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Fuerza Regia vs Santos Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 02:00
Final 79-87 (OT)
17-17 28-21 18-24 12-13 4-12
Position#1
Record15-5
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.4
Allowed / game76.6
vs
Position#5
Record12-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game84.8
Allowed / game81.2
MexicoLNBP· Gimnasio Nuevo Leon Independiente (Monterrey)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Fuerza Regia v Santos
22 Sep 2024
FUER88
SANT67
21 Sep 2024
FUER90
SANT77
17 Oct 2023
FUER91
SANT73
16 Oct 2023
FUER79
SANT87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fuerza Regia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Santos winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fuerza RegiaMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Correcaminos
#14
W
95-79
95
79
+16
A17/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
92-74
92
74
+18
A19/09
LNBP
Libertadores
#2
W
81-69
81
69
+12
H23/09
LNBP
Libertadores
#2
L
82-97
82
97
-15
H24/09
LNBP
Abejas
#4
L
86-99
86
99
-13
A05/10
LNBP
Abejas
#4
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A06/10
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#7
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H08/10
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#7
W
79-66
79
66
+13
H10/10
LNBP
Mineros
#11
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A13/10
LNBP
Mineros
#11
L
80-85
80
85
-5
A14/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
21-21
28-19
21-22
22-26
21-11
30-15
19-22
18-5
24-24
22-18
17-22
16-30
31-14
22-28
13-25
20-32
22-23
24-19
20-25
17-21
18-21
14-23
31-20
28-14
21-14
17-16
21-24
20-15
21-18
18-16
20-17
31-21
20-22
23-31
20-16
18-19
22-23
24-19
16-24
166.8Avg total
85.6Scored
81.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.476.6161.0+7.875%
Season at home (10)84.672.0156.6+12.690%
Season away (10)84.281.2165.4+3.060%
Last 10 (10)85.681.2166.8+4.460%
Last 5 (5)84.078.8162.8+5.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)84.988.7173.5-3.840%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)85.872.1157.9+13.793%
This opponent (Santos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SantosMexicoLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#3
W
104-87
104
87
+17
H18/09
LNBP
Astros
#3
L
73-90
73
90
-17
H19/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#7
W
80-77
80
77
+3
A25/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#7
L
80-95
80
95
-15
A26/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
W
82-57
82
57
+25
H05/10
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
W
99-80
99
80
+19
H06/10
LNBP
Mineros
#11
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A09/10
LNBP
Mineros
#11
L
78-81
78
81
-3
A10/10
LNBP
Soles
#12
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H13/10
LNBP
Soles
#12
W
85-60
85
60
+25
H14/10
LNBP
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-21
21-15
25-27
29-24
24-25
19-27
16-18
14-20
28-27
25-21
17-16
10-13
21-19
16-24
19-26
24-26
20-16
25-8
15-20
22-13
22-13
37-22
20-26
20-19
20-18
16-21
20-16
22-28
19-13
13-24
21-27
25-17
22-22
16-22
17-23
33-18
27-10
21-20
11-16
26-14
164.2Avg total
84.7Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)84.881.2165.9+3.660%
Season at home (10)84.675.3159.9+9.380%
Season away (10)84.987.0171.9-2.140%
Last 10 (10)84.779.5164.2+5.260%
Last 5 (5)85.677.8163.4+7.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)83.0101.5184.5-18.50%
vs Similar (8)81.083.6164.6-2.650%
vs Weaker (10)88.175.1163.2+13.080%
This opponent (Fuerza Regia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.5+1.5Q1: +4.8+4.8Q2Q2: +3.0+3.0Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: +1.8+1.8Q3: -3.4-3.4Q4Q4: -1.9-1.9Q4: +3.3+3.3
Fuerza RegiaSantos
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Fuerza RegiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Correcaminos
#14
W
46-38
46
38
+8
A17/09
LNBP
Correcaminos
#14
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A19/09
LNBP
Libertadores
#2
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H23/09
