Freseros vs Dorados Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 04 Nov 2023

Tip-off: 01:30

Final 106-105 (OT)

21-23 27-29 21-24 26-19 11-10

Position#13

Record6-20

FormLLWLW

Points / game84.1

Allowed / game91.3

Freseros 🏆

Dorados

Position#9

Record13-13

FormWLWWL

Points / game83.2

Allowed / game83.0

LNBP

Other2023-24

Meetings · Freseros v Dorados

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Freseros winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Dorados winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Freseros

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Libertadores

92-95

-3

H08/10

LNBP

Libertadores

76-115

115

-39

H10/10

LNBP

Abejas

78-84

-6

A13/10

LNBP

Abejas

76-102

102

-26

A14/10

LNBP

Halcones de Xalapa

88-84

H17/10

LNBP

Halcones de Xalapa

82-89

-7

H18/10

LNBP

Mineros

#11

74-94

-20

A21/10

LNBP

Mineros

#11

105-85

105

+20

A22/10

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

80-81

-1

H27/10

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

83-77

H28/10

LNBP

24-25

16-22

27-21

25-27

11-24

22-32

23-32

20-27

13-17

20-29

24-17

21-21

12-31

24-24

24-23

16-24

28-24

21-24

20-18

19-18

25-13

23-27

14-24

20-25

19-20

23-16

9-31

23-27

31-18

27-26

21-24

26-17

13-19

23-22

32-16

12-24

19-24

23-18

18-20

23-15

174.0Avg total

83.4Scored

90.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	84.1	91.3	175.5	-7.2	23%
Season at home (12)	83.8	93.9	177.7	-10.2	17%
Season away (14)	84.4	89.1	173.6	-4.7	29%
Last 10 (10)	83.4	90.6	174.0	-7.2	30%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	85.2	170.0	-0.4	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	81.0	91.3	172.3	-10.3	10%
vs Similar (4)	84.2	88.0	172.2	-3.8	50%
vs Weaker (2)	115.0	98.5	213.5	+16.5	100%

This opponent (Dorados) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Dorados

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Abejas

78-82

-4

H08/10

LNBP

Abejas

90-76

+14

H10/10

LNBP

Halcones de Xalapa

92-94

-2

A13/10

LNBP

Halcones de Xalapa

92-88

A14/10

LNBP

Mineros

#11

86-90

-4

H17/10

LNBP

Mineros

#11

88-76

+12

H18/10

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

70-87

-17

A21/10

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

93-89 OT

A21/10

LNBP

Santos

96-84

+12

H27/10

LNBP

Santos

77-97

-20

H28/10

LNBP

19-18

15-28

21-13

23-23

18-19

20-16

27-22

25-19

17-24

20-25

29-18

26-27

22-23

26-30

28-13

16-22

21-21

23-18

23-24

19-27

28-24

24-15

17-12

19-25

21-26

20-25

10-20

19-16

24-16

21-30

23-14

12-20

20-20

32-20

24-22

20-22

18-39

24-20

16-23

19-15

172.5Avg total

86.2Scored

86.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (26)	83.2	83.0	166.2	+0.2	50%
Season at home (14)	85.1	81.6	166.8	+3.5	57%
Season away (12)	80.9	84.5	165.4	-3.6	42%
Last 10 (10)	86.2	86.3	172.5	-0.1	50%
Last 5 (5)	84.8	86.6	171.4	-1.8	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	79.7	90.5	170.2	-10.8	17%
vs Similar (18)	83.6	85.4	169.0	-1.8	39%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	83.7	74.8	158.5	+8.8	83%

