Frankfurt hosts Trier on 15 November 2026 in the BBL, a clash that pits a team on a 4-2 run with a 87.3 points per game average against a 6-1 squad that scores 98.4 per game and has won its last five outings. Frankfurt, sitting fourth in the league, has been solid at home, going 2-0 with 91.0 points per game and 79.5 allowed, yet their recent form has dipped, losing three of their last five games, including a 89-113 defeat to Maxima Roma at home. Trier, positioned second, has dominated on the road, winning 2-1 with 99.3 points per game and 94.7 allowed, and has not dropped a single game in their final five, highlighted by a 122-57 rout of Batumi. Historically, Trier has edged Frankfurt 6-4 in ten meetings, most recently winning 115-108 in February 2026. Pythia rates Trier as the favourite with a 69% chance of victory and projects a 86-93 score for Frankfurt and Trier respectively, totalling 178.9 points. The home team faces a 4.5-point line and has a 44% chance to cover, while the over/under line of 178.5 carries a 50% probability of exceeding. The game carries a 4% chance of overtime, and the last encounter saw Trier triumph over Frankfurt.
Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Frankfurt win
31.4%fair 3.19
Best odds2.62
Implied36.3%
Edge-4.9pp
Trier win
68.6%fair 1.46
Best odds1.54
Implied63.7%
Edge+4.9pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 14:24 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.
This opponent (Frankfurt) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Total points distribution
Pythia expects about 179 points (overtime included in the simulation); the most likely band is 180-184 (12%). The market's main line is 178.5.
Over/Under 173.5
Over 173.5
61.8%
@ 1.46-5.1pp
Under 173.5
38.2%
@ 2.82+5.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.46
Bet365
1.38
Betano
1.37
Marathon Be
1.37
Under
Betano
2.82
Bet365
2.80
1xBet
2.40
Over/Under 178.5 · main line
Over 178.5
50.2%
@ 1.85-6.2pp
Under 178.5
49.8%
@ 2.15+6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
WilliamHill
1.85
SBO
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Betano
1.65
Bet365
1.64
Under
Betano
2.15
Bet365
2.12
1xBet
2.11
Marathon Be
2.11
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 183.5
Over 183.5
38.6%
@ 2.11-6.4pp
Under 183.5
61.4%
@ 1.74+6.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.11
Betano
2.07
Bet365
2.05
1xBet
2.00
Marathon Be
2.00
Under
1xBet
1.74
Marathon Be
1.74
Pinnacle
1.73
Betano
1.70
Bet365
1.68
📊 3. Team Totals
Frankfurt total 85.5
Over 85.5
52.7%
@ 1.65-7.7pp
Under 85.5
47.3%
@ 2.35+7.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.65
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.50
Under
Bet365
2.35
Betano
2.30
1xBet
2.10
Frankfurt total 89.5 · main line
Over 89.5
38.4%
@ 1.95-9.3pp
Under 89.5
61.6%
@ 1.85+9.3pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.95
Marathon Be
1.95
Betano
1.93
BetVictor
1.85
Under
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.78
Marathon Be
1.78
Betano
1.75
Frankfurt total 93.5
Over 93.5
25.7%
@ 2.70-8.5pp
Under 93.5
74.3%
@ 1.41+8.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.70
Betano
2.65
Under
Bet365
1.41
Betano
1.38
Trier total 87.5
Over 87.5
68.0%
@ 1.34+0.4pp
Under 87.5
32.0%
@ 2.80-0.4pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
Under
Betano
2.80
Trier total 91.5 · main line
Over 91.5
53.7%
@ 1.85+0.0pp
Under 91.5
46.3%
@ 2.03-0.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.75
Marathon Be
1.72
Betano
1.67
Under
1xBet
2.03
Betano
2.02
Marathon Be
2.00
BetVictor
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Trier total 95.5
Over 95.5
39.0%
@ 2.20-2.5pp
Under 95.5
61.0%
@ 1.56+2.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.20
1xBet
2.16
Under
1xBet
1.56
Betano
1.53
⚖️ 4. Spread
Winning margin distribution
Margin from Frankfurt's side (positive = Frankfurt win). Pythia's expected margin is -6.1; Frankfurt win by 1+ in 26% of simulations.
