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France vs Lithuania Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 26 Feb 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 70-63
11-14 24-13 18-16 17-20
Position#8
Record9-2
FormWLWWW
Points / game82.1
Allowed / game61.7
France 🏆
vs
Position#9
Record9-2
FormWLLWW
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game71.1
EuropeWorld CupRound 12
Other2023
Meetings · France v Lithuania
26 Feb 2023
FRAN70
LITH63
07 Sep 2019
FRAN78
LITH75
02 Aug 2012
FRAN82
LITH74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

France winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lithuania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FranceLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary
#30
W
78-74
78
74
+4
H04/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#9
W
81-68
81
68
+13
A06/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
L
82-88
82
88
-6
H07/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
W
87-86 OT
87
86
+1
A10/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
W
93-85 OT
93
85
+8
H14/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
W
95-54
95
54
+41
A16/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A18/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#9
W
90-65
90
65
+25
A11/11
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
W
92-56
92
56
+36
H14/11
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
W
72-59
72
59
+13
A23/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
21-22
25-14
11-21
19-19
25-15
8-16
29-18
19-20
21-24
24-20
18-24
18-11
25-24
6-22
28-20
27-20
11-11
18-31
21-15
15-9
19-9
30-18
31-18
14-23
23-24
20-19
19-22
22-14
21-19
27-14
20-18
17-13
23-14
19-17
33-12
11-27
16-9
22-11
23-12
156.9Avg total
84.6Scored
72.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)82.161.7143.8+20.482%
Season at home (5)87.055.8142.8+31.2100%
Season away (6)78.066.7144.7+11.367%
Last 10 (10)84.672.3156.9+12.380%
Last 5 (5)85.064.4149.4+20.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)83.088.5171.5-5.550%
vs Similar (8)79.879.1158.9+0.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)82.365.4147.7+16.985%
This opponent (Lithuania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LithuaniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#14
W
90-73
90
73
+17
H27/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#4
L
85-92
85
92
-7
A01/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H03/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
L
107-109 OT
107
109
-2
H04/09
EuroBasket
Hungary
#30
W
87-64
87
64
+23
A06/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#9
W
87-70
87
70
+17
H07/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
L
94-102 OT
94
102
-8
A10/09
EuroBasket
France
#8
L
65-90
65
90
-25
H11/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
W
65-56
65
56
+9
A14/11
World Cup
Hungary
#42
W
89-64
89
64
+25
H23/02
World Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-21
17-15
32-15
19-22
27-27
21-24
19-18
18-23
25-23
16-17
15-10
17-27
19-19
22-27
24-20
24-23
22-18
26-15
27-19
12-12
28-28
28-14
19-17
12-11
20-19
25-21
23-23
15-20
14-22
19-21
14-27
18-20
19-15
18-15
12-14
16-12
14-16
26-15
23-14
26-19
163.9Avg total
84.2Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)78.171.1149.2+7.082%
Season at home (6)80.372.5152.8+7.867%
Season away (5)75.469.4144.8+6.0100%
Last 10 (10)84.279.7163.9+4.550%
Last 5 (5)80.076.4156.4+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)81.396.0177.3-14.70%
vs Similar (11)81.079.7160.7+1.345%
vs Weaker (16)82.969.6152.5+13.288%
This opponent (France) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: +0.2+0.2Q2Q2: +3.4+3.4Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +1.7+1.7Q3: +3.1+3.1Q4Q4: +5.3+5.3Q4: -1.2-1.2
FranceLithuania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FranceLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hungary
#30
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H04/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#9
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A06/09
EuroBasket
Slovenia
#4
L
40-44
40
44
-4
H07/09
EuroBasket
Turkey
#22
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A10/09
EuroBasket
Italy
#11
W
38-31
38
31
+7
H14/09
EuroBasket
Poland
#18
W
34-18
34
18
+16
A16/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A18/09
EuroBasket
Lithuania
#9
W
43-33
43
33
+10
A11/11
World Cup
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#41
W
40-27
40
27
+13
H14/11
World Cup
Czech Republic
#60
L
27-36
27
36
-9
A23/02
World Cup
73.2Avg total
38.8Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.235.975.2+3.357%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.637.876.5+0.854%-
Last 30 away (17)39.734.574.2+5.259%-
Last 10 (10)38.834.473.2+4.470%-
Last 5 (5)36.232.268.4+4.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)39.545.585.0-6.00%-
vs Similar (8)39.038.177.1+0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)39.334.173.4+5.265%-
This opponent (Lithuania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LithuaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Montenegro
#14
W
39-36
39
36
+3
H27/08
World Cup
Slovenia
#4
L
48-51
48
51
-3
A01/09
EuroBasket
France
#7
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H03/09
EuroBasket
Germany
#17
L
41-46
41
46
-5
H04/09
