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Virtus Bologna

Italy EuroLeague 4-7 · 16/20 Lega A 6-1 · 1/16
Form, last 10 (oldest → newest)
WWLWLLLLWL
Points / game
87.3
allowed 80.0
Over 170.5
51%
game total, 45 games
Game total
167.3
both teams per game
Win rate
76%
34-11
Margin / game
+7.4
points
1st half
44.9
points scored / game
Overtime
4%
games to overtime
Sections
Virtus Bologna

Virtus Bologna in the 2026-27 season sit 10-7 overall, 4-6 in the EuroLeague in 16th place of 20 and 6-1 at the top of the Lega Basket Serie A table. Their form over the last five games is 1-4, with a 95-81 win over Verona at home, a 75-93 loss to Dubai at home and a 93-100 loss to Trieste at home. In the domestic league they lead the power-rating list with a net rating of 7.9, rank 1 of 16 and have moved up from rank 2 a few games ago. Home play yields 5-4 with 91.8 points for and 90.2 against, while away they are 5-3 with 88.1 for and 85.6 against. Derrick Alston Jr. averages 14.2 points, A. Diarra 6.1 rebounds and Marcus Carr 6.0 assists per game. Their next outing is an away game against Trento on 15 November 2026, where the Pythia model projects a 67% chance of victory.

Written by Pythia from this season's results, ratings and squad.

Virtus Bologna stats, form & predictions – 2026-27

In the Lega Basket Serie A (2025-26 + 2026-27) Virtus Bologna score 87.3 points a game and allow 80.0 across 45 games – 51% of their games go over 170.5 and they clear 85.5 team points in 58%. They win 76% (75% at home, 76% away), by +7.4 points a game on average.

🏀 1. Points & form

Virtus BolognaLast 20 – points for & against, every competition
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
85-89
85
89
-4
79avg 81
A04/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
78avg 81
A06/06
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
57avg 81
A25/09
Euroleague
Varese
#6
W
90-69
90
69
+21
92avg 81
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#19
L
85-87
85
87
-2
80avg 81
A29/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
96-94
96
94
+2
90avg 81
H01/10
Euroleague
Maxima Roma
#4
W
98-89
98
89
+9
100avg 81
H04/10
Lega A
Bayern
#18
W
94-87
94
87
+7
86avg 81
A08/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#9
W
93-86
93
86
+7
86avg 81
A11/10
Lega A
Paris
#14
W
96-94
96
94
+2
95avg 81
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
86-78
86
78
+8
81avg 81
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
113avg 81
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
81-90
81
90
-9
65avg 81
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
90avg 81
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
74-91
74
91
-17
62avg 81
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
L
101-103
101
103
-2
97avg 81
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
L
93-100
93
100
-7
no box
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#9
L
75-93
75
93
-18
no box
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
no box
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
91-103
91
103
-12
no box
A13/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
17-24
14-19
26-30
23-24
19-13
27-20
14-33
17-23
21-16
17-20
13-19
26-21
21-18
21-19
22-11
20-30
21-17
26-19
18-21
33-30
16-20
26-20
21-24
25-16
12-26
28-26
33-21
35-21
17-22
23-25
19-19
20-29
25-22
24-21
24-14
26-26
20-12
18-27
32-29
24-12
22-22
22-19
18-25
32-17
18-19
23-20
35-27
25-23
23-13
14-28
19-26
20-22
17-30
22-15
22-14
22-14
13-23
18-28
21-26
24-24
30-23
20-23
27-33
24-25
31-21
17-31
21-23
17-21
17-27
19-28
22-17
21-22
21-14
26-27
27-18
20-28
23-32
25-16
23-27
178.4Avg total
89.5Scored
89.0Allowed
Points by quarter
Q1
22.7
19.8
+2.9
won 61%
Q2
22.2
20.2
+2.0
won 68%
Q3
21.3
20.1
+1.2
won 57%
Q4
22.0
21.2
+0.8
won 52%
■ scored   ■ allowed, per game. Won the 1st half in 75% of 44 games, the 2nd half in 50%.
Home v away – all metrics
HOME n=24AWAY n=21
89.4
Points / game
85.0
80.3
Allowed / game
79.6
169.7
Game total
164.6
62%
Over 170.5
38%
75%
Win %
76%
+9.1
Margin
+5.3
47.8
1st half scored
41.6
87%
Won the 1st half
62%
62%
Won by 10+
29%
Points scored per game
6%11%17%22%2%55-592%60-642%65-697%70-740%75-7922%80-8418%85-8918%90-9411%95-9911%100-1047%105-109
Share of games.
Points allowed per game
6%12%18%24%2%55-590%60-647%65-6913%70-7424%75-7916%80-8422%85-899%90-942%95-994%100-104
Share of games.
Points by opponent strength (last 30)
Scored / allowed per game by opponent tier, then home and away. Green beats the league's per-team average of 85.3 points (scored above it, allowed below it); red is worse. Tier = the opponent's season point differential per game against this team's (±4).
SplitTotal scoredTotal allowedHome scoredHome allowedAway scoredAway allowedWin %
All games (30)90.687.593.687.687.187.457%
vs Stronger (5)78.889.281.792.774.584.020%
vs Similar (6)94.294.7101.0103.092.893.050%
vs Weaker (19)92.584.796.085.086.684.368%
Over 170.5 (game total)80% of these 30 games

