Forca Lleida vs San Pablo Burgos Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 08 Jan 2023

Tip-off: 11:30

Final 85-79

27-15 14-32 20-18 24-14

Position#6

Record10-4

FormLWWWL

Points / game81.5

Allowed / game78.4

Forca Lleida 🏆

San Pablo Burgos

Position#3

Record9-5

FormWWLLW

Points / game79.9

Allowed / game74.9

Primera FEBRound 15

Other2022-23

Meetings · Forca Lleida v San Pablo Burgos

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Forca Lleida winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

San Pablo Burgos winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Forca Lleida Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Almansa

#12

91-77

+14

H28/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

84-68

+16

A05/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

82-75

H20/11

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

75-90

-15

A25/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

78-75 OT

H02/12

Primera FEB

Castello

79-87

-8

A07/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

91-79

+12

H11/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

81-75

A16/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

94-78

+16

H20/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

71-85

-14

A30/12

Primera FEB

21-20

29-20

19-23

22-14

20-22

26-7

22-13

16-26

26-24

12-15

22-20

22-16

9-22

20-29

31-18

15-21

19-16

13-18

17-13

20-22

19-25

20-23

25-18

15-21

20-13

22-26

27-13

22-27

17-24

16-20

18-18

30-13

29-19

26-19

19-16

20-24

13-24

17-14

20-18

21-29

161.5Avg total

82.6Scored

78.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	81.5	78.4	159.9	+3.1	71%
Season at home (7)	89.0	76.1	165.1	+12.9	100%
Season away (7)	74.0	80.7	154.7	-6.7	43%
Last 10 (10)	82.6	78.9	161.5	+3.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	83.2	80.8	164.0	+2.4	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	74.4	83.6	158.0	-9.2	20%
vs Similar (9)	76.9	80.1	157.0	-3.2	56%
vs Weaker (16)	83.4	78.3	161.7	+5.1	69%

This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

San Pablo Burgos Spain

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

#10

98-101 OT

101

-3

H29/10

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

82-88

-6

A05/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

83-74

H20/11

Primera FEB

Castello

67-65

A25/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

89-62

+27

H03/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

91-82

A06/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

73-63

+10

H10/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

69-84

-15

A16/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

91-95 OT

-4

A20/12

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

85-59

+26

H29/12

Primera FEB

18-24

20-17

22-15

18-22

22-31

16-19

13-29

31-9

21-23

20-16

20-15

22-20

20-24

18-12

13-7

16-22

22-13

28-12

15-22

24-15

25-23

25-21

20-17

21-21

14-9

19-16

18-23

22-15

22-21

22-22

12-23

13-18

25-21

14-27

23-19

19-14

23-14

21-15

20-14

21-16

160.1Avg total

82.8Scored

77.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	79.9	74.9	154.9	+5.0	64%
Season at home (7)	84.0	71.6	155.6	+12.4	86%
Season away (7)	75.9	78.3	154.1	-2.4	43%
Last 10 (10)	82.8	77.3	160.1	+5.5	60%
Last 5 (5)	81.8	76.6	158.4	+5.2	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	79.7	84.8	164.5	-5.1	30%
vs Similar (8)	77.0	79.0	156.0	-2.0	38%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	80.7	73.1	153.8	+7.6	75%

This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Forca LleidaSan Pablo Burgos

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.9	39.3	-0.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.2	18.3	39.5	+2.9	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.7	21.4	39.1	-3.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.3	20.9	40.2	-1.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	21.0	40.6	-1.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	13.2	21.8	35.0	-8.6	20%	-
vs Similar (9)	20.6	17.8	38.3	+2.8	78%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.8	20.4	41.2	+0.4	50%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.1	19.5	38.7	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.4	17.8	37.2	+1.6	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.8	21.5	40.3	-2.7	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	20.3	41.5	+0.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	17.6	39.4	+4.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	19.7	22.5	42.2	-2.8	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.6	17.8	37.4	+1.9	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.3	18.2	36.6	+0.1	58%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.5	21.4	41.9	-0.9	30%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.7	22.3	44.1	-0.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.3	20.5	39.8	-1.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.1	19.1	39.2	+1.0	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.4	40.6	-0.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	20.0	25.0	45.0	-5.0	20%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.4	22.1	41.6	-2.7	22%	-
vs Weaker (16)	21.3	19.9	41.2	+1.4	38%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.6	18.0	36.6	+0.7	53%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	18.9	17.8	36.7	+1.2	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.3	18.2	36.5	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	17.7	38.0	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.2	20.2	40.4	+0.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.6	19.4	38.0	-0.8	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	15.8	17.5	33.2	-1.8	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.6	17.1	37.7	+3.5	83%	-

