The Fubon Braves host the Taoyuan Pauian Pilots on 15 November 2026 in the P. League+, and the model names the Braves the favourite with a 70% chance of winning. The Braves are 1-0 this season, averaging 109.0 points and allowing 78.0, and they won their only home game 109-78 against Tainan TSG GhostHawks on 14 November; their last five games include two wins and three losses. The Pilots are 0-2, scoring 86.5 and conceding 110.0, with a road record of 0-1 and a recent loss to Tainan TSG GhostHawks 94-115 on 31 October. In their ten meetings the Pilots lead 6-4, most recently defeating the Braves 107-81 on 18 June. Pythia projects a 95-89 score, 184.5 total points, and a 52% chance the Braves will cover the -6.0 line; the over on the 181.5 line has a 55% probability, and a 6% chance of overtime. The Braves' single win and strong points differential suggest a solid advantage, while the Pilots' recent struggles hint at a challenging outing.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (1) | 109.0 | 78.0 | 187.0 | +31.0 | 100% |
| Season at home (1) | 109.0 | 78.0 | 187.0 | +31.0 | 100% |
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 88.2 | 86.5 | 174.7 | +1.7 | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 88.4 | 86.8 | 175.2 | +1.6 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 87.3 | 92.1 | 179.4 | -4.9 | 29% |
| vs Similar | no games | ||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (16) | 104.9 | 92.4 | 197.4 | +12.5 | 75% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season (2) | 86.5 | 110.0 | 196.5 | -23.5 | 0% |
| Season at home (1) | 79.0 | 105.0 | 184.0 | -26.0 | 0% |
| Season away (1) | 94.0 | 115.0 | 209.0 | -21.0 | 0% |
| Last 10 (10) | 88.0 | 91.3 | 179.3 | -3.3 | 40% |
| Last 5 (5) | 89.8 | 94.6 | 184.4 | -4.8 | 40% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (2) | 86.5 | 110.0 | 196.5 | -23.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (1) | 81.0 | 90.0 | 171.0 | -9.0 | 0% |
| vs Weaker (26) | 96.8 | 90.5 | 187.3 | +6.4 | 73% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 91.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 49.7 | 47.4 | 97.0 | +2.3 | 60% | 77% |
| Last 30 at home (12) | 48.2 | 47.1 | 95.2 | +1.1 | 50% | 67% |
| Last 30 away (18) | 50.7 | 47.6 | 98.2 | +3.1 | 67% | 83% |
| Last 10 (10) | 46.7 | 42.8 | 89.5 | +3.9 | 70% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 48.0 | 42.6 | 90.6 | +5.4 | 80% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (14) | 46.5 | 46.9 | 93.4 | -0.4 | 50% | 57% |
| vs Similar | no games | |||||
| vs Weaker ◀ (16) | 52.4 | 47.8 | 100.2 | +4.7 | 69% | 94% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over 91.5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 47.4 | 48.6 | 96.0 | -1.3 | 40% | 70% |
| Last 30 at home (15) | 47.1 | 47.7 | 94.8 | -0.5 | 40% | 60% |
| Last 30 away (15) | 47.6 | 49.6 | 97.2 | -2.0 | 40% | 80% |
| Last 10 (10) | 43.0 | 47.4 | 90.4 | -4.4 | 20% | 50% |
| Last 5 (5) | 43.0 | 49.4 | 92.4 | -6.4 | 20% | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger ◀ (2) | 38.5 | 57.5 | 96.0 | -19.0 | 0% | 50% |
| vs Similar (1) | 32.0 | 51.0 | 83.0 | -19.0 | 0% | 0% |
| vs Weaker (26) | 48.7 | 47.7 | 96.4 | +1.0 | 46% | 73% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fubon Braves +1 | 71.0% | 1.55 | 1.55 | - | - | - | - | +11.3pp | Won |
| Fubon Braves +1.5 | 71.6% | 1.52 | 1.52 | - | - | - | - | +10.7pp | Won |
| Overtime: no | 93.7% | 1.02 | 1.02 | - | - | - | - | +2.2pp | Won |
| Taoyuan Pauian Pilots under 95.5 | 70.5% | 1.29 | 1.29 | - | - | - | - | +1.7pp | Won |
