Fukuoka vs Ryukyu Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 13 Mar 2014

Tip-off: 10:00

Final 74-64

14-13 15-19 18-16 27-16

Position#11

Record20-20

FormLWWWW

Points / game74.4

Allowed / game73.8

Fukuoka 🏆

Ryukyu

Position#1

Record33-5

FormWWWWW

Points / game78.6

Allowed / game67.8

BJ League

Other2013-14

Meetings · Fukuoka v Ryukyu

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Fukuoka winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Ryukyu winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Fukuoka

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kyoto

62-78

-16

H08/02

BJ League

Kyoto

61-59

H09/02

BJ League

Nara

#17

73-84

-11

A15/02

BJ League

Nara

#17

78-58

+20

A16/02

BJ League

Osaka

#12

90-67

+23

H22/02

BJ League

Osaka

#12

53-84

-31

H23/02

BJ League

Oita

#16

69-64

A28/02

BJ League

Oita

#16

66-57

A01/03

BJ League

NeoPhoenix

82-71

+11

H06/03

BJ League

NeoPhoenix

92-78

+14

H07/03

BJ League

12-16

15-24

15-18

20-20

15-16

15-18

12-14

19-11

16-19

24-25

16-21

17-19

18-17

18-15

26-7

16-19

20-11

22-21

22-19

26-16

5-25

13-17

13-19

22-23

14-10

18-22

24-21

13-11

5-18

17-4

20-23

24-12

23-15

20-14

19-14

20-28

22-17

20-20

23-13

27-28

142.6Avg total

72.6Scored

70.0Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (40)	74.4	73.8	148.2	+0.7	50%
Season at home (20)	78.2	76.2	154.4	+2.1	60%
Season away (20)	70.5	71.3	141.9	-0.8	40%
Last 10 (10)	72.6	70.0	142.6	+2.6	70%
Last 5 (5)	72.4	70.8	143.2	+1.6	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	67.4	74.6	142.0	-7.2	25%
vs Similar (14)	75.8	76.6	152.4	-0.8	43%
vs Weaker (8)	79.2	69.4	148.6	+9.9	88%

This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Ryukyu

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osaka

#12

72-63

H08/02

BJ League

Osaka

#12

76-67

H09/02

BJ League

Kyoto

80-73

A15/02

BJ League

Kyoto

58-76

-18

A16/02

BJ League

Takamatsu

#15

71-59

+12

H22/02

BJ League

Takamatsu

#15

93-67

+26

H23/02

BJ League

Shimane

#20

79-64

+15

A01/03

BJ League

Shimane

#20

84-59

+25

A02/03

BJ League

Shiga

81-74

H08/03

BJ League

Shiga

78-63

+15

H09/03

BJ League

16-22

21-13

19-8

16-20

21-14

23-16

17-21

15-16

22-15

17-27

23-13

18-18

10-28

16-9

14-13

18-26

15-15

17-12

24-14

15-18

18-19

26-20

23-19

26-9

22-17

15-13

20-15

22-19

23-15

20-20

22-13

19-11

21-12

17-20

20-25

23-17

22-12

16-25

30-11

10-15

143.7Avg total

77.2Scored

66.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (38)	78.6	67.8	146.4	+10.8	87%
Season at home (22)	79.6	66.6	146.3	+13.0	95%
Season away (16)	77.1	69.4	146.5	+7.8	75%
Last 10 (10)	77.2	66.5	143.7	+10.7	90%
Last 5 (5)	83.0	65.4	148.4	+17.6	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	78.8	77.0	155.8	+1.8	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	78.6	65.2	143.8	+13.4	96%

This opponent (Fukuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

FukuokaRyukyu

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.2	17.5	34.7	-0.3	50%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.1	18.4	35.5	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.4	16.5	33.9	+0.9	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.0	16.4	31.4	-1.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	17.0	30.8	-3.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	15.4	18.9	34.2	-3.5	12%	-
vs Similar (14)	17.2	16.9	34.1	+0.4	64%	-
vs Weaker (8)	19.1	17.2	36.4	+1.9	62%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	16.6	36.1	+2.9	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.9	16.5	37.4	+4.4	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.3	16.7	34.0	+0.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	16.9	35.9	+2.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	15.0	36.2	+6.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	20.7	19.3	40.0	+1.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	19.2	15.9	35.1	+3.3	67%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	17.0	18.4	35.4	-1.4	33%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	17.6	19.8	37.4	-2.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (14)	16.3	16.9	33.2	-0.6	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	18.0	36.2	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.6	15.4	33.0	+2.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	15.6	17.4	33.0	-1.8	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	18.1	18.9	37.0	-0.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (8)	16.4	18.8	35.1	-2.4	25%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	18.9	17.1	35.9	+1.8	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	18.1	16.6	34.7	+1.6	67%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.0	17.8	37.8	+2.2	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	17.5	36.3	+1.3	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.8	19.6	38.4	-0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	15.8	17.7	33.5	-1.8	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	19.6	16.9	36.5	+2.7	67%	-

FukuokaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Kyoto

27-40

-13

H08/02

BJ League

Kyoto

30-34

-4

H09/02

BJ League

Nara

#17

40-44

-4

A15/02

BJ League

Nara

#17

36-32

A16/02

BJ League

Osaka

#12

42-32

+10

H22/02

BJ League

Osaka

#12

18-42

-24

H23/02

BJ League

Oita

#16

32-32

A28/02

BJ League

Oita

#16

22-22

A01/03

BJ League

NeoPhoenix

43-29

+14

H06/03

BJ League

NeoPhoenix

42-37

H07/03

BJ League

67.6Avg total

33.2Scored

34.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	34.2	35.9	70.2	-1.7	43%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	34.8	38.1	72.9	-3.4	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	33.6	33.4	67.1	+0.2	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.2	34.4	67.6	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.4	32.4	63.8	-1.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	31.0	36.2	67.2	-5.2	25%	-
vs Similar (14)	35.4	35.7	71.1	-0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	35.5	36.0	71.5	-0.5	50%	-

This opponent (Ryukyu) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

RyukyuLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Osaka

#12

37-35

H08/02

BJ League

Osaka

#12

44-30

+14

H09/02

BJ League

Kyoto

39-42

-3

A15/02

BJ League

Kyoto

26-37

-11

A16/02

BJ League

Takamatsu

#15

32-27

H22/02

BJ League

Takamatsu

#15

44-39

H23/02

BJ League

Shimane

#20

37-30

A01/03

BJ League

Shimane

#20

43-35

A02/03

BJ League

Shiga

38-32

H08/03

BJ League

Shiga

38-37

H09/03

BJ League

72.2Avg total

37.8Scored

34.4Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.4	33.6	72.0	+4.7	70%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	39.1	33.1	72.1	+6.0	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.3	34.5	71.8	+2.8	58%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.8	34.4	72.2	+3.4	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	40.0	34.6	74.6	+5.4	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	36.5	37.0	73.5	-0.5	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	38.8	32.8	71.6	+6.0	79%	-

This opponent (Fukuoka) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	20.3	17.3	37.6	+3.0	67%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	20.5	17.6	38.1	+2.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (14)	20.1	17.0	37.1	+3.1	64%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.0	16.9	35.9	+2.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.8	18.0	37.8	+1.8	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	17.0	18.4	35.4	-1.4	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	20.2	18.1	38.3	+2.1	71%	-
vs Weaker (8)	23.8	15.0	38.8	+8.8	88%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.3	16.3	35.6	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	20.8	16.1	36.9	+4.8	72%	-
Last 30 away (12)	17.0	16.6	33.6	+0.4	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	21.2	15.2	36.4	+6.0	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.0	16.6	39.6	+6.4	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	19.7	17.3	37.0	+2.3	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	19.2	16.0	35.2	+3.2	62%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.5	37%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	21.4	20.9	42.3	+0.6	38%	-
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	18.9	36.1	-1.8	36%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.4	18.7	39.1	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.2	20.4	41.6	+0.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	19.4	20.0	39.4	-0.6	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	19.1	20.9	40.0	-1.7	43%	-
vs Weaker (8)	20.0	18.4	38.4	+1.6	25%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	19.5	16.5	36.0	+3.0	63%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	19.0	16.6	35.6	+2.4	61%	-
Last 30 away (12)	20.2	16.4	36.7	+3.8	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.2	16.9	35.1	+1.3	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	14.2	34.2	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	21.2	20.0	41.2	+1.2	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	19.1	15.6	34.7	+3.5	71%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	39.7	37.3	77.0	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 at home (16)	41.9	38.5	80.4	+3.4	62%	-
Last 30 away (14)	37.2	35.9	73.1	+1.3	50%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	35.6	75.0	+3.8	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.0	38.4	79.4	+2.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)	36.4	38.4	74.8	-2.0	38%	-
vs Similar (14)	39.4	38.9	78.3	+0.4	50%	-
vs Weaker (8)	43.8	33.4	77.1	+10.4	88%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	38.8	32.8	71.6	+6.0	73%	-
Last 30 at home (18)	39.8	32.6	72.4	+7.2	78%	-
Last 30 away (12)	37.2	33.0	70.2	+4.2	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	39.4	32.1	71.5	+7.3	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	43.0	30.8	73.8	+12.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger	no games
vs Similar (6)	40.8	37.3	78.2	+3.5	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)	38.3	31.6	69.9	+6.7	75%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Fukuoka wins

