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Fos-sur-Mer vs Poitiers Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 67-80
22-18 11-23 18-20 16-19
Position#19
Record1-3
FormLLLLW
Points / game77.5
Allowed / game86.8
vs
Position#3
Record2-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game85.2
FrancePro BRound 5· Palais des Sports Pierre Ratte
Other2026-27
Meetings · Fos-sur-Mer v Poitiers
21 Oct 2026
FSM67
POI80
03 May 2025
FSM77
POI78
22 Mar 2024
FSM96
POI98
19 Mar 2021
FSM90
POI89
07 Apr 2020
FSM v POI
upcoming
27 Dec 2017
FSM83
POI69
20 Jan 2017
FSM81
POI63
20 Nov 2015
FSM71
POI75
04 Apr 2015
FSM74
POI91
15 May 2014
FSM77
POI81
25 Apr 2014
FSM71
POI75
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fos-sur-Mer winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poitiers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evreux
#18
L
89-92
89
92
-3
H18/04
Pro B
Caen
#15
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A25/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
L
77-78
77
78
-1
H03/05
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
W
84-83
84
83
+1
A07/05
Pro B
Roanne
#7
W
85-82 OT
85
82
+3
H13/05
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#2
L
69-71
69
71
-2
H13/09
French Cup
Hyeres-Toulon
#8
L
76-82
76
82
-6
H25/09
Pro B
Evreux
#6
L
77-95
77
95
-18
A02/10
Pro B
Le Havre
#12
L
79-94
79
94
-15
A09/10
Pro B
Antibes
#2
W
78-76
78
76
+2
H16/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-23
17-28
24-22
22-19
20-20
19-25
13-17
19-15
13-15
20-20
21-28
23-15
18-29
24-20
21-21
21-13
19-24
15-20
18-19
25-14
25-20
18-14
16-16
10-21
25-22
22-21
16-17
13-22
17-25
14-26
20-18
26-26
20-25
18-25
22-25
19-19
19-22
20-28
24-7
15-19
161.5Avg total
78.5Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)77.586.8164.2-9.225%
Season at home (2)77.079.0156.0-2.050%
Season away (2)78.094.5172.5-16.50%
Last 10 (10)78.583.0161.5-4.530%
Last 5 (5)75.883.6159.4-7.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)74.885.5160.3-10.721%
vs Similar (5)74.678.6153.2-4.020%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Poitiers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoitiersFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nantes
#6
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
H03/06
Pro B
Nantes
#6
W
88-79 OT
88
79
+9
A06/06
Pro B
Nantes
#6
W
85-75
85
75
+10
H09/06
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
W
106-82
106
82
+24
A12/06
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
72-81
72
81
-9
H15/06
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
A18/06
Pro B
Evreux
#6
L
80-86
80
86
-6
H25/09
Pro B
Ada Blois
#9
L
92-105
92
105
-13
A03/10
Pro B
Nantes
#7
W
90-73
90
73
+17
H09/10
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#4
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H16/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-16
12-19
17-9
15-23
24-20
20-19
11-17
17-16
26-28
21-19
20-13
18-15
28-21
34-19
23-22
21-20
22-21
23-18
18-25
9-17
22-25
17-19
24-18
10-24
24-23
20-28
20-18
16-17
22-29
19-23
30-17
21-36
18-22
26-16
32-12
14-23
12-18
27-18
25-24
28-17
168.5Avg total
85.8Scored
82.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)88.585.2173.8+3.250%
Season at home (3)87.378.7166.0+8.767%
Season away (1)92.0105.0197.0-13.00%
Last 10 (10)85.882.7168.5+3.150%
Last 5 (5)85.485.4170.8+0.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)98.088.0186.0+10.0100%
vs Similar (18)83.382.2165.6+1.161%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)85.480.2165.5+5.273%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: -0.2-0.2Q2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q2: +2.1+2.1Q3Q3: +0.5+0.5Q3: +4.5+4.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: -3.9-3.9
Fos-sur-MerPoitiers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Evreux
#18
L
43-51
43
51
-8
H18/04
Pro B
Caen
#15
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A25/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#9
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H03/05
Pro B
St. Chamond
#12
L
42-49
42
49
-7
A07/05
Pro B
Roanne
#7
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H13/05
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#2
W
43-34
43
34
+9
H13/09
French Cup
Hyeres-Toulon
#8
W
47-43
47
43
+4
H25/09
Pro B
Evreux
#6
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A02/10
Pro B
Le Havre
#12
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A09/10
Pro B
Antibes
#2
L
39-50
39
50
-11
H16/10
Pro B
84.1Avg total
38.9Scored
45.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.541.978.4-5.323%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.940.178.0-2.238%-
Last 30 away (14)35.043.978.9-8.97%-
Last 10 (10)38.945.284.1-6.320%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.685.2-6.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)36.443.079.3-6.617%-
vs Similar (5)36.038.274.2-2.240%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Poitiers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoitiersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nantes