This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FreserosDorados

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	20.0	24.2	44.2	-4.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	19.7	23.5	43.2	-3.8	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.4	24.7	45.1	-4.4	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.5	21.5	41.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	18.8	40.2	+2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	19.4	23.8	43.2	-4.4	30%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.5	23.2	44.8	-1.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	23.0	29.5	52.5	-6.5	0%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.7	22.1	43.8	-0.4	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.4	21.6	44.0	+0.9	56%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.8	22.7	43.5	-1.9	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	23.0	43.8	-2.2	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	25.0	47.2	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.8	23.0	43.8	-2.2	50%	-
vs Similar (18)	21.3	22.9	44.2	-1.6	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	23.7	18.8	42.5	+4.8	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	21.7	23.5	45.2	-1.8	42%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	21.4	24.5	45.9	-3.1	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.9	22.6	44.5	-0.6	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.2	24.0	46.2	-1.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.8	21.8	45.6	+2.0	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	21.2	24.1	45.3	-2.8	30%	-
vs Similar (4)	21.8	20.2	42.0	+1.5	75%	-
vs Weaker (2)	26.0	24.0	50.0	+2.0	100%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	22.1	43.6	-0.7	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	22.1	20.9	43.0	+1.2	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.7	23.6	44.3	-2.9	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.5	22.7	45.2	-0.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	22.0	46.2	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	20.7	25.0	45.7	-4.3	17%	-
vs Similar (18)	21.3	21.4	42.7	-0.1	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	22.7	21.5	44.2	+1.2	67%	-

FreserosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Libertadores

40-47

-7

H08/10

LNBP

Libertadores

33-56

-23

H10/10

LNBP

Abejas

33-46

-13

A13/10

LNBP

Abejas

36-55

-19

A14/10

LNBP

Halcones de Xalapa

49-48

H17/10

LNBP

Halcones de Xalapa

48-40

H18/10

LNBP

Mineros

#11

42-36

A21/10

LNBP

Mineros

#11

58-44

+14

A22/10

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

36-41

-5

H27/10

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

42-42

H28/10

LNBP

87.2Avg total

41.7Scored

45.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	41.7	47.6	89.3	-5.9	23%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	41.1	48.0	89.1	-6.9	25%	-
Last 30 away (14)	42.3	47.3	89.6	-5.0	21%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	45.5	87.2	-3.8	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.2	40.6	85.8	+4.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	40.7	47.9	88.6	-7.1	20%	-
vs Similar (4)	43.2	43.5	86.8	-0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	49.0	53.5	102.5	-4.5	0%	-

This opponent (Dorados) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

DoradosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Abejas

34-46

-12

H08/10

LNBP

Abejas

38-35

H10/10

LNBP

Halcones de Xalapa

37-49

-12

A13/10

LNBP

Halcones de Xalapa

48-53

-5

A14/10

LNBP

Mineros

#11

44-39

H17/10

LNBP

Mineros

#11

52-39

+13

H18/10

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

41-51

-10

A21/10

LNBP

Fuerza Regia

45-46

-1

A21/10

LNBP

Santos

52-40

+12

H27/10

LNBP

Santos

42-59

-17

H28/10

LNBP

89.0Avg total

43.3Scored

45.7Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	43.1	44.2	87.4	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	44.6	42.4	87.0	+2.1	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.5	46.3	87.8	-4.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	45.7	89.0	-2.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	47.0	93.4	-0.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	41.5	48.0	89.5	-6.5	17%	-
vs Similar (18)	42.6	44.3	86.9	-1.7	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	46.3	40.3	86.7	+6.0	67%	-

This opponent (Freseros) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	21.9	20.3	42.3	+1.6	62%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	22.5	22.2	44.8	+0.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	21.4	18.7	40.1	+2.7	71%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	22.6	43.8	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	23.0	41.8	-4.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	22.2	20.0	42.2	+2.2	65%	-
vs Similar (4)	16.2	23.0	39.2	-6.8	25%	-
vs Weaker (2)	30.5	18.5	49.0	+12.0	100%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	19.8	39.3	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.1	19.8	39.8	+0.3	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	18.9	19.8	38.7	-0.9	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.8	18.1	39.9	+3.7	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.0	18.2	36.2	-0.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	17.5	20.5	38.0	-3.0	33%	-
vs Similar (18)	20.6	20.2	40.8	+0.4	56%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	18.3	17.7	36.0	+0.7	33%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	19.9	23.0	42.8	-3.1	31%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	20.2	23.7	43.8	-3.5	33%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	22.4	42.0	-2.7	29%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	22.5	43.0	-2.0	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	21.6	42.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	18.1	23.4	41.5	-5.3	25%	-
vs Similar (4)	24.8	21.5	46.2	+3.2	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	28.0	21.0	49.0	+7.0	50%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	19.8	39.2	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	19.2	20.0	39.2	-0.8	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	19.6	19.6	39.2	+0.1	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.8	21.6	41.4	-1.8	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.6	37.4	-1.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	18.5	20.5	39.0	-2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (18)	19.8	20.6	40.4	-0.7	39%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	19.0	16.8	35.8	+2.2	33%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	41.8	43.3	85.1	-1.5	46%	-
Last 30 at home (12)	42.7	45.9	88.6	-3.2	50%	-
Last 30 away (14)	41.1	41.1	82.1	+0.0	43%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.7	45.1	86.8	-3.4	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	39.6	44.6	84.2	-5.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)	40.3	43.5	83.8	-3.2	40%	-
vs Similar (4)	41.0	44.5	85.5	-3.5	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	58.5	39.5	98.0	+19.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.9	39.6	78.5	-0.6	47%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	39.2	39.8	79.0	-0.5	44%	-
Last 30 away (14)	38.6	39.4	77.9	-0.8	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	41.6	39.7	81.3	+1.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.8	37.8	73.6	-2.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)	36.0	41.0	77.0	-5.0	33%	-
vs Similar (18)	40.4	40.8	81.2	-0.3	44%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	37.3	34.5	71.8	+2.8	67%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Freseros wins

