Fortitudo Bologna vs Siena Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 01 Mar 2009

Tip-off: 20:00

Final 67-63

19-14 11-25 11-10 26-14

Position#15

Record6-12

FormLLWLL

Points / game74.4

Allowed / game81.3

Fortitudo Bologna 🏆

Siena

Position#1

Record19-0

FormWWWWL

Points / game90.9

Allowed / game71.2

Lega ARound 19

Domestic2008-09

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Siena winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fortitudo Bologna Italy

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

85-83 OT

A21/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

72-99

-27

A28/12

Lega A

Cantu

87-88

-1

H03/01

Lega A

Artland

#34

89-93

-4

H06/01

Eurocup

Caserta

#14

74-76 OT

-2

A10/01

Lega A

Valencia

74-80

-6

A13/01

Eurocup

Teramo

69-76

-7

H18/01

Lega A

Udine

#16

80-75

H25/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

71-87

-16

A01/02

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

66-75

-9

A15/02

Lega A

20-22

19-18

21-15

16-21

25-29

14-22

16-24

17-24

27-28

17-26

22-22

21-12

24-28

17-17

12-20

36-28

15-24

21-12

18-16

14-16

21-18

16-20

22-20

15-22

14-25

27-18

11-12

17-21

22-15

22-13

20-23

16-24

23-22

15-28

18-25

15-12

13-20

18-17

15-20

20-18

159.9Avg total

76.7Scored

83.2Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (18)	74.4	81.3	155.7	-6.8	33%
Season at home (8)	71.9	73.4	145.2	-1.5	50%
Season away (10)	76.5	87.6	164.1	-11.1	20%
Last 10 (10)	76.7	83.2	159.9	-6.5	20%
Last 5 (5)	72.0	78.6	150.6	-6.6	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	71.8	83.7	155.5	-11.9	18%
vs Similar (7)	75.0	78.9	153.9	-3.9	29%
vs Weaker (6)	82.5	74.5	157.0	+8.0	67%

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Siena

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nancy

#23

103-79

103

+24

A14/01

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

78-65

+13

H18/01

Lega A

Cantu

93-70

+23

H25/01

Lega A

Cibona

#12

81-88

-7

A28/01

Euroleague

Treviso

84-67

+17

A01/02

Lega A

Fenerbahce

#11

87-79

H04/02

Euroleague

Teramo

99-80

+19

H08/02

Lega A

CSKA Moscow

74-56

+18

H11/02

Euroleague

Ferrara

103-75

103

+28

A15/02

Lega A

CSKA Moscow

71-95

-24

A25/02

Euroleague

26-19

25-14

30-20

22-26

18-14

16-13

25-15

19-23

17-13

28-11

20-18

28-28

25-17

19-21

18-24

19-26

17-23

19-12

30-12

18-20

25-13

26-21

18-17

18-28

23-18

22-23

27-17

27-22

11-10

16-12

26-15

21-19

31-23

25-18

27-20

20-14

19-19

25-26

11-32

16-18

162.7Avg total

87.3Scored

75.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (19)	90.9	71.2	162.1	+19.8	100%
Season at home (10)	92.3	71.1	163.4	+21.2	100%
Season away (9)	89.4	71.2	160.7	+18.2	100%
Last 10 (10)	87.3	75.4	162.7	+11.9	80%
Last 5 (5)	86.8	77.0	163.8	+9.8	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	69.2	74.8	144.0	-5.5	50%
vs Similar (2)	79.0	79.0	158.0	+0.0	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	91.0	73.2	164.2	+17.8	96%

This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Fortitudo BolognaSiena

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	18.9	20.2	39.1	-1.4	42%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.0	19.5	37.5	-1.5	36%	-
Last 30 away (13)	19.6	20.8	40.5	-1.2	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	23.1	43.5	-2.7	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	20.0	38.6	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.5	20.6	38.1	-3.2	36%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.9	21.6	40.4	-2.7	14%	-
vs Weaker (6)	21.5	18.0	39.5	+3.5	83%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	16.7	38.1	+4.8	83%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	15.1	37.3	+7.2	100%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.7	18.3	38.9	+2.4	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	16.9	38.1	+4.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	16.6	38.4	+5.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	12.8	17.5	30.2	-4.8	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	17.0	20.0	37.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	23.3	16.2	39.5	+7.0	92%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	19.5	19.8	39.2	-0.3	42%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	18.1	18.2	36.3	-0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (13)	20.6	21.2	41.8	-0.5	46%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	19.1	37.7	-0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	19.2	38.8	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.2	21.8	40.0	-3.6	18%	-
vs Similar (7)	17.6	19.3	36.9	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	24.0	16.7	40.7	+7.3	83%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.4	18.0	39.4	+3.4	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.6	17.1	38.7	+4.5	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.2	19.0	40.2	+2.2	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.1	17.1	39.2	+5.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.8	20.0	42.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	19.0	18.8	37.8	+0.2	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	25.5	21.0	46.5	+4.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	21.5	17.7	39.1	+3.8	62%	-

Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Olimpia Milano

39-40

-1

A21/12

Lega A

Pesaro

#11

39-51

-12

A28/12

Lega A

Cantu

44-54

-10

H03/01

Lega A

Artland

#34

41-45

-4

H06/01

Eurocup

Caserta

#14

36-36

A10/01

Lega A

Valencia

37-38

-1

A13/01

Eurocup

Teramo

41-43

-2

H18/01

Lega A

Udine

#16

44-28

+16

H25/01

Lega A

Virtus Roma

38-50

-12

A01/02

Lega A

NSB Napoli

#13

31-37

-6

A15/02

Lega A

81.2Avg total

39.0Scored

42.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	38.3	40.0	78.4	-1.7	25%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	36.1	37.7	73.8	-1.6	27%	-
Last 30 away (13)	40.2	42.0	82.2	-1.8	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.0	42.2	81.2	-3.2	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.2	39.2	77.4	-1.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	35.6	42.5	78.1	-6.8	0%	-
vs Similar (7)	36.4	40.9	77.3	-4.4	14%	-
vs Weaker (6)	45.5	34.7	80.2	+10.8	83%	-

This opponent (Siena) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

SienaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Nancy

#23

51-33

+18

A14/01

Euroleague

Olimpia Milano

34-27

H18/01

Lega A

Cantu

45-24

+21

H25/01

Lega A

Cibona

#12

44-38

A28/01

Euroleague

Treviso

36-35

A01/02

Lega A

Fenerbahce

#11

51-34

+17

H04/02

Euroleague

Teramo

45-41

H08/02

Lega A

CSKA Moscow

27-22

H11/02

Euroleague

Ferrara

56-41

+15

A15/02

Lega A

CSKA Moscow

44-45

-1

A25/02

Euroleague

77.3Avg total

43.3Scored

34.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	42.9	34.7	77.6	+8.2	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	43.9	32.1	76.0	+11.7	93%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	37.3	79.1	+4.6	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	34.0	77.3	+9.3	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.6	36.6	81.2	+8.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	31.8	36.2	68.0	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	42.5	41.0	83.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	44.8	33.9	78.7	+10.8	92%	-

This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	18.0	20.1	38.0	-2.1	33%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	17.5	18.7	36.3	-1.2	27%	-
Last 30 away (13)	18.3	21.2	39.5	-2.9	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.5	19.7	37.2	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.2	20.0	37.2	-2.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.5	36%	-
vs Similar (7)	18.7	18.6	37.3	+0.1	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	16.5	20.7	37.2	-4.2	17%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.1	18.9	41.0	+3.2	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.3	17.7	40.0	+4.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.9	20.0	41.9	+1.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.2	19.0	42.2	+4.2	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.6	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	16.8	22.8	39.5	-6.0	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.5	17.5	33.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	23.5	18.3	41.9	+5.2	88%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	18.5	19.2	37.8	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	21.2	17.9	39.1	+3.3	55%	-
Last 30 away (13)	16.2	20.4	36.6	-4.2	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	19.8	38.5	-1.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.6	19.4	36.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	17.1	19.9	37.0	-2.8	27%	-
vs Similar (7)	19.0	18.3	37.3	+0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (6)	20.5	19.2	39.7	+1.3	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.9	19.8	41.8	+2.1	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.3	21.1	44.5	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	18.5	39.1	+2.0	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	22.4	43.2	-1.6	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.4	20.2	40.6	+0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.8	15.8	36.5	+5.0	75%	-
vs Similar (2)	21.0	20.5	41.5	+0.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	22.2	20.5	42.7	+1.8	54%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (24)	36.5	39.3	75.8	-2.9	38%	-
Last 30 at home (11)	38.7	36.6	75.4	+2.1	55%	-
Last 30 away (13)	34.5	41.6	76.2	-7.1	23%	-
Last 10 (10)	36.2	39.5	75.7	-3.3	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	33.8	39.4	73.2	-5.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (11)	35.4	40.6	76.0	-5.3	27%	-
vs Similar (7)	37.7	36.9	74.6	+0.9	57%	-
vs Weaker (6)	37.0	39.8	76.8	-2.8	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.0	38.7	82.7	+5.3	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.6	38.9	84.5	+6.7	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	42.5	38.5	81.0	+3.9	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	44.0	41.4	85.4	+2.6	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	42.2	40.4	82.6	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	37.5	38.5	76.0	-1.0	50%	-
vs Similar (2)	36.5	38.0	74.5	-1.5	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	45.8	38.8	84.5	+7.0	83%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Fortitudo Bologna wins

