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Notre Dame vs Florida State Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 05 Mar 2020
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 71-73
42-35 29-38
Position#117
Record14-10
FormLWWWL
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game71.2
Notre Dame
USA
vs
Florida State 🏆
USA
Position#12
Record21-4
FormWWWWL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game66.5
USANCAA
Other2019-20
Meetings · Notre Dame v Florida State
07 Feb 2026
NOTR79
FLOR82
13 Jan 2024
NOTR58
FLOR67
17 Jan 2023
NOTR71
FLOR84
06 Mar 2021
NOTR83
FLOR73
04 Mar 2020
NOTR71
FLOR73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Notre Dame winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Florida State winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Notre DameUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#257
W
90-80
90
80
+10
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
80-72
80
72
+8
H05/02
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
61-57
61
57
+4
A09/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
L
49-50 OT
49
50
-1
A12/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
L
60-94
60
94
-34
A15/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
W
77-76
77
76
+1
H18/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
87-71
87
71
+16
H23/02
NCAA
Boston College
#295
W
62-61
62
61
+1
A27/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
L
73-84
73
84
-11
A29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
36-41
54-39
36-33
44-39
42-33
38-39
27-29
34-28
26-22
21-25
32-42
28-52
36-33
41-43
48-29
39-42
34-41
28-20
30-41
43-43
143.6Avg total
71.9Scored
71.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.571.2145.8+3.258%
Season at home (14)79.669.5149.1+10.171%
Season away (10)67.473.7141.1-6.340%
Last 10 (10)71.971.7143.6+0.270%
Last 5 (5)71.877.2149.0-5.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)69.084.0153.0-15.00%
vs Similar (12)68.368.4136.8-0.150%
vs Weaker (10)82.471.0153.4+11.480%
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#43
L
56-61
56
61
-5
A29/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
74-63
74
63
+11
A01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
W
65-59
65
59
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
99-81
99
81
+18
H08/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
L
65-70
65
70
-5
A11/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
W
80-77
80
77
+3
H15/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H19/02
NCAA
NC State
#119
W
67-61
67
61
+6
A22/02
NCAA
Louisville
#41
W
82-67
82
67
+15
H25/02
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
69-70
69
70
-1
A29/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-27
28-34
34-29
40-34
29-28
36-31
50-47
49-34
32-33
33-37
41-33
39-44
38-33
44-34
27-32
40-29
32-40
50-27
39-32
30-38
141.5Avg total
73.9Scored
67.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (25)75.666.5142.2+9.184%
Season at home (15)79.465.7145.1+13.7100%
Season away (10)70.067.7137.7+2.360%
Last 10 (10)73.967.6141.5+6.370%
Last 5 (5)76.068.4144.4+7.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)69.081.0150.0-12.00%
vs Similar (6)78.072.3150.3+5.767%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)75.766.4142.1+9.386%
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +4.7+4.7
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +0.3+0.31st half: +1.6+1.62nd half2nd half: +0.0+0.02nd half: +4.7+4.7
Notre DameFlorida State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Notre DameLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wake Forest
#257
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H30/01
NCAA
Georgia Tech
#168
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H01/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H05/02
NCAA
Clemson
#211
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A09/02
NCAA
Virginia
#43
W
26-22
26
22
+4
A12/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A15/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H18/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
48-29
48
29
+19
H23/02
NCAA
Boston College
#295
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A27/02
NCAA
Wake Forest
#257
L
30-41
30
41
-11
A29/02
NCAA
69.1Avg total
34.7Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (26)33.733.567.3+0.246%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.432.367.7+3.156%-
Last 30 away (10)31.135.566.6-4.430%-
Last 10 (10)34.734.469.1+0.350%-
Last 5 (5)36.037.273.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)30.739.069.7-8.30%-
vs Similar (12)29.832.061.8-2.242%-
vs Weaker (10)38.133.771.8+4.460%-
This opponent (Florida State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Florida StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Virginia
#43
W
28-27
28
27
+1
A29/01
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#258
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A01/02
NCAA
North Carolina
#288
W
29-28
29
28
+1
H04/02
NCAA
Miami (FL)
#254
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H08/02
NCAA
Duke
#19
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A11/02
NCAA
Syracuse
#165
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H15/02
NCAA
Pittsburgh
#222
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H19/02
NCAA
NC State
#119
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A22/02
NCAA
Louisville
#41
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H25/02
NCAA
Clemson
#211
W
39-32
39
32
+7
A29/02
NCAA
68.4Avg total
35.0Scored
33.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.132.268.3+3.973%-
Last 30 at home (18)39.232.071.2+7.289%-
Last 30 away (12)31.532.564.0-1.050%-
Last 10 (10)35.033.468.4+1.670%-
Last 5 (5)35.434.069.4+1.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)29.039.068.0-10.00%-
vs Similar (6)34.733.868.5+0.850%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)37.131.768.8+5.482%-
This opponent (Notre Dame) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Notre Dame wins
1
Florida State wins
DateGameScore
26/01/20Florida State v Notre Dame85-84
Notre Damelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20AWake Forest73-84
27/02/20ABoston College62-61
23/02/20HMiami (FL)87-71
18/02/20HNorth Carolina77-76
15/02/20ADuke60-94
12/02/20AVirginia49-50 OT
09/02/20AClemson61-57
05/02/20HPittsburgh80-72
01/02/20HGeorgia Tech80-72
30/01/20HWake Forest90-80
Florida Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/02/20AClemson69-70
25/02/20HLouisville82-67
22/02/20ANC State67-61
19/02/20HPittsburgh82-67
15/02/20HSyracuse80-77
11/02/20ADuke65-70
08/02/20HMiami (FL)99-81
04/02/20HNorth Carolina65-59
01/02/20AVirginia Tech74-63
29/01/20AVirginia56-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Notre Dame
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL58%
HomeWWWWW71%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241410
Win %58%71%40%
Points / game74.579.667.4
Allowed / game71.269.573.7
Point differential+3.2+10.1-6.3
Avg total145.8149.1141.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%43%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won46% (13)33% (6)57% (7)
Overtime %8%7%10%
Florida State
NCAA 2019-20
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL84%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLWLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games251510
Win %84%100%60%
Points / game75.679.470.0
Allowed / game66.565.767.7
Point differential+9.1+13.7+2.3
Avg total142.2145.1137.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+48%60%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)100% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %8%7%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Atlantic Coast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Florida State2521484%75.666.5+9.1
2 Duke2620677%82.069.0+13.1
3 Louisville2519676%72.964.7+8.2
4 Virginia2417771%57.254.5+2.8
5 Stanford2415962%68.962.3+6.5
6 SMU Mustangs25151060%73.569.8+3.8
7 Notre Dame24141058%74.571.2+3.2
8 NC State25141156%71.970.3+1.6
9 Syracuse26141254%75.772.0+3.7
10 Georgia Tech26131350%67.866.8+1.1
11 Clemson25121348%65.064.6+0.4
12 Pittsburgh25121348%65.465.6-0.2
13 Virginia Tech25111444%67.368.4-1.1
14 Wake Forest25111444%73.774.8-1.1
15 Miami (FL)23101343%71.776.1-4.4
16 Boston College2591636%63.270.8-7.6
17 California2591636%61.869.5-7.6
18 North Carolina2691735%71.974.2-2.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Notre Dame422971
Florida State353873
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