💪 2. Team strengths

Where they rank
Win %
1stof 2076%
Attack: points scored per game
6thof 2087.3
Defence: points allowed per game
2ndof 2080.0
Game total: both teams' points per game
16thof 20167.3
Ranked against the 20 teams of the league over 2025-26 + 2026-27. Ties share a place (=); defence ranks the fewest points allowed first.
🏆 Win %
2025-26 + 2026-27
1 Virtus Bologna76%
2 Olimpia Milano72%
3 Maxima Roma71%
4 Trapani67%
5 Brescia66%
6 Venezia61%
7 Tortona54%
8 Varese49%
9 Basket Napoli47%
10 Trieste46%
11 Trento44%
12 Verona43%
13 Reggiana42%
14 Treviso42%
15 Udine39%
16 Cremona38%
17 BC Roma29%
18 Sassari28%
19 Cantu25%
20 Scafati14%
🏀 Attack
Points scored / game
1 BC Roma100.1
2 Venezia88.5
3 Verona88.4
4 Maxima Roma88.1
5 Olimpia Milano87.9
6 Virtus Bologna87.3
7 Brescia87.1
8 Basket Napoli86.4
9 Tortona85.9
10 Trieste85.6
11 Varese85.5
12 Sassari85.3
13 Treviso84.9
14 Trento83.0
15 Cremona82.7
16 Cantu82.5
17 Reggiana82.5
18 Scafati81.6
19 Udine81.2
20 Trapani78.8
🛡 Defence
Allowed / game · lower is better
1 Trapani77.9
2 Virtus Bologna80.0
3 Olimpia Milano80.5
4 Reggiana81.9
5 Udine83.1
6 Maxima Roma83.7
7 Trento83.8
8 Brescia84.0
9 Tortona85.8
10 Cremona86.1
11 Venezia86.6
12 Basket Napoli86.9
13 Trieste87.4
14 Varese87.7
15 Cantu89.0
16 Treviso89.0
17 Sassari89.6
18 Verona91.1
19 Scafati92.0
20 BC Roma99.3
📈 Game total
Both teams' points / game
1 BC Roma199.4
2 Verona179.6
3 Venezia175.1
4 Sassari175.0
5 Treviso173.9
6 Scafati173.6
7 Basket Napoli173.3
8 Varese173.2
9 Trieste173.0
10 Maxima Roma171.9
11 Tortona171.8
12 Cantu171.5
13 Brescia171.1
14 Cremona168.8
15 Olimpia Milano168.4
16 Virtus Bologna167.3
17 Trento166.8
18 Reggiana164.3
19 Udine164.3
20 Trapani156.7
Where they rank · shooting accuracy
Field-goal accuracy
2ndof 2048.3%
2-point accuracy
4thof 2056.8%
3-point accuracy
5thof 2036.8%
Free-throw accuracy
3rdof 2079.1%
Made / attempted over the same games, every team of the league.
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field
TeamAcc.
1 BC Roma52.3%
2 Virtus Bologna48.3%
3 Olimpia Milano48.2%
4 Basket Napoli47.9%
5 Venezia47.0%
6 Trapani46.8%
7 Brescia46.6%
8 Verona46.2%
9 Tortona45.9%
10 Sassari45.8%
11 Trento45.3%
12 Trieste45.1%
13 Varese45.0%
14 Treviso44.5%
15 Cantu44.5%
16 Reggiana44.5%
17 Scafati44.2%
18 Maxima Roma43.7%
19 Cremona42.9%
20 Udine42.6%
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc
TeamAcc.
1 BC Roma64.0%
2 Verona61.1%
3 Olimpia Milano57.1%
4 Virtus Bologna56.8%
5 Varese56.0%
6 Basket Napoli55.6%
7 Venezia54.6%
8 Trieste54.4%
9 Trento54.3%
10 Trapani54.3%
11 Tortona53.4%
12 Sassari53.2%
13 Cantu53.2%
14 Treviso52.2%
15 Brescia52.1%
16 Reggiana51.8%
17 Cremona51.7%
18 Udine51.3%
19 Maxima Roma47.6%
20 Scafati46.7%
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three
TeamAcc.
1 Scafati39.8%
2 Maxima Roma38.7%
3 BC Roma38.2%
4 Brescia38.1%
5 Virtus Bologna36.8%
6 Olimpia Milano36.0%
7 Basket Napoli35.1%
8 Venezia35.1%
9 Sassari35.0%
10 Tortona34.9%
11 Trieste34.6%
12 Reggiana34.2%
13 Trento33.8%
14 Trapani33.3%
15 Varese33.2%
16 Cantu32.9%
17 Cremona32.8%
18 Treviso31.9%
19 Udine31.7%
20 Verona27.3%
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line
TeamAcc.
1 Brescia81.4%
2 Olimpia Milano80.8%
3 Virtus Bologna79.1%
4 BC Roma78.5%
5 Maxima Roma78.3%
6 Trapani77.9%
7 Trento77.7%
8 Venezia77.5%
9 Trieste76.8%
10 Treviso75.9%
11 Tortona75.9%
12 Cremona75.3%
13 Sassari74.7%
14 Udine74.4%
15 Varese73.6%
16 Basket Napoli72.8%
17 Verona72.3%
18 Cantu70.4%
19 Reggiana68.9%
20 Scafati61.5%
🏀 Shooting accuracy
🎯 Overall field goals
48.3%+2.5pp v the Lega A average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
5 of 10 shots go in · line = the Lega A average
#2 of 20 in Lega A
✋ 2-pointers
56.8%+2.8pp v the Lega A average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
6 of 10 shots go in · line = the Lega A average
#4 of 20 in Lega A
🌟 3-pointers
36.8%+2.3pp v the Lega A average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
4 of 10 shots go in · line = the Lega A average
#5 of 20 in Lega A
🏹 Free throws
79.1%+3.2pp v the Lega A average
🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀🏀
8 of 10 shots go in · line = the Lega A average
#3 of 20 in Lega A