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H03/06
Pro B
Nantes
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A06/06
Pro B
Nantes
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H09/06
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
W
62-40
62
40
+22
A12/06
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
W
45-39
45
39
+6
H15/06
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A18/06
Pro B
Evreux
#6
L
44-51
44
51
-7
H25/09
Pro B
Ada Blois
#9
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A03/10
Pro B
Nantes
#7
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H09/10
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#4
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H16/10
Pro B
86.1Avg total
44.0Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.141.984.0+0.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.641.885.3+1.850%-
Last 30 away (14)40.442.182.4-1.729%-
Last 10 (10)44.042.186.1+1.950%-
Last 5 (5)41.444.285.6-2.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)50.042.092.0+8.0100%-
vs Similar (18)42.440.883.3+1.644%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)40.743.684.4-2.927%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 79.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.8 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
30%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.821.2
53.3%
53.8%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.36.8
30.5%
33.2%20.4
🏀 Free throws22.416.8
75.0%
74.1%16.8
They take 62.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poitierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poitiers: 85.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀46%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.6 pts a game · 46% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 83.9 points a game
49%
30%
21%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.8
52.4%
53.8%39.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.79.4
32.8%
33.2%28.2
🏀 Free throws24.317.6
72.4%
74.1%17.6
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fos-sur-Mer
WLLLLWWLLL
Poitiers
WWLLLLWWWL
#19
League position
#3
-6.7
Net rating
+3.3
98.5
Offensive rating
94.9
105.2
Defensive rating
91.6
50.6%
Effective FG%
51.0%
54.2%
Opp. effective FG%
49.3%
17.5%
Turnover %
15.0%
0.36
Free-throw rate
0.37
30.5%
3-point %
32.8%
70.4%
Assist %
67.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence98.5 · 94.9Defence105.2 · 91.6Shooting50.6% · 51.0%3-point %30.5% · 32.8%Ball care17.5% · 15.0%Free throws0.36 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Fos-sur-Mer   ■ Poitiers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Fos-sur-Mer wins
5
Poitiers wins
DateGameScore
03/05/25Fos-sur-Mer v Poitiers77-78
11/10/24Poitiers v Fos-sur-Mer80-64
22/03/24Fos-sur-Mer v Poitiers96-98 OT
03/11/23Poitiers v Fos-sur-Mer72-78
19/03/21Fos-sur-Mer v Poitiers90-89 OT
19/12/20Poitiers v Fos-sur-Mer79-110
25/01/20Poitiers v Fos-sur-Mer79-84
13/04/18Poitiers v Fos-sur-Mer66-65
27/12/17Fos-sur-Mer v Poitiers83-69
25/04/17Poitiers v Fos-sur-Mer64-52
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/26HAntibes78-76
09/10/26ALe Havre79-94
02/10/26AEvreux77-95
25/09/26HHyeres-Toulon76-82
13/09/25HHyeres-Toulon69-71
13/05/25HRoanne85-82 OT
07/05/25ASt. Chamond84-83
03/05/25HPoitiers77-78
25/04/25ACaen71-77
18/04/25HEvreux89-92
Poitierslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/10/26HChalons-Reims92-77
09/10/26HNantes90-73
03/10/26AAda Blois92-105
25/09/26HEvreux80-86
18/06/26APau-Orthez73-86
15/06/26HPau-Orthez72-81
12/06/26APau-Orthez106-82
09/06/26HNantes85-75
06/06/26ANantes88-79 OT
03/06/26HNantes80-83 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fos-sur-Mer
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLW25%
HomeLW50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game77.577.078.0
Allowed / game86.879.094.5
Point differential-9.2-2.0-16.5
Avg total164.2156.0172.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Poitiers
Pro B 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWW50%
HomeLWW67%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games431
Win %50%67%0%
Points / game88.587.392.0
Allowed / game85.278.7105.0
Point differential+3.2+8.7-13.0
Avg total173.8166.0197.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Denain-Voltaire54180%84.474.0+10.4
2 Ada Blois53260%92.886.6+6.2
3 Quimper53260%80.876.6+4.2
4 Evreux53260%88.484.8+3.6
5 Nantes53260%80.478.6+1.8
6 Antibes53260%82.280.6+1.6
7 Caen53260%89.688.0+1.6
8 Chalons-Reims53260%79.679.4+0.2
9 Levallois53260%80.880.8+0.0
10 St. Chamond53260%89.289.6-0.4
11 Hyeres-Toulon53260%81.884.6-2.8
12 Poitiers42250%88.585.2+3.2
13 Le Havre52340%87.886.6+1.2
14 Orleans52340%83.883.6+0.2
15 Vichy52340%86.088.8-2.8
16 Rouen52340%82.085.6-3.6
17 Aix Maurienne52340%82.488.0-5.6
18 Fos-sur-Mer41325%77.586.8-9.2
19 La Rochelle51420%87.490.6-3.2
20 ASA51420%78.886.6-7.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fos-sur-Mer2211181667
Poitiers1823201980
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