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Florida Atlantic vs SMU Mustangs Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 23 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 00:00
Final 80-70
41-37 39-33
Position#35
Record20-6
FormWLWWL
Points / game83.4
Allowed / game72.8
Florida Atlantic 🏆
USA
vs
SMU Mustangs
USA
Position#99
Record19-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game77.8
Allowed / game65.7
USANCAA
Other2023-24
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida Atlantic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
SMU Mustangs winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida AtlanticUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#77
W
86-73
86
73
+13
H14/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
86-77
86
77
+9
H19/01
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
W
112-103 OT
112
103
+9
A21/01
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
69-56
69
56
+13
A25/01
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
66-63
66
63
+3
H28/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
102-70
102
70
+32
H03/02
NCAA
UAB
#77
L
73-76 OT
73
76
-3
A09/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
95-82 OT
95
82
+13
A11/02
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
80-68
80
68
+12
H16/02
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
86-90
86
90
-4
A18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
43-24
43-49
31-42
55-35
49-53
42-38
33-26
36-30
26-28
40-35
40-27
62-43
39-32
28-35
38-36
36-38
45-34
35-34
31-46
55-44
161.3Avg total
85.5Scored
75.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)83.472.8156.2+10.777%
Season at home (13)85.469.9155.3+15.592%
Season away (13)81.575.6157.1+5.862%
Last 10 (10)85.575.8161.3+9.780%
Last 5 (5)87.277.2164.4+10.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)96.095.0191.0+1.0100%
vs Similar ◀ (9)76.269.6145.8+6.767%
vs Weaker (20)83.872.2156.1+11.680%
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#254
W
77-64
77
64
+13
H17/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
103-70
103
70
+33
H20/01
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
66-68
66
68
-2
A26/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A28/01
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
80-76
80
76
+4
H02/02
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
72-69
72
69
+3
H04/02
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
95-69
95
69
+26
A08/02
NCAA
North Texas
#159
W
71-68
71
68
+3
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
87-79
87
79
+8
A16/02
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
106-79
106
79
+27
H18/02
NCAA
1H
2H
30-28
47-36
52-33
51-37
32-33
34-35
41-37
31-40
38-32
42-44
32-27
40-42
40-37
55-32
30-34
41-34
37-41
50-38
58-36
48-43
154.8Avg total
82.9Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)77.865.7143.5+12.173%
Season at home (15)80.264.3144.5+15.987%
Season away (11)74.567.6142.1+6.855%
Last 10 (10)82.971.9154.8+11.080%
Last 5 (5)86.272.8159.0+13.4100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)68.281.2149.5-13.00%
vs Similar ◀ (7)72.068.3140.3+3.743%
vs Weaker (19)79.964.7144.6+15.284%
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +5.8+5.8
-7-4+0+4+71st half1st half: +2.7+2.71st half: +5.2+5.22nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: +5.8+5.8
Florida AtlanticSMU Mustangs
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida AtlanticLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
UAB
#77
W
43-24
43
24
+19
H14/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
L
31-42
31
42
-11
H19/01
NCAA
UTSA Roadrunners
#314
L
49-53
49
53
-4
A21/01
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
33-26
33
26
+7
A25/01
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
26-28
26
28
-2
H28/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H03/02
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A09/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
38-36
38
36
+2
A11/02
NCAA
Temple
#254
W
45-34
45
34
+11
H16/02
NCAA
South Florida
#20
L
31-46
31
46
-15
A18/02
NCAA
72.3Avg total
37.5Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.233.871.0+3.467%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.331.770.0+6.664%-
Last 30 away (16)36.235.671.8+0.669%-
Last 10 (10)37.534.872.3+2.760%-
Last 5 (5)38.635.073.6+3.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)31.037.068.0-6.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.033.668.6+1.456%-
vs Weaker (20)38.533.872.2+4.775%-
This opponent (SMU Mustangs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SMU MustangsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Temple
#254
W
30-28
30
28
+2
H17/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#190
W
52-33
52
33
+19
H20/01
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/01
NCAA
Wichita State
#255
W
41-37
41
37
+4
A28/01
NCAA
Tulane
#251
W
38-32
38
32
+6
H02/02
NCAA
UAB
#77
W
32-27
32
27
+5
H04/02
NCAA
Rice
#315
W
40-37
40
37
+3
A08/02
NCAA
North Texas
#159
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H11/02
NCAA
Tulane
#251
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A16/02
NCAA
Memphis
#57
W
58-36
58
36
+22
H18/02
NCAA
72.8Avg total
39.0Scored
33.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.331.668.9+5.773%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.630.569.1+8.175%-
Last 30 away (14)35.932.968.7+3.071%-
Last 10 (10)39.033.872.8+5.270%-
Last 5 (5)39.435.074.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)36.238.875.0-2.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.629.365.9+7.371%-
vs Weaker (19)37.830.968.8+6.979%-
This opponent (Florida Atlantic) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Florida Atlantic wins
0
SMU Mustangs wins
No previous meetings.
