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Pau-Orthez vs Poitiers Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 12 Jun 2026
Tip-off: 18:30
Final 82-106
21-28 19-34 22-23 20-21
Position#2
Record30-12
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game80.3
vs
Position#4
Record28-16
FormLWLWW
Points / game84.2
Allowed / game81.1
FrancePro BElite 2 - Final· Palais des Sports de Pau
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pau-Orthez v Poitiers
18 Jun 2026
POR86
POI73
12 Jun 2026
POR82
POI106
14 Nov 2025
POR79
POI80
11 Apr 2025
POR93
POI78
03 Dec 2023
POR77
POI78
19 Sep 2023
POR81
POI69
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pau-Orthez winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Poitiers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Pau-OrthezFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPau-Orthez
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
78-74
78
74
+4
73avg 85
H17/04
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
L
74-91
74
91
-17
66avg 85
A21/04
Pro B
Antibes
#15
W
92-71
92
71
+21
92avg 85
H25/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
W
97-90
97
90
+7
89avg 85
A30/04
Pro B
Vichy
#7
W
72-62
72
62
+10
72avg 85
H10/05
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
82-108
82
108
-26
70avg 85
A15/05
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
89-87 OT
89
87
+2
83avg 85
H25/05
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
79-78
79
78
+1
83avg 85
A28/05
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
90-72
90
72
+18
92avg 85
H03/06
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
90-85
90
85
+5
92avg 85
A06/06
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-15
19-15
14-30
29-14
15-23
15-23
20-26
24-19
24-17
15-23
27-14
26-17
15-32
31-14
23-22
28-22
20-18
22-21
13-15
17-8
22-27
18-28
22-26
20-27
14-15
24-18
15-19
21-22
17-11
20-18
21-20
21-29
15-20
23-16
27-25
25-11
29-24
23-17
10-25
28-19
166.1Avg total
84.3Scored
81.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (42)87.080.3167.4+6.771%
Season at home (21)85.677.0162.6+8.576%
Season away (21)88.583.6172.1+4.967%
Last 10 (10)84.381.8166.1+2.580%
Last 5 (5)86.086.0172.0+0.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)85.0100.5185.5-15.50%
vs Similar ◀ (6)88.378.0166.3+10.3100%
vs Weaker (22)88.479.9168.3+8.577%
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoitiersFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPoitiers
Date
Competition
Rouen
#14
W
90-88
90
88
+2
86avg 79
A24/04
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
L
90-97
90
97
-7
87avg 79
H30/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
W
81-79
81
79
+2
72avg 79
A08/05
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
81-75
81
75
+6
78avg 79
H15/05
Pro B
Saint Quentin
#18
W
100-96 OT
100
96
+4
91avg 79
H24/05
Pro B
Saint Quentin
#18
L
81-84
81
84
-3
68avg 79
A27/05
Pro B
Saint Quentin
#18
W
76-73
76
73
+3
69avg 79
H31/05
Pro B
Nantes
#6
L
80-83 OT
80
83
-3
77avg 79
H03/06
Pro B
Nantes
#6
W
88-79 OT
88
79
+9
79avg 79
A06/06
Pro B
Nantes
#6
W
85-75
85
75
+10
82avg 79
H09/06
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-21
22-19
24-27
18-21
32-15
14-31
22-23
22-28
18-21
21-18
28-27
14-13
16-19
20-13
23-18
22-25
22-29
25-26
20-16
22-18
19-19
9-25
23-26
30-14
19-23
20-20
22-20
15-10
23-16
12-19
17-9
15-23
24-20
20-19
11-17
17-16
26-28
21-19
20-13
18-15
168.1Avg total
85.2Scored
82.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (44)84.281.1165.3+3.164%
Season at home (23)85.479.8165.2+5.670%
Season away (21)82.982.6165.4+0.357%
Last 10 (10)85.282.9168.1+2.370%
Last 5 (5)82.078.8160.8+3.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)86.591.0177.5-4.550%
vs Similar ◀ (16)83.081.1164.1+1.969%
vs Weaker (12)84.578.8163.3+5.775%
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -1.5-1.5Q1: +1.4+1.4Q2Q2: +1.7+1.7Q2: -2.5-2.5Q3Q3: -3.0-3.0Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: +5.1+5.1Q4: +1.0+1.0
Pau-OrthezPoitiers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Pau-OrthezLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
35-30
35
30
+5
H17/04
Pro B
Ada Blois
#5
L
30-46
30
46
-16
A21/04
Pro B
Antibes
#15
L
39-40
39
40
-1
H25/04
Pro B
Poitiers
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A30/04
Pro B
Vichy
#7
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H10/05
Pro B
Roanne
#1
L
40-55
40
55
-15
A15/05
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H25/05
Pro B
Chalons-Reims
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A28/05
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
38-36
38
36
+2
H03/06
Pro B
Orleans
#3
W
52-41
52
41
+11
A06/06
Pro B
79.2Avg total
39.7Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.740.182.8+2.563%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.138.381.5+4.873%-
Last 30 away (15)42.241.984.1+0.353%-
Last 10 (10)39.739.579.2+0.260%-
Last 5 (5)41.038.879.8+2.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)43.551.094.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)43.841.285.0+2.767%-
vs Weaker (22)42.338.981.1+3.468%-
This opponent (Poitiers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PoitiersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rouen
#14
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A24/04
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#2
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H30/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#13
D
39-39
39
39
+0
A08/05
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#11
