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Fortitudo Bologna vs Poderosa Montegranaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Feb 2019
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 105-106 (OT)
35-25 19-24 17-18 24-28 10-11
Position#1
Record20-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game75.1
vs
Position#3
Record18-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game71.9
ItalyA2 EastRound 23
Other2018-19
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poderosa Montegranaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#6
W
97-95 OT
97
95
+2
H23/12
A2 East
Cagliari
#13
W
80-65
80
65
+15
H30/12
A2 East
Roseto
#7
W
95-89 OT
95
89
+6
A06/01
A2 East
Verona
#4
W
96-71
96
71
+25
H13/01
A2 East
Imola
#10
W
100-84
100
84
+16
A20/01
A2 East
Treviso
#2
W
84-74
84
74
+10
H27/01
A2 East
Udine
#5
L
68-72
68
72
-4
A30/01
A2 East
Jesi
#16
W
104-81
104
81
+23
H04/02
A2 East
Assigeco Piacenza
#11
W
92-73
92
73
+19
H17/02
A2 East
Mantova
#8
W
69-60
69
60
+9
A20/02
A2 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-18
17-21
19-21
27-28
30-15
14-18
22-20
14-12
19-20
20-21
23-23
12-10
17-10
26-22
26-25
27-14
24-14
29-22
24-24
23-24
18-14
24-17
23-22
19-21
17-23
21-12
14-22
16-15
38-15
21-23
24-20
21-23
27-17
26-22
20-20
19-14
20-8
25-17
13-19
11-16
164.9Avg total
88.5Scored
76.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)86.275.1161.3+11.191%
Season at home (11)89.475.3164.6+14.1100%
Season away (11)83.074.9157.9+8.182%
Last 10 (10)88.576.4164.9+12.190%
Last 5 (5)83.472.0155.4+11.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)82.073.3155.3+8.7100%
vs Weaker (27)84.274.7158.9+9.578%
This opponent (Poderosa Montegranaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Poderosa MontegranaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mantova
#8
W
70-65
70
65
+5
A23/12
A2 East
Imola
#10
W
82-69
82
69
+13
H30/12
A2 East
Cagliari
#13
W
83-72
83
72
+11
A06/01
A2 East
Jesi
#16
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A13/01
A2 East
Ravenna
#9
W
74-65
74
65
+9
H20/01
A2 East
Udine
#5
W
76-68
76
68
+8
H27/01
A2 East
Ferrara
#12
W
99-95 OT
99
95
+4
A30/01
A2 East
Forli
#6
W
84-72
84
72
+12
H03/02
A2 East
Bakery Piacenza
#15
W
75-72
75
72
+3
A10/02
A2 East
Roseto
#7
W
81-73
81
73
+8
H17/02
A2 East
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-23
15-12
13-18
18-12
20-22
26-8
18-15
18-24
15-21
20-12
16-22
32-17
17-18
21-23
22-9
23-29
12-18
28-17
15-17
19-13
17-17
14-16
20-15
25-20
19-22
25-20
28-26
13-17
24-11
19-21
28-17
13-23
20-18
15-14
24-23
16-17
14-11
21-22
25-16
21-24
153.7Avg total
80.7Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (22)78.171.9150.0+6.282%
Season at home (11)77.473.4150.7+4.073%
Season away (11)78.970.5149.4+8.591%
Last 10 (10)80.773.0153.7+7.7100%
Last 5 (5)83.076.0159.0+7.0100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)75.683.2158.8-7.620%
vs Similar ◀ (10)75.471.5146.9+3.970%
vs Weaker (15)79.571.8151.3+7.793%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: +8.1+8.1Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.8+2.8Q2: +3.9+3.9Q3Q3: -0.8-0.8Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +1.2+1.2Q4: +0.2+0.2
Fortitudo BolognaPoderosa Montegranaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forli
#6
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H23/12
A2 East
Cagliari
#13
W
44-33
44
33
+11
H30/12
A2 East
Roseto
#7
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A06/01
A2 East
Verona
#4
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H13/01
A2 East
Imola
#10
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A20/01
A2 East
Treviso
#2
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H27/01
A2 East
Udine
#5
W
38-35
38
35
+3
A30/01
A2 East
Jesi
#16
W
59-38
59
38
+21
H04/02
A2 East
Assigeco Piacenza
#11
W
53-39
53
39
+14
H17/02
A2 East
Mantova
#8
W
45-25
45
25
+20
A20/02
A2 East
80.7Avg total
