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Fos-sur-Mer vs Rouen Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 75-67
19-21 12-11 21-18 23-17
Position#20
Record2-2
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.5
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Position#14
Record1-3
FormWLWLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game79.5
FrancePro BRound 5· Halle des Sports Parsemain
Other2024-25
Meetings · Fos-sur-Mer v Rouen
16 Mar 2027
FSM v ROU
upcoming
05 Oct 2024
FSM75
ROU67
05 Apr 2024
FSM83
ROU70
04 May 2021
FSM93
ROU84
06 Mar 2020
FSM76
ROU67
02 Jun 2018
FSM79
ROU75
06 Mar 2018
FSM83
ROU71
19 May 2017
FSM83
ROU76
03 Dec 2013
FSM79
ROU67
09 Mar 2013
FSM60
ROU94
30 Mar 2012
FSM66
ROU83
21 Jan 2011
FSM79
ROU89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fos-sur-Mer winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rouen winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fos-sur-MerFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFos-sur-Mer
Date
Competition
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
71-75
71
75
-4
81avg 86
H12/04
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
71-87
71
87
-16
89avg 86
A19/04
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
W
69-57
69
57
+12
86avg 86
H28/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
96-76
96
76
+20
113avg 86
A03/05
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
75-72
75
72
+3
89avg 86
H10/05
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
85-75
85
75
+10
104avg 86
A13/09
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
64-78
64
78
-14
75avg 86
H20/09
Pro B
Lyonso
#25
L
88-96
88
96
-8
83avg 86
A24/09
French Cup
Chartres
#21
W
75-69
75
69
+6
97avg 86
A27/09
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
66-86
66
86
-20
80avg 86
A01/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
10-20
14-20
24-16
18-18
16-28
17-23
20-18
15-10
15-24
24-16
15-7
32-15
20-17
21-19
23-25
20-11
19-19
20-22
16-20
17-16
23-15
14-21
31-23
8-22
11-23
22-11
23-22
22-27
19-24
24-20
23-25
14-16
19-21
20-15
22-17
19-20
6-22
21-16
20-28
153.1Avg total
76.0Scored
77.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)72.577.0149.5-4.550%
Season at home (1)64.078.0142.0-14.00%
Season away (3)75.376.7152.0-1.367%
Last 10 (10)76.077.1153.1-1.150%
Last 5 (5)75.680.8156.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)72.278.8151.0-6.525%
vs Similar (20)79.577.9157.4+1.540%
vs Weaker (1)75.072.0147.0+3.0100%
This opponent (Rouen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RouenFranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRouen
Date
Competition
Orleans
#4
L
77-82
77
82
-5
95avg 88
A15/05
Pro B
Orleans
#4
W
84-76
84
76
+8
98avg 88
H19/05
Pro B
Orleans
#4
W
101-82
101
82
+19
118avg 88
A22/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
70-73
70
73
-3
75avg 88
A25/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
61-70
61
70
-9
70avg 88
H28/05
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
85-63
85
63
+22
95avg 88
A13/09
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
L
67-71
67
71
-4
75avg 88
H20/09
Pro B
Loon Plage
#41
W
83-76
83
76
+7
83avg 88
A24/09
French Cup
Denain-Voltaire
#13
L
76-92
76
92
-16
87avg 88
H27/09
Pro B
Antibes
#10
L
84-92
84
92
-8
100avg 88
A01/10
Pro B
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-25
24-15
21-20
14-22
17-21
20-17
26-16
21-22
18-24
25-22
24-22
34-14
16-25
20-14
14-19
20-15
6-24
18-13
16-16
21-17
16-13
25-19
20-17
24-14
18-13
17-20
18-20
14-18
26-30
23-14
15-22
19-10
18-19
17-14
22-27
19-32
27-18
19-33
18-22
20-19
156.5Avg total
78.8Scored
77.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.079.5157.5-1.525%
Season at home (2)71.581.5153.0-10.00%
Season away (2)84.577.5162.0+7.050%
Last 10 (10)78.877.7156.5+1.140%
Last 5 (5)79.078.8157.8+0.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)74.872.0146.8+2.820%
vs Similar (18)81.184.3165.3-3.239%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)83.577.5161.0+6.083%
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -3.2-3.2Q2Q2: -5.5-5.5Q2: +2.7+2.7Q3Q3: +1.4+1.4Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: +1.6+1.6Q4: +2.3+2.3
Fos-sur-MerRouen
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fos-sur-MerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Denain-Voltaire
#15
L
33-39
33
39
-6
H12/04
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#7
L
34-46
34
46
-12
A19/04
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H28/04
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#14
W
52-32
52
32
+20
A03/05
Pro B
Angers
#18
W
39-30
39
30
+9
H10/05
Pro B
Evreux
#18
W
40-31
40
31
+9
A13/09
Pro B
Pau-Orthez
#8
L
19-45
19
45
-26
H20/09
Pro B
Lyonso
#25
L
41-51
41
51
-10
A24/09
French Cup
Chartres
#21
L
33-37
33
37
-4
A27/09
Pro B
Aix Maurienne
#11
L
25-42
25
42
-17
A01/10
Pro B
73.3Avg total
34.6Scored
38.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.139.177.2-1.033%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.638.376.9+0.343%-
Last 30 away (16)37.739.877.4-2.125%-
Last 10 (10)34.638.773.3-4.130%-
Last 5 (5)31.641.272.8-9.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.443.578.9-8.112%-
vs Similar (20)39.037.176.2+1.940%-
vs Weaker (1)39.030.069.0+9.0100%-