Team v league average

Last 30 games with a box score (every competition); the league from this season's box scores. Ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Virtus BolognaLeague average
98.5
Offensive rating
98.0
93.3
Defensive rating
98.0
54.6%
Effective FG%
53.1%
53.4%
Opp. effective FG%
53.1%
14.2%
Turnover %
14.8%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
35.5%
3-point %
34.3%
41.9%
3-point attempt rate
43.0%
61.4%
Assist %
60.9%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 98.0Defence93.3 · 98.0Shooting54.6% · 53.1%3-point %35.5% · 34.3%Ball care14.2% · 14.8%Free throws0.35 · 0.37
■ Virtus Bologna   ■ League average
The red ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better).

🏆 3. League table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/g+/-Over 170.5HomeAwayClose wonForm
1 Virtus Bologna76186%96.486.0+7386%3-13-0100%WWWLW
2 Basket Napoli76186%93.786.6+5086%2-14-0100%WLWWW
3 Olimpia Milano75271%90.982.7+5771%3-12-150%WWLWW
4 Maxima Roma75271%88.183.7+3143%3-12-1100%WWWWW
5 Treviso75271%90.788.6+1571%3-02-2100%LWWWL
6 Venezia74357%87.988.6-557%1-23-1100%LWLLW
7 Udine74357%81.380.3+714%2-12-2100%LLLWW
8 Varese74357%87.787.6+150%2-22-133%WLWWL
9 Trieste74357%94.488.4+4243%3-11-20%LWWWW
10 Verona73443%88.491.1-1986%2-11-3100%WWLLL
11 Trento73443%80.483.6-2243%1-22-250%WWLLL
12 BC Roma72529%100.199.3+6100%2-10-40%LLLWL
13 Reggiana72529%81.783.7-1450%2-20-30%WLWLL
14 Tortona72529%83.791.0-5157%2-20-30%LLLLW
15 Scafati71614%81.692.0-7357%1-30-30%LLWLL
16 Cantu7070%76.990.9-9843%0-30-40%LLLLL
Playoffs Relegation
Click a column header to sort. Over = how often the team's games went over 170.5; Close won = record in games decided by 5 or fewer.

