Fuerza Regia vs San Luis Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 15 Feb 2017

Tip-off: 02:00

Final 84-80

17-18 13-29 26-17 28-16

Position#1

Record32-4

FormLWWLL

Points / game84.8

Allowed / game74.1

Fuerza Regia 🏆

San Luis

Position#8

Record14-22

FormLLLWW

Points / game81.4

Allowed / game84.2

LNBPLNBP - Quarter-finals

Other2016-17

Meetings · Fuerza Regia v San Luis

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fuerza Regia winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

San Luis winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fuerza Regia Mexico

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Abejas

79-70

H21/01

LNBP

Abejas

92-72

+20

H22/01

LNBP

Leones Quilpue

#16

109-73

109

+36

H28/01

Americas League

Caballos de Cocle

#11

89-64

+25

A29/01

Americas League

Guaros de Lara

84-78

H30/01

Americas League

Barreteros

100-109

100

109

-9

A03/02

LNBP

Barreteros

66-59

A05/02

LNBP

Panteras

77-65

+12

H08/02

LNBP

Garzas de Plata

77-81 OT

-4

H10/02

LNBP

Garzas de Plata

75-80 OT

-5

H12/02

LNBP

27-18

17-22

25-20

10-10

18-19

24-15

23-19

27-19

18-16

31-15

25-19

35-23

26-9

25-22

24-20

14-13

22-18

9-22

29-17

24-21

21-31

24-24

30-27

25-27

16-10

15-19

12-14

23-16

21-22

18-16

16-20

22-7

22-22

10-12

22-16

17-21

20-17

14-21

24-12

11-19

159.9Avg total

84.8Scored

75.1Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	84.8	74.1	158.9	+10.7	89%
Season at home (18)	85.0	72.8	157.8	+12.2	89%
Season away (18)	84.6	75.4	160.0	+9.2	89%
Last 10 (10)	84.8	75.1	159.9	+9.7	70%
Last 5 (5)	79.0	78.8	157.8	+0.2	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	84.0	78.0	162.0	+6.0	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	87.2	74.8	162.0	+12.4	86%

This opponent (San Luis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

San Luis

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Abejas

90-92 OT

-2

H13/01

LNBP

Abejas

81-73

H15/01

LNBP

Panteras

88-95

-7

A20/01

LNBP

Panteras

77-87

-10

A22/01

LNBP

Barreteros

99-90

H27/01

LNBP

Barreteros

78-81

-3

H29/01

LNBP

Garzas de Plata

73-112

112

-39

A03/02

LNBP

Garzas de Plata

83-100

100

-17

A05/02

LNBP

Indios

97-72

+25

H10/02

LNBP

Indios

108-102

108

102

H12/02

LNBP

21-22

17-8

24-30

11-13

23-14

21-12

22-25

15-22

31-27

15-21

18-16

24-31

23-19

18-21

15-21

21-26

23-19

23-24

28-21

25-26

26-18

18-20

25-20

9-23

15-22

18-29

23-34

17-27

24-25

11-17

21-25

27-33

18-16

30-13

27-20

22-23

30-21

28-21

30-25

20-35

177.8Avg total

87.4Scored

90.4Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (36)	81.4	84.2	165.6	-2.8	39%
Season at home (18)	82.3	80.5	162.8	+1.8	50%
Season away (18)	80.5	87.9	168.4	-7.4	28%
Last 10 (10)	87.4	90.4	177.8	-3.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	87.8	93.4	181.2	-5.6	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	76.5	87.8	164.2	-11.2	17%
vs Similar (16)	85.2	82.9	168.1	+2.2	50%
vs Weaker (2)	85.5	82.0	167.5	+3.5	100%

This opponent (Fuerza Regia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Fuerza RegiaSan Luis