| Fubon Braves under 101.5 | 70.1% | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | - | +0.9pp | Lost |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 44.2 | 20.9 | 48.9% | 41.8 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 33.4 | 10.0 | 32.4% | 30.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 24.8 | 16.9 | 65.9% | 16.9 |
| Shot type | Attempts per game | Made per game | Accuracy (made ÷ attempts) | League accuracy | Points per game |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏀🏀 2-pointers | 51.7 | 22.7 | 48.9% | 45.4 | |
| 🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers | 29.5 | 9.0 | 32.4% | 27.0 | |
| 🏀 Free throws | 25.4 | 16.0 | 65.9% | 16.0 |
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18/06/26 | Taoyuan Pauian Pilots v Fubon Braves | 107-81 |
| 16/06/26 | Fubon Braves v Taoyuan Pauian Pilots | 69-72 |
| 14/06/26 | Taoyuan Pauian Pilots v Fubon Braves | 78-87 |
| 12/06/26 | Fubon Braves v Taoyuan Pauian Pilots | 77-84 |
| 10/06/26 | Fubon Braves v Taoyuan Pauian Pilots | 85-76 |
| 07/06/26 | Taoyuan Pauian Pilots v Fubon Braves | 98-94 |
| 05/06/26 | Taoyuan Pauian Pilots v Fubon Braves | 95-97 OT |
| 11/04/26 | Fubon Braves v Taoyuan Pauian Pilots | 114-95 |
| 05/04/26 | Taoyuan Pauian Pilots v Fubon Braves | 99-87 |
| 12/03/26 | Fubon Braves v Taoyuan Pauian Pilots | 91-109 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/11/26 | H | Tainan TSG GhostHawks | 109-78 |
| 11/11/26 | A | KCC Egis | 80-88 |
| 03/10/26 | A | Macau Hou Chon | 103-89 |
| 18/06/26 | A | Taoyuan Pauian Pilots | 81-107 |
| 16/06/26 | H | Taoyuan Pauian Pilots | 69-72 |
| 14/06/26 | A | Taoyuan Pauian Pilots | 87-78 |
| 12/06/26 | H | Taoyuan Pauian Pilots | 77-84 |
| 10/06/26 | H | Taoyuan Pauian Pilots | 85-76 |
| 07/06/26 | A | Taoyuan Pauian Pilots | 94-98 |
| 05/06/26 | A | Taoyuan Pauian Pilots | 97-95 OT |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/10/26 | A | Tainan TSG GhostHawks | 94-115 |
| 28/10/26 | H | Ryukyu | 97-103 |
| 25/10/26 | H | Tainan TSG GhostHawks | 79-105 |
| 18/06/26 | H | Fubon Braves | 107-81 |
| 16/06/26 | A | Fubon Braves | 72-69 |
| 14/06/26 | H | Fubon Braves | 78-87 |
| 12/06/26 | A | Fubon Braves | 84-77 |
| 10/06/26 | A | Fubon Braves | 76-85 |
| 07/06/26 | H | Fubon Braves | 98-94 |
| 05/06/26 | H | Fubon Braves | 95-97 OT |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | W | 100% |
| Home | W | 100% |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 1 | 1 | - |
| Win % | 100% | 100% | - |
| Points / game | 109.0 | 109.0 | - |
| Allowed / game | 78.0 | 78.0 | - |
| Point differential | +31.0 | +31.0 | - |
| Avg total | 187.0 | 187.0 | - |
| Over 184.75 | 100% | 100% | - |
| Win by 10+ | 100% | 100% | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | LL | 0% |
| Home | L | 0% |
| Away | L | 0% |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Win % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Points / game | 86.5 | 79.0 | 94.0 |
| Allowed / game | 110.0 | 105.0 | 115.0 |
| Point differential | -23.5 | -26.0 | -21.0 |
| Avg total | 196.5 | 184.0 | 209.0 |
| Over 184.75 | 50% | 0% | 100% |
| Win by 10+ | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 109.0 | 78.0 | +31.0 | |
| 2 | Tainan TSG GhostHawks | 4 | 3 | 1 | 75% | 100.5 | 95.2 | +5.2 |
| 3 | Yankey Ark | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 99.0 | 104.0 | -5.0 |
| 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0% | 86.5 | 110.0 | -23.5 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | 20 | 34 | 38 | 113 | |
| 18 | 25 | 11 | 27 | 81 |
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