📊 4. Betting markets

Bets by period · pick a period
Virtus BolognaLast 20 – Full game points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Venezia
#5
L
85-89
85
89
-4
A04/06
Lega A
Venezia
#5
L
83-90
83
90
-7
A06/06
Lega A
Fenerbahce
#7
L
68-78
68
78
-10
A25/09
Euroleague
Varese
#6
W
90-69
90
69
+21
A27/09
Lega A
Olimpia Milano
#19
L
85-87
85
87
-2
A29/09
Euroleague
Olympiacos
#2
W
96-94
96
94
+2
H01/10
Euroleague
Maxima Roma
#4
W
98-89
98
89
+9
H04/10
Lega A
Bayern
#18
W
94-87
94
87
+7
A08/10
Euroleague
Venezia
#9
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A11/10
Lega A
Paris
#14
W
96-94
96
94
+2
A14/10
Euroleague
Baskonia
#20
W
86-78
86
78
+8
H16/10
Euroleague
Scafati
#15
W
108-83
108
83
+25
H18/10
Lega A
Hapoel Tel-Aviv
#10
L
81-90
81
90
-9
A21/10
Euroleague
Olimpia Milano
#3
W
98-94 OT
98
94
+4
A25/10
Lega A
Zalgiris Kaunas
#8
L
74-91
74
91
-17
H28/10
Euroleague
Besiktas
#13
L
101-103
101
103
-2
H30/10
Euroleague
Trieste
#7
L
93-100
93
100
-7
H02/11
Lega A
Dubai
#9
L
75-93
75
93
-18
H06/11
Euroleague
Verona
#10
W
95-81
95
81
+14
H09/11
Lega A
Anadolu Efes
#12
L
91-103
91
103
-12
A13/11
Euroleague
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-16
17-24
14-19
26-30
23-24
19-13
27-20
14-33
17-23
21-16
17-20
13-19
26-21
21-18
21-19
22-11
20-30
21-17
26-19
18-21
33-30
16-20
26-20
21-24
25-16
12-26
28-26
33-21
35-21
17-22
23-25
19-19
20-29
25-22
24-21
24-14
26-26
20-12
18-27
32-29
24-12
22-22
22-19
18-25
32-17
18-19
23-20
35-27
25-23
23-13
14-28
19-26
20-22
17-30
22-15
22-14
22-14
13-23
18-28
21-26
24-24
30-23
20-23
27-33
24-25
31-21
17-31
21-23
17-21
17-27
19-28
22-17
21-22
21-14
26-27
27-18
20-28
23-32
25-16
23-27
178.4Avg total
89.5Scored
89.0Allowed
Full gameScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the gameOver 170.5
Last 30 (30)90.687.5178.0+3.157%80%
Last 30 at home (16)93.687.6181.2+6.162%81%
Last 30 away (14)87.187.4174.4-0.350%79%
Last 10 (10)90.291.6181.8-1.440%70%
Last 5 (5)91.096.0187.0-5.020%80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)78.889.2168.0-10.420%40%
vs Similar (6)94.294.7188.8-0.550%100%
vs Weaker (19)92.584.7177.3+7.868%84%
Full game hit rates · last 30 games · line 170.5 = the league line
Over 170.580%
🔥 70%+n=30
Under 170.520%
n=30
Won the game57%
n=30
Lost the game43%
n=30
Markets by opponent strength, home and away
2025-26 + 2026-27, Lega A games. Per-game averages by the opponent's strength, then the share over the line (game total, team points) or won (margin).
Game total (line 170.5)Team points (line 85.5)Margin (win)
SplitAllHomeAwayAllHomeAwayAllHomeAway
Overall (45)167.3169.7164.687.389.485.0+7.4+9.1+5.3
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (4)178.5192.5164.590.8101.080.5+3.0+9.5-3.5
vs Weaker (41)166.2167.6164.687.088.485.4+7.8+9.1+6.3
% over line / win51%62%38%58%71%43%76%75%76%
% under line / loss49%38%62%42%29%57%24%25%24%
Scoring dials
Points / game87.3
League avg 85.3 · above by 2.0
Allowed / game80.0
League avg 85.3 · below by 5.3
1st half scored44.9
League avg 43.0 · above by 1.9
3-pointers made9.9
League avg 9.5 · above by 0.4
Free throws made17.2
League avg 17.9 · below by 0.7
Over / under hit rate – this team's own points (2025-26 + 2026-27)
Over 80.5 pts82%
🔥 70%+n=45
Under 80.5 pts18%
n=45
Over 85.5 pts58%
n=45
Under 85.5 pts42%
n=45
Over 90.5 pts36%
n=45
Under 90.5 pts64%
n=45
Over / under hit rate – game total (the league's lines)
Over 160.573%
🔥 70%+n=45
Under 160.527%
n=45
Over 170.551%
n=45
Under 170.549%
n=45
Over 180.522%
n=45
Under 180.578%
🔥 70%+n=45
Result markets
Win76%
🔥 70%+n=45
Win by 6+ (-5.5)64%
n=45
Cover +5.584%
🔥 70%+n=45
Win by 10+47%
n=45
Win the 1st half75%
🔥 70%+n=44
Overtime4%
n=45
Highlighted: 🔥 70%+ = the line landed in at least 70% of the games (10+ games); a thin green edge = 60-69%; everything else is grey. A line priced about 1.90 needs 53% to break even. Past hit rates, not a forecast: Pythia's own probabilities are on the game pages.