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.5	18.6	40.2	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.2	19.1	41.3	+3.1	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	18.2	39.1	+2.7	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.1	18.2	39.3	+2.9	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	20.4	40.4	-0.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	22.0	18.0	40.0	+4.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	21.5	18.7	40.2	+2.9	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.0	20.2	42.2	+1.8	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.4	18.1	40.4	+4.3	71%	-
Last 30 away (16)	21.7	22.0	43.7	-0.3	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	20.3	43.7	+3.1	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.6	20.4	43.0	+2.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	20.8	20.9	41.7	-0.2	42%	-
vs Similar (16)	23.1	19.4	42.6	+3.7	69%	-
vs Weaker (2)	20.5	21.5	42.0	-1.0	0%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.7	17.3	37.0	+2.4	53%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	19.6	17.7	37.3	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	19.7	16.9	36.7	+2.8	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.7	18.8	37.5	-0.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.2	18.4	34.6	-2.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	9.0	22.0	31.0	-13.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	20.0	17.1	37.2	+2.9	55%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.8	18.8	37.6	+0.1	43%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	19.1	38.2	+0.1	36%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.6	18.5	37.1	+0.1	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.9	18.6	38.5	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.0	20.0	41.0	+1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	15.2	20.4	35.6	-5.3	25%	-
vs Similar (16)	20.9	17.5	38.4	+3.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	24.0	19.0	43.0	+5.0	100%	-

Fuerza RegiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Abejas

44-40

H21/01

LNBP

Abejas

42-34

H22/01

LNBP

Leones Quilpue

#16

49-31

+18

H28/01

Americas League

Caballos de Cocle

#11

51-31

+20

A29/01

Americas League

Guaros de Lara

31-40

-9

H30/01

Americas League

Barreteros

45-55

-10

A03/02

LNBP

Barreteros

31-29

A05/02

LNBP

Panteras

39-38

H08/02

LNBP

Garzas de Plata

32-34

-2

H10/02

LNBP

Garzas de Plata

34-38

-4

H12/02

LNBP

76.8Avg total

39.8Scored

37.0Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	41.2	35.9	77.1	+5.3	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	41.8	36.7	78.5	+5.1	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	40.6	35.1	75.7	+5.5	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.8	37.0	76.8	+2.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	38.8	75.0	-2.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	31.0	40.0	71.0	-9.0	0%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	41.6	35.8	77.3	+5.8	72%	-

This opponent (San Luis) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

San LuisLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Abejas

38-30

H13/01

LNBP

Abejas

44-26

+18

H15/01

LNBP

Panteras

46-48

-2

A20/01

LNBP

Panteras

41-40

A22/01

LNBP

Barreteros

46-43

H27/01

LNBP

Barreteros

44-38

H29/01

LNBP

Garzas de Plata

33-51

-18

A03/02

LNBP

Garzas de Plata

35-42

-7

A05/02

LNBP

Indios

48-29

+19

H10/02

LNBP

Indios

58-42

+16

H12/02

LNBP

82.2Avg total

43.3Scored

38.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	40.8	38.9	79.8	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	41.5	37.1	78.6	+4.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (16)	40.2	40.5	80.8	-0.2	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.3	38.9	82.2	+4.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.6	40.4	84.0	+3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	35.9	41.3	77.2	-5.4	17%	-
vs Similar (16)	44.1	36.9	81.0	+7.1	75%	-
vs Weaker (2)	44.5	40.5	85.0	+4.0	100%	-

This opponent (Fuerza Regia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.6	19.2	41.8	+3.4	67%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.7	17.7	41.5	+6.0	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.4	20.7	42.1	+0.7	53%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.0	18.4	41.4	+4.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.8	17.8	38.6	+3.0	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	29.0	17.0	46.0	+12.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	22.3	19.3	41.6	+3.1	66%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.2	22.5	43.7	-1.3	40%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	22.6	23.4	46.0	-0.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.1	21.7	41.8	-1.6	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.3	23.7	47.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.2	24.8	50.0	+0.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	21.2	23.7	44.9	-2.4	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	21.6	21.4	43.0	+0.1	50%	-
vs Weaker (2)	18.5	24.0	42.5	-5.5	0%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.3	18.8	41.1	+3.5	70%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.1	17.9	40.1	+4.2	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.5	19.6	42.1	+2.9	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.8	17.6	38.4	+3.2	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.0	37.6	+1.6	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	24.0	21.0	45.0	+3.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	22.2	18.7	40.9	+3.6	69%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.5	22.2	40.8	-3.7	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	18.3	20.7	39.0	-2.4	29%	-
Last 30 away (16)	18.8	23.6	42.3	-4.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	25.9	45.0	-6.8	0%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.0	28.2	47.2	-9.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	19.3	22.8	42.1	-3.4	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	17.4	22.4	39.9	-5.0	19%	-
vs Weaker (2)	22.5	17.5	40.0	+5.0	100%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.9	38.0	82.8	+6.9	80%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	45.9	35.7	81.5	+10.2	100%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.9	40.3	84.1	+3.6	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	43.8	36.0	79.8	+7.8	100%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.4	35.8	76.2	+4.6	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (1)	53.0	38.0	91.0	+15.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)	44.6	38.0	82.6	+6.6	79%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.8	44.7	84.5	-5.0	30%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	40.9	44.1	85.0	-3.3	43%	-
Last 30 away (16)	38.8	45.2	84.1	-6.4	19%	-
Last 10 (10)	42.4	49.6	92.0	-7.2	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	44.2	53.0	97.2	-8.8	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (12)	40.6	46.4	87.0	-5.8	33%	-
vs Similar (16)	39.0	43.9	82.9	-4.9	31%	-
vs Weaker (2)	41.0	41.5	82.5	-0.5	0%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Fuerza Regia wins