Dorados wins

Date	Game	Score
20/08/23	Dorados v Freseros	80-66
20/08/23	Dorados v Freseros	77-75

Freseroslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/10/23	H	Fuerza Regia	83-77
27/10/23	H	Fuerza Regia	80-81
22/10/23	A	Mineros	105-85
21/10/23	A	Mineros	74-94
18/10/23	H	Halcones de Xalapa	82-89
17/10/23	H	Halcones de Xalapa	88-84
14/10/23	A	Abejas	76-102
13/10/23	A	Abejas	78-84
10/10/23	H	Libertadores	76-115
08/10/23	H	Libertadores	92-95

Doradoslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
28/10/23	H	Santos	77-97
27/10/23	H	Santos	96-84
21/10/23	A	Fuerza Regia	93-89 OT
21/10/23	A	Fuerza Regia	70-87
18/10/23	H	Mineros	88-76
17/10/23	H	Mineros	86-90
14/10/23	A	Halcones de Xalapa	92-88
13/10/23	A	Halcones de Xalapa	92-94
10/10/23	H	Abejas	90-76
08/10/23	H	Abejas	78-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Freseros

LNBP 2023-24

Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWLW	23%
Home	LWLLW	17%
Away	WLLLW	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	12	14
Win %	23%	17%	29%
Points / game	84.1	83.8	84.4
Allowed / game	91.3	93.9	89.1
Point differential	-7.2	-10.2	-4.7
Avg total	175.5	177.7	173.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	0%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	38% (8)	25% (4)	50% (4)
Overtime %	4%	0%	7%

Dorados

LNBP 2023-24

Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WLWWL	50%
Home	WLWWL	57%
Away	LLWLW	42%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	26	14	12
Win %	50%	57%	42%
Points / game	83.2	85.1	80.9
Allowed / game	83.0	81.6	84.5
Point differential	+0.2	+3.5	-3.6
Avg total	166.2	166.8	165.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	27%	43%	8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (10)	33% (3)	57% (7)
Overtime %	8%	0%	17%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Libertadores	26	19	7	73%	90.0	79.5	+10.5
2	Fuerza Regia	26	18	8	69%	84.3	77.6	+6.7
3	Abejas	26	18	8	69%	88.2	82.9	+5.3
4	Astros	26	17	9	65%	89.7	84.0	+5.7
5	Plateros	26	16	10	62%	87.8	87.1	+0.7
6	Panteras	26	15	11	58%	88.2	85.0	+3.2
7	Halcones de Xalapa	26	15	11	58%	84.4	85.2	-0.8
8	Santos	26	14	12	54%	84.5	82.5	+2.0
9	Dorados	26	13	13	50%	83.2	83.0	+0.2
10	Mineros	26	11	15	42%	87.2	88.3	-1.1
11	Halcones Rojos	26	11	15	42%	83.5	86.2	-2.7
12	Soles	26	7	19	27%	76.7	82.9	-6.2
13	Freseros	26	6	20	23%	84.1	91.3	-7.2
14	Correcaminos	26	2	24	8%	84.3	100.4	-16.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Final
Freseros	21	27	21	26	11	106
Dorados	23	29	24	19	10	105

← all games of the day

Freseros vs Dorados Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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