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South Florida vs Wichita State Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 18 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Final 85-86 (OT)
36-37 41-40 8-9
Position#40
Record11-6
FormWLWWW
Points / game90.5
Allowed / game79.2
vs
Position#71
Record10-8
FormWLLWL
Points / game77.6
Allowed / game69.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · South Florida v Wichita State
15 Mar 2026
SOUT70
WICH55
18 Jan 2026
SOUT85
WICH86
09 Feb 2025
SOUT70
WICH75
21 Jan 2024
SOUT72
WICH68
08 Jan 2023
SOUT66
WICH70
22 Dec 2020
SOUT77
WICH82
21 Jan 2020
SOUT43
WICH56
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Florida winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wichita State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South FloridaUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#90
L
68-83
68
83
-15
H28/11
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H05/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
81-75
81
75
+6
H11/12
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
93-104
93
104
-11
A18/12
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
94-69
94
69
+25
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia College
#688
W
111-50
111
50
+61
H29/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
106-109 OT
106
109
-3
H04/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A08/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
93-78
93
78
+15
A10/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H15/01
NCAA
1H
2H
29-33
39-50
41-20
33-41
46-43
35-32
39-46
54-58
45-29
49-40
61-31
50-19
38-36
45-47
25-30
49-40
51-36
42-42
44-31
38-40
164.6Avg total
87.6Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)90.579.2169.8+11.365%
Season at home (11)89.273.1162.3+16.173%
Season away (6)93.090.5183.5+2.550%
Last 10 (10)87.677.0164.6+10.670%
Last 5 (5)93.275.6168.8+17.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.078.2145.2-11.20%
vs Similar (15)77.477.7155.1-0.340%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)91.380.8172.1+10.570%
This opponent (Wichita State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wichita StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mount Marty
#446
W
95-69
95
69
+26
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
74-69 OT
74
69
+5
A07/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
58-61
58
61
-3
H13/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H18/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
88-57
88
57
+31
H21/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
75-70
75
70
+5
A31/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
L
100-104 OT
100
104
-4
A03/01
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
64-66
64
66
-2
H08/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
78-67
78
67
+11
H11/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
67-85
67
85
-18
A16/01
NCAA
1H
2H
43-34
52-35
35-28
24-31
31-36
27-25
41-29
43-44
44-18
44-39
29-42
46-28
41-36
39-44
25-28
39-38
37-27
41-40
25-37
42-48
150.4Avg total
78.3Scored
72.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.669.8147.4+7.856%
Season at home (12)79.365.9145.2+13.467%
Season away (6)74.277.5151.7-3.333%
Last 10 (10)78.372.1150.4+6.260%
Last 5 (5)76.878.4155.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)73.476.0149.4-2.620%
vs Similar (13)70.769.1139.8+1.669%
vs Weaker (11)82.668.8151.5+13.864%
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +2.5+2.5
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +8.4+8.41st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +2.5+2.5
South FloridaWichita State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
South FloridaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Colorado State
#90
L
29-33
29
33
-4
H28/11
NCAA
Utah State
#20
W
41-20
41
20
+21
H05/12
NCAA
Charleston
#80
W
46-43
46
43
+3
H11/12
NCAA
Alabama
#48
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A18/12
NCAA
UMBC Retrievers
#43
W
45-29
45
29
+16
H21/12
NCAA
Georgia College
#688
W
61-31
61
31
+30
H29/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H04/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
L
25-30
25
30
-5
A08/01
NCAA
Tulsa
#23
W
51-36
51
36
+15
A10/01
NCAA
East Carolina
#310
W
44-31
44
31
+13
H15/01
NCAA
75.4Avg total
41.9Scored
33.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.136.674.7+1.547%-
Last 30 at home (17)38.634.472.9+4.259%-
Last 30 away (13)37.539.577.0-2.131%-
Last 10 (10)41.933.575.4+8.470%-
Last 5 (5)43.832.876.6+11.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)31.241.072.2-9.80%-
vs Similar (15)35.935.971.8-0.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (10)41.936.478.3+5.570%-
This opponent (Wichita State) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Wichita StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mount Marty
#446
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H03/12
NCAA
Northern Iowa
#88
W
35-28
35
28
+7
A07/12
NCAA
DePaul
#213
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H13/12
NCAA
Wofford
#126
W
41-29
41
29
+12
H18/12
NCAA
Eastern Kentucky
#313
W
44-18
44
18
+26
H21/12
NCAA
UAB
#99
L
29-42
29
42
-13
A31/12
NCAA
Charlotte
#216
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A03/01
NCAA
Rice
#268
L
25-28
25
28
-3
H08/01
NCAA
North Texas
#138
W
37-27
37
27
+10
H11/01
NCAA
Florida Atlantic
#164
L
25-37
25
37
-12
A16/01
NCAA
66.6Avg total
35.1Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.132.566.5+1.647%-
Last 30 at home (18)35.331.366.6+3.956%-
Last 30 away (12)32.234.266.4-1.933%-
Last 10 (10)35.131.566.6+3.660%-
Last 5 (5)31.434.065.4-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)32.834.066.8-1.220%-
vs Similar (13)31.132.263.2-1.146%-
vs Weaker (11)38.131.569.5+6.664%-
This opponent (South Florida) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
South Florida wins
8
Wichita State wins
South Floridalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/01/26HEast Carolina82-71
10/01/26ATulsa93-78
08/01/26ANorth Texas74-70
04/01/26HUAB106-109 OT
29/12/25HGeorgia College111-50
21/12/25HUMBC Retrievers94-69
18/12/25AAlabama93-104
11/12/25HCharleston81-75
05/12/25HUtah State74-61
28/11/25HColorado State68-83
Wichita Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/01/26AFlorida Atlantic67-85
11/01/26HNorth Texas78-67
08/01/26HRice64-66
03/01/26ACharlotte100-104 OT
31/12/25AUAB75-70
21/12/25HEastern Kentucky88-57
18/12/25HWofford84-73
13/12/25HDePaul58-61
07/12/25ANorthern Iowa74-69 OT
03/12/25HMount Marty95-69

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Florida
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW65%
HomeWWWLW73%
AwayWLLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games17116
Win %65%73%50%
Points / game90.589.293.0
Allowed / game79.273.190.5
Point differential+11.3+16.1+2.5
Avg total169.8162.3183.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+47%55%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %12%18%0%
Wichita State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL56%
HomeLWWLW67%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %56%67%33%
Points / game77.679.374.2
Allowed / game69.865.977.5
Point differential+7.8+13.4-3.3
Avg total147.4145.2151.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)0% (3)40% (5)
Overtime %11%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

American Conference conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Tulsa1714382%87.671.8+15.9
2 Tulane1712571%73.973.4+0.5
3 Florida Atlantic1913668%83.372.9+10.4
4 UAB1812667%83.473.7+9.7
5 South Florida1711665%90.579.2+11.3
6 Temple1811761%75.869.9+5.8
7 North Texas1710759%69.864.9+4.9
8 Wichita State1810856%77.669.8+7.8
9 Charlotte189950%74.273.7+0.5
10 Memphis168850%73.272.9+0.2
11 Rice1881044%74.273.5+0.7
12 East Carolina1751229%68.577.3-8.8
13 UTSA Roadrunners1741324%68.578.2-9.7
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HOTFinal
South Florida3641885
Wichita State3740986
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