Forca LleidaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Almansa

#12

50-40

+10

H28/10

Primera FEB

Oviedo

#14

46-29

+17

A05/11

Primera FEB

Alicante

#10

38-39

-1

H20/11

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

29-51

-22

A25/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

32-34

-2

H02/12

Primera FEB

Castello

39-48

-9

A07/12

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

42-39

H11/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

33-44

-11

A16/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

55-38

+17

H20/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

30-38

-8

A30/12

Primera FEB

79.4Avg total

39.4Scored

40.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.0	41.3	81.3	-1.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	42.9	40.7	83.6	+2.3	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	37.1	41.9	78.9	-4.8	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	40.0	79.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.8	41.4	81.2	-1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	33.2	46.8	80.0	-13.6	20%	-
vs Similar (9)	40.0	39.9	79.9	+0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker (16)	42.1	40.3	82.4	+1.8	56%	-

This opponent (San Pablo Burgos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

San Pablo BurgosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Alicante

#10

38-41

-3

H29/10

Primera FEB

MoraBanc Andorra

38-50

-12

A05/11

Primera FEB

Gipuzkoa

41-39

H20/11

Primera FEB

Castello

38-36

A25/11

Primera FEB

Estela

#11

50-25

+25

H03/12

Primera FEB

Albacete

#18

50-44

A06/12

Primera FEB

Caceres

#15

33-25

H10/12

Primera FEB

Palencia

44-43

A16/12

Primera FEB

Ourense

#13

39-48

-9

A20/12

Primera FEB

Iraurgi SB

#17

44-29

+15

H29/12

Primera FEB

79.5Avg total

41.5Scored

38.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	37.8	37.5	75.3	+0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	38.4	35.6	73.9	+2.8	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.1	39.7	76.8	-2.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.5	38.0	79.5	+3.5	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.0	37.8	79.8	+4.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	38.3	41.9	80.2	-3.6	30%	-
vs Similar (8)	35.4	35.2	70.6	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	38.9	35.3	74.2	+3.6	67%	-

This opponent (Forca Lleida) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.8	37.5	+1.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	20.7	15.3	35.9	+5.4	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.7	20.4	39.1	-1.7	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.0	17.0	39.0	+5.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.6	38.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	22.2	16.4	38.6	+5.8	80%	-
vs Similar (9)	16.7	18.4	35.1	-1.8	33%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.6	17.9	38.6	+2.7	62%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.4	19.3	37.7	-0.9	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	19.7	38.9	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	18.9	36.4	-1.5	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.6	18.4	36.0	-0.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.2	37.8	-0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	18.0	21.4	39.4	-3.4	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.2	21.8	40.0	-3.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	18.8	16.0	34.8	+2.8	75%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.9	20.4	40.4	-0.5	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	20.3	42.8	+2.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	17.4	20.5	37.9	-3.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.3	21.3	41.6	-1.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.6	22.8	44.4	-1.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	19.0	20.4	39.4	-1.4	60%	-
vs Similar (9)	19.2	21.1	40.3	-1.9	33%	-
vs Weaker (16)	20.6	20.1	40.7	+0.6	56%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	19.7	40.9	+1.5	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.1	18.4	39.6	+2.7	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	21.1	42.5	+0.2	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.7	17.2	37.9	+3.5	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	16.8	36.0	+2.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	23.4	21.5	44.9	+1.9	60%	-
vs Similar (8)	19.8	19.0	38.8	+0.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.8	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	38.3	77.9	+1.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.1	35.6	78.7	+7.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	36.1	40.9	77.1	-4.8	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.3	38.3	80.6	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.4	39.4	82.8	+4.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)	41.2	36.8	78.0	+4.4	60%	-
vs Similar (9)	35.9	39.6	75.4	-3.7	33%	-
vs Weaker (16)	41.2	38.0	79.2	+3.2	62%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.6	39.0	78.7	+0.6	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	40.4	38.1	78.5	+2.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.8	40.1	78.9	-1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	38.3	35.6	73.9	+2.7	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	37.8	36.0	73.8	+1.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)	41.4	42.9	84.3	-1.5	40%	-
vs Similar (8)	38.0	40.8	78.8	-2.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)	39.2	34.7	73.9	+4.6	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Forca Lleidatheir own shots, last 10 games

No box scores for this team yet.

