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Fribourg Olympic vs Neftchi IK Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 21 Oct 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 78-73
15-18 20-13 25-22 18-20
Position#46
Record0-2
FormLLWLW
Points / game66.0
Allowed / game86.5
vs
Position#39
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game82.0
EuropeFIBA Europe CupRound 3· Salle Saint-Lèonard
European cup2026
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fribourg Olympic winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Neftchi IK winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fribourg OlympicLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOlympic
Date
Competition
Geneva Lions
#2
W
87-84
87
84
+3
79avg 90
A23/05
SB League
Geneva Lions
#2
W
86-66
86
66
+20
84avg 90
A26/05
SB League
Batumi
#30
L
85-86
85
86
-1
71avg 90
H16/09
Champions League
Neuchatel
#6
W
75-68
75
68
+7
72avg 90
H27/09
SB League
BBC Monthey
#7
W
78-73
78
73
+5
63avg 90
A30/09
SB League
Geneva Lions
#1
L
64-71
64
71
-7
53avg 90
A03/10
SB League
CSM Oradea
#15
L
67-93
67
93
-26
56avg 90
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lugano Tigers
#8
W
116-80
116
80
+36
117avg 90
H10/10
SB League
Mykonos
#7
L
65-80
65
80
-15
55avg 90
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zurich
#10
W
89-43
89
43
+46
80avg 90
A17/10
SB League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-20
17-27
18-19
29-18
25-20
23-19
26-14
12-13
16-22
19-22
23-24
27-18
24-12
18-19
18-18
15-19
16-16
26-13
22-18
14-26
25-10
15-24
13-14
11-23
14-27
21-26
16-26
16-14
33-26
27-7
32-17
24-30
19-18
18-22
15-16
13-24
16-9
27-12
26-9
20-13
155.6Avg total
81.2Scored
74.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)66.086.5152.5-20.50%
Season at home (1)65.080.0145.0-15.00%
Season away (1)67.093.0160.0-26.00%
Last 10 (10)81.274.4155.6+6.860%
Last 5 (5)80.273.4153.6+6.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)65.381.3146.7-16.00%
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (26)96.367.1163.4+29.296%
This opponent (Neftchi IK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neftchi IKLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormIK
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
63-92
63
92
-29
no box
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
W
95-84 OT
95
84
+11
no box
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
W
104-86
104
86
+18
103avg 75
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
W
92-87
92
87
+5
86avg 75
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
82-88
82
88
-6
79avg 75
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
L
86-95
86
95
-9
73avg 75
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#38
W
80-67
80
67
+13
76avg 75
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#38
L
61-73
61
73
-12
54avg 75
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Mykonos
#7
L
58-78
58
78
-20
45avg 75
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#12
L
94-110
94
110
-16
85avg 75
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-27
20-20
13-21
16-24
16-20
19-22
32-19
14-20
20-24
27-19
33-17
24-26
26-26
21-23
30-22
15-16
22-23
17-19
17-20
26-26
28-20
15-27
25-22
18-26
20-13
22-16
18-19
20-19
19-19
17-21
13-17
12-16
19-25
21-9
4-23
14-21
26-24
30-26
16-30
22-30
167.5Avg total
81.5Scored
86.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.282.0155.2-8.825%
Season at home (2)87.088.5175.5-1.550%
Season away (2)59.575.5135.0-16.00%
Last 10 (10)81.586.0167.5-4.540%
Last 5 (5)75.884.6160.4-8.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)76.094.0170.0-18.00%
vs Similar (6)81.083.3164.3-2.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)88.586.0174.5+2.550%
This opponent (Fribourg Olympic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -4.3-4.3
-5-3+0+3+5Q1Q1: +3.1+3.1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +3.4+3.4Q3: -0.9-0.9Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: -4.3-4.3
Fribourg OlympicNeftchi IK
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fribourg OlympicLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Geneva Lions
#2
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A23/05
SB League
Geneva Lions
#2
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A26/05
SB League
Batumi
#30
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H16/09
Champions League
Neuchatel
#6
W
42-31
42
31
+11
H27/09
SB League
BBC Monthey
#7
W
42-29
42
29
+13
A30/09
SB League
Geneva Lions
#1
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A03/10
SB League
CSM Oradea
#15
L
35-53
35
53
-18
A07/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lugano Tigers
#8
W
60-33
60
33
+27
H10/10
SB League
Mykonos
#7
L
37-40
37
40
-3
H13/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Zurich
#10
W
43-21
43
21
+22
A17/10
SB League
79.3Avg total
42.2Scored
37.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.535.481.9+11.280%-
Last 30 at home (16)48.037.285.2+10.875%-
Last 30 away (14)44.933.278.1+11.686%-
Last 10 (10)42.237.179.3+5.160%-
Last 5 (5)43.036.279.2+6.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (3)37.342.379.7-5.033%-
vs Similarno games
vs Weaker (26)48.034.282.3+13.888%-
This opponent (Neftchi IK) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Neftchi IKLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
34-47
34
47
-13
A15/10
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H21/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
W
47-43
47
43
+4
A29/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Trefl Sopot
