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Florida State vs UCF Knights Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Dec 2020
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 74-86
39-34 35-52
Position#42
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game64.2
vs
Position#199
Record1-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game60.5
Allowed / game67.5
USANCAA
Other2020-21
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Florida State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
UCF Knights winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#222
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H19/02
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Louisville
#41
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H25/02
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A29/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
W
73-71
73
71
+2
A05/03
NCAA
Boston College
#295
W
80-62
80
62
+18
H07/03
NCAA
North Florida
#284
W
86-58
86
58
+28
H03/12
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
69-67 OT
69
67
+2
H10/12
NCAA
Florida
#117
W
83-71
83
71
+12
H12/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
W
74-61
74
61
+13
H16/12
NCAA
1H
2H
38-33
44-34
27-32
40-29
32-40
50-27
39-32
30-38
35-42
38-29
42-24
38-38
36-21
50-37
33-31
29-31
45-35
38-36
36-29
38-32
142.0Avg total
76.5Scored
65.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.064.2142.2+13.8100%
Season at home (4)78.064.2142.2+13.8100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)76.565.5142.0+11.090%
Last 5 (5)78.463.8142.2+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)74.865.8140.5+9.075%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)76.066.3142.4+9.788%
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#82
W
83-75
83
75
+8
H09/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#51
L
58-75
58
75
-17
H14/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#69
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
A20/02
NCAA
Tulane
#285
L
74-75
74
75
-1
H22/02
NCAA
Uconn
#109
L
65-81
65
81
-16
A27/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#82
L
54-65
54
65
-11
A29/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#126
W
61-58
61
58
+3
H05/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#276
W
94-62
94
62
+32
H08/03
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
63-55
63
55
+8
H01/12
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
58-80
58
80
-22
A06/12
NCAA
1H
2H
37-29
46-46
20-33
38-42
32-37
38-33
39-32
35-43
32-36
33-45
21-27
33-38
33-14
28-44
47-29
47-33
30-21
33-34
34-38
24-42
141.2Avg total
69.9Scored
71.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)60.567.5128.0-7.050%
Season at home (1)63.055.0118.0+8.0100%
Season away (1)58.080.0138.0-22.00%
Last 10 (10)69.971.3141.2-1.450%
Last 5 (5)66.064.0130.0+2.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)64.676.3140.9-11.714%
vs Similar (18)66.265.1131.3+1.156%
vs Weaker (5)77.664.2141.8+13.480%
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: -4.5-4.5
-8-4+0+4+81st half1st half: +4.4+4.41st half: +2.9+2.92nd half2nd half: +6.4+6.42nd half: -4.5-4.5
Florida StateUCF Knights
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pittsburgh
#222
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H19/02
NCAA
NC State
#119
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Louisville
#41
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/02
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A29/02
NCAA
Notre Dame
#117
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A05/03
NCAA
Boston College
#295
W
42-24
42
24
+18
H07/03
NCAA
North Florida
#284
W
36-21
36
21
+15
H03/12
NCAA
Indiana
#220
W
33-31
33
31
+2
H10/12
NCAA
Florida
#117
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H12/12
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#84
W
36-29
36
29
+7
H16/12
NCAA
68.2Avg total
36.3Scored
31.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.631.668.2+5.077%-
Last 30 at home (19)38.630.869.5+7.889%-
Last 30 away (11)33.133.066.1+0.155%-
Last 10 (10)36.331.968.2+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)38.428.066.4+10.4100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (4)34.833.568.2+1.250%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)36.931.368.2+5.581%-
This opponent (UCF Knights) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
UCF KnightsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tulsa
#82
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H09/02
NCAA
Wichita State
#51
L
20-33
20
33
-13
H14/02
NCAA
Cincinnati
#69
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A20/02
NCAA
Tulane
#285
W
39-32
39
32
+7
H22/02
NCAA
Uconn
#109
L
32-36
32
36
-4
A27/02
NCAA
Tulsa
#82
L
21-27
21
27
-6
A29/02
NCAA
SMU Mustangs
#126
W
33-14
33
14
+19
H05/03
NCAA
East Carolina
#276
W
47-29
47
29
+18
H08/03
NCAA
Auburn
#194
W
30-21
30
21
+9
H01/12
NCAA
Michigan
#16
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A06/12
NCAA
62.1Avg total
32.5Scored
29.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)31.729.761.4+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (17)33.227.961.2+5.376%-
Last 30 away (13)29.732.061.7-2.323%-
Last 10 (10)32.529.662.1+2.950%-
Last 5 (5)33.025.858.8+7.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)30.734.064.7-3.329%-
vs Similar (18)30.428.959.3+1.450%-
vs Weaker (5)37.826.464.2+11.4100%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Florida State wins
0
UCF Knights wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/12/20HGeorgia Tech74-61
12/12/20HFlorida83-71
10/12/20HIndiana69-67 OT
03/12/20HNorth Florida86-58
07/03/20HBoston College80-62
05/03/20ANotre Dame73-71
29/02/20AClemson69-70
25/02/20HLouisville82-67
22/02/20ANC State67-61
19/02/20HPittsburgh82-67
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/20AMichigan58-80
01/12/20HAuburn63-55
08/03/20HEast Carolina94-62
05/03/20HSMU Mustangs61-58
29/02/20ATulsa54-65
27/02/20AUconn65-81
22/02/20HTulane74-75
20/02/20ACincinnati89-87 OT
14/02/20HWichita State58-75
09/02/20HTulsa83-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Florida State
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWWWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games44-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game78.078.0-
Allowed / game64.264.2-
Point differential+13.8+13.8-
Avg total142.2142.2-
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%75%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %25%25%-
UCF Knights
NCAA 2020-21
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWL50%
HomeW100%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %50%100%0%
Points / game60.563.058.0
Allowed / game67.555.080.0
Point differential-7.0+8.0-22.0
Avg total128.0118.0138.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Wake Forest220100%91.055.5+35.5
2 SMU Mustangs550100%85.263.0+22.2
3 Florida State440100%78.064.2+13.8
4 Syracuse76186%83.767.9+15.9
5 Virginia Tech76186%73.763.1+10.6
6 Clemson65183%66.753.8+12.8
7 Pittsburgh65183%75.064.7+10.3
8 NC State54180%81.860.2+21.6
9 Louisville54180%71.863.4+8.4
10 Virginia43175%74.057.5+16.5
11 North Carolina75271%74.166.6+7.6
12 Stanford64267%74.367.0+7.3
13 Miami (FL)64267%67.862.2+5.7
14 Duke53260%73.869.6+4.2
15 California84450%68.565.9+2.6
16 Georgia Tech63350%80.378.3+2.0
17 Notre Dame62433%73.377.7-4.3
18 Boston College61517%73.785.5-11.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Big 12 conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Baylor550100%92.664.8+27.8
2 Houston440100%74.555.8+18.8
3 Kansas87188%78.666.2+12.4
4 West Virginia87188%76.068.1+7.9
5 Oklahoma State76186%77.169.3+7.9
6 Arizona65183%78.262.3+15.8
7 Colorado54180%77.855.2+22.6
8 Utah Utes54180%73.862.2+11.6
9 Brigham Young97278%77.165.7+11.4
10 Texas Tech86275%73.052.4+20.6
11 TCU86275%70.965.2+5.6
12 Arizona State74357%77.176.6+0.6
13 UCF Knights21150%60.567.5-7.0
14 Kansas State83538%66.975.4-8.5
15 Cincinnati62433%68.271.2-3.0
16 Iowa State51420%71.076.6-5.6
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Florida State393574
UCF Knights345286
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