This opponent (Rouen) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RouenLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Orleans
#4
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A15/05
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H19/05
Pro B
Orleans
#4
L
43-46
43
46
-3
A22/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A25/05
Pro B
La Rochelle
#1
L
24-37
24
37
-13
H28/05
Pro B
Hyeres-Toulon
#19
W
41-32
41
32
+9
A13/09
Pro B
Boulazac
#2
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H20/09
Pro B
Loon Plage
#41
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A24/09
French Cup
Denain-Voltaire
#13
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H27/09
Pro B
Antibes
#10
L
46-51
46
51
-5
A01/10
Pro B
78.1Avg total
38.8Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.340.480.6-0.143%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.137.776.8+1.443%-
Last 30 away (16)41.342.784.0-1.444%-
Last 10 (10)38.839.378.1-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.679.8+2.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)37.437.274.6+0.240%-
vs Similar (18)40.941.682.6-0.739%-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)39.238.777.8+0.550%-
This opponent (Fos-sur-Mer) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fos-sur-Mertheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fos-sur-Mer: 75.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.019.3
48.2%
52.3%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.87.3
33.5%
33.6%21.9
🏀 Free throws21.114.5
68.7%
73.2%14.5
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rouentheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rouen: 77.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀41%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀23%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.7 pts a game · 23% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.5 points a game
47%
33%
20%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.916.0
44.6%
52.3%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.79.3
33.6%
33.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws23.117.7
76.6%
73.2%17.7
They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 05 Oct 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fos-sur-Mer
LWLLWWWWLL
Rouen
LLWLWLLWWL
#20
League position
#14
-1.7
Net rating
+0.7
100.2
Offensive rating
103.6
101.9
Defensive rating
102.9
48.9%
Effective FG%
47.1%
47.6%
Opp. effective FG%
49.7%
20.9%
Turnover %
21.0%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
38.6%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.36
33.5%
3-point %
33.6%
72.6%
Assist %
66.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence100.2 · 103.6Defence101.9 · 102.9Shooting48.9% · 47.1%3-point %33.5% · 33.6%Ball care20.9% · 21.0%Off. rebounds32.9% · 38.6%Free throws0.34 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)50% · 40%
■ Fos-sur-Mer   ■ Rouen
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Fos-sur-Mer wins
2
Rouen wins
DateGameScore
05/04/24Fos-sur-Mer v Rouen83-70
27/10/23Rouen v Fos-sur-Mer88-85
04/06/21Rouen v Fos-sur-Mer79-85
04/05/21Fos-sur-Mer v Rouen93-84
06/03/20Fos-sur-Mer v Rouen76-67
10/01/20Rouen v Fos-sur-Mer83-77
04/06/18Rouen v Fos-sur-Mer70-92
02/06/18Fos-sur-Mer v Rouen79-75
06/03/18Fos-sur-Mer v Rouen83-71
10/11/17Rouen v Fos-sur-Mer82-88
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/24AAix Maurienne66-86
27/09/24AChartres75-69
24/09/24ALyonso88-96
20/09/24HPau-Orthez64-78
13/09/24AEvreux85-75
10/05/24HAngers75-72
03/05/24AAix Maurienne96-76
28/04/24HLa Rochelle69-57
19/04/24APau-Orthez71-87
12/04/24HDenain-Voltaire71-75
Rouenlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/10/24AAntibes84-92
27/09/24HDenain-Voltaire76-92
24/09/24ALoon Plage83-76
20/09/24HBoulazac67-71
13/09/24AHyeres-Toulon85-63
28/05/24HLa Rochelle61-70
25/05/24ALa Rochelle70-73
22/05/24AOrleans101-82
19/05/24HOrleans84-76
15/05/24AOrleans77-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fos-sur-Mer
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWL50%
HomeL0%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%0%67%
Points / game72.564.075.3
Allowed / game77.078.076.7
Point differential-4.5-14.0-1.3
Avg total149.5142.0152.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Rouen
Pro B 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game78.071.584.5
Allowed / game79.581.577.5
Point differential-1.5-10.0+7.0
Avg total157.5153.0162.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Ada Blois440100%89.871.2+18.5
2 Roanne440100%90.274.5+15.8
3 Boulazac440100%77.866.8+11.0
4 Pau-Orthez54180%81.277.4+3.8
5 Orleans43175%84.083.5+0.5
6 St. Chamond53260%92.682.0+10.6
7 Aix Maurienne53260%84.879.2+5.6
8 ASA53260%84.081.4+2.6
9 Denain-Voltaire53260%77.075.8+1.2
10 Caen53260%74.676.6-2.0
11 Antibes42250%80.881.5-0.8
12 Fos-sur-Mer42250%72.577.0-4.5
13 Poitiers52340%83.683.0+0.6
14 Chalons-Reims52340%78.281.4-3.2
15 Rouen41325%78.079.5-1.5
16 Evreux41325%77.583.2-5.8
17 Vichy51420%73.678.6-5.0
18 Nantes51420%79.286.2-7.0
19 Hyeres-Toulon5050%73.087.2-14.2
20 Chartres5050%73.893.4-19.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fos-sur-Mer1912212375
Rouen2111181767
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