Siena wins

Date	Game	Score
09/11/08	Siena v Fortitudo Bologna	109-82

Fortitudo Bolognalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/02/09	A	NSB Napoli	66-75
01/02/09	A	Virtus Roma	71-87
25/01/09	H	Udine	80-75
18/01/09	H	Teramo	69-76
13/01/09	A	Valencia	74-80
10/01/09	A	Caserta	74-76 OT
06/01/09	H	Artland	89-93
03/01/09	H	Cantu	87-88
28/12/08	A	Pesaro	72-99
21/12/08	A	Olimpia Milano	85-83 OT

Sienalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
25/02/09	A	CSKA Moscow	71-95
15/02/09	A	Ferrara	103-75
11/02/09	H	CSKA Moscow	74-56
08/02/09	H	Teramo	99-80
04/02/09	H	Fenerbahce	87-79
01/02/09	A	Treviso	84-67
28/01/09	A	Cibona	81-88
25/01/09	H	Cantu	93-70
18/01/09	H	Olimpia Milano	78-65
14/01/09	A	Nancy	103-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fortitudo Bologna

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLL	33%
Home	WLLLW	50%
Away	WLLLL	20%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	18	8	10
Win %	33%	50%	20%
Points / game	74.4	71.9	76.5
Allowed / game	81.3	73.4	87.6
Point differential	-6.8	-1.5	-11.1
Avg total	155.7	145.2	164.1
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	11%	12%	10%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (5)	50% (2)	33% (3)
Overtime %	11%	0%	20%

Siena

Lega A 2008-09

Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	100%
Home	WWWWW	100%
Away	WWWWW	100%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	19	10	9
Win %	100%	100%	100%
Points / game	90.9	92.3	89.4
Allowed / game	71.2	71.1	71.2
Point differential	+19.8	+21.2	+18.2
Avg total	162.1	163.4	160.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	79%	90%	67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (1)	-	100% (1)
Overtime %	5%	0%	11%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Siena	19	19	0	100%	90.9	71.2	+19.8
2	Virtus Roma	20	14	6	70%	85.4	80.0	+5.5
3	Virtus Bologna	20	13	7	65%	78.8	76.9	+1.9
4	Teramo	20	13	7	65%	83.7	82.5	+1.2
5	Treviso	20	11	9	55%	78.0	77.4	+0.7
6	Cantu	20	11	9	55%	81.5	83.5	-2.0
7	Olimpia Milano	20	10	10	50%	76.1	74.0	+2.0
8	Sutor Montegranaro	19	9	10	47%	75.6	80.2	-4.6
9	Avellino	20	9	11	45%	76.8	74.5	+2.4
10	Pesaro	20	9	11	45%	83.2	81.1	+2.1
11	Biella	20	9	11	45%	84.5	83.3	+1.1
12	NSB Napoli	20	7	13	35%	73.5	78.8	-5.3
13	Caserta	20	7	13	35%	73.3	80.3	-7.0
14	Fortitudo Bologna	18	6	12	33%	74.4	81.3	-6.8
15	Ferrara	20	6	14	30%	74.8	78.8	-4.0
16	Udine	20	5	15	25%	79.8	86.5	-6.8

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Fortitudo Bologna	19	11	11	26	67
Siena	14	25	10	14	63

← all games of the day

Fortitudo Bologna vs Siena Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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