Fribourg Olympic will host Lausanne Basket on 7 November 2026 in the SB League, and the Pythia model names the Swiss side the clear favourite, assigning it a 93% chance of winning largely because of their 6-1 record, 85.9 points scored per game and 65.6 points allowed per game, placing them second in the league, and a flawless 3-0 home record with 95.0 points per game. Lausanne, meanwhile, sits fourth with a 5-2 record, 84.9 points per game and 76.6 points allowed per game, and a 2-1 road record of 86.7 points scored and 77.3 allowed. In their last five meetings both teams have gone 3-2, but Fribourg has never lost a head-to-head encounter, winning all ten meetings with a 111-71 victory in the most recent clash on 9 May 2026. The model projects a 90-73 scoreline, 163.2 total points, and a 46% chance that Fribourg will cover the home line of -18.0, while the over on the 160.0 total has a 58% probability; the game has a 2% chance of going into overtime. Lausanne's last outing was a 91-73 win over Lugano Tigers, showing they can still surprise.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 85.9 | 65.6 | 151.4 | +20.3 | 86% |
| Season at home (3) | 95.0 | 68.7 | 163.7 | +26.3 | 100% |
| Season away (4) | 79.0 | 63.2 | 142.2 | +15.8 | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 80.6 | 75.6 | 156.2 | +5.0 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 81.0 | 77.8 | 158.8 | +3.2 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 70.3 | 84.8 | 155.2 | -14.5 | 17% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (23) | 94.5 | 66.6 | 161.1 | +27.9 | 96% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (7) | 84.9 | 76.6 | 161.4 | +8.3 | 71% |
| Season at home (4) | 83.5 | 76.0 | 159.5 | +7.5 | 75% |
| Season away (3) | 86.7 | 77.3 | 164.0 | +9.3 | 67% |
| Last 10 (10) | 82.3 | 80.2 | 162.5 | +2.1 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 83.2 | 80.4 | 163.6 | +2.8 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 70.9 | 94.8 | 165.7 | -23.9 | 11% |
| vs Similar (13) | 81.9 | 82.0 | 163.9 | -0.1 | 54% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 92.5 | 78.2 | 170.8 | +14.2 | 88% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.0 | 36.2 | 80.2 | +7.8 | 73% | 43% |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 45.0 | 37.9 | 82.9 | +7.1 | 69% | 50% |
| Last 30 away (14) | 42.9 | 34.4 | 77.2 | +8.5 | 79% | 36% |
| Last 10 (10) | 39.6 | 37.0 | 76.6 | +2.6 | 60% | 30% |
| Last 5 (5) | 36.2 | 37.8 | 74.0 | -1.6 | 60% | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (6) | 34.3 | 42.7 | 77.0 | -8.3 | 33% | 33% |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (23) | 46.9 | 34.2 | 81.1 | +12.7 | 87% | 48% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 79.25 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 41.6 | 43.4 | 85.0 | -1.8 | 37% | 70% |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 41.5 | 41.7 | 83.2 | -0.2 | 50% | 64% |
| Last 30 away (16) | 41.7 | 44.9 | 86.6 | -3.2 | 25% | 75% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.6 | 40.1 | 83.7 | +3.5 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 44.2 | 41.0 | 85.2 | +3.2 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (9) | 34.6 | 48.4 | 83.0 | -13.9 | 0% | 44% |
| vs Similar (13) | 41.8 | 43.3 | 85.2 | -1.5 | 38% | 85% |
| vs Weaker (8) | 49.1 | 38.0 | 87.1 | +11.1 | 75% | 75% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fribourg Olympic over 76.5 | 91.4% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +9.9pp | Won |
| Lausanne Basket over 66.5 | 74.4% | 1.36 | 1.40 | 1.33 | - | - | - | +8.7pp | Won |
| Lausanne Basket over 67.5 | 71.1% | 1.46 | 1.50 | 1.47 | 1.40 | - | - | +8.6pp | Won |
| Over 153.5 | 72.4% | 1.44 | 1.44 | - | - | - | - | +8.5pp | Won |
| Lausanne Basket over 65.5 | 77.5% | 1.31 | 1.35 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| Over 154.5 | 70.2% | 1.50 | 1.50 | 1.50 | - | - | - | +8.4pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic over 78.5 | 87.8% | 1.16 | 1.16 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic over 77.5 | 89.7% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | +8.3pp | Won |