Spread Frankfurt +1.5
FRA +1.5
33.7%
@ 2.42-5.3pp
TRI -1.5
66.3%
@ 1.57+5.3pp
Best 5 market prices
FRA
Pinnacle
2.42
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.30
1xBet
2.22
Marathon Be
2.22
TRI
Betano
1.57
1xBet
1.57
Marathon Be
1.57
Bet365
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Spread Frankfurt +4.5 · main line
FRA +4.5
43.8%
@ 1.92-5.7pp
TRI -4.5
56.2%
@ 1.95+5.7pp
Best 5 market prices
FRA
Pinnacle
1.92
1xBet
1.89
Betano
1.87
Marathon Be
1.87
Bet365
1.86
TRI
1xBet
1.95
Marathon Be
1.93
Betfair
1.91
SBO
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
Spread Frankfurt +7.5
FRA +7.5
54.0%
@ 1.57-5.7pp
TRI -7.5
46.0%
@ 2.30+5.7pp
Best 5 market prices
FRA
Betano
1.57
Bet365
1.55
1xBet
1.54
Marathon Be
1.54
TRI
Betano
2.30
Bet365
2.30
1xBet
2.28
Marathon Be
2.28
⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves
Quarter by quarter
FrankfurtTrier
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FrankfurtLast 10 – 1st quarter points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Phoenix Hagen
#17
W
22-18
22
18
+4
A04/10
BBL
Siauliai
#19
L
12-13
12
13
-1
H06/10
Eurocup
Hamburg
#15
W
27-24
27
24
+3
H11/10
BBL
London Lions
#9
W
21-18
21
18
+3
A15/10
Eurocup
Tenerife
#5
W
22-14
22
14
+8
H21/10
Eurocup
Cluj-Napoca
#29
W
30-29
30
29
+1
H27/10
Eurocup
Jena
#18
L
22-29
22
29
-7
A30/10
BBL
Turk Telekom
#16
L
17-24
17
24
-7
A04/11
Eurocup
Syntainics MBC
#3
W
21-20
21
20
+1
A08/11
BBL
Maxima Roma
#11
L
14-28
14
28
-14
H12/11
Eurocup
42.5Avg total
20.8Scored
21.7Allowed
1st quarter
Scored
Allowed
Total
Margin
Won the quarter
Over 44.5
Last 30 (30)
21.1
20.9
42.0
+0.2
57%
33%
Last 30 at home (15)
20.5
21.6
42.1
-1.1
47%
40%
Last 30 away (15)
21.7
20.2
41.9
+1.5
67%
27%
Last 10 (10)
20.8
21.7
42.5
-0.9
60%
30%
Last 5 (5)
20.8
26.0
46.8
-5.2
40%
40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)
20.8
21.0
41.8
-0.2
50%
29%
vs Similar (11)
19.9
19.3
39.2
+0.6
55%
27%
vs Weaker (5)
24.6
24.2
48.8
+0.4
80%
60%
This opponent (Trier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
This opponent (Frankfurt) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
2nd half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
2nd half winner
FRA win
36.8%
@ 2.22-5.8pp
TRI win
63.2%
@ 1.65+5.8pp
2nd half Spread Frankfurt +1 · main line
FRA +1
41.0%
@ 1.87-9.0pp
TRI -1
59.0%
@ 1.87+9.0pp
2nd half Over/Under 87 · main line
Over
56.7%
@ 1.88+6.9pp
Under
43.3%
@ 1.86-6.9pp
Frankfurt 2nd half total 42.5 · main line
Over
51.8%
@ 1.87+1.8pp
Under
48.2%
@ 1.87-1.8pp
Trier 2nd half total 45.5 · main line
Over
52.8%
@ 1.83+1.7pp
Under
47.2%
@ 1.91-1.7pp
2nd half Over/Under 88.5
Over
51.1%
@ 1.93+0.0pp
Under
48.9%
@ 1.91-0.0pp
2nd half Spread Frankfurt 0
FRA 0
36.8%
@ 2.02-9.4pp
TRI 0
63.2%
@ 1.74+9.4pp
2nd half 3-way (draw possible)
FRA
35.3%
@ 2.27-8.3pp
Draw
4.0%
@ 18.25-1.1pp
TRI
60.6%
@ 1.79+9.3pp
⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro
Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
They take 65.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 70.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Frankfurttheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Frankfurt: 87.5 points a game allowed
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
38.2
21.7
56.8%
55.6%
43.4
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
29.4
10.1
34.4%
33.7%
30.3
🏀Free throws
18.4
13.8
75.0%
73.4%
13.8
Their opponents take 67.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Triertheir opponents' shots (defence), last 10 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Trier: 81.2 points a game allowed
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.2 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
39.8
21.1
53.0%
55.6%
42.2
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
26.1
8.6
33.0%
33.7%
25.8
🏀Free throws
18.0
13.2
73.3%
73.4%
13.2
Their opponents take 65.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
They take 64.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
They take 66.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Frankfurttheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Frankfurt: 87.7 points a game allowed
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.7 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.7 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
37.8
21.3
56.4%
55.6%
42.7
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
28.3
9.9
34.9%
33.7%
29.7
🏀Free throws
20.4
15.3
75.0%
73.4%
15.3
Their opponents take 66.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
Triertheir opponents' shots (defence), last 30 games
Where their opponents' points come from
Trier: 90.9 points a game allowed
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.9 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.1 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%
Shooting by shot type
Shot type
Opponents' Attempts per game
Opponents' Made per game
Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)
League accuracy
Points per game
🏀🏀2-pointers
41.7
23.4
56.2%
55.6%
46.9
🏀🏀🏀3-pointers
27.7
9.7
35.1%
33.7%
29.1
🏀Free throws
20.4
14.9
73.2%
73.4%
14.9
Their opponents take 69.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of those shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when they hold opponents below the league average.
💪 9. Team Strengths
Side by side
Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Frankfurt
LLLWWLWWWW
Trier
WWWWWWWWWW
#5
League position
#2
+1.7
Net rating
+17.6
101.3
Offensive rating
106.0
99.5
Defensive rating
88.4
55.4%
Effective FG%
58.9%
54.5%
Opp. effective FG%
51.6%
13.9%
Turnover %
15.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
38.4%
3-point %
37.4%
55.8%
Assist %
66.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
100%
Profile
■ Frankfurt■ Trier
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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