🎯 5. Shooting profile

Over:
Scoringtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Virtus Bologna: 92.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.8 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.4 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.9
55.0%
54.3%43.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.8
36.3%
34.3%29.4
🏀 Free throws24.819.7
79.4%
74.6%19.7
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Defencetheir opponents' shots, last 10 games

Where their opponents' points come from

Virtus Bologna: 89.5 points a game allowed
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers34.2 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 86.2 points a game
46%
33%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeOpponents' Attempts per gameOpponents' Made per gameOpponents' Accuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.620.4
49.0%
54.3%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.111.4
39.2%
34.3%34.2
🏀 Free throws19.714.5
73.6%
74.6%14.5
Their opponents take 70.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.

👥 6. Squad statistics

PlayerCompGPGSMINPTSREBASTFG%3P%
Marcus CarrLega A EuroLeague131323.013.52.66.039.7%33.3%
Trent FrazierLega A EuroLeague14321.010.11.22.737.9%31.6%
Kessler EdwardsLega A EuroLeague131022.45.65.40.842.2%28.6%
Bobi KlintmanLega A EuroLeague14319.77.64.01.653.9%36.8%
Wendell MooreLega A EuroLeague121122.612.04.01.450.0%36.8%
Alston Jr. DerrickLega A EuroLeague121222.114.22.21.143.1%40.0%
A. DiarraLega A EuroLeague14217.810.46.10.268.8%0.0%
D. MouhametLega A EuroLeague141014.85.94.40.454.7%-
Daniel HackettLega A EuroLeague13015.33.62.61.558.3%50.0%
Tommaso BaldassoLega A EuroLeague10013.66.12.01.544.4%24.1%
R. BelloLega A EuroLeague10113.25.41.32.434.5%24.0%
F. FerrariLega A EuroLeague1047.83.30.70.555.0%37.5%
Kevin KokilaEuroLeague6110.03.03.30.372.7%0.0%
Davide CasarinLega A EuroLeague609.92.01.01.536.4%0.0%
M. BaiocchiLega A204.01.51.00.0100.0%-
Per game, this season, every competition together (chips), from box scores; sorted by minutes played.
🔥 Player form
Last 5 games v each player's own last year · 5 = their normal
Team average
4.7
15 rated players
Alen Smailagic7.1 pts10.0
A. Diarra6.5 pts8.9
Brandon Taylor3.3 pts8.2
Alston Jr. Derrick11.7 pts8.0
Karim Jallow5.6 pts7.7
M. Morgan13.0 pts7.6
Yago6.7 pts7.5
Luca Vildoza7.7 pts7.2
Daniel Hackett3.9 pts7.1
Trent Frazier10.1 pts6.2
Carsen Edwards17.2 pts5.9
Bobi Klintman7.6 pts5.8
Nicola Akele2.6 pts5.5
F. Ferrari3.2 pts5.3
Tommaso Baldasso6.1 pts5.3
M. Baiocchi0.8 pts5.1
M. Accorsi2.0 pts4.9
Wendell Moore12.0 pts4.8
Kessler Edwards5.6 pts4.3
Kevin Kokila3.0 pts3.9
Alessandro Pajola5.0 pts3.2
Marcus Carr13.5 pts2.9
D. Mouhamet7.9 pts1.6
R. Bello5.4 pts0.6
Davide Casarin2.0 pts0.3
Player market rates – share of games
10+ points
Games in which the player scored 10 or more
Marcus Carr92%