LNBP
Libertadores
#2
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H24/09
LNBP
Abejas
#4
L
42-55
42
55
-13
A05/10
LNBP
Abejas
#4
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A06/10
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#7
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H08/10
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#7
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H10/10
LNBP
Mineros
#11
W
51-43
51
43
+8
A13/10
LNBP
Mineros
#11
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A14/10
LNBP
82.7Avg total
43.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.539.181.7+3.463%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.837.281.0+6.676%-
Last 30 away (13)40.841.782.5-0.846%-
Last 10 (10)43.639.182.7+4.570%-
Last 5 (5)43.237.680.8+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (15)41.344.585.8-3.140%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)43.733.877.5+9.987%-
This opponent (Santos) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SantosLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Astros
#3
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H18/09
LNBP
Astros
#3
L
43-52
43
52
-9
H19/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#7
W
53-48
53
48
+5
A25/09
LNBP
Halcones de Xalapa
#7
L
37-43
37
43
-6
A26/09
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
W
45-24
45
24
+21
H05/10
LNBP
Halcones Rojos
#10
W
59-35
59
35
+24
H06/10
LNBP
Mineros
#11
L
36-39
36
39
-3
A09/10
LNBP
Mineros
#11
L
32-37
32
37
-5
A10/10
LNBP
Soles
#12
L
38-44
38
44
-6
H13/10
LNBP
Soles
#12
W
48-30
48
30
+18
H14/10
LNBP
82.9Avg total
44.1Scored
38.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (20)43.142.285.3+0.950%-
Last 30 at home (10)44.938.483.3+6.560%-
Last 30 away (10)41.346.087.3-4.740%-
Last 10 (10)44.138.882.9+5.350%-
Last 5 (5)42.637.079.6+5.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (2)34.052.086.0-18.00%-
vs Similar (8)43.545.589.0-2.038%-
vs Weaker (10)44.637.682.2+7.070%-
This opponent (Fuerza Regia) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Fuerza Regia wins
0
Santos wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23AMineros80-85
13/10/23AMineros94-90
10/10/23HHalcones de Xalapa79-66
08/10/23HHalcones de Xalapa87-68
06/10/23AAbejas80-85
05/10/23AAbejas86-99
24/09/23HLibertadores82-97
23/09/23HLibertadores81-69
19/09/23ACorrecaminos92-74
17/09/23ACorrecaminos95-79
Santoslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HSoles85-60
13/10/23HSoles88-85
10/10/23AMineros78-81
09/10/23AMineros78-83
06/10/23HHalcones Rojos99-80
05/10/23HHalcones Rojos82-57
26/09/23AHalcones de Xalapa80-95
25/09/23AHalcones de Xalapa80-77
19/09/23HAstros73-90
18/09/23HAstros104-87

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fuerza Regia
LNBP 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL75%
HomeWWLWW90%
AwayWLLWL60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%90%60%
Points / game84.484.684.2
Allowed / game76.672.081.2
Point differential+7.8+12.6+3.0
Avg total161.0156.6165.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%80%40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Santos
LNBP 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW60%
HomeLWWWW80%
AwayWWLLL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %60%80%40%
Points / game84.884.684.9
Allowed / game81.275.387.0
Point differential+3.6+9.3-2.1
Avg total165.9159.9171.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (6)50% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fuerza Regia2015575%84.476.6+7.8
2 Abejas2015575%88.080.7+7.3
3 Libertadores2014670%90.580.5+9.9
4 Astros2014670%91.584.5+7.0
5 Santos2012860%84.881.2+3.6
6 Halcones de Xalapa2112957%84.985.0-0.1
7 Panteras2011955%87.484.3+3.0
8 Plateros2011955%85.487.7-2.2
9 Dorados20101050%82.781.7+0.9
10 Mineros2091145%86.787.3-0.7
11 Halcones Rojos2081240%80.283.3-3.0
12 Soles2051525%75.583.1-7.5
13 Freseros2141719%84.092.8-8.9
14 Correcaminos201195%83.6100.3-16.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Fuerza Regia17281812479
Santos172124131287
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