Ryukyu wins

Date	Game	Score
27/10/13	Ryukyu v Fukuoka	74-64
26/10/13	Ryukyu v Fukuoka	68-61

Fukuokalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/03/14	H	NeoPhoenix	92-78
06/03/14	H	NeoPhoenix	82-71
01/03/14	A	Oita	66-57
28/02/14	A	Oita	69-64
23/02/14	H	Osaka	53-84
22/02/14	H	Osaka	90-67
16/02/14	A	Nara	78-58
15/02/14	A	Nara	73-84
09/02/14	H	Kyoto	61-59
08/02/14	H	Kyoto	62-78

Ryukyulast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
09/03/14	H	Shiga	78-63
08/03/14	H	Shiga	81-74
02/03/14	A	Shimane	84-59
01/03/14	A	Shimane	79-64
23/02/14	H	Takamatsu	93-67
22/02/14	H	Takamatsu	71-59
16/02/14	A	Kyoto	58-76
15/02/14	A	Kyoto	80-73
09/02/14	H	Osaka	76-67
08/02/14	H	Osaka	72-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Fukuoka

BJ League 2013-14

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWWWW	50%
Home	WWLWW	60%
Away	WLWWW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	40	20	20
Win %	50%	60%	40%
Points / game	74.4	78.2	70.5
Allowed / game	73.8	76.2	71.3
Point differential	+0.7	+2.1	-0.8
Avg total	148.2	154.4	141.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	28%	35%	20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	60% (10)	80% (5)	40% (5)
Overtime %	5%	5%	5%

Ryukyu

BJ League 2013-14

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	87%
Home	WWWWW	95%
Away	WWLWW	75%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	38	22	16
Win %	87%	95%	75%
Points / game	78.6	79.6	77.1
Allowed / game	67.8	66.6	69.4
Point differential	+10.8	+13.0	+7.8
Avg total	146.4	146.3	146.5
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	58%	64%	50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	75% (4)	-	75% (4)
Overtime %	13%	14%	12%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Ryukyu	38	33	5	87%	78.6	67.8	+10.8
2	Akita	40	32	8	80%	88.8	79.1	+9.7
3	Toyama	40	31	9	78%	81.5	74.1	+7.4
4	Iwate	38	28	10	74%	77.9	69.8	+8.2
5	Shinshu	37	24	13	65%	83.1	82.7	+0.4
6	NeoPhoenix	38	24	14	63%	74.3	72.4	+1.9
7	Kyoto	42	26	16	62%	76.6	69.8	+6.8
8	Niigata	39	23	16	59%	76.3	73.4	+2.9
9	Shiga	40	21	19	52%	79.0	80.7	-1.8
10	Aomori	38	19	19	50%	71.1	70.3	+0.8
11	Fukuoka	40	20	20	50%	74.4	73.8	+0.7
12	Sendai	38	18	20	47%	79.6	79.5	+0.1
13	Yokohama	38	17	21	45%	74.4	74.8	-0.4
14	Osaka	40	17	23	42%	78.3	77.8	+0.6
15	Oita	40	16	24	40%	73.0	74.8	-1.8
16	Takamatsu	38	15	23	39%	73.8	78.0	-4.2
17	Nara	38	12	26	32%	71.4	78.1	-6.7
18	Gunma	38	10	28	26%	75.2	81.5	-6.3
19	Earthfriends Tokyo Z	38	10	28	26%	71.1	82.4	-11.3
20	Shimane	38	7	31	18%	69.4	78.5	-9.1
21	Saitama	38	4	34	11%	71.7	82.0	-10.2

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Fukuoka	14	15	18	27	74
Ryukyu	13	19	16	16	64

← all games of the day

Fukuoka vs Ryukyu Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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