W
36-32
36
32
+4
H15/05
Pro B
Saint Quentin
#18
L
47-55
47
55
-8
H24/05
Pro B
Saint Quentin
#18
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A27/05
Pro B
Saint Quentin
#18
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H31/05
Pro B
Nantes
#6
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H03/06
Pro B
Nantes
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A06/06
Pro B
Nantes
#6
D
47-47
47
47
+0
H09/06
Pro B
82.9Avg total
40.9Scored
42.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.340.882.1+0.440%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.740.983.6+1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)39.640.880.4-1.136%-
Last 10 (10)40.942.082.9-1.130%-
Last 5 (5)38.641.680.2-3.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)45.547.092.5-1.550%-
vs Similar ◀ (16)41.540.281.7+1.344%-
vs Weaker (12)40.240.780.9-0.433%-
This opponent (Pau-Orthez) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pau-Ortheztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pau-Orthez: 83.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀58%
🏀🏀🏀22%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.4 pts a game · 58% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 22% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.224.2
57.3%
53.1%48.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.46.1
29.9%
32.8%18.3
🏀 Free throws24.217.2
71.1%
71.4%17.2
They take 62.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Poitierstheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Poitiers: 85.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀31%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.8 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 31% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.3 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.6 points a game
49%
31%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.920.4
52.4%
53.1%40.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.7
30.1%
32.8%26.1
🏀 Free throws24.618.3
74.4%
71.4%18.3
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 12 Jun 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pau-Orthez
WWWWLWWWLW
Poitiers
WWLWLWWWLW
#2
League position
#4
+2.7
Net rating
+2.5
92.9
Offensive rating
92.7
90.2
Defensive rating
90.2
53.3%
Effective FG%
49.3%
48.4%
Opp. effective FG%
47.5%
16.8%
Turnover %
15.3%
0.39
Free-throw rate
0.36
29.9%
3-point %
30.1%
67.7%
Assist %
60.8%
80%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.9 · 92.7Defence90.2 · 90.2Shooting53.3% · 49.3%3-point %29.9% · 30.1%Ball care16.8% · 15.3%Free throws0.39 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)80% · 70%
■ Pau-Orthez   ■ Poitiers
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pau-Orthez wins
3
Poitiers wins
DateGameScore
30/04/26Poitiers v Pau-Orthez90-97
14/11/25Pau-Orthez v Poitiers79-80
11/04/25Pau-Orthez v Poitiers93-78
20/12/24Poitiers v Pau-Orthez77-72
03/05/24Poitiers v Pau-Orthez78-80
03/12/23Pau-Orthez v Poitiers77-78
19/09/23Pau-Orthez v Poitiers81-69
Pau-Orthezlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/06/26AOrleans90-85
03/06/26HOrleans90-72
28/05/26AChalons-Reims79-78
25/05/26HChalons-Reims89-87 OT
15/05/26ARoanne82-108
10/05/26HVichy72-62
30/04/26APoitiers97-90
25/04/26HAntibes92-71
21/04/26AAda Blois74-91
17/04/26HChalons-Reims78-74
Poitierslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/06/26HNantes85-75
06/06/26ANantes88-79 OT
03/06/26HNantes80-83 OT
31/05/26HSaint Quentin76-73
27/05/26ASaint Quentin81-84
24/05/26HSaint Quentin100-96 OT
15/05/26HHyeres-Toulon81-75
08/05/26AAix Maurienne81-79
30/04/26HPau-Orthez90-97
24/04/26ARouen90-88

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pau-Orthez
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeWWWWW76%
AwayLWLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422121
Win %71%76%67%
Points / game87.085.688.5
Allowed / game80.377.083.6
Point differential+6.7+8.5+4.9
Avg total167.4162.6172.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%52%29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won47% (17)43% (7)50% (10)
Overtime %7%10%5%
Poitiers
Pro B 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW64%
HomeWWWLW70%
AwayWWWLW57%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games442321
Win %64%70%57%
Points / game84.285.482.9
Allowed / game81.179.882.6
Point differential+3.1+5.6+0.3
Avg total165.3165.2165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%39%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (16)67% (6)40% (10)
Overtime %14%17%10%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Roanne3831782%89.178.8+10.3
2 Pau-Orthez42301271%87.080.3+6.7
3 Poitiers44281664%84.281.1+3.1
4 Orleans42261662%82.078.7+3.3
5 Ada Blois41251661%82.080.1+1.9
6 Nantes45261958%85.182.3+2.8
7 Vichy40221855%79.676.8+2.8
8 Chalons-Reims42231955%81.380.1+1.2
9 Denain-Voltaire39211854%83.081.9+1.1
10 La Rochelle40211952%79.280.6-1.4
11 Hyeres-Toulon38191950%84.784.8-0.1
12 ASA38191950%83.183.3-0.2
13 Aix Maurienne37181949%85.585.7-0.2
14 Rouen38182047%82.683.8-1.3
15 Antibes38172145%81.982.9-1.0
16 St. Chamond38152339%82.882.7+0.1
17 Caen38132534%78.783.6-4.9
18 Saint Quentin31233%84.385.7-1.3
19 Evreux38112729%79.786.3-6.7
20 Quimper3792824%75.584.9-9.4
21 Challans3843411%77.688.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 21 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pau-Orthez2119222082
Poitiers28342321106
← all games of the day
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