#26
L
47-49
47
49
-2
H05/11
FIBA Europe Cup
BC Kalev/Cramo
#21
L
39-42
39
42
-3
A12/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Absheron Lions
#27
L
43-47
43
47
-4
H19/11
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#38
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H23/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Parnu
#38
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A30/09
FIBA Europe Cup
Mykonos
#7
W
40-34
40
34
+6
A06/10
FIBA Europe Cup
VEF Riga
#12
W
56-50
56
50
+6
H14/10
FIBA Europe Cup
84.2Avg total
41.9Scored
42.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (10)41.942.384.2-0.440%-
Last 30 at home (5)44.643.488.0+1.240%-
Last 30 away (5)39.241.280.4-2.040%-
Last 10 (10)41.942.384.2-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)43.440.083.4+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)48.042.090.0+6.0100%-
vs Similar (6)41.542.584.0-1.033%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)37.042.079.0-5.00%-
This opponent (Fribourg Olympic) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Fribourg Olympictheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fribourg Olympic: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.8 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.418.7
48.7%
53.4%37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.69.6
33.6%
32.5%28.8
🏀 Free throws20.414.1
69.1%
72.8%14.1
They take 67.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Neftchi IKtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Neftchi IK: 80.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 81.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.818.3
52.6%
53.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.410.4
35.4%
32.5%31.2
🏀 Free throws18.213.1
72.0%
72.8%13.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Fribourg Olympic
WLWLLWWLWW
Neftchi IK
LLLWLLWWWL
#46
League position
#39
+6.6
Net rating
-5.5
90.8
Offensive rating
99.3
84.3
Defensive rating
104.9
49.4%
Effective FG%
52.8%
48.0%
Opp. effective FG%
53.6%
15.5%
Turnover %
16.4%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.28
33.6%
3-point %
35.4%
58.0%
Assist %
60.6%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence90.8 · 99.3Defence84.3 · 104.9Shooting49.4% · 52.8%3-point %33.6% · 35.4%Ball care15.5% · 16.4%Free throws0.30 · 0.28Form (last 10/10)60% · 40%
■ Fribourg Olympic   ■ Neftchi IK
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fribourg Olympic wins
0
Neftchi IK wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/10/26AZurich89-43
13/10/26HMykonos65-80
10/10/26HLugano Tigers116-80
07/10/26ACSM Oradea67-93
03/10/26AGeneva Lions64-71
30/09/26ABBC Monthey78-73
27/09/26HNeuchatel75-68
16/09/26HBatumi85-86
26/05/26AGeneva Lions86-66
23/05/26AGeneva Lions87-84
Neftchi IKlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/26HVEF Riga94-110
06/10/26AMykonos58-78
30/09/26AParnu61-73
23/09/26HParnu80-67
19/11/25HAbsheron Lions86-95
12/11/25ABC Kalev/Cramo82-88
05/11/25HTrefl Sopot92-87
29/10/25AAbsheron Lions104-86
21/10/25HBC Kalev/Cramo95-84 OT
15/10/25ATrefl Sopot63-92

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fribourg Olympic
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game66.065.067.0
Allowed / game86.580.093.0
Point differential-20.5-15.0-26.0
Avg total152.5145.0160.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Neftchi IK
FIBA Europe Cup 2026
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLL25%
HomeWL50%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%50%0%
Points / game73.287.059.5
Allowed / game82.088.575.5
Point differential-8.8-1.5-16.0
Avg total155.2175.5135.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Esenler Erokspor330100%101.373.7+27.7
2 Basquet Girona330100%95.773.0+22.7
3 Nancy330100%83.062.0+21.0
4 Trier220100%89.571.0+18.5
5 Dziki Warszawa330100%94.380.3+14.0
6 Mykonos330100%81.369.0+12.3
7 Sporting CP330100%82.373.7+8.7
8 Benfica220100%93.586.0+7.5
9 BC Prievidza43175%94.578.8+15.8
10 Korfez Basket32167%88.073.3+14.7
11 VEF Riga32167%100.089.7+10.3
12 Chalon/Saone32167%84.374.3+10.0
13 Kolossos Rhodes32167%75.366.0+9.3
14 Promitheas32167%88.380.0+8.3
15 CSM Oradea32167%84.776.7+8.0
16 Iraklis32167%79.772.7+7.0
17 Szczecin32167%86.380.7+5.7
18 Keravnos32167%80.375.3+5.0
19 Trepca32167%81.380.0+1.3
20 BC Kalev/Cramo32167%82.081.3+0.7
21 AEK Larnaca32167%84.084.0+0.0
22 Bakken Bears32167%83.384.0-0.7
23 Oostende32167%78.780.0-1.3
24 Dinamo Bucharest53260%89.877.6+12.2
25 Geneva Lions21150%89.080.5+8.5
26 Denizli Basket21150%87.082.5+4.5
27 Vienna Basket21150%80.579.5+1.0
28 Bashkimi21150%81.582.5-1.0
29 Split21150%71.573.0-1.5
30 Levice21150%71.573.5-2.0
31 Opava31233%83.375.0+8.3
32 Wurzburg31233%75.078.7-3.7
33 Lok. Plovdiv31233%82.087.0-5.0
34 Valmiera Glass Via31233%78.787.3-8.7
35 Tartu Ulikool31233%88.098.0-10.0
36 Zielona Gora31233%76.387.7-11.3
37 Neftchi IK41325%73.282.0-8.8
38 Parnu41325%67.878.2-10.5
39 MZT Skopje3030%74.782.0-7.3
40 Szolnoki Olaj2020%78.091.5-13.5
41 Absheron Lions3030%85.0101.3-16.3
42 Rilski Sportist2020%68.586.5-18.0
43 SCM Craiova3030%79.397.3-18.0
44 Nitra Blue Wings3030%73.091.7-18.7
45 Fribourg Olympic2020%66.086.5-20.5
46 Gence2020%62.586.0-23.5
47 Manchester Basketball2020%71.595.5-24.0
48 Samobor2020%74.0100.5-26.5
49 Batumi3030%65.795.0-29.3
50 Peja2020%70.5100.5-30.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -). 50 teams: scroll the table.

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Fribourg Olympic1520251878
Neftchi IK1813222073
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