Carsen Edwards82%
M. Morgan72%
Wendell Moore67%
Alston Jr. Derrick66%
Trent Frazier43%
Saliou Niang37%
Luca Vildoza35%
D. Mouhamet35%
Yago33%
15+ points
Games with 15 or more points
Carsen Edwards58%
M. Morgan43%
Alston Jr. Derrick36%
Trent Frazier29%
Marcus Carr23%
Bobi Klintman21%
Wendell Moore17%
Saliou Niang13%
Alen Smailagic11%
Tommaso Baldasso10%
20+ points
Games with 20 or more points
Carsen Edwards38%
Marcus Carr23%
Wendell Moore17%
M. Morgan12%
Alston Jr. Derrick11%
Alen Smailagic2%
D. Mouhamet1%
Saliou Niang0%
Kessler Edwards0%
Luca Vildoza0%
5+ rebounds
Games with 5 or more rebounds
Kessler Edwards85%
Saliou Niang51%
D. Mouhamet45%
A. Diarra43%
Bobi Klintman36%
Wendell Moore33%
Karim Jallow26%
Daniel Hackett17%
Alen Smailagic17%
Kevin Kokila17%
5+ assists
Games with 5 or more assists
Yago67%
Marcus Carr54%
Alessandro Pajola51%
Luca Vildoza33%
Trent Frazier21%
M. Morgan12%
Carsen Edwards11%
Tommaso Baldasso10%
Saliou Niang7%
Brandon Taylor6%
2+ three-pointers
Games with 2 or more threes made
Carsen Edwards70%
Trent Frazier64%
Alston Jr. Derrick58%
M. Morgan57%
Wendell Moore42%
Luca Vildoza39%
Yago33%
Alessandro Pajola28%
Alen Smailagic24%
Marcus Carr23%
20+ points, rebounds & assists
PRA: points + rebounds + assists
Carsen Edwards50%
Marcus Carr46%
M. Morgan40%
Alston Jr. Derrick33%
Saliou Niang29%
Wendell Moore25%
D. Mouhamet18%
Luca Vildoza16%
A. Diarra15%
Trent Frazier14%
3+ three-pointers
Games with 3 or more threes made
Carsen Edwards52%
M. Morgan32%
Alston Jr. Derrick26%
Trent Frazier21%
Bobi Klintman14%
Luca Vildoza12%
Yago11%
Marcus Carr8%
Alessandro Pajola8%
Alen Smailagic7%
🏀 Shooting accuracy per player
🎯 Field-goal accuracy
Made / attempted, every shot from the field (30+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
A. Diarra69%
Saliou Niang62%
D. Mouhamet61%
Nicola Akele56%
Bobi Klintman54%
Wendell Moore50%
F. Ferrari49%
Alen Smailagic48%
Karim Jallow48%
Luca Vildoza47%
✋ 2-point accuracy
Made / attempted inside the arc (20+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
Bobi Klintman71%
A. Diarra69%
Tommaso Baldasso68%
Saliou Niang66%
F. Ferrari62%
Luca Vildoza62%
D. Mouhamet61%
Kessler Edwards59%
Nicola Akele59%
Wendell Moore58%
🌟 3-point accuracy
Made / attempted from three (15+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
Alston Jr. Derrick43%
Nicola Akele42%
Alen Smailagic40%
Bobi Klintman37%
Wendell Moore37%
Daniel Hackett36%
Brandon Taylor36%
Luca Vildoza36%
M. Morgan36%
F. Ferrari35%
🏹 Free-throw accuracy
Made / attempted at the line (10+ attempts)
PlayerAcc.
Trent Frazier97%
M. Morgan90%
Wendell Moore90%
Kessler Edwards90%
Alston Jr. Derrick87%
Daniel Hackett85%
Luca Vildoza84%
Marcus Carr84%
Carsen Edwards83%
Yago83%
2025-26 + 2026-27, every competition; players with at least 3 games, top 10 per market (scroll each card). Shares of games played, which is how player props settle, not per-minute rates.