EuroBasket
Hungary
#30
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A06/09
EuroBasket
Bosnia & Herzegovina
#9
W
56-42
56
42
+14
H07/09
EuroBasket
Spain
#1
W
45-40
45
40
+5
A10/09
EuroBasket
France
#8
L
33-43
33
43
-10
H11/11
World Cup
Montenegro
#14
W
37-30
37
30
+7
A14/11
World Cup
Hungary
#42
W
40-31
40
31
+9
H23/02
World Cup
82.0Avg total
42.8Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.438.680.0+2.967%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.940.282.1+1.662%-
Last 30 away (14)40.936.677.6+4.371%-
Last 10 (10)42.839.282.0+3.670%-
Last 5 (5)42.237.279.4+5.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)43.345.088.3-1.733%-
vs Similar (11)41.840.782.5+1.164%-
vs Weaker (16)40.835.976.7+4.975%-
This opponent (France) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
France wins
1
Lithuania wins
DateGameScore
11/11/22Lithuania v France65-90
03/09/22Lithuania v France73-77
07/09/19France v Lithuania78-75
13/09/14Lithuania v France93-95
02/08/12France v Lithuania82-74
01/09/10Lithuania v France69-55
Francelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23ACzech Republic72-59
14/11/22HBosnia & Herzegovina92-56
11/11/22ALithuania90-65
18/09/22ASpain76-88
16/09/22APoland95-54
14/09/22HItaly93-85 OT
10/09/22ATurkey87-86 OT
07/09/22HSlovenia82-88
06/09/22ABosnia & Herzegovina81-68
04/09/22HHungary78-74
Lithuanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/02/23HHungary89-64
14/11/22AMontenegro65-56
11/11/22HFrance65-90
10/09/22ASpain94-102 OT
07/09/22HBosnia & Herzegovina87-70
06/09/22AHungary87-64
04/09/22HGermany107-109 OT
03/09/22HFrance73-77
01/09/22ASlovenia85-92
27/08/22HMontenegro90-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

France
World Cup 2023
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW82%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWLLWW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %82%100%67%
Points / game82.187.078.0
Allowed / game61.755.866.7
Point differential+20.4+31.2+11.3
Avg total143.8142.8144.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+73%80%67%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %9%0%17%
Lithuania
World Cup 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW82%
HomeWLWLW67%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1165
Win %82%67%100%
Points / game78.180.375.4
Allowed / game71.172.569.4
Point differential+7.0+7.8+6.0
Avg total149.2152.8144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+45%67%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Russia330100%87.070.7+16.3
2 Latvia1514193%85.171.2+13.9
3 Australia1211192%82.854.8+28.0
4 Canada1110191%99.869.5+30.4
5 Spain1110191%84.567.3+17.2
6 South Sudan1110191%76.963.3+13.6
7 China1210283%79.966.0+13.9
8 Ivory Coast1210283%75.365.9+9.4
9 France119282%82.161.7+20.4
10 Lebanon119282%89.569.5+20.1
11 Angola119282%74.960.6+14.3
12 Germany119282%79.470.3+9.1
13 Lithuania119282%78.171.1+7.0
14 Finland119282%81.577.0+4.5
15 New Zealand97278%91.166.4+24.7
16 Puerto Rico97278%80.176.2+3.9
17 Venezuela118373%79.166.5+12.5
18 Egypt118373%73.160.8+12.3
19 Dominican Republic118373%82.471.5+10.8
20 Argentina118373%79.071.5+7.5
21 Greece107370%79.576.4+3.1
22 Italy107370%88.786.0+2.7
23 Belarus128467%80.267.2+13.0
24 Mexico96367%83.878.0+5.8
25 Montenegro1510567%75.771.1+4.6
26 Philippines96367%79.175.2+3.9
27 Jordan117464%77.770.6+7.1
28 Nigeria117464%70.564.5+6.0
29 Slovenia117464%83.279.2+4.0
30 Serbia117464%79.176.9+2.2
31 Brazil106460%86.971.6+15.3
32 Senegal127558%72.566.0+6.5
33 Japan127558%76.473.2+3.2
34 Georgia127558%80.479.1+1.3
35 Iceland2112957%80.880.7+0.1
36 Uruguay95456%72.273.3-1.1
37 Belgium116555%73.668.3+5.4
38 Cape Verde116555%72.169.5+2.6
39 Bosnia & Herzegovina116555%77.381.8-4.5
40 Sweden158753%81.876.0+5.8
41 Ukraine126650%80.277.2+3.0
42 Iran126650%71.368.7+2.7
43 Tunisia126650%64.362.5+1.8
44 Portugal168850%70.971.6-0.7
45 Switzerland42250%62.263.2-1.0
46 Hungary115645%71.379.7-8.5
47 Kazakhstan125742%64.972.7-7.8
48 D.R. Congo125742%57.064.9-7.9
49 Mali52340%42.047.2-5.2
50 Saudi Arabia114736%67.976.4-8.5
51 Poland62433%74.077.0-3.0
52 Cameroon124833%64.468.2-3.8
53 Kosovo62433%75.885.2-9.3
54 Colombia93633%76.792.3-15.7
55 Slovakia1651131%68.976.7-7.8
56 Turkey103730%77.077.2-0.2
57 Israel113827%77.979.0-1.1
58 Czech Republic113827%73.580.0-6.5
59 Estonia113827%72.582.4-9.8
60 Bahamas113827%78.692.3-13.6
61 Guinea123925%66.070.6-4.6
62 North Macedonia102820%64.375.8-11.5
63 Luxembourg102820%76.388.1-11.8
64 Panama112918%66.779.8-13.1
65 Bulgaria61517%74.379.2-4.8
66 Croatia61517%77.083.2-6.2
67 Rwanda61517%56.765.2-8.5
68 Chile61517%66.075.7-9.7
69 Syria61517%69.379.3-10.0
70 Central African Republic61517%61.275.2-14.0
71 Uganda1221017%61.177.8-16.7
72 Albania61517%65.282.2-17.0
73 Bahrain1221017%63.483.7-20.2
74 Cyprus61517%59.080.2-21.2
75 Great Britain91811%68.281.2-13.0
76 Cuba4040%65.072.8-7.8
77 Netherlands110110%71.081.5-10.5
78 Denmark4040%69.584.5-15.0
79 Romania4040%69.889.5-19.8
80 Chinese Taipei6060%61.090.7-29.7
81 India9090%61.291.6-30.3
82 United States Virgin Islands6060%64.796.2-31.5
83 Indonesia6060%58.590.2-31.7
84 Paraguay6060%55.086.8-31.8
85 Kenya6060%42.574.8-32.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 85 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
France1124181770
Lithuania1413162063
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