San Pablo Burgostheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

San Pablo Burgos: 77.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀48%

🏀🏀🏀38%

🏀15%

🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 48% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 38% of the points

🏀 Free throws11.3 pts a game · 15% of the points

League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game

46%

35%

19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	39.8	18.3	46.0%	51.8%	36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.4	9.7	38.2%	33.7%	29.1
🏀 Free throws	14.6	11.3	77.4%	73.6%	11.3

They take 65.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.1	17.6	48.8%	51.8%	35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.9	10.2	39.4%	33.7%	30.6
🏀 Free throws	19.6	13.8	70.4%	73.6%	13.8

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.0	18.5	48.8%	51.8%	37.1
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	25.0	9.1	36.6%	33.7%	27.4
🏀 Free throws	16.4	12.4	75.6%	73.6%	12.4

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	38.1	20.2	52.9%	51.8%	40.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	26.5	9.4	35.3%	33.7%	28.1
🏀 Free throws	18.9	13.9	73.4%	73.6%	13.9

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Forca Lleida wins

San Pablo Burgos wins

Date	Game	Score
03/01/17	Forca Lleida v San Pablo Burgos	78-80
30/09/16	San Pablo Burgos v Forca Lleida	81-88
15/01/16	Forca Lleida v San Pablo Burgos	91-84 OT
16/10/15	San Pablo Burgos v Forca Lleida	67-43

Forca Lleidalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
30/12/22	A	Palencia	71-85
20/12/22	H	Caceres	94-78
16/12/22	A	Albacete	81-75
11/12/22	H	Estela	91-79
07/12/22	A	Castello	79-87
02/12/22	H	Gipuzkoa	78-75 OT
25/11/22	A	MoraBanc Andorra	75-90
20/11/22	H	Alicante	82-75
05/11/22	A	Oviedo	84-68
28/10/22	H	Almansa	91-77

San Pablo Burgoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
29/12/22	H	Iraurgi SB	85-59
20/12/22	A	Ourense	91-95 OT
16/12/22	A	Palencia	69-84
10/12/22	H	Caceres	73-63
06/12/22	A	Albacete	91-82
03/12/22	H	Estela	89-62
25/11/22	A	Castello	67-65
20/11/22	H	Gipuzkoa	83-74
05/11/22	A	MoraBanc Andorra	82-88
29/10/22	H	Alicante	98-101 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Forca Lleida

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWL	71%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WLLWL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	71%	100%	43%
Points / game	81.5	89.0	74.0
Allowed / game	78.4	76.1	80.7
Point differential	+3.1	+12.9	-6.7
Avg total	159.9	165.1	154.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	57%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	100% (1)	-
Overtime %	7%	14%	0%

San Pablo Burgos

Primera FEB 2022-23

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLW	64%
Home	LWWWW	86%
Away	LWWLL	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	64%	86%	43%
Points / game	79.9	84.0	75.9
Allowed / game	74.9	71.6	78.3
Point differential	+5.0	+12.4	-2.4
Avg total	154.9	155.6	154.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	36%	57%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (4)	50% (2)	50% (2)
Overtime %	14%	14%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Palencia	14	13	1	93%	81.6	68.7	+12.9
2	MoraBanc Andorra	15	13	2	87%	83.2	69.3	+13.9
3	Estudiantes	14	11	3	79%	79.7	72.8	+6.9
4	Forca Lleida	14	10	4	71%	81.5	78.4	+3.1
5	Real Valladolid	15	10	5	67%	75.9	70.1	+5.8
6	Alicante	15	10	5	67%	77.1	74.7	+2.3
7	San Pablo Burgos	14	9	5	64%	79.9	74.9	+5.0
8	Gipuzkoa	15	9	6	60%	74.6	70.0	+4.6
9	Leyma Coruna	14	8	6	57%	82.0	75.1	+6.9
10	Estela	15	7	8	47%	73.2	76.5	-3.3
11	Castello	15	5	10	33%	75.0	77.1	-2.1
12	Ourense	15	5	10	33%	74.2	80.5	-6.3
13	Almansa	15	5	10	33%	73.5	81.3	-7.9
14	Melilla	14	4	10	29%	77.1	79.9	-2.8
15	Oviedo	15	4	11	27%	69.8	80.1	-10.3
16	Albacete	14	3	11	21%	71.9	78.7	-6.9
17	Caceres	14	3	11	21%	68.5	77.3	-8.8
18	Iraurgi SB	15	2	13	13%	71.7	83.7	-12.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Forca Lleida	27	14	20	24	85
San Pablo Burgos	15	32	18	14	79

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Forca Lleida vs San Pablo Burgos Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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