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL56%
HomeWWWLL69%
AwayWWLLL42%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251312
Win %56%69%42%
Points / game81.086.075.7
Allowed / game75.070.879.5
Point differential+6.0+15.2-3.8
Avg total156.0156.8155.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%54%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)40% (5)50% (4)
Overtime %4%8%0%
South Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW68%
HomeWLWWW73%
AwayWWWLW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %68%73%60%
Points / game89.089.688.1
Allowed / game78.475.183.2
Point differential+10.6+14.5+4.9
Avg total167.4164.7171.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%53%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)0% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %12%20%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa2620677%85.673.0+12.6
2 South Florida2517868%89.078.4+10.6
3 UAB2516964%80.874.6+6.2
4 Temple2415962%75.270.7+4.5
5 Wichita State26161062%77.170.0+7.1
6 Tulane24141058%73.474.4-1.0
7 Florida Atlantic25141156%81.075.0+6.0
8 North Texas25141156%70.866.3+4.5
9 Charlotte25131252%73.674.1-0.5
10 Memphis25121348%74.873.8+1.0
11 Rice26111542%74.774.9-0.2
12 East Carolina2591636%70.376.4-6.1
13 UTSA Roadrunners2552020%69.680.6-11.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
Florida Atlantic3834981
South Florida36361183
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