| Over 152.5 | 74.4% | 1.39 | 1.39 | - | - | - | - | +8.2pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic over 74.5 | 94.1% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +8.0pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic over 79.5 | 85.6% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | +7.9pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic over 70.5 | 97.5% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic over 81.5 | 80.6% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic over 72.5 | 96.1% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +7.8pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic over 82.5 | 77.7% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Won |
| Over 149.5 | 80.0% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +7.7pp | Won |
| Lausanne Basket +23.5 | 72.3% | 1.42 | 1.45 | 1.40 | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Lausanne Basket +24.5 | 75.2% | 1.36 | 1.36 | - | - | - | - | +7.5pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic over 83.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | 1.38 | 1.31 | - | - | - | +7.4pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic over 68.5 | 98.4% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +7.3pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic over 71.5 | 96.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | +7.2pp | Won |
| Over 144.5 | 87.6% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | +7.0pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic over 73.5 | 95.1% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic over 69.5 | 98.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +6.8pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic over 84.5 | 71.3% | 1.39 | 1.42 | 1.36 | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic over 75.5 | 92.8% | 1.09 | 1.09 | - | - | - | - | +6.7pp | Won |
| Over 134.5 | 96.2% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +5.8pp | Won |
| Over 139.5 | 92.8% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | +5.7pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic (regulation) | 91.6% | 1.04 | 1.07 | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | +5.3pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic win | 92.7% | 1.04 | 1.06 | 1.05 | 1.04 | 1.04 | 1.03 | +3.4pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic -10.5 | 71.4% | 1.33 | 1.33 | - | - | - | - | +2.5pp | Won |
| Lausanne Basket under 89.5 | 94.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +2.1pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic +1.5 | 93.5% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.0pp | Won |
| Lausanne Basket under 90.5 | 95.3% | 1.01 | 1.01 | - | - | - | - | +1.6pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic under 97.5 | 77.5% | 1.22 | 1.22 | - | - | - | - | +1.4pp | Won |
| Lausanne Basket under 87.5 | 92.0% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +0.8pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic under 95.5 | 71.0% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +0.6pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic -3.5 | 88.5% | 1.06 | 1.06 | - | - | - | - | +0.5pp | Won |
| Under 184.5 | 90.5% | 1.03 | 1.03 | - | - | - | - | +0.3pp | Won |
| Lausanne Basket under 85.5 | 88.8% | 1.04 | 1.04 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Fribourg Olympic -8.5 | 77.2% | 1.20 | 1.20 | - | - | - | - | -0.6pp | Won |
| Lausanne Basket under 83.5 | 84.8% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -2.3pp | Won |
| Under 179.5 | 84.3% | 1.07 | 1.07 | - | - | - | - | -2.8pp | Won |
| Lausanne Basket under 81.5 | 79.8% | 1.11 | 1.11 | - | - | - | - | -4.0pp | Won |
| Lausanne Basket under 80.5 | 77.0% | 1.14 | 1.14 | - | - | - | - | -4.4pp | Won |
| Under 174.5 | 75.9% | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | - | - | -4.6pp | Won |
