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Freseros vs Diablos Rojos Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 01 Aug 2024
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 76-87
20-29 16-26 21-18 19-14
Position#12
Record1-4
FormLLLWL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game95.2
vs
Position#1
Record5-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.4
Allowed / game83.7
MexicoLNBP· Inforum Irapuato
Other2024-25
Meetings · Freseros v Diablos Rojos
31 Jul 2024
FRES76
DIAB87
30 Jul 2024
FRES105
DIAB115
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Diablos Rojos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

FreserosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mineros
#11
W
105-85
105
85
+20
A22/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H27/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H28/10
LNBP
Dorados
#9
W
106-105 OT
106
105
+1
H04/11
LNBP
Dorados
#9
W
90-87
90
87
+3
H05/11
LNBP
Plateros
#9
L
60-96
60
96
-36
A13/07
LNBP
Plateros
#9
L
69-87
69
87
-18
A14/07
LNBP
Panteras
#6
L
88-94
88
94
-6
A26/07
LNBP
Panteras
#6
W
98-84
98
84
+14
A27/07
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
L
105-115 OT
105
115
-10
H31/07
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-18
27-26
21-24
26-17
13-19
23-22
32-16
12-24
19-24
23-18
18-20
23-15
21-23
27-29
21-24
26-19
16-27
29-23
24-11
21-26
15-21
19-21
8-30
18-24
15-26
20-22
14-18
20-21
19-24
22-28
28-19
19-23
16-24
32-29
23-19
27-12
27-21
14-17
13-23
23-16
179.5Avg total
88.4Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (5)84.095.2179.2-11.220%
Season at home (1)105.0115.0220.0-10.00%
Season away (4)78.890.2169.0-11.525%
Last 10 (10)88.491.1179.5-2.750%
Last 5 (5)84.095.2179.2-11.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)84.393.9178.2-9.621%
vs Similar (4)84.288.0172.2-3.850%
vs Weaker (2)115.098.5213.5+16.5100%
This opponent (Diablos Rojos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diablos RojosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#3
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A13/07
LNBP
Astros
#3
W
84-74
84
74
+10
A14/07
LNBP
Santos
#11
L
88-89
88
89
-1
H23/07
LNBP
Santos
#11
W
82-75
82
75
+7
H24/07
LNBP
Abejas
#14
W
95-81
95
81
+14
A27/07
LNBP
Abejas
#14
W
95-84
95
84
+11
A28/07
LNBP
Freseros
#12
W
115-105 OT
115
105
+10
A31/07
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-24
17-19
14-14
20-21
25-14
30-20
15-23
14-17
21-22
30-19
15-28
22-20
24-19
17-19
17-19
24-18
26-19
23-26
24-19
22-17
24-21
25-28
24-17
22-18
21-27
17-14
23-13
16-23
174.1Avg total
90.4Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)90.483.7174.1+6.771%
Season at home (2)85.082.0167.0+3.050%
Season away (5)92.684.4177.0+8.280%
Last 10 (7)90.483.7174.1+6.771%
Last 5 (5)95.086.8181.8+8.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)79.076.0155.0+3.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (5)95.086.8181.8+8.280%
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -3.5-3.5Q1: +2.6+2.6Q2Q2: +0.1+0.1Q2: +2.0+2.0Q3Q3: -0.2-0.2Q3: -0.1-0.1Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: +0.9+0.9
FreserosDiablos Rojos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mineros
#11
W
58-44
58
44
+14
A22/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
L
36-41
36
41
-5
H27/10
LNBP
Fuerza Regia
#1
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H28/10
LNBP
Dorados
#9
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H04/11
LNBP
Dorados
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
H05/11
LNBP
Plateros
#9
L
34-42
34
42
-8
A13/07
LNBP
Plateros
#9
L
35-48
35
48
-13
A14/07
LNBP
Panteras
#6
L
41-52
41
52
-11
A26/07
LNBP
Panteras
#6
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A27/07
LNBP
Diablos Rojos
#1
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H31/07
LNBP
89.0Avg total
42.8Scored
46.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.247.990.0-5.723%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.847.789.5-5.927%-
Last 30 away (15)42.548.090.5-5.520%-
Last 10 (10)42.846.289.0-3.420%-
Last 5 (5)39.846.686.4-6.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)41.448.189.5-6.721%-
vs Similar (4)43.243.586.8-0.250%-
vs Weaker (2)49.053.5102.5-4.50%-
This opponent (Diablos Rojos) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Diablos RojosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#3
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A13/07
LNBP
Astros
#3
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A14/07
LNBP
Santos
#11
W
51-41
51
41
+10
H23/07
LNBP
Santos
#11
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H24/07
LNBP
Abejas
#14
W
49-45
49
45
+4
A27/07
LNBP
Abejas
#14
D
49-49
49
49
+0
A28/07
LNBP
Freseros
#12
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A31/07
LNBP
87.7Avg total
46.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (7)46.141.687.7+4.657%-
Last 30 at home (2)46.039.585.5+6.5100%-
Last 30 away (5)46.242.488.6+3.840%-
Last 10 (7)46.141.687.7+4.657%-
Last 5 (5)45.642.888.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)47.538.586.0+9.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (5)45.642.888.4+2.860%-
This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Freseros wins
1
Diablos Rojos wins
DateGameScore
31/07/24Freseros v Diablos Rojos105-115 OT
Freseroslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/07/24HDiablos Rojos105-115 OT
27/07/24APanteras98-84
26/07/24APanteras88-94
14/07/24APlateros69-87
13/07/24APlateros60-96
05/11/23HDorados90-87
04/11/23HDorados106-105 OT
28/10/23HFuerza Regia83-77
27/10/23HFuerza Regia80-81
22/10/23AMineros105-85
Diablos Rojoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
31/07/24AFreseros115-105 OT
28/07/24AAbejas95-84
27/07/24AAbejas95-81
24/07/24HSantos82-75
23/07/24HSantos88-89
14/07/24AAstros84-74
13/07/24AAstros74-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros
LNBP 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL20%
HomeL0%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games514
Win %20%0%25%
Points / game84.0105.078.8
Allowed / game95.2115.090.2
Point differential-11.2-10.0-11.5
Avg total179.2220.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%0%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %20%100%0%
Diablos Rojos
LNBP 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Losses (last 7)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW71%
HomeLW50%
AwayLWWWW80%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games725
Win %71%50%80%
Points / game90.485.092.6
Allowed / game83.782.084.4
Point differential+6.7+3.0+8.2
Avg total174.1167.0177.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%0%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %14%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fuerza Regia87188%87.575.1+12.4
2 Astros87188%83.875.4+8.4
3 Diablos Rojos75271%90.483.7+6.7
4 Mineros75271%81.979.1+2.7
5 Halcones de Xalapa53260%84.280.8+3.4
6 Panteras74357%93.986.9+7.0
7 Plateros74357%81.674.6+7.0
8 Lobos Plateados74357%90.387.9+2.4
9 Santos74357%85.484.1+1.3
10 El Calor de Cancun84450%83.078.6+4.4
11 Dorados73443%89.690.4-0.9
12 Halcones Rojos51420%79.489.8-10.4
13 Freseros51420%84.095.2-11.2
14 Soles71614%73.789.1-15.4
15 Correcaminos81712%79.696.1-16.5
16 Abejas5050%83.694.4-10.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Freseros2016211976
Diablos Rojos2926181487
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