Fryshuset Basket will host Eskilstuna on 7 November 2026 in the Superettan, and the Pythia model names Fryshuset the favourite with an 78% chance of victory, driven by their 7-2 record, 90.2 points per game and 80.0 allowed, and a league position of 2, compared with Eskilstuna's 5-3 record, 87.8 points per game and 86.1 allowed from 8 games and a sixth place finish. Fryshuset's home form is flawless at 2-0, 87.0 points per game and 70.0 allowed, while Eskilstuna's road record is 4-1, 90.8 points per game and 88.6 allowed. In the last five games Fryshuset has won four and lost one, including a 109-78 win over Cross Over, whereas Eskilstuna has won two of five, with a recent 107-92 win over Wetterbygden Stars. Their head-to-head history shows Fryshuset 4 wins to 1, the most recent being a 97-91 victory on 21 October. Pythia projects a 93-84 score for the match, with a total of 176.5 points, and gives the home team an 8.0 line with a 53% chance of covering; the over on the total is 4%. The game is expected to finish in regulation, with a 4% overtime probability.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (9) | 90.2 | 80.0 | 170.2 | +10.2 | 78% |
| Season at home (2) | 87.0 | 70.0 | 157.0 | +17.0 | 100% |
| Season away (7) | 91.1 | 82.9 | 174.0 | +8.3 | 71% |
| Last 10 (10) | 90.3 | 78.4 | 168.7 | +11.9 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 92.6 | 80.0 | 172.6 | +12.6 | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 93.0 | 77.0 | 170.0 | +16.0 | 100% |
| vs Similar (10) | 90.3 | 87.7 | 178.0 | +2.6 | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (19) | 90.4 | 84.6 | 175.0 | +5.7 | 74% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (8) | 87.8 | 86.1 | 173.9 | +1.6 | 62% |
| Season at home (3) | 82.7 | 82.0 | 164.7 | +0.7 | 33% |
| Season away (5) | 90.8 | 88.6 | 179.4 | +2.2 | 80% |
| Last 10 (10) | 83.9 | 84.5 | 168.4 | -0.6 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 82.2 | 88.6 | 170.8 | -6.4 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 80.5 | 89.7 | 170.2 | -9.2 | 30% |
| vs Similar (14) | 88.8 | 86.0 | 174.8 | +2.8 | 57% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 92.3 | 80.8 | 173.2 | +11.5 | 83% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 45.5 | 41.8 | 87.3 | +3.7 | 70% | 53% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 45.2 | 37.7 | 82.9 | +7.5 | 85% | 38% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 45.8 | 44.9 | 90.7 | +0.8 | 59% | 65% |
| Last 10 (10) | 47.8 | 40.7 | 88.5 | +7.1 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 48.6 | 42.0 | 90.6 | +6.6 | 80% | 80% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 47.0 | 35.0 | 82.0 | +12.0 | 100% | 0% |
| vs Similar (10) | 44.2 | 42.0 | 86.2 | +2.2 | 70% | 60% |
| vs Weaker ◀ (19) | 46.2 | 42.1 | 88.2 | +4.1 | 68% | 53% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 87.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 44.4 | 42.9 | 87.2 | +1.5 | 57% | 47% |
| Last 30 at home (13) | 44.8 | 40.2 | 85.1 | +4.6 | 62% | 38% |
| Last 30 away (17) | 44.0 | 44.9 | 88.9 | -0.9 | 53% | 53% |
| Last 10 (10) | 45.7 | 43.3 | 89.0 | +2.4 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 42.8 | 42.0 | 84.8 | +0.8 | 60% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (10) | 40.4 | 45.0 | 85.4 | -4.6 | 40% | 50% |
| vs Similar (14) | 45.6 | 42.4 | 88.0 | +3.3 | 57% | 50% |
| vs Weaker (6) | 48.0 | 40.5 | 88.5 | +7.5 | 83% | 33% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fryshuset Basket (regulation) | 76.1% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +8.8pp | Won |
| Fryshuset Basket over 86.5 | 73.1% | 1.30 | 1.30 | - | - | - | - | +5.2pp | Lost |
| Eskilstuna under 90.5 | 74.5% | 1.27 | 1.27 | - | - | - | - | +4.5pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 96.1% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +4.4pp | Won |
| Eskilstuna under 89.5 | 71.4% | 1.32 | 1.32 | - | - | - | - | +4.3pp | Won |
| Fryshuset Basket -2.5 | 72.6% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +3.7pp | Won |