45.8Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.937.579.5+4.467%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.736.579.2+6.180%-
Last 30 away (15)41.238.579.7+2.753%-
Last 10 (10)45.834.980.7+10.990%-
Last 5 (5)47.433.681.0+13.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (3)38.333.371.7+5.067%-
vs Weaker (27)42.338.080.3+4.367%-
This opponent (Poderosa Montegranaro) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Poderosa MontegranaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mantova
#8
W
39-35
39
35
+4
A23/12
A2 East
Imola
#10
W
46-30
46
30
+16
H30/12
A2 East
Cagliari
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
A06/01
A2 East
Jesi
#16
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A13/01
A2 East
Ravenna
#9
W
40-35
40
35
+5
H20/01
A2 East
Udine
#5
L
31-33
31
33
-2
H27/01
A2 East
Ferrara
#12
W
44-42
44
42
+2
A30/01
A2 East
Forli
#6
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H03/02
A2 East
Bakery Piacenza
#15
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A10/02
A2 East
Roseto
#7
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H17/02
A2 East
73.2Avg total
38.6Scored
34.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.235.775.0+3.567%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.735.574.2+3.367%-
Last 30 away (15)39.736.075.7+3.767%-
Last 10 (10)38.634.673.2+4.080%-
Last 5 (5)37.634.472.0+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.638.275.8-0.640%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)38.235.573.7+2.760%-
vs Weaker (15)40.535.175.5+5.480%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Fortitudo Bologna wins
0
Poderosa Montegranaro wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/02/19AMantova69-60
17/02/19HAssigeco Piacenza92-73
04/02/19HJesi104-81
30/01/19AUdine68-72
27/01/19HTreviso84-74
20/01/19AImola100-84
13/01/19HVerona96-71
06/01/19ARoseto95-89 OT
30/12/18HCagliari80-65
23/12/18HForli97-95 OT
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/02/19HRoseto81-73
10/02/19ABakery Piacenza75-72
03/02/19HForli84-72
30/01/19AFerrara99-95 OT
27/01/19HUdine76-68
20/01/19HRavenna74-65
13/01/19AJesi83-79
06/01/19ACagliari83-72
30/12/18HImola82-69
23/12/18AMantova70-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna
A2 East 2018-19
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW91%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWLW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %91%100%82%
Points / game86.289.483.0
Allowed / game75.175.374.9
Point differential+11.1+14.1+8.1
Avg total161.3164.6157.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+59%82%36%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (3)100% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %9%9%9%
Poderosa Montegranaro
A2 East 2018-19
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW82%
HomeWWWWW73%
AwayWWWWW91%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games221111
Win %82%73%91%
Points / game78.177.478.9
Allowed / game71.973.470.5
Point differential+6.2+4.0+8.5
Avg total150.0150.7149.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+23%18%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)50% (4)80% (5)
Overtime %5%0%9%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fortitudo Bologna2220291%86.275.1+11.1
2 Poderosa Montegranaro2218482%78.171.9+6.2
3 Treviso2216673%82.170.4+11.7
4 Udine2314961%78.774.1+4.7
5 Verona2314961%79.977.6+2.3
6 Forli2213959%81.480.1+1.3
7 Roseto23111248%81.278.3+2.9
8 Imola22101245%83.685.9-2.3
9 Ravenna22101245%76.781.8-5.0
10 Mantova2291341%77.079.6-2.6
11 Assigeco Piacenza2281436%80.379.0+1.4
12 Ferrara2281436%80.884.3-3.5
13 Jesi2271532%81.888.6-6.9
14 Cagliari2271532%78.387.5-9.2
15 Bakery Piacenza2371630%78.683.3-4.7
16 Baltur Cento2261627%73.080.5-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Fortitudo Bologna3519172410105
Poderosa Montegranaro2524182811106
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