🔮 7. Pythia's view

Pythia exclusive
Model result accuracy
68%favourite won, 2025-260%100%
📊 The record behind it
52-24favourite won / lost
Across 76 games of Virtus Bologna, 2025-26: Pythia (Version 5) picked the winner 68% of the time. Walk-forward: every forecast made only from games before it.
📅 Next game
Trento
v
Virtus Bologna
Sun 15 Nov, 18:00 UTC
Pythia: Virtus Bologna 68%
home 32%away 68%
Open the game page →
🔥 Top picks · next game: Trento v Virtus Bologna Sun 15 Nov
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Q2: Over 39.570.8%1.50
1xBet
1.50		----+12.6pp
Q4: Virtus Bologna over 19.571.5%1.40
1xBet
1.40		----+9.1pp
2nd half: Trento over 37.572.5%1.36
1xBet
1.36		----+8.0pp
Over 16473.2%1.40
Bet365
1.40		----+6.9pp
Q4: Virtus Bologna +2.570.8%1.38
1xBet
1.38		----+6.6pp
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🔒 178 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro

📅 8. Season v history

Metric2022-23
n=43		2023-24
n=43		2024-25
n=42		2025-26
n=38		2026-27
n=7		Trend
Points scored / game85.387.084.585.796.4
Points allowed / game77.877.777.778.986.0
Game total163.1164.7162.2164.5182.4
Over 160.560%58%57%71%86%
Over 170.528%28%29%45%86%
Over 180.514%12%14%16%57%
Team points over 85.544%51%45%50%100%
Win %74%67%76%74%86%
Home win %86%86%91%75%75%
Away win %62%48%60%72%100%
Margin / game+7.5+9.3+6.9+6.8+10.4
Won by 10+40%51%38%47%43%
Close games won (5 or fewer)69%14%83%50%100%
Overtime %5%9%2%3%14%
1st half total81.983.581.084.287.9
Won the 1st half60%72%67%78%57%
3-point attempt rate42%41%39%43%41%
Effective FG%57%56%55%56%58%
Pace72.572.572.172.4-
Domestic-league games, every stage; the same lines every season (the league page's). The current season so far.

🗓️ 9. Results & fixtures

Recent results
DateGameScoreRes
13 NovAnadolu Efes v Virtus Bologna Euroleague103-91L
09 NovVirtus Bologna v Verona Lega A95-81W
06 NovVirtus Bologna v Dubai Euroleague75-93L
02 NovVirtus Bologna v Trieste Lega A93-100L
30 OctVirtus Bologna v Besiktas Euroleague101-103L
28 OctVirtus Bologna v Zalgiris Kaunas Euroleague74-91L
25 OctOlimpia Milano v Virtus Bologna Lega A94-98 OTW
21 OctHapoel Tel-Aviv v Virtus Bologna Euroleague90-81L
18 OctVirtus Bologna v Scafati Lega A108-83W
16 OctVirtus Bologna v Baskonia Euroleague86-78W
Upcoming games
18:00SunR8Trento v Virtus Bologna32%68%TRE2.88VIR1.4820:00TueR12Virtus Bologna v Panathinaikos34%66%VIR3.60PAO1.3220:00ThuR13Valencia v Virtus Bologna89%11%VAL1.27VIR3.9617:00SunR9Virtus Bologna v BC Roma87%13%VIR-ROM-18:00TueR14Crvena zvezda v Virtus Bolognano forecast yetCZV-VIR-19:30FriR15Virtus Bologna v Partizanno forecast yetVIR-PAR-19:00MonR10Treviso v Virtus Bolognano forecast yetTRV-VIR-19:30FriR16Virtus Bologna v Maccabi Tel Avivno forecast yetVIR-MTA-19:00SunR11Virtus Bologna v Udineno forecast yetVIR-UDI-
Every competition. The bar is Pythia's frozen home-win forecast (green = home team); the figures are the best moneyline per team. Open a game for the full analysis.
Data through 13 Nov 2026.
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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