Florida Atlanticlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24ASouth Florida86-90
16/02/24HTemple80-68
11/02/24AWichita State95-82 OT
09/02/24AUAB73-76 OT
03/02/24HTulsa102-70
28/01/24HNorth Texas66-63
25/01/24ARice69-56
21/01/24AUTSA Roadrunners112-103 OT
19/01/24HWichita State86-77
14/01/24HUAB86-73
SMU Mustangslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/02/24HMemphis106-79
16/02/24ATulane87-79
11/02/24HNorth Texas71-68
08/02/24ARice95-69
04/02/24HUAB72-69
02/02/24HTulane80-76
28/01/24AWichita State72-77
26/01/24ANorth Texas66-68
20/01/24HTulsa103-70
17/01/24HTemple77-64

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida Atlantic
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL77%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLWL62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261313
Win %77%92%62%
Points / game83.485.481.5
Allowed / game72.869.975.6
Point differential+10.7+15.5+5.8
Avg total156.2155.3157.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%62%38%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (8)100% (2)33% (6)
Overtime %15%8%23%
SMU Mustangs
NCAA 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW73%
HomeWWWWW87%
AwayWLLWW55%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261511
Win %73%87%55%
Points / game77.880.274.5
Allowed / game65.764.367.6
Point differential+12.1+15.9+6.8
Avg total143.5144.5142.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+58%67%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won38% (8)75% (4)0% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Florida2520580%75.168.5+6.6
2 Florida Atlantic2620677%83.472.8+10.7
3 Memphis2719870%80.075.6+4.4
4 Charlotte2617965%69.265.2+4.0
5 UAB2617965%76.675.3+1.3
6 North Texas25141156%67.461.1+6.3
7 East Carolina26141254%69.867.7+2.1
8 Tulane25131252%83.880.1+3.7
9 Tulsa26131350%75.273.6+1.7
10 Wichita State27111641%72.473.2-0.9
11 Rice26101638%74.076.5-2.5
12 Temple2691735%71.274.2-3.0
13 UTSA Roadrunners2781930%78.182.8-4.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Duke2621581%80.567.2+13.3
2 North Carolina2620677%82.871.4+11.4
3 Virginia2720774%64.158.6+5.6
4 SMU Mustangs2619773%77.865.7+12.1
5 Clemson2618869%78.971.4+7.5
6 Wake Forest2617965%79.469.3+10.1
7 Pittsburgh2617965%75.067.2+7.8
8 Syracuse27171063%75.974.6+1.2
9 NC State26161062%75.871.5+4.3
10 Virginia Tech26151158%74.669.6+5.0
11 Boston College26151158%76.273.2+3.0
12 Florida State26141254%76.574.8+1.7
13 Miami (FL)28151354%76.672.9+3.6
14 Stanford25121348%77.576.0+1.5
15 California26111542%74.876.3-1.5
16 Georgia Tech27111641%70.475.2-4.8
17 Notre Dame26101638%62.364.7-2.5
18 Louisville2781930%72.678.6-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida Atlantic413980
SMU Mustangs373370
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