San Luis wins

Date	Game	Score
08/01/17	Fuerza Regia v San Luis	83-72
07/01/17	Fuerza Regia v San Luis	98-79
06/11/16	San Luis v Fuerza Regia	66-81
04/11/16	San Luis v Fuerza Regia	73-74
06/03/16	Fuerza Regia v San Luis	102-93
04/03/16	Fuerza Regia v San Luis	97-80
23/12/15	San Luis v Fuerza Regia	70-99
21/12/15	San Luis v Fuerza Regia	93-100

Fuerza Regialast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/02/17	H	Garzas de Plata	75-80 OT
10/02/17	H	Garzas de Plata	77-81 OT
08/02/17	H	Panteras	77-65
05/02/17	A	Barreteros	66-59
03/02/17	A	Barreteros	100-109
30/01/17	H	Guaros de Lara	84-78
29/01/17	A	Caballos de Cocle	89-64
28/01/17	H	Leones Quilpue	109-73
22/01/17	H	Abejas	92-72
21/01/17	H	Abejas	79-70

San Luislast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
12/02/17	H	Indios	108-102
10/02/17	H	Indios	97-72
05/02/17	A	Garzas de Plata	83-100
03/02/17	A	Garzas de Plata	73-112
29/01/17	H	Barreteros	78-81
27/01/17	H	Barreteros	99-90
22/01/17	A	Panteras	77-87
20/01/17	A	Panteras	88-95
15/01/17	H	Abejas	81-73
13/01/17	H	Abejas	90-92 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fuerza Regia

LNBP 2016-17

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWLL	89%
Home	WWWLL	89%
Away	WWWLW	89%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	18	18
Win %	89%	89%	89%
Points / game	84.8	85.0	84.6
Allowed / game	74.1	72.8	75.4
Point differential	+10.7	+12.2	+9.2
Avg total	158.9	157.8	160.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	56%	67%	44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (6)	50% (4)	100% (2)
Overtime %	11%	11%	11%

San Luis

LNBP 2016-17

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLWW	39%
Home	WWLWW	50%
Away	LLLLL	28%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	36	18	18
Win %	39%	50%	28%
Points / game	81.4	82.3	80.5
Allowed / game	84.2	80.5	87.9
Point differential	-2.8	+1.8	-7.4
Avg total	165.6	162.8	168.4
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	8%	11%	6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	40% (15)	25% (8)	57% (7)
Overtime %	6%	6%	6%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Fuerza Regia	36	32	4	89%	84.8	74.1	+10.7
2	Soles	36	23	13	64%	87.3	83.4	+3.8
3	Garzas de Plata	36	22	14	61%	83.2	79.0	+4.2
4	Toros de Nuevo	36	22	14	61%	85.1	82.0	+3.1
5	Panteras	36	19	17	53%	86.1	85.2	+0.9
6	Barreteros	36	17	19	47%	81.2	83.7	-2.5
7	Indios	36	15	21	42%	81.4	84.7	-3.3
8	San Luis	36	14	22	39%	81.4	84.2	-2.8
9	Abejas	36	10	26	28%	79.8	86.0	-6.2
10	Correcaminos	36	6	30	17%	79.3	87.2	-7.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Fuerza Regia	17	13	26	28	84
San Luis	18	29	17	16	80

← all games of the day

Fuerza Regia vs San Luis Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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