| Fryshuset Basket win | 78.3% | 1.25 | 1.31 | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.24 | +2.1pp | Won |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 49.4 | 26.0 | 50.0% | 52.0 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 24.3 | 7.8 | 29.5% | 23.4 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.4 | 14.7 | 65.7% | 14.7 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 39.4 | 18.6 | 50.0% | 37.2 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 34.4 | 11.3 | 29.5% | 33.9 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 20.0 | 13.1 | 65.7% | 13.1 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21/10/26 | Eskilstuna v Fryshuset Basket | 91-97 |
| 23/04/26 | Fryshuset Basket v Eskilstuna | 91-64 |
| 21/04/26 | Eskilstuna v Fryshuset Basket | 109-79 |
| 08/10/25 | Eskilstuna v Fryshuset Basket | 75-90 |
| 25/09/25 | Fryshuset Basket v Eskilstuna | 96-89 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | A | Wetterbygden Stars | 87-68 |
| 31/10/26 | A | Cross Over | 109-78 |
| 24/10/26 | A | Djurgarden | 86-90 |
| 21/10/26 | A | Eskilstuna | 97-91 |
| 18/10/26 | H | Malbas | 84-73 |
| 14/10/26 | A | Sollentuna | 87-85 |
| 10/10/26 | A | Alvik | 93-77 |
| 03/10/26 | H | AIK Basket | 90-67 |
| 19/09/26 | A | Huddinge | 79-91 |
| 23/04/26 | H | Eskilstuna | 91-64 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11/26 | H | AIK Basket | 56-73 |
| 25/10/26 | A | Wetterbygden Stars | 107-92 |
| 21/10/26 | H | Fryshuset Basket | 91-97 |
| 18/10/26 | A | Sollentuna | 94-91 |
| 04/10/26 | A | Alvik | 63-90 |
| 26/09/26 | H | Djurgarden | 101-76 |
| 20/09/26 | A | IK Eos | 91-86 |
| 19/09/26 | A | Malbas | 99-84 |
| 24/05/26 | A | Huddinge | 64-73 |
| 22/05/26 | A | Huddinge | 73-83 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | WWLWW | 78% |
| Home | WW | 100% |
| Away | WWLWW | 71% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 9 | 2 | 7 |
| Win % | 78% | 100% | 71% |
| Points / game | 90.2 | 87.0 | 91.1 |
| Allowed / game | 80.0 | 70.0 | 82.9 |
| Point differential | +10.2 | +17.0 | +8.3 |
| Avg total | 170.2 | 157.0 | 174.0 |
| Over 176.25 | 22% | 0% | 29% |
| Win by 10+ | 56% | 100% | 43% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 50% (2) | - | 50% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LWLWL | 62% |
| Home | WLL | 33% |
| Away | WWLWW | 80% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 8 | 3 | 5 |
| Win % | 62% | 33% | 80% |
| Points / game | 87.8 | 82.7 | 90.8 |
| Allowed / game | 86.1 | 82.0 | 88.6 |
| Point differential | +1.6 | +0.7 | +2.2 |
| Avg total | 173.9 | 164.7 | 179.4 |
| Over 176.25 | 75% | 67% | 80% |
| Win by 10+ | 38% | 33% | 40% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | 100% (2) | - | 100% (2) |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AIK Basket | 6 | 5 | 1 | 83% | 83.3 | 71.0 | +12.3 |
| 2 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 78% | 90.2 | 80.0 | +10.2 | |
| 3 | Alvik | 8 | 6 | 2 | 75% | 92.0 | 74.8 | +17.2 |
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 67% | 89.3 | 80.8 | +8.5 | |
| 5 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 67% | 84.6 | 80.8 | +3.8 | |
| 6 | Eskilstuna | 8 | 5 | 3 | 62% | 87.8 | 86.1 | +1.6 |
| 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 60% | 93.4 | 73.6 | +19.8 | |
| 8 | Trelleborg | 7 | 4 | 3 | 57% | 80.1 | 79.3 | +0.9 |
| 9 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 86.6 | 79.1 | +7.4 | |
| 10 | Huddinge | 9 | 5 | 4 | 56% | 77.2 | 80.9 | -3.7 |
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 6 | 33% | 71.6 | 81.8 | -10.2 | |
| 12 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 29% | 77.3 | 89.3 | -12.0 | |
| 13 | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0% | 69.2 | 86.2 | -17.0 | |
| 14 | Cross Over | 9 | 0 | 9 | 0% | 70.2 | 93.8 | -23.6 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 12 | 26 | 18 | 84 | |
| Eskilstuna | 24 | 15 | 14 | 19 | 72 |
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