| Lausanne Basket under 79.5 | 73.9% | 1.18 | 1.18 | - | - | - | - | -4.9pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 36.8 | 18.6 | 52.5% | 37.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 31.9 | 10.7 | 31.4% | 32.1 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 15.7 | 11.7 | 70.0% | 11.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 46.5 | 25.5 | 52.5% | 51.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 17.9 | 5.8 | 31.4% | 17.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.8 | 13.8 | 70.0% | 13.8 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 | Lausanne Basket v Fribourg Olympic | 71-111 |
| 05/05/26 | Fribourg Olympic v Lausanne Basket | 91-69 |
| 02/05/26 | Fribourg Olympic v Lausanne Basket | 99-56 |
| 06/03/26 | Fribourg Olympic v Lausanne Basket | 107-74 |
| 03/01/26 | Lausanne Basket v Fribourg Olympic | 41-88 |
| 24/10/25 | Fribourg Olympic v Lausanne Basket | 107-81 |
| 15/02/25 | Lausanne Basket v Fribourg Olympic | 83-96 |
| 21/12/24 | Fribourg Olympic v Lausanne Basket | 110-93 |
| 01/10/24 | Lausanne Basket v Fribourg Olympic | 54-97 |
| 10/03/24 | Lausanne Basket v Fribourg Olympic | 58-101 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/11/26 | H | VEF Riga | 65-97 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Sdent BBC Nyon | 85-66 |
| 28/10/26 | A | Lok. Plovdiv | 83-95 |
| 24/10/26 | H | Regio Basel | 94-58 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Neftchi IK | 78-73 |
| 17/10/26 | A | Zurich | 89-43 |
| 13/10/26 | H | Mykonos | 65-80 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Lugano Tigers | 116-80 |
| 07/10/26 | A | CSM Oradea | 67-93 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Geneva Lions | 64-71 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Lugano Tigers | 91-73 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Sdent BBC Nyon | 85-75 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Syntainics MBC | 67-88 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Regio Basel | 85-69 |
| 14/10/26 | A | CIU | 88-97 |
| 10/10/26 | H | Geneva Lions | 65-94 |
| 06/10/26 | A | BK Liepaja | 74-81 |
| 03/10/26 | H | BBC Monthey | 94-80 |
| 30/09/26 | A | SAM Massagno | 84-90 |
| 26/09/26 | H | Zurich | 90-55 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWWWW | 86% |
| Home | WWW | 100% |
| Away | WLWW | 75% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 3 | 4 |
| Win % | 86% | 100% | 75% |
| Points / game | 85.9 | 95.0 | 79.0 |
| Allowed / game | 65.6 | 68.7 | 63.2 |
| Point differential | +20.3 | +26.3 | +15.8 |
| Avg total | 151.4 | 163.7 | 142.2 |
| Over 160.25 | 14% | 33% | 0% |
| Win by 10+ | 57% | 67% | 50% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (1) | - | 100% (1) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WLWWW | 71% |
| Home | WWLW | 75% |
| Away | LWW | 67% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 7 | 4 | 3 |
| Win % | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Points / game | 84.9 | 83.5 | 86.7 |
| Allowed / game | 76.6 | 76.0 | 77.3 |
| Point differential | +8.3 | +7.5 | +9.3 |
| Avg total | 161.4 | 159.5 | 164.0 |
| Over 160.25 | 43% | 25% | 67% |
| Win by 10+ | 71% | 75% | 67% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 100% | 95.4 | 61.2 | +34.1 | |
| 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 86% | 85.9 | 65.6 | +20.3 | |
| 3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 89.8 | 81.5 | +8.2 | |
| 4 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 71% | 84.9 | 76.6 | +8.3 | |
| 5 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 84.0 | 76.5 | +7.5 | |
| 6 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 38% | 68.1 | 76.9 | -8.8 | |
| 7 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 79.9 | 88.4 | -8.5 | |
| 8 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25% | 70.5 | 87.8 | -17.2 | |
| 9 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 14% | 74.9 | 88.4 | -13.6 | |
| 10 | Zurich | 7 | 0 | 7 | 0% | 58.9 | 91.4 | -32.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | 28 | 13 | 25 | 92 | |
| 16 | 18 | 21 | 20 | 75 |
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